http://tinyurl.com/ybqdmrs Box office preview: 'Zombieland' to dominate 屍乐园可望夺冠 by Nicole Sperling Categories: Box Office, Film, Movie Biz Horror comedies have been a mixed bag at the box office. You have the good: Ghostbusters and the Scary Movie franchise. You have the bad: Snakes on a Plane and Eight-Legged Freaks. And then you have the ugly: Jennifer’s Body and Club Dread. In the case of this weekend, Zombieland seems destined to join the good. The film — starring Woody Harrelson, Jesse Eisenberg, Emma Stone and Abigail Breslin as the last four humans stuck on a zombie-invested planet — has been generating incredible buzz and is sure to win the weekend. How high it goes will depend on how many over-17-year-old fans show up. My prediction is that Zombieland will outperform the studio predictions that are hovering in the low-20 million range. It should be a big weekend at the box office regardless, as Zombieland is one of three new releases (four actually if you count Disney’s double-feature 3-D re-release of Toy Story and Toy Story 2) along with Ellen Page-starrer Whip It! and Ricky Gervais’ The Invention of Lying. 恐怖喜剧的票房表现有很多种，有很好的，如魔鬼克星与惊声尖笑； 也有很糟的，如飞机上有蛇与八脚怪；甚至更丑陋的，如最近的辣的要命 与比尔派斯顿几年前的吓吓笑。而本周新上档的「屍乐园」很荣幸的 是往好的方向发展。这部由伍迪哈里逊、杰西艾森伯格、爱比贝斯林与 艾玛史东饰演地球遭殭屍攻击之後仅存人类的新片，很不可思议的获得了 好口碑，而且确定会成为本周的冠军，不过票房会有多高，就要看有多少 17岁以上的年轻影迷会买帐了，我认为本片会开出超过2千万的票房， 比片商的预期还要多，本周还另外有3部新片上映（假如你把玩具总动员 3D版1、2集分开计算的话是4部），另外两部是艾伦佩吉的「飙速青春」 与瑞奇葛维斯的「The Invention of Lying」 Zombieland: $30 million First-time director Ruben Fleischer, along with young screenwriters Rhett Reese and Paul Wernick, are eyeing a great weekend for their debut theatrical effort. While recent horror entries Sorority Row and Jennifer’s Body haven’ t connected at the box office, Zombieland is on track to reverse that trend. And with Zombieland being Woody Harrelson’s first of three films to bow this year, get ready to see a lot more of the former Cheers bartender. Between Zombieland, Roland Emmerich’s 2012, and the indie flick The Messenger, the hemp-loving peace activist is bound to be responsible for a solid chunk of 2009’s box-office receipts. 1.屍乐园－3千万美金 虽然这部片从导演到编剧都是新人，但他们的大银幕处女作将会有很好的 周末成绩。尽管最近的恐怖片如女生杀人宿舍与辣的要命都是票房失败作， 调查显示屍片可望扭转这个局面。这也是伍迪哈里逊今年三部作品的第一炮， 他另外还将在灾难大片2012与小成本制作The Messenger现身，对这位和平 鼓吹者来说，2009年可说是丰收的一年啊！ Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs: $15 million Sony Pictures is on a roll. Not only will they win the weekend with Zombieland, but they should have the number two spot as well with their hit animated flick Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs. Coming off an astonishing second weekend drop of only 17%, the film has already grossed close to $65 million. This frame the Toy Story double feature is sure to rain on its parade. Still, word of mouth is strong on Cloudy so I predict the drop to not fall beneath the 40% range. 2.食破天惊－1千5百万美金 索尼影业这回赚翻了！不仅屍乐园会成为冠军，卖座动画片食破天惊也可望 保有亚军席次，本片上周只下跌17%，并且将累积票房推破6千万。虽然本周 皮克斯的玩具兵团将要空降戏院，但我想食片靠着好口碑，还是能将跌幅 控制在4成以内 Toy Story 3-D: $11 million This is Disney Studios’ idea of an experiment. Release two beloved films for the price of one, in 3-D, eight months before the next installment comes out. Only screen it for two weeks and see if you can generate some solid revenue. It’s likely to work well, but because the package is bowing only in 3-D on 1745 screens and it’s over 3 hours of movie time, both films will be shown on average only three times a day. That automatically limits the grosses. Tracking on the Woody and Buzz reunion is strong, so it could get into the low single-digits but we’ll have to wait and see how it pans out. 3.玩具总动员3D重映－1千1百万美金 这是迪士尼公司的一个实验：在TS3快要上映的8个月前，你可以用一张电影票 的价格观赏两部经典电影的3D版本，不过期限只有两周。这个计画成效还不错， 然而由於只有在1745家3D戏院上映，加上播映时间超过3小时，所以平均一天 只能各播放3场，这当然会影响票房。虽然本片可能只会有7位数的首映票房， 但是胡迪警长与巴斯光年的再度重聚还是值得期待 Whip It!: $9 million Drew Barrymore’s directorial debut Whip It! starring Juno’s Ellen Page has teenage girl power written all over it. With its fun and frothy cast including Jimmy Fallon and Kristen Wiig, the roller-derby comedy should score with the under-17 female set. How that translates into box-office dollars remains to be seen. The film’s not opening super wide: it will be on 2100 screens. But the studio is confident of its playability since they sneaked it on some 500 screens last weekend. If it catches fire with the young girls, it could turn into a hit. 4.飙速青春－9百万美金 这部由茱儿巴莉摩初掌导演筒，「鸿运当头」女主角艾伦佩吉主演的新片 是标准的YA女力电影，有了有趣的演员如吉米法伦（与巴莉摩合作爱情 全垒打的谐星）与克莉丝汀魏格（SNL的班底女谐星）的点缀客串，这部 滑轮喜剧将能征服17岁以下少女的心，不过她是否能转换成票房数字 还有待观察。尽管开映戏院并没有特别多（2100家），但是片商在上周 举办500家戏院的口碑场之後，可说是对本片的耐久力信心大增，假如 他能点燃女孩们的热情，本片就算成功了 The Invention of Lying: $8 million Ricky Gervais’ last film Ghost Town generated 87% positive reviews on Rotten Tomatoes and only opened to $5 million. This time Gervais is lacking a bit in the review department but he seems to be generating more marketing support from the studio. Still, tracking isn’t taking this movie much beyond the single digits. It seems Gervais, while being a huge hit at any awards show, hasn’t yet caught fire as a box-office draw. 5.The Invention of Lying－8百万美金 谐星瑞奇葛维斯上一部片「超感应妙医」虽然在滥番茄有高达8成的满意度， 却只开出5百万的票房。今年他的新片虽然没那麽受到好评，但得到片商 更多的支援；然而，追踪的结果显示本片仍然只会有7位数的票房。看样子 葛维斯虽然是颁奖典礼表演上的开心果，但还不够撑起票房 Other new releases: The Coen Brothers’ A Serious Man on six screens, Lebron James’ documentary More Than a Game on 14 screens and the expansion of the Michael Moore documentary Capitalism: A Love Story to 1000 locations. 其他新片： 柯恩兄弟的「认真的男人」会在6厅上映，篮球天王雷霸龙詹姆士的纪录片 「王者之路」有14厅，而麦可摩尔的纪录片「资本主义」则会扩增到1千厅 -- / \ NY 　Ｂ LA 鸟 Ｓ NY ρ TB 口 / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ Ｖ　 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 囧总统 囧-Rod 囧提兹 囧米瑞兹 囧霍兹 铃木一囧 囧尔川 囧恩霍华 囧格利亚 英囧 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 59.115.134.50