作者sampsonlu919 (笑容後的我其实并不快乐)
看板Theater
标题[外电]哈利波特6可望击败其他新片
时间Fri Jul 24 11:37:26 2009
http://tinyurl.com/muf82o
Box office preview:"Harry Potter" likely to hold off newcomers
哈利波特6可望击败其他新片
by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office, Movie Biz
It’s going to take more than super-charged guinea pigs, a Katherine Heigl
rom-com, or a freaky orphan to knock Harry Potter from its perch atop the box
office. While G-Force, The Ugly Truth, and The Orphan will make a valiant
effort trying, Harry Potter’s spell is just too strong. Check out my
predictions below.
本周哈利波特票房冠军宝座的挑战者包括数量惊人的天竺鼠、金发美女
凯萨林海格的爱情喜剧,以及一位精神异常的孤儿。然而这些影片再怎麽
尝试,还是无法抵挡小哈利超强的咒语(也有魅力的意思),以下是本周
的详细预测
1. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $31 million
2007’s Harry Potter and Order of the Phoenix fell 58 percent its second
weekend after opening to $77 million its opening frame. This Potter should
fall in the same range — and perhaps even steeper — considering it’s
already grossed $177 million in just seven days of release.
1.哈利波特:混血王子的背叛-3千1百万美金
前年哈5在首周末赚了7千万的票房之後,隔周就下跌了将近6成。这次哈6也会
面临同样的命运,甚至跌的更多,因为H-BP已经在第一周已经累积1.77亿的
票房了
2. G-Force: $25 million
Yes, it’s 3-D. Yes, it’s from uber-producer Jerry Bruckheimer. But it’s
about guinea pigs, for goodness sake, which automatically limits the audience
to the Beverly Hills Chihuahua-viewing set, even if they are trained by the
government. Chihuahua opened last February to $29 million. I don’t expect as
much from this one, even if it is in 3-D and opening in over 3,200 theaters.
2.鼠胆妙算-2千5百万美金
是的,有3D设备;是的,有超级制片杰瑞布鲁克海墨;但是因为这是有关
天竺鼠的电影,所以观众群将会限制在喜欢「比佛利拜金狗」的观众上。
我不指望鼠片能超越「比」片去年2千9百万的成绩,即使本片有3D设备与
超过3千2百家的戏院
3. The Ugly Truth: $19 million
Sandra Bullock’s The Proposal opened earlier this summer to $33.6 million,
but that featured a PG-13 rating and a hot Ryan Reynolds. The Ugly Truth’s
R-rating will significantly limit its playability, not to mention a rather
formulaic concept of the beautiful single woman played by Katherine Heigl,
always looking for the wrong man. Didn’t Men are from Mars, Women are from
Venus come out like a decade ago? Add in the scathing early reviews and there
is no way this movie is opening in the range of The Proposal.
3.男女生了没-1千9百万美金
上个月,珊卓布拉克的「爱情限时签」的首映票房高达3千万,但那是因为
有比较宽松的PG13分级与当红炸子鸡莱恩雷诺。被列为R级绝对会严重影响
本片的作战能力,更不用说凯萨林海格饰演的美丽单身女子总是找不到
Mr. Right的公式化剧情了,不信的话你可以去翻一遍十年前的畅销书
「男人来自金星,女人来自火星」。再加上目前相当苛刻的初步影评
(滥番茄27篇影评只有7%的满意度),本片确定不可能达到「爱」片先前
的成就
4. Orphan: $14 million
The second R-rated film to bow this weekend, Orphan stars Vera Fermiga as the
unwitting mother who adopts an evil child. Billboards are everywhere, but
that doesn’t necessarily translate into box office grosses. What Orphan does
have on its side is its the first horror movie to bow since Sam Raimi’s Drag
Me to Hell opened in May.
4.孤儿怨-1千4百万美金
描述维拉佛明嘉饰演的不聪明妈妈领养邪恶小孩的「孤儿怨」,是本周
第二部新上档的R级电影。本片的广告相当醒目,但那并不表示高曝光可以
转化为高票房。不过孤片还是有一个优势:这将是山姆雷米5月上映的
「地狱魔咒」之後,第一部大规模上映的恐怖惊悚片
5. Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs: $10.5 million
Ice Age is likely to suffer most from the entry of G-Force in the
marketplace. But the 3-D toon pic has already grossed close to $160 million,
putting it on track to best the original Ice Age’s gross of $170 million and
likely to near Ice Age: The Meltdown’s $195 million take.
5.冰原历险记:恐龙现身-1050万美金
IA3有可能是鼠胆妙算进入电影院之後的最大受害者,不过这部有新技术的
3D动画片目前已经有1.6亿的票房,肯定会超越首集的1.7亿,甚至有机会
挑战IA2的1.95亿
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.217.197.13
1F:→ ciccone:所以是变形金钢急速降温的意思吗? 07/24 12:49
2F:推 Davidgood:变形金刚2有望问鼎四亿,其他片还望尘莫及喔 07/24 13:16
3F:推 speed2:希望哈利波特跌幅在55%以内,昨天去看比想像中好看太多了 07/24 14:10
4F:→ speed2:两部新片都是R级,票房会受限制,天竺鼠威胁比较大 XD 07/24 14:12
5F:→ speed2:变形金刚2到7/28都还有IMAX加持,可否破四亿,关键就在IMAX 07/24 14:13
6F:推 love312:天竺鼠很可爱啊~~比狗狗可爱多了... 07/24 15:47
7F:推 Qweilun:HP第二周跌那麽惨~会不会有人的想法是都等到第二周了~再等 07/24 16:03
8F:→ Qweilun:几天换IMAX看~ 07/24 16:04
9F:→ MarcusWright:其实是哈利波特"惨跌"的意思XD 07/24 20:59
10F:→ MarcusWright:整体而言对票房的贡献仍属有限 比例应该还不到一成(? 07/24 21:01
11F:→ MarcusWright:不要太高估IMAX的票房 虽然Digital IMAX增加不少 但 07/24 21:01
12F:→ MarcusWright:整体而言对票房的贡献仍属有限 比例应该还不到一成(? 07/24 21:01
13F:推 speed2:哈利波特5第二周大跌57%以上,结果总票房依然逼近三亿! 07/24 22:26
14F:→ speed2:这一集就算第二周大跌60%以上,依然有机会破三亿! 07/24 22:27
15F:→ MarcusWright:TF2第二周惨跌60%以上,依然很可能破四亿! XD 07/24 23:57
18F:→ MarcusWright:事实上 变形金刚2的续航力和变形金刚1大致持平 07/25 00:02
19F:→ MarcusWright:而哈利波特6的後劲已反输给哈利波特6 但因为有人好恶 07/25 00:05
20F:→ MarcusWright:异常分明XD 所以变形金刚是惨跌 哈利波特却是恭喜~ 07/25 00:05
21F:→ MarcusWright: *更正:反输给哈利波特5 07/25 00:06
22F:推 MSme:HP6跟HP5也差不多持平 07/25 07:00
23F:→ speed2:TF1跟TF2第二周跌幅差这麽多,要说是持平,恐怕没人信服^_^ 07/25 07:31
24F:→ speed2:IMAX的票房就算只占一成,也是左右票房的关键!别低估IMAX 07/25 07:34
25F:→ speed2:TF2的IMAX票房就很高,接下来就期待哈利波特6罗 ^_^ 07/25 07:40
26F:→ speed2:ps:我可没有"恭喜"哈利波特大跌 别乱扣帽子 纯粹用数据 07/25 07:48
27F:→ Ozzilla:TF2: $371,089,745 / $200,077,255 = 1.855 07/25 10:30
28F:→ Ozzilla:TF1: $290,357,856 / $155,405,412 = 1.869 07/25 10:31
29F:→ Ozzilla:两者上映头五日和上映三十日累积票房的multiplier供参。 07/25 10:32
30F:→ Ozzilla:longevity并不是光看第二周周末跌幅而已,咳咳... 07/25 10:35
31F:推 Davidgood:变2惨跌,哈6有望破三亿,恭喜 07/25 12:51
32F:→ Davidgood:变2有望破四亿,恭喜,哈6惨跌 07/25 12:51
33F:→ Davidgood:报票房可以客观一点,要加心得可以另外发表一篇 07/25 12:52
34F:→ Davidgood:变2有望挤进北美史上前十,就票房而言还能怎麽挑剔? 07/25 12:54
35F:→ Davidgood: 肯定 07/25 12:57
36F:→ MarcusWright:s大大肯定是没认真看我贴的那两张表格吧,TF2首周末 07/26 14:54
37F:→ MarcusWright:较TF1进步甚多外,一个月来几乎每一日都赢过TF1,再 07/26 14:54
38F:→ MarcusWright:差跌幅惨? 真正惨跌的是被你恭喜的HP6,次周三较首 07/26 14:55
39F:→ MarcusWright:辅以Ozzilla提供的乘数数据,你还能嘴硬说TF2的後劲 07/26 14:55
40F:→ MarcusWright:差跌幅惨? 真正惨跌的是被你恭喜的HP6,次周三较首 07/26 14:55
41F:→ MarcusWright:周三"崩跌"87.1%(TF2算惨跌 那HP6用崩跌是刚好而已) 07/26 14:56
42F:→ MarcusWright:从次周三开始每天票房都输给HP5,以後要举跌势凶後劲 07/26 14:56
43F:→ MarcusWright:差的片,"恭喜"!除了蛛蛛人3外,又多了部哈利波特6 07/26 14:56
44F:推 kissahping:好无聊的争吵,反正HP系列本来就不依赖北美票房。而且 07/27 15:40
45F:→ kissahping:以HP系列而论,更是好成绩。 07/27 15:42