作者bmka (和平 奋斗 写paper)
看板Statistics
标题奥运药检与统计
时间Wed Aug 13 01:05:43 2008
听听统计学家怎麽看药检这件事
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=93424870
Cyclist Floyd Landis was stripped of his 2006 Tour de France title
after he tested positive for synthetic testosterone. Donald Berry,
a statistician at the University of Texas, doesn't buy it. Berry
explains how drug testing could be more scientific.
Don Berry is the chairmain of department of Biostatistics
at M. D. Anderson Cancer Center.
He is famous for his work in Bayesian statistics.
有兴趣的人可以去看看Don最近发表在nature上的commentary
The science of doping
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v454/n7205/full/454692a.html
keys of the discussion:
* It is too quick to assume that a positive test means a guilty athlet;
* The processes used to charge athletes with cheating are
often based on flawed statistics and flawed logic;
* The problem with multiples: false positive rate is magnified
by the number of tests.
※ 编辑: bmka 来自: 137.187.153.83 (08/13 01:17)