作者gratitude (gratitude)
看板UTAH-JAZZ
标题Re: Lottery
时间Fri Apr 16 15:43:13 2004
※ 引述《gratitude (gratitude)》之铭言:
: [节录自NBA.COM]
: 详文如下,大意是前三名的选秀由抽签决定
: Jazz的机率是5/1000
详细的算
Jazz抽到前三的机率是
状元 榜眼 探花
5/1000 + (995/1000*5/999) + (995/1000 * 994/999 * 5/998)
= 1.494 %
是不高
对其他队来说
抽中前三的机率分别是
Orlando 58%
Chicago 49%
Washington 40%
L.A. Clippers 28%
Atlanta 28%
Phoenix 18%
Toronto 11%
Philadelphia 10%
Cleveland 5%
Golden State 2.7%
Seattle 2.7%
Portland 1.8%
Utah 1.5%
: 此外Jazz还拥有16th与21st位选秀权
: Teams entered in the NBA Draft Lottery, to be held on May 26, 2004,
: are set forth below. The first three picks will be determined by the
: Lottery. The expansion Charlotte Bobcats will have the fourth pick and
: the remainder of the "Lottery Teams" will select in positions five
: through 14 in inverse order of their consolidated standings at the end
: of the regular season.
: Team Record Chances
: (out of 1,000)
: Orlando 21-61 250
: Chicago 23-59 200
: Washington 25-57 157
: L.A. Clippers 28-54 105
: Atlanta 28-54 104
: Phoenix 29-53 64
: Toronto 33-49 37
: Philadelphia 33-49 36
: Cleveland 35-47 18
: Golden State 37-45 9
: Seattle 37-45 9
: Portland 41-41 6
: Utah 42-40 5
: The order for the remainder of the first round picks is as follows:
: 15. Boston 36-46
: 16. New York (to Utah via Phoenix) 39-43
: 17. Milwaukee (to Atlanta via Denver and Detroit) 41-41
: 18. New Orleans 41-41
: 19. Miami 42-40
: 20. Denver 43-39
: 21. Houston (to Utah) 45-37
: 22. New Jersey 47-35
: 23. Memphis (to Portland) 50-32
: 24. Dallas (to Boston) 52-30
: 25. Detroit (to Boston) 54-28
: 26. Sacramento 55-27
: 27. L.A. Lakers 56-26
: 28. San Antonio 57-25
: 29. Indiana 61-21
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