System In 20 Words Or Less: There’s a good combination of near big league-ready talent and youngsters to dream on. Five-Star Prospects 1. Nolan Arenado, 3B 2. Drew Pomeranz, LHP Four-Star Prospects 3. Wilin Rosario, C 4. Chad Bettis, RHP 5. Tim Wheeler, OF Three-Star Prospects 6. Tyler Matzek, RHP 7. Rosell Herrera, SS/3B 8. Trevor Story, SS 9. Josh Rutledge, SS 10. Tyler Anderson, LHP 11. Kent Matthes, OF Nine More: 12. Charlie Blackmon, OF: He reached the majors and got hurt. Scouts wobble between him being a good fourth outfielder and second-division starter. 13. Christian Adames, SS: He has the potential for well above-average defense, but will he hit enough? 14. Edwar Cabrera, LHP: He put up incredible numbers thanks to an outstanding changeup, but he’s a bit of a trick pitcher. 15. Kyle Parker, OF: This first-round pick didn't mash at Low-A, especially away from Asheville. 16. Christian Friedrich, LHP: His dominance in 2009 is in the rear-view mirror with no great explanation for his decline. 17. Corey Dickerson, OF: Last year's sleeper slugged 32 home runs but also had baseball's most extreme splits with a .354/.417/.844 line at home, and .193/.280/.363 mark on the road. 18. DJ LeMahieu, INF: This future utility player offers some hitting skills and positional flexibility 19. Will Swanner, C: He’s a catcher with plus power who needs to improve behind the plate. 20. Rafael Ortega, OF: Ortega is an athletic center fielder with tools in a small package, but his approach is a mess. 1. Nolan Arenado, 3B DOB: 4/16/91 Height/Weight: 6-1/205 Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Signed: Second round, 2009 El Toro HS (CA) 2011 Stats: .298/.349/.487 at High A (134 G) Tools Profile: He’s an excellent hitter who has made dramatic leaps defensively. Year in Review: The top bat in the system made improvements throughout the season, shined in the Arizona Fall League, and shocked scouts with his defensive development. The Good: Arenado is a fantastic pure hitter with a seemingly supernatural feel for contact. He had more extra-base hits (55) than strikeouts (53) thanks to great hands, and has the strength to hit 20-25 home runs annually. He's honed his approach to avoid pitches he can hit but not drive, and he's worked hard to improve his physique and his defense at third base. Scouts now don't only think he can stay at the hot corner, but also believe Arenado can be average, if not slightly above. The Bad: There is open debate on Arenado's power ceiling; some see it as merely average. He's consistently played in very friendly environments, and that's not going to change as long as he's with the Rockies. He doesn't run well. Ephemera: Nine of Arenado's 20 home runs came in 138 at-bats as the five-hole hitter for Modesto. He hit 11 home runs over 369 at-bats in any other batting position. Perfect World Projection: He could be an All-Star third baseman. Fantasy Impact: Batting average and power. Who doesn't need that? Path to the Big Leagues: The Rockies cleared a path of Arenado by trading Ian Stewart, but talk of him breaking camp in the big leagues is more than a little aggressive. He'll likely begin the year at Double-A, but can hit his way to the big leagues. ETA: Late 2012 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=15780 --

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