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2013 NBA Draft: What are the Thunder's needs, and what are the options available? http://0rz.tw/3xiOd The NBA draft is fast approaching and the draft lottery is in less than two weeks, scheduled for May 21st. This is about the time of year that everyone starts to do mock drafts and their draft analysis. Here is my attempt at that analysis, examining players from the Thunder franchise's perspective. It won't be long before all teams are making their roster decisions and then one of my favorite things in the world, NBA rookie league games, gets going. 选秀时间就在两周後的05/21,越来越近罗。 First of all, how much better is the NBA draft than the NFL draft? The wait time from the Final Four to the NBA draft is so much shorter and so much more entertaining, and the lottery is really exciting. NBA的选秀比NFL简洁多了,而且乐透还比较有趣。 The Thunder has the Raptor's first round pick and it is a protected pick. This means that if the Raptors' pick falls within the top 3, the Raptors actually keep the pick and the protected pick rolls forward for a year. The chances of the pick being in the top 3 is something like 4%. The most likely landing spot as far as percentages go for the Thunder pick is the 12th pick. The Thunder also have the 29th and 32nd overall pick. If the percentages play out, the Thunder have 3 of the first 32 picks, more picks than any other team in that stretch of drafting. 雷霆有很高的机会会拿到12顺位(详见#1HSa_sxJ (Thunder)),除此之外还有第29顺位和 第32顺位─也就是前32顺位之中就有3支选秀签,比其他队都多。 1. What do the Thunder need? The Thunder do not need any radical additions, as they are obviously one of the best teams in the NBA. That being said, the Thunder do have some holes and they commonly look to fill them with young talent. With the current play of Kendrick Perkins, the one obvious hole seems to be a talented center. Kendrick Perkins isn't exactly an all star or even a standout player and has struggled in the playoffs. The one thing that the Thunder have never had is a legitimate center or someone that can score with their back to the basket. If there was a talented center available, you would have to think that the Thunder would be interested. 显然雷霆已经是一支顶级球队,所以没有特别缺少的位置。不过雷霆还是有需要补足的地 方。考量到Kendrick Perkins的表现,雷霆需要一位有潜力的中锋─雷霆一直都没有很会 得分的顶级中锋。如果有机会选择顶级中锋的话,雷霆或许会有兴趣。 The next hole the Thunder could look fill is a quality 2/3 backup, basically someone that could eventually be DeAndre Liggins. Don't get me wrong I love DeAndre Liggins and I think he is valuable, but I think there could be better players for that role. I think if there was a player that could fill that role and then the Thunder would pull the trigger. 接着则是更好的替补SG/SF─就是DeAndre Liggins的位置。虽然我喜欢Liggins,但是我认 为那个位置应该给更厉害的球员。 The thing not to forget is that whoever the Thunder draft is going to spend a lot of time in Tulsa in the D-League, just like Perry Jones III and Jeremy Lamb did this past season. The Thunder like young talent, but they also like to develop young talent slowly in the D-League. Whoever it is that the Thunder draft they will probably not be seeing quality minutes for a while. 不过要记住这位球员会花很多时间留在Tulsa 66ers,就跟Perry Jones III、Jeremy Lamb一样。虽然他们都是年轻有潜力的球员,但是他们都会在66ers慢慢成长。不管是谁 ,大概都不会获得很多上场时间。 2. Who are the possible picks? ESPN's draft guru Chad Ford believes that the Thunder are going to draft a big man. Here is what he has to say in his 2nd mock draft: Chad Ford相信雷霆会选长人,他在第二版的mock draft中选了Gorgui Dieng: #12 Pick: Gorgui Dieng Really, Oklahoma City is set at every position. However, Dieng is the one player left on the board who probably could help them now. Not only is he physically ready for the NBA, he's a good shot-blocker, a solid rebounder and an excellent passer out of the high post. With the Thunder a little weak up front, I think Dieng could be a nice addition to their frontcourt. Dieng应该是他们能选到又能准备上NBA的球员。除此之外他还是火锅制造机、篮板制造机 ,也是优秀的高位传球者。Dieng应该能稍微补足雷霆有点弱的前场。 With that in mind, here are some possible draft selections for the Thunder with the #12 pick: Cody Zeller - The star from Indiana almost entered the draft last year as a freshman but decided to come back for his sophomore season. Zeller is a legitimate 7 footer who can score from anywhere. The one knock is that he isn't a terrific shooter. However, he is smart and can really run the floor. Unfortunately the likelihood of Zeller being around by the time the Thunder get a chance is low. Zeller去年差一点进入选秀。他是个在很多位置都能得分的7尺长人,问题只在於他并不 是很的射手。但是他很聪明,可以上场跑战术。可惜的是雷霆选到他的机会不高。 Gorgui Dieng - The 6'11 Louisville Center is one of the most NBA ready players in the draft. He has an NBA body and can rebound and block shots. He won't light it up offensively but he could be effective right now. Dieng was a key piece to Louisville's national championship team. 这位6'11中锋几乎选秀中最NBA-Ready的人,他拥有NBA的身体素质,可以抢篮板、盖火锅 。他无法马上刺激进攻,但是马上就可以发挥影响力。Dieng是Louisville冠军队的重要 关键。 Mason Plumlee - Plumlee is a 6'11 center from Duke that is extremely experienced. The upside for Plumlee probably isn't near what it is for someone like Cody Zeller or Alex Len, but he is someone that is going to be able to contribute quickly. If you are looking for a solid defender and a finisher and rebounder Plumlee is your man. Plumlee isn't an outstanding offensive player, but he can do many other things well. 杜克的6'11中锋,拥有很多的经验。Plumlee的天花板或许远不如Zeller或是Alex Len, 但是他是能马上贡献的球员。如果你需要一位好的防守者、完成战术者或是篮板机,你就 该选Plumlee。他的攻击不亮眼,但是他可以做其他事。 Alex Len - Might be the big with the most upside in the draft. He is a 7'1 center with a big frame. The freshman from Ukraine was inconsistent at Maryland, but still has NBA tools. The Thunder have had issues with drafting bigs on potential in the past (Byron Mullens, Cole Aldrich). His stock has also dropped a little bit because of a stress fracture that he has in his ankle. Len大概是选秀中天花板最高的长人,他是7'1的大个子。这位乌克兰的大一学生很不稳定 ,但是他有NBA的tools。不过要注意的是雷霆选择潜力中锋的结果不是很好(Byron Mullens、Cole Aldrich),Len先前也有压力性固折,因此价值下滑了一些。 Kelly Olynyk - The 7-0 Gonzaga Junior was one of the most improved players this year in college basketball. Olynyk has a surprisingly polished post game for someone in college. He was one of the most efficient players in college basketball this past year. He isn't the most athletic player, but what he lacks in athleticism he makes up skill and smarts. 7尺的Olynyk大学篮球中进步最多的球员,他有很棒的禁区技巧。他并没有非常突出的运 动能力,但是他可以用技巧和智慧弥补。 Victor Oladipo - Zeller's teammate at Indiana is one of the most sought at prospects because of his athleticism and intangibles. Oladipo is an improving shooter and overall offensive player, but really shines on defense. Oladipo was able to score the ball easily at Indiana. I would compare Oladipo to a Tony Allen that can score the ball. Zeller的队友Oladipo拥有运动能力和无形资产。Oladipo是个进步中的射手,整体来说攻 击很棒;但他的防守更是相当的亮眼。Oladipo在Indiana能轻松得分,我会说他是能得分 的Tony Allen。 Shabazz Muhammad - One of the most sought after recruits coming out of high school, Muhammad is an exciting strong forward out of UCLA. Muhammad can flat score the ball, he can do it anyway you want. The chances of him being around are slim but he could be that Harden type of player the Thunder need. The knock on Muhammad is that he has a poor attitude and is a bad teammate, traits that are sure to raise red flags for the Thunder franchise. 高中毕业後是徵招时的热门人选,他能轻松的得分、你要他做啥他就能做啥。捡到他的机 率很低,不过这就是雷霆想要的Harden型球员。他的最大问题在於态度不良,不是个好队 友,所以或许雷霆不会找他来支撑球队。 Michael Carter Williams - Williams is a point guard out of Syracuse. Williams is nearly 6'6 and can do it all. He is a terrific ball handler and decision maker, but is big enough that he can play and defend shooting guards. Carter-Williams has an enormous upside. 6'6控球後卫,很棒的持球者和decision maker,身体也够大,足以打/守SG。Carter- Williams的天花板很高。 Kentavious Caldwell Pope - I really like Pope's game he can straight score the ball. He is a big athletic gurad that can shoot well, but also take you off the dribble. He was the SEC player of the year that has a high ceiling. Has yet to really prove whether or not he can defend but he can score. Pope很会得分,是个体能很棒的後卫,也是个很棒的射手─同时也能用运球撂倒对手。他 是SEC player of the year,拥有很高的天花板,他很能得分,但是还没证明他能不能防 守。 The Thunder's next two picks (29 and 32) are much more difficult to forecast. It depends on who the team picks with their first pick and who else is left. With two picks that close together it is also very likely that Presti would deal one of them for either a player or more picks. 後面的两支签很难预测,或许Presti会拿去换球员或是往前换。 The fact of the matter is that no one knows what Presti is going to do. He has shown that he will draft someone overseas so that he can hold on to their rights, or that he will trade away the pick in order to generate future assets. Presti has assets on assets, an enviable position for a championship contender. The amount of young talent and draft picks that Presti has to his disposable might be the most that he has ever had. So these are some possible prospects the Thunder could go after but Presti could do anything with this. 不过没人知道Presti下一步会怎麽做,到底是要直接选人还是拿去做其他事情呢? The Thunder might be at the point though that they can no longer keep trying to gain young talents and assets, and need to start going after proven players. The Heat for example has veteran guys like Birdman, Ray Allen, and Rashard Lewis coming off the bench. These are proven players that signed with the Heat for cheap in order to play with LeBron James and chase a championship ring. Those guys signed as free agents, but it might be time that the Thunder starts courting and going after players like this. At a certain point they are going to have to start trying to load up with players that are proven and can win now. But again, who knows what Sam Presti is planning on doing? Perhaps Presti himself doesn't even know yet. 也或许雷霆不该找寻年轻球员的帮助,可以像热火找Ray Allen、鸟人、Lewis之流来担任 替补,这些人为了跟LBJ打球抢冠军戒而愿意降低薪水─或许雷霆也该寻求这种模式。 不过或许连Presti都还没想好要怎麽做。 -- What is the Thunder's biggest need? 90% Center (85 votes) 2% Shooting Guard (2 votes) 7% Bench Player (7 votes) 0% They don't have any needs (0 votes) --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 122.117.20.246
1F:推 arnold61105:总管我好想要一个能低位进攻 篮下搅和的中锋阿... 05/11 23:49
2F:推 tanaka0826:总管踹共 05/11 23:52
3F:推 garypayton5:好想要低位进攻中锋(泪 05/11 23:53
4F:推 noahlin:选一个完成度高的内线吧 新秀约绑四年 再给Brooks冰个两年 05/11 23:56
5F:→ noahlin:需要练的几乎是有练出来就要FA了 几乎又确定签不下 05/11 23:57
6F:推 Tyrael:现阶段要的是即战力 而不是潜力 新秀找防守型 老将找进攻型 05/12 00:01
7F:推 Elingen:选了Scott也不肯用阿 05/12 00:23
8F:推 KobeYaMeTe:选个即战力冲击总冠军! 05/12 00:24
9F:推 SamPresti:其实我觉得打包往前换的机率很高 05/12 03:11
10F:→ richard1003:第一段是说两周後乐透开奖不是选秀 05/12 03:14
11F:推 iamhappyQ:不管即战力还是潜力都好 重点是教练要用 05/12 08:12
12F:推 phillybutter:Kelly是好的选择! 05/12 09:56
13F:推 marklou46:这几个长人除了Len跟Olynek有可能会有低位进攻 05/12 14:22
14F:→ marklou46:剩下几个不知道雷霆会不会养得起来低位搅和= = 05/12 14:23
15F:→ marklou46:是满想选Zeller的啦 但臂展除了防守不力外 05/12 14:23
16F:→ marklou46:不知道会不会影响到进攻就是了 虽然可能选不道= = 05/12 14:24
17F:→ yuchihin:需要逼逼逼 05/14 18:24







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