http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/04/box-office-prev.html Box office preview: How big can 'Wolverine' get? 金刚狼会赚多少？ Apr 30, 2009, 04:26 PM | by Nicole Sperling Categories: Box Office, Movie Biz At midnight tonight Hollywood declares the start of the Summer moviegoing season with the bow of X-Men Origins: Wolverine opening on an enormous 4,000+ theaters. How big it will bow is the question of the day with many wondering if the pirated leak of the film last month will have any negative impact on its overall box office. Here's the top five as I see it: 从今天晚上开始，好莱坞将由「X战警：金刚狼」高达4千家戏院的上映，正式展开 暑期电影季。本片能冲多高，已经成为了今天最大的疑问，因为许多人都担心上个月 非法版的提前泄漏会对本片的整体票房造成冲击。以下是我本周的前五名名单 1. X-Men Origins: Wolverine -- $85 million Early reviews haven't been kind -- but who cares! This is summertime. This is good, clean, popcorn entertainment with a hunky Hugh Jackman and some cool special effects. Plus, the economy's in the toilet, pigs are infecting us with the flu, and Pakistan's got nuclear arms. I can't think of a better time for a Wolfman with shiny blades to entertain us. Whether or not the film can match Iron Man's incredible $98.6 million box office opening last year at this time remains to be seen, but it's highly unlikely that the leaked copy will truly hamper the film's grossing potential. 1.X战警：金刚狼－8500万美金 初步的影评并不友善，但谁在乎啊！现在是夏天耶，一边看休杰克曼的魅力 与一些很酷的特效一边吃爆米花也没什麽不对啊。而且，现在景气就跟厕所的味道 一样臭，猪只会让我们得新流感，巴基斯坦又有新的核弹，我觉得这已经是让这位 带着闪亮狼爪的狼人娱乐我们的最好时机了。就算他无法追上去年钢铁人高达9860万 的辉煌开映，但非法下载版应该不可能会伤害到他的吸金潜力 2. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past -- $15 million This formulaic romantic comedy starring Matthew McConaughey and Jennifer Garner is the traditional "counter-programming" option that Hollywood doles out to anybody not interested in super heroes and special effects. The critics have skewered this film, but tracking still suggests the appeal of the McConaughey and Garner will get it opened in the teens. I'd rather stay home and watch some vintage McConaughey in Dazed and Confused but perhaps sappy romance is what audiences are looking for today. 2.真爱找麻烦－1500万美金 这部由马修麦康纳与珍妮佛嘉娜主演的公式化浪漫喜剧正是我们所谓的「逆向操作」 ，这是好莱坞想要吸引那些对超级英雄与特效片没有兴趣的人祭出的法宝。 影评们对本片也并不友善，但是调查结果仍然暗示麦康纳与嘉娜的「双纳连线」 仍然能在年轻人面前吃的开。虽然说我宁可呆在家看着麦哥在「Dazed and Confused」 中年轻的模样，不过也许这种无厘头爱情故事正是现今观众们的菜吧！ 3. Obsessed -- $13 million Beyonce shocked box office watchers with the $28.6 million opening for her girl-on-girl catfight with Ali Larter. Its second weekend is likely to drop 60 percent like most surprise hits that have come before it. But that would still put the film at $13 million, which is quite a feat for a movie everybody under-estimated. 3.鬼迷心窍－1300万美金 当毕昂斯与亚莉莱特的女子求爱大对抗上周开出高达2860万的票房时，所有的 票房观察者们的眼镜都破掉了。这部今年影坛最大黑马本周会有6成的跌幅， 但仍能保持在1300万，这对这部所有人都低估的电影可说是打了一场漂亮的战役 4. 17 Again -- $5.5 million美金 Zac Efron should be sticking around in the top five for the third weekend in a row. His lovable body swap comedy has already made over $40 million at the box. This weekend may get hit a little more with the teenagers flocking to Wolverine, but it should still crack the top 5 this frame. 4.回到17岁－550万美金 塞克爱福隆应该可以连续三周都固守在前五名，他讨喜的身体交换喜剧目前已经 替电影院赚进4千万美金，本周虽然因为不少年轻人去看金刚狼所以票房增加幅度 有限，但本周的前五名应该还是会看得到他的踪影 5. Earth -- $5 million Okay, so Disney isn't donating any more trees in exchange for your tickets this upcoming weekend but that doesn't mean audiences aren't going to show up for this nature doc. The movie's weekday sales have been strong with the film holding on to the No. 2 slot over The Soloist. And with limited children's fare in the marketplace, it may hold in this weekend pretty well. 5.Earth－5百万美金 好吧，迪士尼从本周开始不会再把你的电影票换成种树基金，但这并不表示观众们 不想再关心环保议题。本片的非周末票房很坚稳的固守在第2名，卖出的票甚至比 小劳勃道尼的新片「心灵独奏」还要多，再加上市场上可以让儿童阖家观赏的影片 并不多，本片在这个周末还是可以稳住 Also opening this weekend is Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions Battle for Terra. This 3-D sci-fi animated pic has received little in the way of marketing support. Bowing on only 1159 theaters, most expect the film featuring voice talent from Justin Long and Evan Rachel Wood to not surpass the $3 million for the three-day frame. 本周上映的新片还有狮子门与Roadside Attractions合作的「Battle for Terra」， 不过这部3D科幻动画片在市场上的反应并不踊跃，只有1159家戏院会上映，大部分的 预测都认为虽然有贾斯丁龙与伊凡瑞秋伍德的声音助阵，本片在这三天的票房还是 不会超过3百万 --

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