※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板 #1NBUclRX ] 作者: yuyuen (肥软) 看板: NBA 标题: [外絮] 马刺将如何追逐KD 时间: Sat May 7 21:12:12 2016 How Spurs’ free-agency run at Durant might work http://goo.gl/Hs5A7a OKLAHOMA CITY — This just in: The Spurs are interested in making a run at the hottest free agent on the market this summer. This is not exactly breaking news. In fact, it sounds like old news. The Spurs, after all, made a successful pitch to LaMarcus Aldridge last July. This year’s target would be Kevin Durant, who for now is playing for Oklahoma City and against the Spurs in the Western Conference semifinals. 马刺队对自由球员市场上最火热的球员感到兴趣，听起来不是一件新鲜事，毕竟他们才刚 成功追求到LaMarcus Aldridge。而今年的目标就是目前仍和马刺在西区第二轮厮杀的” 雷帝” Kevin Durant。 No doubt discussions have already begun among the Spurs’ brain trust about the salary cap machinations that must be made to make Durant — or any other high-profile free agent — a maximum contract offer. Durant didn’t do much to quell the KD-to-Spurs rumor swirl before the start of the series, when he unleashed an unprompted ode to Gregg Popovich (This is the part where we remind everyone all of the below is based on a hypothetical — IF and only IF Durant decides to leave OKC after his contract expires this summer). 不难想像马刺队的高层相信可以解决薪资上限的问题来得到KD或者是其他高评价的自由球 员，不难想像KD将会拿到一份顶薪，而且在马刺雷霆第一战开打前，KD称赞过Gregg Popovich後，KD到马刺这个传言就不曾停过。而且只要KD没有说他会留雷霆，一切都是有 可能的。 Now that we’ve cleared that up … Here are the basics of the math involved for the Spurs: The team is committed to about $73.6 million in guaranteed salary next year, due seven players (Aldridge, Kawhi Leonard, Tony Parker, Danny Green, Boris Diaw, Patty Mills and Kyle Anderson). The salary cap is projected to skyrocket to around $92 million by some estimation, which works in the Spurs’ favor here. A max contract for a player of Durant’s tenure (nine seasons) could earn a maximum of $27.6 million next season based on that cap figure. 就让我们动起来，一起来看看这想法行不行吧。 关於马刺队有几个基本的观念，这支球队有大约73.6M的保证约在下一个球季，包含七个 球员(Aldridge, Kawhi Leonard, Tony Parker, Danny Green, Boris Diaw, Patty Mills and Kyle Anderson).，薪资上限可以预期为92M左右，而KD可以预期会拿到一份起 价27.6M的顶级薪水。 A bit of subtraction reveals the gulf the Spurs must cross. They will need to find about $9.2 million additional cap space to make a credible offer to Durant. It can be done, though the task gets more complicated if any of Tim Duncan ($5.5 million), Manu Ginobili ($2.9 million) or David West ($1.55 million) opt to exercise player options for next season. Jonathon Simmons has a team option for a little more than $874,000. 有一些可以减少薪资空间的情形是马刺可以做的，它们需要找到大约9.2M的额外薪资空间 去提供KD薪水，如果Tim Duncan ($5.5 million), Manu Ginobili ($2.9 million) or David West ($1.55 million)这三人有球员选项的球员都跳出合约，还有Jonathon Simmons的球队选项，大约$874,000.是可以省下来的，尽管这有点复杂，但是这是可能发 生的。 Assuming Duncan and Ginobili retire — or opt out and re-sign on veteran minimum deals that won’t count against the Spurs’ cap space– $9.2 million seems to be the number the Spurs are working with in this scenario. 假设石佛和鬼切都退休了，或是跳出合约重新签一张老将底薪，这一些将不会计算到马刺 的薪资空间，所以9.2M将会是马刺完成这笔交易的魔术数字。 There are two obvious avenues for getting there, though the Spurs’ resident geniuses in the front office likely have plotted some that are less obvious. If the Spurs could find a trade partner to absorb Danny Green’s $10 million next season (and two more seasons after that), it would appear to do the trick without gutting the rest of the roster. The Spurs might also explore dealing the combination of Boris Diaw (due $6.5 million next season) and Patty Mills (due $3.5 million) to arrive at the same savings. 目前有两条显而易见的方法让马刺来达到目标，如果马刺可以找到交易对象来交易”圣堂 射手” Danny Green，目前10M的合约，往後还剩下两年，这是最少动到名单的方式。或 者马刺将寻求交易Boris Diaw (due $6.5 million next season) 以及Patty Mills (due $3.5 million)来达到目标。 It is far too early for Spurs fans to line up to buy No. 35 jerseys in silver and black. The salary cap gymnastics required for the Spurs to make that dream scenario happen, however, are less complicated than one might think. 排队来买35号黑衫这件事还略嫌早了点，但这的确有想像空间，而且比想像中的简单许多 。 看完了外电，让我来简单的帮马刺队试算一下，这件事情发生的可能。就用这篇文章的假 设来计算好了。 可以预期的今年的薪资上限会是:大约$90M左右，作者是预测92M。 另外就是Kevin Durant的薪水，依照Salary Cap来设算，将会是起薪大约27.6M左右。 以上两点是作者的预测，其实也蛮合理的预期。 他觉得马刺只差9.2M左右的空间， (A) 交易掉Danny Green(10M) 或者是 (B) Boris Diaw+Patty Mills(10.1M)就行。 但是本人认为作者把事情想得太简单了，应该不是这样的。 (1)马刺明年有首轮选秀权，会占薪资空间大约1M，要放弃，可能会随着上述交易一起弄 走，换往後的选秀权 (2)最低名单人数为13人，一定要补齐才能开季。 (3)不只Danny Green要走，Patty Mills也要跟着走，才能完成交易。 Player 调整後 帐上 LaMarcus Aldridge $ 20,500,000 $ 20,500,000 Kawhi Leonard $ 17,500,000 $ 17,500,000 Tony Parker $ 14,445,313 $ 14,445,313 Kyle Anderson $ 1,192,080 $ 1,192,080 Tim Duncan $ 5,500,000 PO Manu Ginobili $ 2,940,630 PO David West $ 1,552,000 PO Jonathon Simmons $ 874,636 TO Danny Green $ 10,000,000 交易 Boris Diaw $ 6,500,000 $ 6,500,000 Patrick Mills $ 3,578,948 交易 第一轮 $ 1,000,000 交易 CAP Hold $ 543,471 CAP Hold $ 543,471 CAP Hold $ 543,471 CAP Hold $ 543,471 CAP Hold $ 543,471 CAP Hold $ 543,471 CAP Hold $ 543,471 ------------------------------------------------- Team Totals $ 63,941,690 薪资上限 $ 92,000,000 ------------------------------------------------- 薪资空间 $ 28,058,310 Kevin Durant $ 27,600,000 如果不Patty交易走，那薪资空间将会不够签下KD，可以从上面试算中看出来。 差额的28,058,310才有足够的空间签下KD，当然了这些CAP Hold如果有老将愿意加盟，就 可以换成他们的名字，比方说: Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, David West。 应该是先把名单填满，再算薪资空间，然而作者是刚好倒过来算，也就是一般人的算法， 所以Patrick Mills是必定要走了，当然啦，也可以是Boris Diaw，但这就复杂化了。 经过这样的轮转後，最後也是最梦想化的阵容将会是 Tony Parker/Kawhi Leonard/ Kevin Durant/ LaMarcus Aldridge/ Tim Duncan Manu Ginobili/ Kyle Anderson/ David West 剩下的名额就看机缘了，但是巨神兵Boban Marjanovic如果愿意接受底薪回马刺，那当然 也很欢迎的，不然真的只能祝福他了。 当然就算这些老将都退役了，KL,KD,AGG所组成的三巨头，外挂一个法国跑车，其实也还 算蛮有竞争力的。 若有错误，欢迎指教，谢谢~~ --

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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ※ 转录者: yuyuen (180.204.241.185), 05/07/2016 21:14:45 作者Jeff McDonald 就是SA的记者，专发马刺文，应该跟KD没关系 您可以选择自己过滤想看的文章，会更快。 就是个消息，毕竟马刺的确是KD的名单内球队阿，因为前几天他才公开 称赞POPO，而且去年马刺的确很反常的的再FA市场钓了条大鱼，才会有此 消息，放轻松点，就是个花絮。 ※ 编辑: yuyuen (180.204.241.185), 05/07/2016 22:31:17 ※ 编辑: yuyuen (180.204.241.185), 05/07/2016 22:33:34