作者toebb (玫瑰色链金术)
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标题[情报]Next Best Picture 95th 奥斯卡 入围预测
时间Fri Sep 2 11:37:39 2022
知名电影网站 Next Best Picture (NBP) 公布了最新的《2022 第95届 奥斯卡金像奖 OS
CARs》各项大奖入围预测排名，每个奖项皆选出了票数最高的10部电影。
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https://i.imgur.com/o96tWH9.jpg
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以下是 Next Best Picture 工作人员对 2022 年奥斯卡的预测！ 排名会更新，直到年
底。 准确性将在 2023 年 3 月 12 日第 95 届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上宣布获奖者後计算。
https://reurl.cc/jGQrLM
https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳影片 Best Picture
1 法贝尔曼 / THE FABELMANS
2 巴比伦 / BABYLON
3 与女人们的对话 / WOMEN TALKING
4 诗人 / BARDO
5 光之帝国 / EMPIRE OF LIGHT
6 THE SON
7 妈的多重宇宙 / EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
8 扞卫战士：独行侠 / TOP GUN: MAVERICK
9 她有话要说 / SHE SAID
10 TAR
.
https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳导演 Best Director
1 Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)
2 Damien Chazelle (BABYLON)
3 Sarah Polley (WOMEN TALKING)
4 Alejandro G. Inarritu (BARDO)
5 Park Chan-wook (DECISION TO LEAVE)
6 Sam Mendes (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
7 Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
8 Florian Zeller (THE SON)
9 Todd Field (TAR)
10 Ruben Ostlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)
.
https://i.imgur.com/zz0YMob.jpg
＊最佳女主角 Best Actress
1 Margot Robbie (BABYLON)
2 Cate Blanchett (TAR)
3 Olivia Colman (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
4 Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
5 Naomi Ackie (I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY)
6 Danielle Deadwyler (TILL)
7 Ana de Armas (BLONDE)
8 Carey Mulligan (SHE SAID)
9 Viola Davis (THE WOMAN KING)
10 Emma Thompson (GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE)
.
https://i.imgur.com/M6ngKYY.jpg
＊最佳男主角 Best Actor
1 Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
2 Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3 Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4 Daniel Gimenez Cacho (BARDO)
5 Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
6 Bill Nighy (LIVING)
7 Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
8 Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9 Diego Calva (BABYLON)
10 Micheal Ward (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
.
https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最近佳女配角 Best Supporting Actress
1 Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)
2 Jessie Buckley (WOMEN TALKING)
3 Laura Dern (THE SON)
4 Sadie Sink (THE WHALE)
5 Vanessa Kirby (THE SON)
6 Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
7 Samantha Morton (SHE SAID)
8 Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
9 Greta Gerwig (WHITE NOISE)
10 Griselda Siciliani (BARDO)
.
https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳男配角 Best Supporting Actor
1 Paul Dano (THE FABELMANS)
2 Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
3 Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4 Zen McGrath (THE SON)
5 Brad Pitt (BABYLON)
6 Ben Whishaw (WOMEN TALKING)
7 Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)
8 Woody Harrelson (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)
9 Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
10 Don Cheadle (WHITE NOISE)
.
https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳原创配乐 Best Original Score
1 THE FABELMANS
2 BABYLON
3 EMPIRE OF LIGHT
4 WOMEN TALKING
5 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
6 THE BATMAN
7 TAR
8 GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
9 TOP GUN: MAVERICK
10 BARDO
.
https://i.imgur.com/DWqHcv7.jpg
＊最佳原创歌曲 Best Original Song
1 TOP GUN: MAVERICK ("Hold My Hand")
2 TURNING RED ("Nobody Like U")
3 RRR ("Naatu Naatu")
4 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE ("This Is A Life")
5 WHERE THE CRAWDADS SING ("Carolina")
6 BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER ("Untitled")
7 MARRY ME ("On My Way")
8 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER ("Untitled")
9 GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO ("Untitled")
10 WHITE NOISE ("New Body Rhuma")
.
https://i.imgur.com/gua506H.jpg
＊最佳混音 Best Sound
1 TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
3 THE BATMAN
4 BABYLON
5 ELVIS
6 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
7 BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
8 BARDO
9 NOPE
10 THE FABELMANS
.
https://i.imgur.com/fPHdo71.jpg
＊最佳改编剧本 Best Adapted Screenplay
1 WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley)
2 THE SON (Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller)
3 THE WHALE (Samuel D. Hunter)
4 WHITE NOISE (Noah Baumbach)
5 SHE SAID (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)
6 GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
7 TILL (Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly, Keith Beauchamp)
8 THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
9 LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro)
10 BONES & ALL (David Kajganich)
.
https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳原创剧本 Best Original Screenplay
1 THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)
2 BABYLON (Damien Chazelle)
3 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,)
4 BARDO (Nicolas Giacobone, Alejandro G. Inarritu)
5 TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Ostlund)
6 EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Sam Mendes)
7 TAR (Todd Field)
8 THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
9 DECISION TO LEAVE (Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong)
10 AFTERSUN (Charlotte Wells)
.
https://i.imgur.com/7EfyWCv.jpg
＊最佳动画片 Best Animated Feature
1 GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
2 STRANGE WORLD
3 TURNING RED
4 WENDELL AND WILD
5 THE BAD GUYS
6 MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON
7 MY FATHER'S DRAGON
8 THE SEA BEAST
9 LIGHTYEAR
10 APOLLO 10?: A SPACE AGE CHILDHOOD
.
https://i.imgur.com/HBTLpKL.jpg
＊最佳纪录片 Best Documentary Feature
1 NAVALNY
2 DESCENDANT
3 FIRE OF LOVE
4 MOONAGE DAYDREAM
5 THE TERRITORY
6 ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED
7 SIDNEY
8 GOOD NIGHT OPPY
9 ALL THAT BREATHES
10 BLACK ICE
.
https://i.imgur.com/AxCiFqq.jpg
＊最佳国际影片 Best International Feature
1
BARDO (Mexico)
2 DECISION TO LEAVE (Korea)
3 BROKER (Japan)
4 CLOSE (Belgium)
5 ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)
6 RRR (India)
7 HOLY SPIDER (Denmark)
8 ATHENA (France)
9 EO (Poland)
10 GODLAND (Iceland)
．
https://i.imgur.com/AxCiFqq.jpg
＊最佳摄影 Best Cinematography
1 BARDO (Darius Khondji)
2 BABYLON (Linus Sandgren)
3 EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins)
4 THE FABELMANS (Janusz Kaminski)
5 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER (Russell Carpenter)
6 TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Claudio Miranda)
7 THE BATMAN (Greig Fraser)
8 BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
9 TAR (Florian Hoffmeister)
10 NOPE (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
.
https://i.imgur.com/zz0YMob.jpg
＊最佳服装设计 Best Costume Design
1 BABYLON
2 ELVIS
3 THE FABELMANS
4 BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5 THE WOMAN KING
6 MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS
7 BLONDE
8 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
9 DON'T WORRY DARLING
10 THREE THOUSAND YEARS OF LONGING
.
https://i.imgur.com/F0Vd27b.jpg
＊最佳影片剪辑 Best Film Editing
1 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
2 TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3 BABYLON
4 THE FABELMANS
5 BARDO
6 THE SON
7 EMPIRE OF LIGHT
8 WOMEN TALKING
9 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
10 ELVIS
.
https://i.imgur.com/zz0YMob.jpg
＊最佳妆发 Best Production Design
1
BABYLON
2 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
3 THE FABELMANS
4 ELVIS
5 BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
6 BARDO
7 EMPIRE OF LIGHT
8 THE BATMAN
9 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
10 THREE THOUSAND YEARS OF LONGING
.
https://i.imgur.com/VT5rO9L.jpg
＊最佳视觉特效 Best Visual Effects
1 AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
2 TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3 THE BATMAN
4 BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5 EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
6 DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS
7 GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
8 NOPE
9 BARDO
10 THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 114.39.210.234 (台湾)
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/movie/M.1662089861.A.296.html
※ 编辑: toebb (114.39.210.234 台湾), 09/02/2022 11:40:57
1F：推 qpr322 : 现在预测基本上根本只是盲测啊XDD 几乎都还没首映，09/02 11:41
2F：→ qpr322 : 顶多内部试映而已09/02 11:41
3F：推 protess : 最佳男主那边有乱码09/02 11:45
※ 编辑: toebb (114.39.210.234 台湾), 09/02/2022 11:49:27
4F：→ protess : 还有原创剧本和摄影09/02 11:47
5F：推 tim200513 : 大旱了啦…09/02 11:49
6F：→ toebb : 改好了，谢谢你！有些外文没改到><09/02 11:50
7F：推 lgng66133 : 大旱09/02 11:59
8F：推 sophia126a : 很多都还没上欸也太快预测XD09/02 12:06
9F：推 Grrr : BARDO已经接近出局了09/02 12:07
10F：→ tools : 分手的决心有那麽猛吗 我觉得中段蛮无聊的阿09/02 12:10
11F：推 s155352 : 想看杨紫琼入围影后09/02 12:39
12F：推 nanachi : 分手的决心至少入围最佳国际影片没问题09/02 12:40
13F：推 sleepyrat : 希望杨紫琼可以入围，然後上台甩黑人巴掌~~09/02 12:44
14F：推 jumper : 现在这时间点的预测就是看导演牌子大就先列上去09/02 13:02
15F：推 sunsirr : 今年这麽早开始预测喔09/02 13:03
16F：→ sunsirr : Sadie Sink!!!!! Max !!!!09/02 13:03
17F：→ sunsirr : 想看紫穷入围+109/02 13:04
18F：→ protess : 原创剧本那边还没改到喔09/02 13:10
19F：推 salvador1988: 希望杨紫琼入围+109/02 13:11
※ 编辑: toebb (42.74.150.62 台湾), 09/02/2022 13:22:47
20F：推 qpr322 : Bardo 评价不如预期，但我猜学院应该还是买帐会进 09/02 13:17
21F：→ qpr322 : 国际影片吧，记得当初无主之作在威尼斯评价也不好， 09/02 13:17
22F：→ qpr322 : 後来奖季就被捧起来。 09/02 13:17
23F：推 yumenemu610 : 期待费雪那部 09/02 13:46
24F：推 vince4687 : 汤唯连前十都没 09/02 13:59
25F：推 kooyoo1144 : 期待babylon 09/02 14:05
26F：推 KYLAT : 杨和关都很有机会入围啊 09/02 15:39
27F：推 w6422613 : 期待巴比伦 09/02 15:49
28F：推 hc930047 : 不晓得今年在多伦多首映的 The Lost King声势如何 09/02 16:42
29F：推 mach1210 : 独行侠入围比多重宇宙稳超多吧 09/02 17:44
30F：推 henry2101010: 期待分手的决心！ 09/02 18:13
31F：推 f40075566 : 期待分手决心拿下最佳外语片 09/02 18:37
32F：→ calculus9 : Broker不会进吧 09/02 19:40
33F：推 oscarwu3041 : 杨紫琼+1 09/02 20:58
34F：推 wengho : RRR 加油 09/02 22:23
35F：推 a9a99 : 如果杨紫琼入围 是第一个入围女主角的亚洲演员? 09/02 23:42
36F：→ a9a99 : 有点好奇 第七个男主角是谁? 09/02 23:43
37F：推 joey0602 : 凯特布兰琪TAR在威尼斯影展大受好评，要冲第二座奥 09/03 00:37
38F：→ joey0602 : 斯卡影后了？ 09/03 00:37
39F：推 firewulala : 分手的决心国际影片入围没问题 09/03 01:08
40F：→ hp8232 : 婴儿转运站可以代表日本哦？ 09/03 08:47
41F：推 qpr322 : 不行，只能代表韩国，但韩国没选，不过是今年美国上 09/03 14:47
42F：→ qpr322 : 映，还是可以角逐一般奖项 09/03 14:47