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http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/04/boprev-fast.html Box Office Preview: 'Fast & Furious' revs up for a weekend win 「玩命关头4」冲向冠军而来 Apr 2, 2009, 06:50 PM | by Joshua Rich Categories: Box Office It's not very hot outside, but, man, it sure feels like summer at the multiplex. Thanks to the one-two punch of the summer-esque blockbuster wannabe Fast & Furious and the strong holdover Monsters vs. Aliens, Hollywood could see its first April weekend ever to boast two $30 mil-plus grossers. Sure, that's one of those made up "records" that industry trackers love to trumpet, but it does speak to a broader issue that we've been aware of for some time now: Those antique things known as seasons are fading fast from movieland, for better or worse. And now, for better or worse, here are my weekend picks. 最近外头的天气并不会很热,但乡民们,我很确定电影院就跟暑假一样热! 感谢一连两部有暑假大片水准的强档「玩命关头4」与「怪兽大战外星人」, 好莱坞影坛这个礼拜可望出现4月第一个两部电影都有3千万美金的周末。 当然,这只不过是娱乐圈记者们想要大作文章的「纪录」,但这的确可以 延伸出另一个我们现在就值得注意的议题:「季节」这个古董玩意儿在 电影世界是越来越不重要了,无论好坏。现在,无论好坏,以下是我的 周末预测 1.Fast & Furious -- $41 million Yeah, yeah, this fourth installment in Universal's inexplicably popular car-smashing franchise has the same cast and title as the first film -- minus a few "the"s. Nice. It kinda reminds me of what Sylvester Stallone did with the name of his Rocky return, Rocky Balboa, a few years ago. Anyway, Vin Diesel, Paul Walker, Michelle Rodriguez, and Jordana Brewster are all back in their original roles, and that should bring back audiences, right? Well, sure, why not? Folks flocked to the first two films in the series (which opened to $40.1 mil in 2000 and then $50.5 mil in 2003), so this reunion/throwback should attract the same kind of crowd. I mean, Vin Diesel has had an up-and-down career arc in the years since, and the other actors haven't really broken out, but that shouldn't stop people from going, eh? 1.玩命关头4:4100万美金 是的,由环球公司第4次投资,令人感到惊奇的尬车经典系列,使用了 当初第一集的演员与相同片名,除了冠词「The」之外。很棒!这让我想起 几年前席维斯史特龙以洛基重返影坛时,就用Rocky Balboa作为片名。总之, 冯迪索、保罗沃克、蜜雪儿罗德里奎兹与乔丹娜布鲁斯特的角色通通都回来了, 应该可以把观众们都带回来吧?当然可以罗,为何不呢?乡民们对於前两集的 态度都很踊跃(玩命关头1首映4010万美金,飙风再起首映5050万美金), 所以这次主角们的重聚应该可以吸引相同的观众群。我个人认为,尽管冯迪索 这几年的演艺生涯有高也有低,其他演员们也没有完全地突破,但这应该不会 阻止乡民们去戏院吧? 2.Monsters vs. Aliens -- $36 million If Fast & Furious tanks -- or even comes in on the lower end of expectations -- this'll be the No. 1 movie for a second straight weekend. Having banked a sweet $3 mil-plus per day during the middle of the week, DreamWorks Animation's 3-D family flick should suffer a merely minor decline from its hefty $59.3 mil debut last time around. 2.怪兽大战外星人:3600万美金 假如玩命关头4失速了,或者不符合观众期待,本片就很有机会二连冠。 由於在非周末期间仍然有每天至少3百万的收入,梦工厂动画部的家庭3D电影 的下降幅度应该不会太大 3.Adventureland -- $12 million People love the infinitely noogie-able Jesse Eisenberg and Twilight's Kristen Stewart, but will that widespread affection translate into box office bucks for this new raw comedy from Greg Mottola, the director of Superbad? Yes, but only to a certain extent. The movie is playing in just 1,862 theaters, so its financial upside is relatively limited. 3.Adventureland:1200万美金 观众们喜欢可爱的Jesse Eisenberg与暮光之城女主角克莉丝汀史都华, 但是这些广泛的热爱能否转化成为「男孩我最坏」导演最新玩笑开很大的喜剧 的门票收入呢?可以,但只是在一定的程度上,因为本片只有在1862家戏院 上映,所以卖座高峰也相对有限 4.The Haunting in Connecticut -- $10 million Virginia Madsen's thriller surprised with a $23 mil debut last time around. But horror movies always tend to fall off pretty fast (and, uh, furiously). 4.康乃迪克鬼屋事件:1000万美金 维吉妮亚麦德森的惊悚片让人惊讶的在上映首周赚到了2300万,不过恐怖片 的卖座曲线一向容易下降的很快(而且降很大!) 5.I Love You, Man -- $8 million Paul Rudd and Jason Segel's bromance brought in a somewhat soft $17.8 mil on its first weekend, although it dropped just 29 percent in its second frame. Competition with fellow R-rated funny film Adventureland may depress I Love You, Man's grosses a bit more this time, but people clearly aren't ready to dump the cool comedy just yet. Okay, box office fans, now it's your turn to predict the weekend's results! 5.麻吉伴郎:800万美金 保罗路德与杰森席格的「兄弟之情」(bromance)喜剧在第一周就赚到了1780万, 而且第二周也只下滑了29啪。虽然说同样是R级喜剧的「Adventureland」多少会让 本片卖座行情下滑,不过观众显然还不打算放弃这部很酷的喜剧 好了,对票房有研究的影迷们,现在是你预测的时候了! -- 寻找最初的梦想 世新大学 广电系 第十五届毕业成果展 初,一十五 5/8-11 @ 豪华In89数位影城 http://www.wretch.cc/blog/rtf15th --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 59.115.128.15
1F:推 md1011:玩命估计3800~4300 怪兽估计2000~2300 04/04 12:38
2F:推 codybank:玩命第一天就3000万了..周末累积过6000万很有机会 04/05 12:25
3F:→ ArchVSX:玩命上映我第一天就要去看!! 04/05 14:56
4F:推 mader:玩命关头1 觉得蛮无聊的耶...是因为不懂车的缘故吗? 04/05 18:19







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