作者poning (垃圾就该进垃圾场)
看板Thunder
标题[外电] Understanding Oklahoma City’s defensive problem
时间Thu Jan 13 17:06:42 2011
http://tinyurl.com/4kjh4ma
Understanding Oklahoma City’s defensive problem
January 7th, 2011 Royce Young
Last season the Thunder won 50 games based almost entirely great defense. You
didn’t even have to look at the numbers to see it. Game by game, Oklahoma City
was just playing really sound, fundamental team defense.
上季雷霆之所以能拿下50胜，几乎都是靠防守。我们甚至不用特地去查数据来证明，看着一
场接一场的比赛，雷霆就是能打出有效、基本的团队防守。
This season, not so good. The numbers have all dropped way off as well as the
eye test. You can just see the Thunder’s not defending as well. And Sebastian
Pruiti writing for Basketball Prospectus gives an excellent — and very
accurate — look at it. (To read the full article you need to be a BP Insider.)
本季的防守看起来不太好。各项数据纷纷下滑，就算光看比赛也感受的到。球迷感受的到雷
霆防守没那麽好了。Basketball Prospectus的Sebastian Pruiti写了一篇出色且精确的专
文来探讨这个。（可惜这篇文章是付费文章。）
*译注：以下是作者的节录。原文网址：http://tinyurl.com/4phaqex
The two main areas where the Thunder is struggling on the defensive end this
year are isolation situations and spot-up situations, according to Synergy
Sports Technology. The Thunder is giving up .87 points per possession on isos
(20th in the NBA) and 1.01 points per possession on spot-up opportunities (21st
in the NBA). The most interesting thing is that the Thunder did really well in
both of those instances last year, holding teams to .78 points per possession
in iso situations (first in the NBA) and .94 points per possession in spot-up
situations (fourth in the NBA). Sine the Thunder did not lose any rotation
players this past offseason, it is interesting to see such a drop, and this
leads to the question, 「Is the Thunder’s team defense worse, or are the
individuals playing worse?」
雷霆防守的退步主要反应在两个层面：对手的单打效率与定点跳投。（资料引自Synergy
Sports Technology*）今年对手单打的point per possession（PPP）是0.87，第20名，对
手定点跳投的point per possession（PPP）是1.01，第21名。相较之下有趣的是，雷霆去
年这两点作的相当好，分别是0.78（第1名）与0.94（第4名）。既然雷霆的阵容仍然完整，
这个问题就很有探讨价值了：「是雷霆的团队防守出问题，还是某个人的防守有问题？」
*译注：网址http://tinyurl.com/3af59gk
When looking at the individual Defensive Ratings of the Thunder’s top seven
players, six of them (Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka, Russell Westbrook, James
Harden, Thabo Sefolosha, Nenad Krstic) have seen their defensive rating
improve. The one who didn’t, is Jeff Green, who is posting a Defensive Rating
of 105.8 this year after posting a 104.8 Defensive Rating last year.
让我们看一下本队防守等级排名前7球员个人的数据：KD、Ibaka、Russ、Harden、Thabo、
Krstic跟上季一比，都有进步，唯一不进反退的是－Jeff Green。去年他防守等级是104.8
，今年是更差的105.8。
Interestingly enough, Green is really struggling in the two areas that the
Thunder as a whole struggle with. Green allows 1.11 PPP in iso situations
(ranking him 215th in the NBA) while allowing 1.16 PPP in spot-up situations
(ranking him 247th in the NBA). Green’s problem in iso situations is that he
is a tweener, playing in between the three and four positions. While this
creates mismatches on the offensive end, it leads to problems on the defensive
end. Green isn’t quick enough to stay with threes, and he is too small to
cover fours effectively.
很巧的是，今年Green对於单打与定点跳投的防守也很差劲。他对手单打的point per
possession（PPP）是1.11，排名第215，而对手定点跳投的point per possession
（PPP）是1.16，排名第247。Green对防守单打头痛是因为他是个3/4号的tweener，对方一
制造错守，他问题就大了。他的速度不够快，很难阻止对方切入，而他的体型又太小，不足
以跟正规4号抗衡。
--
哲学的义务，是去除因误解而生的幻想。
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 211.22.7.197
※ 编辑: poning 来自: 211.22.7.197 (01/13 17:26)
1F：推 arkod:这消息好像不是很好 ... 01/13 17:26
2F：→ poning:对Green相当不利的说 01/13 17:40
3F：→ poning:不过这是数据面的 有些地方值得商榷 01/13 17:44
4F：→ poning:归咎给Green一个人好像有点不公平 01/13 17:45
5F：推 spurs2120:3/4的tweener会在防守上陷入困境应该也不是很难想像吧？ 01/13 21:36
6F：→ spurs2120:我不是针对Green，不过一般来说，两个位置兼打本来就代 01/13 21:36
7F：→ spurs2120:表「很可能」会在防守纯三号或纯四号时上吃亏——即使强 01/13 21:37
8F：→ spurs2120:如Marion全盛时期还是有特定的天敌类型。不过反过来说， 01/13 21:37
9F：→ spurs2120:进攻上也比较容易利用优势部份讨回来。该探讨的是为什麽 01/13 21:38
10F：→ spurs2120:去年也是打3/4，却比今年的数据还要好，这点就请板上有 01/13 21:39
11F：→ spurs2120:观察的大大们赐教 XD 01/13 21:39
12F：→ poning:我来丢几个砖了！Uncle这两个球季一直都是主要的补防者 01/13 22:42
13F：→ poning:可是我觉得今年外围防守不管是Russ或Thabo都不如以往 01/13 22:44
14F：→ poning:这让Uncle面对单打的机率增高 此时体型差距影响就变大了 01/13 22:45
15F：→ poning:目前只想到这样～ 01/13 22:46
16F：推 arkod:是说单从数据上看外围防守不算变弱 Russ + Thabo 数字也好看 01/13 23:25
17F：→ arkod:但就比赛内容上 外围漏人跟被切的机率都比上季还来得高 01/13 23:25
18F：→ arkod:这算是已经算精细的防守数据 还是会出现的盲点吗 01/13 23:25
19F：→ arkod:今年这两点都一起退步惹 ... (靠腰!!! 说好的合约年呢!!!) 01/13 23:26
20F：→ arkod:但是去年 Uncle 在低位还有抵抗力 防守篮板卡位也有做好 01/13 23:26
21F：→ arkod:上面两句推反惹 Q__Q 01/13 23:26
22F：推 UncleGreen:场边记者都说我的表现无法持续 有时挡的住有时挡不住 01/14 01:28
23F：推 Duncan7406:Uncle本季低位抵抗力只能说 不堪一击...而且现在补防者 01/14 02:05
24F：→ Duncan7406:的角色好像被KD抢走了? 进攻讨不回来就真的是低潮 01/14 02:07
25F：→ Duncan7406:卡位的工作为什麽没做好就不清楚了 说好的合约年打成这 01/14 02:09
26F：→ Duncan7406:样 不知道是好是坏 01/14 02:09