作者Dumbledore (阿不要.邓不利多)
看板Stock
标题[情报] 我川开放聆听报价及关税公式可能的来源
时间Fri Apr 4 08:06:16 2025
在华尔街没事的大跌後
白宫发布了我川轻松愉快的照片
要大家相信川普总统的运筹帷幄
川普的首席贸易顾问在CNBC坚称新关税政策不是
美国作为与其他国家谈判更佳贸易条款的工具。
Top Trump trade advisor Peter Navarro denied that Trump's new tariffs are being
used as a tool to negotiate better trade terms with other countries.
"This is not a negotiation," Navarro said on CNBC's "Closing Bell: Overtime."
"This is not that. This is a national emergency," he said.
— Kevin Breuninger
我川没有按照白宫助理的坚持态度
在空军一号上改口开放谈判态度
After multiple White House aides insisted that the new tariffs were not a negoti
ation, Trump said he would be open to negotiating with other countries about the
duties.
Trump said he would be open to tariff talks with other counties if they offer so
mething phenomenal, Reuters reported him saying on Air Force One.
Top trade aide Peter Navarro told CNBC less than an hour earlier that the sweepi
ng tariffs are "not a negotiation."
— Kevin Breuninger
https://reurl.cc/AMOXgp
*其他报导指出川普在宣布关税後外出打高尔夫球,并且对股市暴跌并不感到担忧。
*在川普搭机前往佛州的路上,其他报载也提到川普做出开放聆听其他国家报价的评论
https://i.imgur.com/LfEW2bN.jpeg
https://i.imgur.com/qFoFdeV.jpeg
另外,根据The Verge
川普让经济学者疑惑的新关税公式有「可能」来自於人工智能的聊天机器人
Trump’s new tariff math looks a lot like ChatGPT’sChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, and C
laude all recommend the same “nonsense” tariff calculation.
其中一段
Where did these numbers come from? Apparently, an oversimplified calculation tha
t several major AI chatbots happen to recommend.
Economist James Surowiecki quickly reverse-engineered a possible explanation for
the tariff pricing. He found you could recreate each of the White House’s numb
ers by simply taking a given country’s trade deficit with the US and dividing i
t by their total exports to the US. Halve that number, and you get a ready-to-us
e “discounted reciprocal tariff.” The White House objected to this claim and p
ublished the formula it says that it used, but as Politico points out, the formu
la looks like a dressed-up version of Surowiecki’s method.
In case you weren’t sure, Surowiecki calls this approach “extraordinary nonsen
se.” So why did Trump’s team use it? Well, like plenty of people who’ve reali
zed their homework is due in three hours’ time, it seems like they may have bee
n tempted by AI.
https://i.imgur.com/2YsUwq3.png
https://i.imgur.com/wEo4uh9.png
https://i.imgur.com/ZbkzfyW.png
https://i.imgur.com/B97trHM.png
A number of X users have realized that if you ask ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, or Gr
ok for an “easy” way to solve trade deficits and put the US on “an even playi
ng field”, they’ll give you a version of this “deficit divided by exports” f
ormula with remarkable consistency. The Verge tested this with the phrasing used
in those posts, as well as a question based more closely on the government’s l
anguage, asking chatbots for “an easy way for the US to calculate tariffs that
should be imposed on other countries to balance bilateral trade deficits between
the US and each of its trading partners, with the goal of driving bilateral tra
de deficits to zero.” All four platforms gave us the same fundamental suggestio
n.
如果向ChatGPT、Gemini、Claude 或 Grok 询问解决美国贸易逆差的“简单”方法,使美国
处於“公平的竞争环境”,会得到一致「逆差除以出口」的公式。
The bots caution with varying levels of seriousness that there are tradeoffs and
complications. Gemini, the most strident of them, will give you a page full of
explanations as to why this oversimplified approach could backfire — “while th
is calculation offers a seemingly straightforward way to target bilateral trade
deficits, the real-world economic implications are far more complex and could le
ad to substantial negative consequences,” it warns, adding that “many economis
ts argue that tariffs are not an effective tool for balancing trade deficits.”
但是这些机器人也有解释若以这样简单的结论来解决双边贸易逆差,会得到适得其反的结果
来源:
https://reurl.cc/LaMe0x
根据金融时报
我川可能很快会对晶片及药品下手
https://reurl.cc/XAVxlD
--
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1F:推 pondaha : 垃圾 04/04 08:07
2F:推 p95649564 : 共和党其他人躺着选了 04/04 08:07
3F:推 alonzohorse : 空军总司令 04/04 08:08
4F:推 amazingwow : 半导体 生计 一个跑不掉?这麽凶 04/04 08:08
5F:推 tonylolz : AI治国已经成真 04/04 08:12
6F:推 tsubasawolfy: Intel跟GG合资公司该不会跟晶片税一起上菜? 04/04 08:13
7F:推 Transposon : 天网代理人,下一步要发射核弹了吧 04/04 08:13
8F:嘘 MrStone : 不是谈判工具又听报价,把别人当成白痴吗 04/04 08:14
9F:推 stocktonty : 911看来要发生第二次了 04/04 08:14
10F:推 IdolYang : 谁要送两架飞机去川家 哈哈 04/04 08:18
11F:推 fishweija : 真流氓 04/04 08:18
13F:推 zero00072 : 艾伦川普:发动地鸣。 04/04 08:24
14F:推 s881720 : AI治国 就是这麽简单 04/04 08:25
15F:嘘 kimo6414 : 还问AI?幕僚是纸糊的吗 04/04 08:29
16F:推 fan415 : 战争要来了 04/04 08:30
17F:推 iishoi : 共和党爽死了,下次躺着选 04/04 08:30
18F:推 benson502 : 股市就有是有钱人在投机的地方,川普根本不想鸟 04/04 08:32
19F:嘘 DSB520 : 白痴政权 小学生治国 04/04 08:34
20F:→ puni52041 : 人为加速大萧条… 04/04 08:34
21F:推 getbacker : 穷人可以不在乎股市,但是过阵子看到衣服鞋子暴涨30 04/04 08:35
22F:→ getbacker : %就知道这政策有多蠢了 04/04 08:35
23F:推 lin8807819 : 底层的没想到还有更底层 04/04 08:38
24F:推 s505015 : 对晶片再课 台湾又要再一笔了吗 04/04 08:39
25F:嘘 cosmite : 小学生治国 04/04 08:39
26F:推 epicurious : 贝森特说,拜登股市创新高,他有选上吗?不要以为 04/04 08:40
27F:→ epicurious : 股市大跌川普会选不上好吗 04/04 08:40
28F:推 CRonaldo07 : 打小白球要跟果冻讨债了 04/04 08:43
30F:推 firemothra : AI危害到一堆既得利益者。公务员真的可以大裁员了 04/04 08:56
31F:嘘 CoachKuester: 垃圾恶霸 04/04 09:00
32F:推 MrStone : 我就看你美国能撑多久 04/04 09:01
33F:推 kinki999 : 五月关税,台又双赢了,对台吹来说 04/04 09:02
34F:推 julian42 : 川普第二任没有选不上的问题 04/04 09:02
35F:推 rj486 : 货都不出美国了你有看到吗 04/04 09:04
36F:推 cay86714 : 多蛙很气很气 04/04 09:10
37F:推 TSMininder : 跌完後就没事了 这道理我大概懂 04/04 09:29
38F:→ easonli000 : 天网要消灭人类了 04/04 09:42
39F:嘘 arakikawa : 你川怎麽看都像个低能儿还一堆人吹 04/04 09:56