作者Tulowitzki2 (屠龙)
看板Rockies
标题Re: [闲聊] Rockies Top 20 Prospects for 2012
时间Sun Jan 1 21:31:16 2012
by John Sickels 2011-12-30
※ 引述《beckseaton (没有运动会死)》之铭言:
: 1) Nolan Arenado, 3B, Grade A-: I love the combination of power production
: and a very low strikeout rate, just 53 whiffs in 517 at-bats. I also like his
: defense at third base, where he combines steadily-improving reliability with
: a strong arm and decent range. Scouts love his bat as much as the numbers do.
: Only negative is lack of speed, but he has All-Star potential.
1) Nolan Arenado 三垒手 A-
优异的长打输出和非常低的被三振率(53 SO / 517 AB)
持续成长的臂力与防守范围使他的三垒守备越来越值得信赖
球探们对他的评估和数字上的优异表现相去不远
有成为明星三垒手的潜质,唯一的缺点就是腿太慢了
: 2) Drew Pomeranz, LHP, Grade A-: Lost velocity late in the year, but had
: extenuating circumstances (two-week layoff because of the trade with
: Cleveland, followed by appendectomy) and was still effective even with less
: zip on the fastball. Projects as a number two starter but could use some
: Triple-A action to polish up his changeup.
2) Drew Pomeranz 左投手 A-
去年季末的球速下滑是个非战之罪(交易、切盲肠,导致他停机两周)
但表现还是令人印象深刻
他应该要先去AAA好好精进变速球,纵使他已经大概能排在二号的位置了
: 3) Chad Bettis, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. 95 MPH sinker and a nasty slider
: were too much for California League hitters. Still working on curveball and
: changeup, preventing B+ at this time, but I like him a lot. Could be a number
: three starter or possibly a closer
3) Chad Bettis 右投手 B ~ B+
95英哩的伸卡球搭配变态滑球,曲球和变速球还在磨练中
大概可以成为一个三号先发或终结者
: 4) Trevor Story, SS, Grade B: More power than most shortstops, and he can
: stick at the position. Great arm, error rate should improve with experience.
: Also takes walks and steals bases. Main concern is tendency to uppercut,
: which could reduce batting average at higher levels. With proper development
: he can be a B+/A- prospect a year from now. . .perhaps more.
4) Trevor Story 游击手 B
超乎一般游击手的抛耳、强肩,以及随经验累积而逐渐减低的失误率
还会选保送跟盗垒
主要麻烦是他越来越uppercut的挥棒将会降低他在更高阶联盟的打击率
理想状态下,明年他将可能成为一个B+ / A-的新秀,或更棒
: 5) Tim Wheeler, OF, Grade B: Broad range of skills: tapped into his power
: last year with 33 homers (plus three more in Arizona Fall League), could also
: steal 20 bases a year, draws some walks. Problems with left-handed pitching
: and a high strikeout rate preclude higher grade right now.
5) Tim Wheeler 外野手 B
破茧而出的抛耳,小联盟夯了33支全垒打,秋联再加3支
超过20次盗垒,还有一些保送
恐左和过高的被三振率降低他的评价
: 6) Tyler Anderson, LHP, Grade B: Borderline B-. Polished strike-thrower from
: University of Oregon, stuff is a tick better than the typical college finesse
: pitcher. Should be a fine number three starter assuming he doesn't catch
: whatever contagion messed up Christian Friedrich.
6) Tyler Anderson 左投手 B ~ B-
善於投好球的投手,有稍高於一般技巧派大学投手的stuff
只要别像Christian Friedrich一样被搞坏他将会是一个称职的三号
: 7) Wilin Rosario, C, Grade B-: Terrific throwing arm and plenty of power, but
: strike zone judgment has deteriorated. Looks like he may end up something
: like Miguel Olivo.
7) Wilin Rosario 捕手 B-
优异的臂力和抛耳,但是好球带掌握能力下滑了
看起来他大概会变得像是Miguel Olivo
(那干嘛要卖Iannetta...= =)
: 8) Kyle Parker, OF, Grade B-: Former Clemson quarterback has excellent power,
: but also has serious contact issues. We need to see what he can do outside
: the South Atlantic League and friendly Asheville.
8) Kyle Parker 外野手 B-
这位前Clemson大学的四分卫有杰出的爆发力,但也有严重的contact问题
他离开低阶A後的表现将更值得观察
: 9) Joe Gardner, RHP, Grade B-: I like him more than the numbers say I should,
: but I love the movement on his fastball. Could end up in relief if secondary
: pitches remain inconsistent.
9) Joe Gardner 右投手 B-
我喜欢他直球的轨迹,对他的欣赏超越数字上的表现
如果第二球路没有发展成功的话他将会往牛棚发展
: 10) Josh Rutledge, SS, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Hit .348/.414/.517 in the
: California League, stole 16 bases. Plate discipline has improved since
: college at Alabama but could still use work. Likely to wind up at second base.
10) Josh Rutledge 游击手 C+ ~ B-
高阶一A加州联盟 .348/.414/.517,16次盗垒,本垒板纪律比大学时期有进步
最後应该会转任二垒
: 11) Kent Matthes, OF, Grade C+: Borderline B-: California League MVP hit .334
: with 23 homers in just 371 at-bats, season cut short by broken hand. Turns 25
: next month, has strike zone issues, need to see at higher levels.
11) Ken Matthes 外野手 C+ ~ B-
高阶一A加州联盟的MVP:在371个打数中有.334打击率23支全垒打
手伤导致他的球季不完整
下个月就要满25岁的他有选球方面的问题,高阶联盟的表现如何还要再看
: 12) Charlie Blackmon, OF, Grade C+: Perfect fourth outfielder profile: some
: power, some speed, makes contact, solid glove.
12) Charlie Blackmon 外野手 C+
完美的四号外野手模组:一些长打、一些速度,有contact有手套
: 13) Edwar Cabrera, LHP, Grade C+: Overmatched A-ball hitters with decent
: fastball and incredible changeup, still working on breaking ball. Scouts
: remain lukewarm despite superior numbers and we need to see him in Double-A.
13) Edwar Cabrera 左投手 C+
以不错的速球和变态的变速球完全吃死一A的打者
变化球还在磨练
即使数字惊人但球探们还是对他兴趣缺缺
我们需要观察他在AA会有什麽表现
: 14) Christian Friedrich, LHP, Grade C+: Two disappointing Double-A seasons
: and this time he doesn't have excuse of a sore elbow. Stock has slipped, but
: still has a live arm and a chance to be a fourth starter or a relief option.
14) Christian Friedrich 左投手 C+
经过两个失望的AA球季之後他的信任已经被用光了,这次没有手肘酸痛可以当藉口
但他还是有只新鲜的左手让他有机会成为四号先发或左手牛
: 15) Tyler Matzek, LHP, Grade C+: He's still got the stuff. After going back
: to his high school mechanics, his command improved from abysmally awful to
: merely quite poor. Very difficult to get a read on. He had some good games
: late for Asheville, but some lousy ones, too. You could order Cabrera,
: Friedrich, and Matzek in any way, depending on if you are most scared of
: Cabrera's lack of breaking ball, Friedrich's crappy seasons in Double-A, or
: Matzek's command collapse.
15) Tyler Matzek 左投手 C+
他还是有stuff在
找回高中时的机制之後,他的command从爆烂升级到有点逊
以下的内容可能会让人看不下去
回到Asheville(低阶一A球队)後他有几场投得不错,也有几场烂球
你可以随便排Cabrera、Friedrich、Matzek三位的顺序
端看你觉得Cabrera的单调球路、Friedrich的超鸟球季、Matzek的command大崩溃哪个惨
: 16) D.J. LeMahieu, INF, Grade C+: I haven't given up hope that he can add
: some power, at least more doubles, and I think his defense is underrated.
16) D.J. LeMahieu 内野手 C+
我对他的抛耳已经不抱任何希望了,连二垒安打都不期不待
而且他的防守还低於平均
: 17) Rosell Herrera, SS, Grade C+: Will wind up at third base or outfield.
: Scouts like his switch-hitting offensive potential despite so-so numbers in
: the Pioneer League. Young at 18, still raw, high upside.
17) Rosell Herrera 游击手 C+
以後会转三垒或外野
球探喜欢他左右开弓的打击潜力,18岁
稚嫩,高天花板
: 18) Rafael Ortega, OF, Grade C+: Didn't wow with his stats in the Sally
: League, but has tools, some speed and power potential, good glove, still just
: 20.
18) Rafael Ortega 外野手 C+
数据看起来很普通但他有不错的tools--速度、抛耳、守备、20岁
: 19) Rob Scahill, RHP, Grade C+: Inning-eater with a nice sinker, good slider,
: chance to surprise in 2012 if he can improve his command.
19) Rob Scahill 右投手 C+
一个有很棒伸卡球和滑球的吃局人
如果持续精进command的话有机会成为2012年的惊奇
: 20) Hector Gomez, SS, Grade C: Strong glove, has some power and speed,
: injuries and plate discipline problems have held him back, could be a solid
: utility guy.
20) Hector Gomez 游击手 C
好的守备,一点抛耳和速度
伤痛跟选球问题导致成绩退步
可以成为一个不错的工具人
: OTHERS: Cristhian Adames, SS; Jayson Aquino, LHP; Andrew Brown, OF; Albert
: Campos, RHP; Corey Dickerson, OF; Tommy Field, INF; Parker Frazier, RHP; Dan
: Houston, RHP; Jordan Pacheco, C; Ben Paulsen, 1B; Josh Slaats, RHP; Will
: Swanner, C; Peter Tago, RHP; Dillon Thomas, OF; Carl Thomore, OF; Dan
: Winkler, RHP.
: This is a solid farm system. On offense you have a future star third baseman
: in Arenado. Wheeler and Rosario have weaknesses but should be solid regulars
: or good role players. Story could be/should be excellent if he develops at a
: normal pace. Parker, Matthes, and Rutledge could all become regulars as well,
: although they all have weaknesses that could get exposed in Double-A.
这是一个坚强的农场系统,进攻方面有未来的全明星三垒手Arenado
Wheeler和Rosario虽然有些缺点但还是能成为固定先发或称职的球员
Story如果发展正常的话也会很出色
Parker、Matthes、Rutledge也可能成为先发球员
虽然他们的缺点在升上AA之後将会更明显
: Blackmon and LeMahieu won't be stars but both can contribute in the majors
: now. Herrera and Ortiz are a long way off but have upside. Gomez and Tulsa
: teammate Tommy Field will battle for utility roles. Gomez has the tools
: advantage but Field is a scrapper who should not be underestimated.
: Corey Dickerson is a tough one. He couldn't hit outside Asheville and scouts
: don't like him much, but 32 homers is a lot in any context and he deserves a
: full shot at higher levels. Let's see what he does in the California League.
Blackmon和LeMahieu不会先发但他们两个目前已经都可以在大联盟有所贡献
Herrera和Ortiz(应该是Ortega)还很遥远但有天份
Gomez和他的AA队友Tommy Field会在UT的角色上竞争
Gomez有tool优势,但Field也不容低估
球探们不喜欢Corey Dickerson但他的32支全垒打实在很抢眼
他在高阶联盟值得完整的出赛,期待他在加州联盟的表现
: I am pro-Pomeranz and I also like 2011 draftee Tyler Anderson. Friedrich is
: an enigma who could still develop but might need a change of scenery. Cabrera
: and Matzek are both extremely interesting but for opposite reasons. Of the
: A-ball lefties, Matzek has the highest ceiling but also the highest bust
: potential.
: Bettis and Gardner both have power sinkers coveted by the organization.
: Either or both could end up in the bullpen, but Bettis' secondary stuff is
: better and I think he has the best shot at remaining a starter.
: Overall, I like the system. They have depth and a balance of players with
: tools and polish.
Pomeranz和2011首轮Tyler Anderson都很好
Friedrich的状况是个谜,转换角色後或许能蜕变
Cabrera和Matzek是最有趣却又大异其趣的双人组
Matzek是一A中天花板最高的左投,也有可能会是爆最大的那一个
Bettis和Gardner都有系统中最梦寐以求的强力伸卡,也都有可能会转战牛棚
但是Bettis的Stuff比较好而我觉得他最适合的位置还是先发
整体看来,我喜欢这个有深度而且球员发展均衡的农场
: http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/12/30/2671001/colorado-rockies-top-20-prospects-for-2012
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 118.168.79.153
※ 编辑: Tulowitzki2 来自: 118.168.79.153 (01/01 21:35)
1F:推 F9733018:非常认同 分析的好啊!期待pomeranz的表现 01/02 03:00
2F:推 flyinwinds:基本上~我们投手最近都没养好过... 01/02 21:26