30 Dexter Fowler CF Colorado Rockies TOP '08 LEVEL: MLB UR 23 Fowler was one of the top players to just miss my list last year due to concerns about his swing. He has always been a plus defender in center with good speed. He showed patience as soon as he reached pro ball, but he had swing issues from both sides of the plate; it's not surprising that he had issues from the left side, since he's only been switch-hitting since instructional league in 2004, but he was leaking badly as a right-handed hitter as well. The Rockies have done a great job cleaning up both swings -- he keeps his weight back much better now than he did as recently as late 2007, and he does a better job keeping his hands inside the ball when he's hitting left-handed. He's still obviously more comfortable hitting right-handed, but the improvement on both sides is a great sign, and he shows above-average power from the left side when he gets his arms extended on balls out over the plate. Fowler's a plus runner -- albeit a below-average base stealer -- and covers a lot of ground in center. He gets good marks for makeup and work ethic, and given the strides he's already made, there's reason to expect further improvement. 59 Christian Friedrich LHP Colorado Rockies TOP '08 LEVEL: A (Asheville) IE 21 Friedrich was one of the top starters in the 2008 draft, sort of a poor man's Brian Matusz, and made his bones with a strong showing in the Cape Cod League in 2007. He has little projection right now, but his stuff is major-league caliber: a solid-average fastball that might end up a 55, a very tight curveball that's almost 12-6 with a last-second downward break, a sharp cutter that he added his junior year and fringy changeup that he often puts away in favor of the cutter. Friedrich's delivery is a little rough, with long arm action and a high slot, which isn't great for command or long-term health, although he made every start in three years at Eastern Kentucky, fanning 327 in 245 innings in a poor conference. Because he wasn't challenged much as an amateur, he hasn't had to refine his command or work on mixing his pitches -- his curveball was too good for that conference -- and he may not hit that wall until Double-A. Once he passes that wall, he should be a solid No. 3 or No. 4 starter in the big leagues. 72 Chris Nelson 2B Colorado Rockies TOP '08 LEVEL: AA (Tulsa) 77 23 Nelson had a breakout 2007 season that seemed to reestablish him as a prospect, only to follow it up with an awful 2008 that, it turns out, was marred by a broken hamate bone. Nelson tried to play through it without telling the Rockies that he was hurt, and only gave in and got it fixed after hitting .229/.298/.349 over the first two months of the season. He still wasn't right in the five weeks after his return, although he did hit .321/.392/.595 in the Arizona Fall League, showing power and patience and making more contact. Nelson is a good athlete with very quick wrists and good bat speed, and he has more power than you'd expect from a 5-foot-11, 175-pound hitter (although I think that he's filled out since that weigh-in). Assuming that the poor regular-season performance was largely a function of the hamate injury, his main problem now is finding a position; he's a natural shortstop, but because that's Troy Tulowitzki's job, he played second base in the AFL and struggled even on routine plays. He still has just 29 games of pro experience at second, so it's early. Despite his tough 2008, I'm convinced that his bat will play at second or even in center field. 74 Jhoulys Chacin RHP Colorado Rockies TOP '08 LEVEL: A (Modesto) UR 21 Chacin will pitch this year at just 21 years old, but already has shown excellent feel for pitching and average command. His fastball is solid-average now and will occasionally flash plus, but he'll probably settle in pitching at 90-92; it has good sink and generates a ton of groundballs. His best pitch is his changeup, which he goes to against both left- and right-handed hitters, although like all of his secondary offerings it's inconsistent. His curveball projects as average, but right now he doesn't use it often and it's only made small progress since he signed. His arm is quick and works well, but he's very long in the back and stiff as he comes around his body. The feel, command, and presence of an out pitch are all huge positives, but he has to stay healthy and make more progress with the breaking ball. -- 一次大意，便是永久的放弃 幸福的灵光，只一闪烁，便无声迹.... --

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