: 但昨天有版友在他版说日本当年根本没有要和美国争霸太平洋 就像现在中国拿台湾也没有要跟美国争霸太平洋（？ : 才想发问 日本海军当初的建军战略到底有没有和美国争霸太平洋地区主导权？而美国当时是否也已经视日本为争霸太平洋的头号竞争对手？ : 谢谢大家 看了一下原po原文的讨论，提到了夏威夷，今天挖一挖就找到了不错的资料。 The Anti-Japanese Origins of the Hawaiian Annexation Treaty of 1897 作者WILLIAM MICHAEL MORGAN 刊载於Diplomatic History Vol. 6, No. 1 (WINTER 1982) 讲述了一些吞并夏威夷被背後的事情 摘录一些 例如 美国内的扩张主义者为何能在夏威夷问题上占上风 因为美国怕夏威夷被日本拿下 正是在政府对日本威胁夏威夷的强烈担忧背景下，麦金莱指示助理国务卿戴准备一项吞 并条约。 It was in this context of intense administration concern over the Japanese threat to Hawaii that McKinley directed Assistant Secretary of State Day to prepare an annexation treaty. 美国人对日本军事干预的恐惧既强烈又真实。 6 月 10 日，当海军部长朗秘密给火奴鲁 鲁的比尔兹利海军上将发电报时，这一点得到了证明：“仔细观察局势。 如果日本 人公开诉诸武力，例如军事占领或没收公共建筑，请与部长和当局协商，派遣合适的部队 ，并正式宣布在批准吞并条约之前临时承担保护国。 . . . American fears of Japanese military intervention were both powerful and genuine. This was conclusively demonstrated on 10 June, when Secretary of the Navy Long secretly cabled Admiral Beardslee in Honolulu: “Watch carefully the situation. If Japanese openly resort to force, such as military occupation or the seizure of public buildings, confer with Minister and authorities, land a suitable force, and announce officially provisional assumption of protectorate pending ratification of treaty of annexation. . . .” 马汉是这样对罗斯福讲的 罗斯福的密友马汉也有同样的看法，并警告他除非美国通过吞并这些岛屿来永久结束夏威 夷的脆弱性，否则日本带来的麻烦“无庸置疑”。 由於日本庞大的海军建设计划，马汉 强调需要加强太平洋舰队。 他说，夏威夷问题能归结为一个提问：“。 . . 我们是否会 因为我们的放任而让她（日本）主宰那些最重要岛屿的未来？ 如果我们闭上眼睛，这很 可能会发生。” 马汉劝道：“不要做不义之事，但有问题，先拿下，再解决。” 美国应 该确保日本明白夏威夷群岛与美洲大陆的邻近使它们成为“我们最关心的问题”。 Roosevelt’s close friend Captain Alfred Thayer Mahan shared these sentiments and warned him that trouble with Japan was “beyond doubt” unless the United States permanently ended Hawaiian vulnerability by annexing the islands. Because of Japan’s extensive naval construction program, Mahan stressed the need to strengthen the Pacific squadron. The Hawaiian problem, he said, boiled down to one question: “. . . are we going to allow her [Japan] to dominate the future of those most important islands because of our lethargy? It may well happen if we shut our eyes.” The captain advised: “Do nothing unrighteous: but as regards the problem, take them first and solve afterwards. ” The United States should make sure Japan understood that the propinquity of the Hawaiian islands to the mainland made them “our supreme concern. 美国最开始规划对日作战也是这时期的事 Thus by the end of May 1897 two groups-Admiral Sicard‘s special war plans board and the War College-were working on war plans against Japan. The beginning of war planning against Japan demonstrated the seriousness with which the navy viewed the Japanese threat. 所以原po如果想追朔美日太平洋争端的起源，可以看看这篇文章及这时期的资料。 以上 --

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