作者cyshen (喔喔喔)
看板Statistics
标题[问题] 贝氏机率
时间Sat Mar 25 15:54:04 2006
In a certain community, 8% of all adult over 50 have diabetes. If a health
service in this community correctly diagnoses 95% of all persons with
diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 2% of all persons
without diabetes as having the disease, find the probabilities that
a.the community health service will diagnose an adult over 50 as having
diabetes.
b.a person over 50 dianosed by the health service as having diabetes actually
has the disease.
我的作法是a.0.08*0.95+0.92*0.02
b.(0.08*0.95)/(0.08*0.95+0.92*0.02)
不知道有没有错误~感谢~~~^^
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