帮补原文连结 http://ppt.cc/Gc4U 顺便重新解释一下 Sickels 的分级标准 Grade A 新秀中的佼佼者，有机会成为明星或看板。 只要没有伤痛困扰的话，这些新秀几乎都能在大联盟占有一席之地。 Grade B 有的会成为明星，拥有不错的球员生涯；有的不会。 未来这些新秀，至少能当个龙套，在大联盟混个几年球季。 Geade C 最常见的类型。 这种新秀有些可取之处，但同时也有一些会让他们看起来离大联盟很远的问题。 少数（特别是在低阶的）人可以长成球星。 C级的新秀可能成为板凳或功能性球员，也有很多根本上不了大联盟。 每个层级的分类还有一些差别。 我的评比算是严苛的，C+算不错了，有些C+（尤其是低阶）的最後也长得不错。 最後请记得，这些都只是简略的评比而已，详细内容还是要看球探报告比较好。 菜鸟联盟的 Grade C 或许将来会很强悍，但三A的 Grade C 大概就只能那样了。 以下简单翻一下，有兴趣或疑虑的话大家自己看原文 XD ※ 引述《MattSzczur (凯萨大帝)》之铭言： : 1) Trevor Story, SS, Grade B+: Borderline A-: I want to see how his contact : issues look against better pitching, but overall there are a lot of things to : like here. . .power, speed, walks, defense, a complete package if the : strikeouts don't eat him up. I don't expect they will. Ranks a bit ahead of : Dahl due to defensive premium. 1) Trevor Story, SS, B+ ～ A- （今年开季20岁, 2012层级A） 他有很多优点：打击power、速度、保送、防守。 但他的contact是个大问题，若能克服被三振太多的这个麻烦，他就是完全体了。 排名比Dahl前面的原因是他防守的潜能较好。 : 2) David Dahl, OF, Grade B+: Borderline A-. Almost went with the A-, but Story : needs to rank ahead due to defensive premium and longer track record. I like : them both. Like Story, Dahl can be a complete offensive player with power, : speed, and defensive contributions. I just want to see him outside the Pioneer : League. 2) David Dahl, OF,　B+ ～ A- （今年开季19岁, 2012层级R） 跟 Story 一样，爆发力、脚程、守备都很好。 迫不及待看他在更高阶联盟的表现了。 : 3) Nolan Arenado, 3B; Grade B+: Glove is very good, should be a solid but not : outstanding hitter in a neutral environment, say .275/.330/.450, however Coors : Field should play to his strengths and goose those numbers. 3) Nolan Arenado, 3B, B+ （今年开季22岁, 2012层级AA） 防守很棒，打击稳定但无法太抢眼，大概像 .275/.330/.450 这种数字。 不过在裤儿湿球场的话应该能再好看一点吧。 : 4) Kyle Parker, OF, Grade B: Made very good progress cutting down on his : strikeouts and improving plate discipline, and I don't think his power was a : Cal League illusion. Not a .300 hitter in a neutral environment, but should be : a 20+ homer guy. 4) Kyle Parker, OF, B （今年开季23岁, 2012层级A+） 进步很多的一个球季，三振大幅减少，打击耐心也提升很多， 我认为他展现出来的爆发力是真货。 不是一个3成打者，但是他可以稳定缴出20轰。 : 5) Edwar Cabrera, LHP, Grade B-: He's got that killer changeup, low-90s : fastball, and a decent-enough curve, plus he pitched well in Colorado Springs. : Whether that's enough to survive Coors, I don't know, but in a neutral : environment I think he'd be a solid fourth starter. 5) Edwar Cabrera, LHP, B- （今年开季25岁, 2012层级AA、AAA、MLB） 很杀的变速球，low-90s速球，不错的曲球，在3A丢得不错 （译注：3A球场比Coors还要偏打者） 我不知道这样够不够在裤儿湿生存啦，但在其他地方可以当个不错的四号了。 : 6) Eddie Butler, RHP, Grade B-: Sinker/slider combo with velocity plus movement : gave him 2.13 ERA with 55/13 K/BB, 1.96 GO/AO in the Pioneer League. Poor : changeup may limit him to relief at higher levels, but if it comes around he : could be a number three starter. 6) Eddie Butler, RHP, B- （今年开季22岁, 2012层级R） 球速、伸卡球、滑球、尾劲等等让他今年在菜鸟联盟投得很杀。 糟糕的变速球可能会让他在高阶联盟无法胜任後援的工作， 不过若能克服这个，他将会成为一个三号先发。 : 7) Tyler Anderson, LHP, Grade B-: Average fastball but excellent changeup and : control resulted in 2.47 ERA in Low-A, 81/28 K/BB in 120 innings. Breaking ball : is so-so and limits his strikeout potential. Projects as a number four starter. 7) Tyler Anderson, LHP, B- （今年开季23岁, 2012层级A） 中等的速球、出色的变速球和控球，在低A投得不错。 普普的变化球限制了他的三振功力，大概是个四号投手。 : 8) Corey Dickerson, OF, Grade B-: At some point people just have to admit that : the guy can hit, mediocre tools and middling glove aside. May not be a big : batting average guy, but the power is real in my view. 8) Corey Dickerson, OF, B- （今年开季24岁, 2012层级A+、AA） 打击可能没办法很好，但power是真货。 : 9) Tyler Matzek, LHP, Grade C+: Stuff isn't the problem, but will his command : ever be good enough for the stuff to matter? I have no idea. Grade A arm, but : Grade C/D+ in the control and consistency departments. 9) Tyler Matzek, LHP, C+ （今年开季22岁, 2012层级A+） A级的手臂和stuff。 但是无论控球、command、稳定度都属C/D级， 我也不知道他到底有没有办法把他们进步到足以和stuff相衬。 : 10) Rafael Ortega, OF, Grade C+: Line drive hitter with amazing defensive : skills, but needs to prove that his bat will hold up against advanced pitching. : Double-A will tell us if he can be a possible regular or just a good fourth : outfielder. 10) Rafael Ortega, OF, C+ （今年开季22岁, 2012层级A+、MLB） 平飞球打者，防守技巧高超。 不过他的打击还需要在2A精进，否则他就只能是个四号外野手。 : 11) Chad Bettis, RHP, Grade C+: Missed entire season with shoulder problems. : He's a solid Grade B prospect if healthy, as a mid-rotation starter or (more : probably) a relief option and potential closer due to his issues with the : changeup. Both fastball and slider are plus/plus pitches. 11) Chad Bettis, RHP, C+ （今年开季24岁, 2011层级A+） 因为肩膀伤势报销2012球季，他健康的时候会是个很好的B级新秀。 速球和滑球都属上乘，但变速球问题使他最多能成为中段轮值或终结者。 : 12) Tom Murphy, C, Grade C+: Third round pick from University of Buffalo is : somewhat raw as college players go, but is athletic, has power, and unlike Will : Swanner he'll stay at catcher. 12) Tom Murphy, C, C+ （今年开季22岁, 2012层级A-） 有爆发力，是块运动员的料，不过还没完全适应职业球赛。 他应该会继续蹲捕，不像下面那位 Will Swanner 。 : 13) Will Swanner, C, Grade C+: Enormous power, 30-homer potential, but his : strikeout problems (101 in 325 AB) may preclude batting average/OBP against : better pitching. His defense is terrible, caught 10% of runners and gave up 120 : stolen bases in 75 games behind the plate in Low-A. 13) Will Swanner, C, C+ （今年开季21岁, 2012层级A） 惊人的power有着30轰的潜力，但超高的三振率会限制他的 AVG & OBP。 他的防守暴烂，在低阶1A的75场蹲捕中，被盗了110个垒，阻杀率只有10趴。 （译注：他另外有13场是以DH身分出赛） : 14) Ryan Wheeler, 3B-1B, Grade C+: Acquired in trade with Diamondbacks. : Adequate glove at third could keep position warm until Arenado is ready. Bat is : average with decent power and should play well in Coors. 14) Ryan Wheeler, 3B-1B, C+ （今年开季24岁, 2012层级AAA、MLB） 用 Matt Reynolds 从小蛇队换来的。 在Arenado上来之前，他可以胜任三垒的防守工作。 打击中等、power不赖，应该能在裤儿湿打得不错。 : 15) Tim Wheeler, OF, Grade C+: Hamate injury sapped power, hit just two homers : in Triple-A after knocking 33 in Double-A in 2011. True level of talent is : somewhere in between. Has problems hitting lefties, solid glove, platoon/fourth : outfielder profile. 15) Tim Wheeler, OF, C+ （今年开季25岁, 2012层级AAA） 手部钩骨的伤势导致他的power一落千丈，2011年打33发，2012只有2发。 不善打左投，防守好，四号外野或platoon。 : 16) Jayson Aquino, LHP, Grade C+: Highly projectable lefty made brief but : successful debut in Pioneer League (1.87 ERA in 43 innings) after dominating : Dominican Summer League. 88-92 now with more heat possible, has a good : changeup, working on breaking stuff, just turned 20. 16) Jayson Aquino, LHP, C+ （今年开季20岁, 2012层级R） 才要20岁而已，变速球不赖，速球和球质都在精进中。 : 17) Rob Scahill, RHP, Grade C+: Easy to overlook due to 5.68 ERA in Triple-A, : but that's Colorado Springs and his FIP was two runs lower. Quality : fastball/sinker/slider combination could be useful in pen if command is there, : could also be fifth starter. 17) Rob Scahill, RHP, C+ （今年开季26岁, 2012层级AAA） 在AAA的成绩没有帐面上的惨，fastball/sinker/slider在牛棚会有点用，或是当个五号。 : 18) Joe Gardner, RHP, Grade C+: Another sinkerballer with 2.04 GO/AO in : Double-A, should see the majors sometime this year. Like Scahill, he could be a : back-end starter or a reliever that you can stretch out more than one inning. 18) Joe Gardner, RHP, C+ （今年开季25岁, 2012层级AA） 又一个滚滚投手，今年应该会上来露脸。 和 Rob Scahill 一样，可能支援先发或是较长的中继。 : 19) Danny Rosenbaum, LHP, Grade C+: Rule 5 pick from Nationals could stick in : bullpen with a chance to start at some point given good durability history, : control, and ground ball tendency (2.29 GO/AO in Double-A). We should sense a : theme here with sinker specialists Rosenbaum, Gardner, and Scahill all in line : for trials. 19) Danny Rosenbaum, LHP, C+ （今年开季25岁, 2012层级AA） 用规则五选秀从国民队挑来的左投，也是个滚滚人，定位和前两位差不多。 : 20) Wilfredo Rodriguez, C, Grade C+: Seventh round pick out of high school in : Puerto Rico is stocky at 5-10, 200, but quite mobile, should develop into a : good defensive catcher, has power potential, hit .319/.370/.452 in Pioneer : League. Long-term prospect but quite interesting. 20) Wilfredo Rodriguez, C, C+ （今年开季19岁, 2012层级R） 有点长打潜力，或许会是个防守好的捕手。 值得长期培养的年轻新秀。 : OTHER GRADE C+ PLAYERS: Cristhian Adames, SS; Rosell Herrera, INF; Seth : Willoughby, RHP. These guys could easily slot in the 16-20 range but I wanted : to highlight guys closer to the majors. 其他 C+ Cristhian Adames, SS Rosell Herrera, INF Seth Willoughby, RHP 其实他们也能轻易排进16~20名的位置，不过我比较聚焦在接近大联盟层级的球员。 : OTHERS: Charlie Culberson, 2B; Taylor Featherston, INF; Ryan Garvey, OF; Angel : Lezama, RHP; Kent Matthes, OF; Sam Mende, INF; Scott Oberg, RHP; Jeff Popick, : OF; Harold Riggins, 1B; Helmis Rodriguez, LHP; Antonio Senzatela, RHP; Peter : Tago, RHP; Ryan Warner, RHP; Max White, OF; Danny Winkler, RHP; Julian Yan, OF. : As everyone knows, the Rockies have a unique challenge in developing players : for the extreme offensive conditions in Coors Field. 大家都知道落矶的裤儿湿是个极端打者球场，要养成新秀有其难度。 : The strength is the hitting at the top of the system. Aside from a poor July, : Arenado's 2012 season was in line with what he did in 2011 once league contexts : are considered. His glove is coming along nicely and he should be a productive : hitter, if a bit short of stardom. Story and Dahl have a few questions to : answer, but if things go well both can be A-grade prospects a year from now. I : am pro-Parker, so at the top of the chart you have four players who should be : solid regulars at least and possibly (probably?) more. Dickerson, Ortega, and : both Wheelers should all be valuable role players of some variety. There are : also some interesting middle infield types with unproven bats to provide some : depth beyond Story. I also like the catching depth, even if I doubt Swanner : behind the plate both Murphy and Wilfredo Rodriguez from the 2012 draft are : very promising. 农场顶端的优势还是打者。 抛开糟糕的七月，Arenado 的表现和 2011 相差不大，他的防守越来越好，在攻击面也能 有稳定的输出，虽然可能不够好。 Story 和 Dahl 都有些问题要解决，若是搞定的话他们明年就会晋升为A级新秀。 Dickerson, Ortega, 两位 Wheeler 都会有点用处。 在 Story 後面还有一些棒子尚未开窍的MI。 捕手深度不错，Murphy、Rodriguez 两位大有可为，但我怀疑 Swanner 的防守。 : Things are tougher on the pitching side. The most advanced pitching prospect is : Cabrera, who is unconventional but successful, though whether that will work in : Coors is unknown. Matzek and Bettis have higher upside, but Tyler's command : troubles are legendary and Chad's shoulder is worrisome for me until he proves : his health. Both could thrive, both could bust. We need higher level data from : Butler and Anderson but neither of them have done anything wrong yet. Products : of the Latin American program like Aquino and the successful pitchers in the : Dominican Summer League like Rodriguez and Senzatela need innings but could be : breaktroughs in the lower levels of the system. There is quite a bit of : material that could fit in a bullpen, much of it close to the majors. 但是在投手这方面就麻烦多了。 最成功的 Cabrera 能不能在裤儿湿生存还是未定之天。 Matzek 和 Bettis 有很高的天赋，但 Matzek 的command已经是史诗级的麻烦； Bettis 的 肩伤也让人担忧。他们可能一飞冲天，也可能会化成灰烬。 Butler 和 Anderson 还需要更高阶的比赛来观察，目前为止没什麽大问题。 拉美投手如 Antonio Senzatela、Helmis Rodriguez、Jayson Aquino 都还需要再磨练， 预期他们在低阶联盟会有所突破。 有足够的 MLB-ready 投手可以支援牛棚。 : In short, the Rockies system has some weak points and needs some pitchers with : fewer question-marks, but there is positional depth that many teams would envy, : especially at the top. 简而言之，落矶农场有些弱点而且急需好投手， 不过在农场前段，也拥有让其他球队称羡的野手深度。 心得： 和前几年的名单相比就知道，这系统中的投打养成都出了些问题 这个球季最大的亮点当属Story、Dahl，以及几乎是起死回生的Friedrich 除此之外简直乏善可陈 不是养坏，就是没有如预期进步 Tyler Matzek 的command Nolan Arenado 的power Chad Bettis 痛痛 Tim Wheeler 受伤後大退步 Peter Tago ..... Kent Matthes...... 其他表现不错的多半开窍太慢 高阶的进步有限，年轻的还太嫩看不出什麽天花板 我们最需要的位置是先发投手和三垒手 再比照一下这农场，有办法期待能成为实质战力的新人真的没几个 几笔交易，上没补到洞，下没加深度 实在难以教人对这个冬天的动作感到满意 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.170.185.159 ※ 编辑: Tulowitzki2 来自: 118.170.185.159 (01/16 07:18)