作者YGJHSU (杰)
看板Rockies
标题[翻译] 2010战力分析-先发
时间Thu Feb 18 22:19:27 2010
原文:
http://0rz.tw/DvCKD
Spring countdown discussion: Starting pitching
Feb. 10, 2010 | 11:44 am
By Steve Foster
Five starting pitchers accounted for 155 of the Colorado Rockies’ 162 starts
in 2009, unheard of stability for a franchise whose pitching staff at times
has been one of baseball’s most tired jokes. The Rockies likely will see one
change in their starting rotation in 2010, and that to welcome back an old
friend.
前言:09年洛矶五人轮值相当稳固,在162场赛事中先发出赛155场。这似乎不太像过往
投手战力老是出包的球队。10年将会欢迎好久不见的老朋友--Jeff Francis。
Ubaldo Jimenez: After years of developing quality No. 2 or No. 3 starters and
pressing them into service as No. 1s, the Rockies are looking at the
emergence of their first true ace. Jimenez struggled in April for a second
consecutive season — his ERA stood at 6.58 on May 1 — but finished 2009 at
15-12 with a 3.47 ERA, setting career bests in wins, ERA, innings pitched and
strikeouts and cutting his bases on balls from 103 to 85. During one stretch
from the beginning of August until early September, Jimenez pitched eight
innings in five of seven starts and never allowed more than two earned runs
in a game. He is the rubber-armed giant the Rockies have needed from the
beginning, a pitcher who can coast through innings by inducing weak ground
balls but gets the strikeout when he needs it. He often struggles early in
games, but settles in the second and third times through an order. One day —
perhaps it will come this season — Jimenez will understand just how much
better he is than nearly every hitter he faces and begin to dominate for
weeks at a time, rather than innings at a time.
#1:Ubaldo Jimenez。
几年的培养,洛矶终於养出自己的ACE。Jimenez虽然连续两年慢热,但最终缴出亮眼的
成绩单,在胜场数、ERA、局数及三振上都是生涯最佳,同时也降低了四坏球的数量。从
八月初到九月上旬,Jimenez在5次先发中都投了八局,并且把自责分控制在两分以下。
他耐操的手臂能够为这支球队制造出源源不绝的软弱滚地与三振。Jimenez开局常常不稳
但总能在打线第二三轮上场时回神。总有一天他会变成大投手!
Aaron Cook: In 2007, Cook missed most of the Rockies postseason drama while
on the disabled list to end the regular season. He nearly repeated it in 2009
when he went on the disabled list with a shoulder strain late in August.
Determined not to let it happen again, Cook returned for one last regular
season start — as it turned out, the playoff clincher and one of the best
games he pitched all season — and Game 2 of the NLDS. The Rockies’
winningest pitcher is one of those homegrown starters the Rockies have
pigeonholed into the role of ace even though it was not a great fit. His
success is determined by how well he is throwing one pitch, his sinker, and
while he can quiet a team quickly when the pitch is on, he does not dominate
game after game as Jimenez can. Cook will continue to benefit from Jimenez’s
emergence. No longer counted on to carry a mediocre pitching staff, Cook is
now the efficient sinkerballer sandwiched between two guys with nasty stuff.
#2:Aaron Cook
07年洛矶上演不可能的季後赛时,大厨坐壁上观。09年历史似乎又要重演,不过
Cook在季赛的最後一场先发上阵,把洛矶弟兄带进季後赛。同时也在NLDS game2先发主投
Rockies试图把Cook当成王牌,不过大厨只能在他伸卡球发威时料理敌队,而不能像
Jimenez那样宰制。Jimenez成熟後,Cook不用再肩负一号投手的重担,可以安心地在
两个拥有刁钻球路的投手中间扮演好自己的角色。
Jorge De La Rosa: In his second season with the Rockies, De La Rosa finally
showed why the team has been so patient with him, first waiting nearly two
months to finish a trade for him with the Royals in 2008 then continuing to
run him back out to the mound when he was sitting at 0-6 with a 5.43 ERA at
the end May last season. Facing a demotion, De La Rosa turned his season
around at exactly the moment the team as a whole turned its season around. De
La Rosa was 9-1 in June and July and 16-3 following his 0-6 start. On Sept.
16, he pitched one of the biggest games in Rockies history when he shut out
the Giants for eight innings in San Francisco to end a four-game losing
streak that had put their wild-card lead in jeopardy. The Rockies avoided
arbitration with De La Rosa this offseason by signing him to just a one-year
deal, making him a free agent after this season. He still has a hit-0r-miss
quality about him, but the Rockies believe his extended run of good starts
last season wasn’t a fluke.
#3:Jorge De La Rosa
De La Rosa向大家证明,真爱值得等待。09年截至五月底,他一胜难求。然後,当洛矶
开始一飞冲天时,De La Rosa也开始展现他的能耐。9/16号投了一场关键性的比赛,巩固
住当时因连败而有些危险的外卡领先优势。本季Rockies已经与他签下一年合约,将在
10年球季结束後成为自由球员。De La Rosa的投球一翻两瞪眼,常让人看得心惊胆颤
但洛矶相信他去年的好成绩不只是运气好。
Jeff Francis: Francis spent all of 2009 rehabbing after shoulder surgery and
playing goodwill ambassador by regularly catching ceremonial first pitches at
Coors Field. His rehab progressed ahead of schedule and there were rumblings
late in the season that Francis would be available for the postseason. The
Rockies didn’t press him into service and decided to let the Francis — like
Cook, more of a No. 2 or No. 3 starter who became an ace by default — ease
back into the rotation knowing Jason Marquis would likely be gone after the
season. Francis is in the last year of his contract, but the team has an
option for 2011 that would come at a reasonable price if Francis returns
close to his 2007 form — 17-9, 4.22, 215 1/3 innings — and is able to
pretend that 2008, like 2009, never existed.
#4:Jeff Francis
Francis花了一整个球季复健。积极努力的表现让他原可在季後赛上场。不过球队为了保险
起见,决定在本季才让他顶上Marquis离队後所留下的空位。Francis已经走到合约最後
一年,但Rox可以视Francis本季表现来决定要不要捡他11年的合约。当然,如果能够回到
07年的身手,11年的价格看起来将相当合理(编按:7M)
Jason Hammel: At times brilliant — like his eight-inning, five-hit
performance against the Los Angeles Dodgers in July — and other times
frustratingly inconsistent, Hammel nevertheless proved to be an adequate
fifth starter for the Rockies. Acquired from the Tampa Bay Rays just before
the season started, Hammel pitched four games out of the bullpen before
taking over a spot in the rotation in late April. Hammel, like De La Rosa,
avoided arbitration by signing a one-year deal in the offseason and is being
pushed by a collection of live arms. He has the potential to be a solid
innings eater if he can, unlike another tall Jason the Rockies gave up last
season (Hirsh), use his height to his advantage and learn to trust his
fastball.
#5:Jason Hammel
Hammel的表现时好时坏。但对於扮演洛矶的五号先发来说,已经足够。原本待在光芒的
Hammel,从牛棚投了几场之後才转战先发。今年同样签下一年约,希望能在未来转变成
稳定吃局数的投手。
Who’s in the picture: Jhoulys Chacin and Esmil Rogers, who each started one
game for the Rockies in 2009, will be pushing for a spot with the Rockies out
of spring training but are likely to start the season in Triple-A. Chacin has
more refined stuff than Rogers, but he struggled with his command when he
reached the majors, a problem he never had in the minor leagues. Greg Smith
and former first-round pick Greg Reynolds are trying to come back from
injuries and could be a factor at some point. Tim Redding, who the Rockies
signed to a minor-league contract, will be fighting for the last spot in the
bullpen and trying to force his way into the starting picture. Franklin
Morales started 2009 in the Rockies rotation, but he looks like a fixture in
the bullpen for the foreseeable future.
接班人选:
Jhoulys Chacin and Esmil Rogers:春训会亮相,不过开季应该会在3A。Chacin完成度
较高,但在MLB有控球问题,这是他小联盟投球不曾出现的症状。
Greg Smith and Greg Reynolds:养伤中,或许能在球季中亮相。
Tim Redding:争取进入轮值,或许会从牛棚出发。
Franklin Morales:去年开季轮值,不过看起来比较适合待在牛棚。
Who’s in the future: The Rockies will have one of their most promising
collections of pitching prospects together in the starting rotation at
Colorado Springs to start the season, but it’s the guy at Double-A who has
them most excited. Christian Friedrich seems to be on the Jeff Francis
schedule. He will start the season at Tulsa as Francis did when he made his
major-league debut in 2004. The Rockies have gone out of their way to show
patience with Friedrich, but he is forcing the issue. As Francis did,
Friedrich could make brief move to Triple-A before a Coors Field debut late
in the season. Samuel Deduno and Chaz Roe finally lived up their promise with
strong seasons at Double-A, but find themselves slightly behind Chacin and
Rogers, who they’re likely to join in the Sky Sox rotation. The Rockies
pulled off a major coup by signing Tyler Matzek to a deal well below what he
was rumored to be demanding. Juan Nicasio, Chris Balcolm-Miller and Jonathon
Vargas are all promising, but too far away to know just how good they will
be. Parker Frazier was about to start moving through the Rockies system
before being injured last season and will miss most of 2010 after Tommy John
surgery. Other names who could be factors: Keith Weiser, Cory Riordan and
Bruce Billings.
未来希望:
最让人兴奋的新秀,Christian Friedrich,开季将从2A出发。
计画表与04年的Francis雷同,球队希望慢工出细活,不过Friedrich迫使
球队尽早让他升(编按:这句不太确定) 本季季末Rox将会先把他升上3A,然後再上MLB观光
一下。至於Deduno跟Roe,上季表现不俗,本季将从2A出发。
签下Tyler Matzek是洛矶意外的收获。
Chris Balcolm-Miller and Jonathon Vargas值得让人期待,不过现在还言之过早。
Parker Frazier 10年将因为动TJ而几乎整季报销。
其它让人期待的名字:Keith Weiser, Cory Riordan and Bruce Billings.
Discuss: Despite the Rockies’ year-over-year stability in starting rotation,
changes loom. The Rockies have Jimenez locked up through 2012 with very
reasonable options for 2013 and 2014. Beyond that, the Rockies starting
rotation should evolve as prospects — Chacin, Rogers, Deduno, Roe, Friedrich
and Matzek — mature. Cook’s contract is up after 2011, although the Rockies
have an option for 2012. Francis’ deal ends after the 2010, but as they do
with Cook, the Rockies have the option to keep him around for another year.
De La Rosa is a free agent after the season. Hammel will be eligibile for
arbitration again. So who should the Rockies hold on to, who should they let
walk? What does the starting rotation look like in 2011? 2014?
讨论:Rox的稳固投手轮值能维持多久?Jimenez可能到14年都还是洛矶的人
此外,一票新秀也准备上来接班。Cook跟Francis只要投得好,球队一定会捡他们的option
De La Rosa本季结束後成为FA,Hammel则准备再次接受仲裁。球队要留下谁,
又准备让谁滚蛋? 这支球队未来几年的轮值又会长怎样呢?
(最後一段有讲跟没讲一样...= = )
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 220.134.179.129
※ 编辑: YGJHSU 来自: 220.134.179.129 (02/18 22:20)
※ 编辑: YGJHSU 来自: 220.134.179.129 (02/18 22:21)
1F:推 lightring:XD 02/18 22:37
2F:推 lightring:如果JDLR再十五胜我就买他的球衣 XD 02/18 22:52
3F:→ YGJHSU:好像该把楼上的话备份一下 02/18 23:34
4F:推 lightring:XD 我连小塔的球衣都有 02/18 23:52