For those Jazz fans that have been living in a cave or under a rock for the past couple years, here’s a quick update to get you caught up: 对爵士迷来说，这几年活着就像山顶洞人，或被巨石压着般的难堪。接下来我们来快速更新 一下近况︰ Through Monday's contest against Miami, the Jazz have played 27 games and have the second-worst winning percentage in the NBA with a record of 6-21. 周一跟热火打完，我们已赛27场，并拥有倒数第二的联盟胜率。 The statistics don’t look any better. The Jazz have been outplayed by their opponents in virtually every meaningful statistic: points, field goal percentage , three-point percentage, rebounding, turnovers, assists, steals and blocks. 数据面来看找不到褒扬之处，得分、命中率、三分命中率……几乎每一项都输人。 Now, before you go stark raving mad, here’s the good news: Nobody cares, and neither should you. This is the season of discovery. It’s the year of the youth movement. It’s a beginning point for the future. 在你生气前，告诉你个好消息︰没有人在乎，且你也应该一样。这季看球就像在看探索频道 ，是生机蓬勃的一季，也是未来的起点。 In other words, this season for the Jazz is not about winning games. Virtually no one predicted the Jazz would make the playoffs or contend for a championship this year and, well, sometimes the experts are right. 换言之，本季目标不是赢球，几乎没人预测我们能进季後赛跟拿总冠军，嗯，有时训练有素 的狗是对的。 If there was a Jazz player, coach, fan or front office member that was optimistic enough before the season to believe the Jazz would compete for the playoffs, surely they have adjusted their thinking after just six wins in 27 tries. 如果有球员、教练、球迷或制服组乐观表示我们能打进季後赛，在27场只赢6场後，他们肯 定会修正这想法了。 So, under the assumption that the Jazz have no chance of making the playoffs this season, what then is the purpose of the team’s final 55 games? 既然在此假设下爵士已没法进季後赛，那剩下55场有何意义？ The purpose is for the Jazz to do everything they possibly can to set themselves up for future playoff runs and serious contention. 主要用意为︰试着让他们在未来能准备好季後赛跟激烈的竞争。 The target is the 2016-17 season. 目标就放在2016-17年。 Coach Tyrone Corbin has 240 minutes to give out per game. These minutes should be divided up with an eye toward the 2016-17 season. Every strategy the Jazz implement, every play call they make, should be done with an eye toward the future. Everything the Jazz do should be with an eye toward that season. 烤饼一场比赛有240分钟可用(场上五人*48分)，那分配时要着眼於2016-17年。任一项战术 执行，每喊一个play，都要着眼於未来。爵士做的每一件事都要跟那一季有关。 The 2016-17 season is three years from now and is the earliest anyone can realistically expect the next title-contending era of Utah Jazz basketball to begin. If the Jazz play their cards right and avoid major injuries, that season could be the beginning of a very nice window for the Jazz to compete for an NBA championship for a number of years. 从今起到2016-17年恰好三年，这也是务实思考後爵士能开始有实力争夺冠军的一年，如果 这牌局我们好好打，且成长过程无重大伤病传出，2016-17年就能开始进入强队之林并一直 争夺冠军好些年。 Here is a glimpse of what the 2016-17 team might look like: 我们2016-17的队伍可能长得像这样。 Starters 先发五虎 Center Enes Kanter: Kanter, the former third-overall pick, will be 24 years old and going into his sixth NBA season. Look for Kanter to be making $8-$12 million that season based on his current growth curve. 中锋阿坎︰前探花，届时将24岁并迈入第6个球季，根据他的成长曲线他大概会领的8~12M。 Power forward Derrick Favors: Favors, another third-overall pick, will be 25 years old and going into his seventh NBA season. Favors is already under contract for that season and will make about $11 million. 大前锋肥佛︰也是前探花，届时25岁并迈入第7季，我们已跟他签好约，他到时会拿11M左右 Small forward Andrew Wiggins or Jabari Parker: Assuming the Jazz are able to get one of the top three picks in next year’s draft, they should be able to land one of these two guys. Wiggins or Parker will be going into their third NBA season in 2016-17 and will still be on a rookie contract, making between $4-$5 million. To contend the Jazz will need their first pick in the 2014 NBA draft to be a top-10 NBA player by his third season. 小前锋呷百二 or 威金斯︰假设我们能拿到前三顺位签，那应该拿胡到其中一位，届时他 们将是第三季并手拿菜鸟合约，领4~5M左右。我们也要坚决主张他们第三季就是联盟中前十 强的巨星了。 Shooting guard Gordon Hayward: Hayward will be 26 years old and going into his seventh NBA season. Look for Hayward to be making $12-$15 million by then. 得分後卫黑蛙︰到时候他是26岁并迈入第7季，搞不好他会拿12~15M。 Point guard Trey Burke: Burke will be 24 years old and going into his fourth NBA season. He will be on the final year of his rookie contract that will pay him about $3.4 million. 控球後卫TB︰到时将24岁并迈入第4季。那是他菜鸟约最後一年并拿3.4M。 Bench 替补 Guard Alec Burks: Burks will be 25 years old and going into his sixth NBA season . Look for Burks to make $7-$10 million that season. 後卫小AB︰届时25岁并迈入第6季，他大概会拿7-10M左右。 Center Rudy Gobert: Gobert will be 24 years old and going into his fourth NBA season. Like Burke, he will be in the final year of his rookie contract that will pay him about $2.1 million. 中锋狗博︰到时将24岁并迈入第4季。那是他菜鸟约最後一年并拿2.1M。 Top-13 pick in 2015 NBA draft: Plan on the 2014-15 season being an extension of the youth movement. Look for the Jazz to make big improvements during the 2014- 15 season but not enough to make the playoffs. If they end up with a top-5 pick in that draft, consider this a sign that the current core is not good enough to compete for a title. The player the Jazz take with this pick will be in his second NBA season and should make about $2 million in 2016-17. 2015年选秀前13顺位︰计画中2014-15年还是生机蓬勃的阶段，展望该年应有所进步但仍不 足以进季後赛。且如果还拿到前五顺位，更表示核心阵容没有夺冠实力。选来的球员在2016 -17年会是他的第2季并领2M。 Warriors’ pick in 2014 NBA draft: The Jazz acquired the Warriors’ first-round pick in a trade this past offseason. The Warriors started hot this season but have cooled considerably, which is good for the Jazz. Right now the Warriors have the 12th-best record in the league which would put the Jazz’s pick around No. 18. The player the Jazz select here will be going into his third NBA season and will be making about $1.5 million in 2016-17. 勇士2014年的选秀签︰我们休季期间透过交易拿到勇士第一轮选秀签，他们开季火烫但现在 冷却不少了，现在勇士战绩是第12名，若维持这样将是第18顺位，选来的球员在2016-17年 会是他的第3季并领1.5M。 Forward Jeremy Evans: Evans will be 29 years old and going into his seventh NBA season. Evans has been playing more minutes this season and is showing he can be an effective role player in the league. 前锋灌篮王︰到时候他是29岁并迈入第7季，本季他获得更多上场时间并证明自己能扮演很 有效率的角色。 Salary Cap 薪资上限 The luxury tax threshold this current NBA season is nearly $72 million. It should go up over the next few seasons. Even if you take the high-end on all salary predictions for the players projected to be on the Jazz’s roster in 2016-17, it would only put the team at right around a $62 million payroll. This should leave the Jazz plenty of room to fill out the roster, re-sign Burke after the season and maintain sufficient payroll flexibility moving forward. 目前豪华税门槛是72M，未来几季应会再上升，如果我们都把2016-17年爵士球员的上限估最 高，大概也是62M左右，这也有足够空间去补球员，续签TB并保持薪资弹性。 Obstacles 阻碍 By no means is the Jazz’s rebuilding plan a safe bet to lead them to title contention. There are many potential obstacles in the way, some of which the Jazz control and some of which they don't. 爵士的重建计画绝对不是一个很安全的赌注，途中还有很多的阻碍，有些我们能控制但有些 不行。 The Jazz do not control, or at least do not fully control, player health, player development, and players like Hayward, Burks and Kanter choosing to re-sign with the team after their rookie contracts expire. 我们无法控制，或无法完全控制︰球员的健康、动向，黑蛙、TB、阿坎等新人约後的续签。 As real as those threats may be, the single biggest threat to the Jazz’s rebuilding plan is team management. The Jazz must make certain they do not get in their own way. The front office and coaches must be on the same page. 所以重建最大的威胁就是球队管理，我们要确信我们在正确的道路上，制服组跟教练见解要 一致。 Dennis Lindsey, the team’s general manager, has to ensure that the coaches realize and appreciate that every minute given to players that are not likely to be major contributors for the Jazz three seasons from now is essentially a minute gone to waste. 总管琳赛要确信教练了解，从现在开始到三个球季後，球员拼战的每一分钟都无法对爵士有 太重大的贡献，因为这是注定要浪费的。 The same goes for next season. 下一季也一样。 There is no long-term upside to the Jazz giving guys like Richard Jefferson, Marvin Williams or Andres Biedrins significant minutes. The concept of any of those guys playing more minutes than any player that is more likely to be contributing in 2016-17 is nothing short of bad team management. 给RJ、妈宝、拉脱维亚长人太多的上场时间，长期来说对爵士不利。本质上这些球员打得比 2016-17班底还长就是很烂的管理。 There should not be a single Jazz fan that wants to see, in any game, Jefferson play more than Burks, Williams play more than Kanter or Biedrins play more than Gobert. 应该没球迷乐见︰RJ打得比小AB久；妈宝压过阿坎；用拉脱维亚人甚於狗博。 The fact that the Jazz sent Gobert to the D-League is proof that fans could have legitimate reasons to worry about the Jazz getting in their own way. 像把狗博下放发展联盟，就会让球迷担忧爵士重建路是否走偏了。 Think about it. If the Jazz’s purpose this season has nothing to do with making the playoffs then it has everything to do with player development. Players develop by getting on the court in meaningful situations and learning the difference between doing things right and doing things wrong. For a vast majority of players this means learning some hard lessons and making a lot of mistakes. 想想看，如果爵士重视球员的潜值发展，远胜於想进季後赛，那让球员在场上体会不同的状 况，学习分辨做对跟做错，绝大多数的人就能被震撼教育并尝试很多错误。 Players cannot make meaningful mistakes that help them grow from the bench. 球员可不能在场边观战时，从错误中启发成长。 The Jazz make a mistake and get in their own way every time their coach worries about matchups with the other team this season or pulls a young player for making mistakes. The only long-term thing that makes sense for the Jazz is to give Favors, Burke, Hayward, Kanter and Burks 36 minutes per game. Gobert and Evans should get between 15-20 minutes per game. The other 20-30 minutes per game? Who cares? 爵士目前的错误在於烤饼担忧每一场的对战，还因年轻球员犯错就把他揪下来。合理的长期 策略应让肥佛、TB、黑蛙、阿坎、小AB每场打36分钟，狗博跟灌篮王15~20分钟，剩下20~30 分钟谁上，谁鸟他？ If the Jazz follow that blueprint they will give the players of the future maximum opportunity to develop. They will also, as a convenient bonus, set themselves up for a top-3 draft pick next summer. 如果爵士照这蓝图走就给了这些球员最大的成长机会，这也能有便利的红利，明年夏天稳拿 前三顺位签。 Every big move or small decision the Jazz make this season, and for the foreseeable future, must be preceded by this overriding question: How does this move make us better in 2016-17? 本季与可预见得未来做得任一个大大小小的决定，都将取决於此问题︰这能让我们2016-17 年更强吗？ 新闻来源:http://ppt.cc/7Bjo Commentary: For the Jazz, it's all about 2016-17 把颜色换一下，看读起来会不会比较舒服 本来想要翻黑蛙的投篮选择 http://ppt.cc/RP3X 但这篇有趣得多，把Gobert, Clark下放我也觉得没必要 但薪资的估算我就没概念了 作者这样预估算合理吗？ -- GO!JAZZ!GO! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.25.97 ※ 编辑: crownwell 来自: 140.112.25.97 (12/20 13:05)