作者Lovedust (immerse)
看板Rockies
标题Re: [转录][情报] AL & NL Rookie of the Year
时间Fri Nov 16 13:38:57 2007
: → graydevils:Tulo可惜了...生不逢时?! 11/13 03:30
: 推 TomCourtenay:记得在十年後更诉您儿子Tulo新人年时跟Gold Glove & 11/13 03:52
: → TomCourtenay:ROY失之交臂时,其实都是很可惜的... 11/13 03:54
: → kimimaru:我觉得在防守圣经里面留名,也很值得骄傲了~ 11/13 04:32
: 推 lightring:真是很可惜~~ 11/13 08:18
: 推 flyinwinds:今年连拿两个第二的Tulo..恨阿~~ 11/13 10:30
: 推 flyinwinds:要狂贺Tulo是首位SS新人年轰出20轰却没拿到ROY的人吗 11/13 10:39
: 推 leon0000:这也没办法 因为他前面是第一年就有30轰15盗的三垒手阿 11/13 15:51
: 推 eei:可是 Braun 的守备有一点...^^||| 11/14 21:37
Tulo 算是被抢了
Joe Sheehan, BP
In the NL balloting, Ryan Braun barely edged Troy Tulowitzki, 128-126, to
pick up the hardware. This was a very tough call, and it’s not clear whether
the closeness of the vote reflects the difference in the performance of each
player’s team, a desire by the voters to show they’re not cowed by big
hitting numbers, or an actual understanding of the defensive difference
between the two.
That difference was astronomical, probably enough to overcome Braun’s
staggering edge at the plate. In about two-thirds of a season—remember, the
Brewers didn’t call Braun up until May 24—he was worth 50 runs above a
replacement-level hitter. Tulowitzki, who played from Opening Day, was worth
30. Defensively, however, Braun was wretched, costing the Brewers 15 runs as
compared to a replacement-level third baseman. Tulowitzki, meanwhile, was a
terrific defensive shortstop, saving the Rockies 46 runs above replacement.
When you translate those performances to wins, you find that Braun was worth
3.9 wins above replacement (WARP), and Tulowitzki a whopping 8.5 WARP.
This isn’t just the difference between the two in one system. John Dewan of
Baseball Info Solutions estimates the difference between the two defensively
at more than 50 runs, and the gap between them will be comparable whether you
use Ultimate Zone Rating or Probabilistic Model of Range or any of the
play-by-play systems out there that evaluate defensive performance. Ryan
Braun was an amazing hitter in 2007, and in most seasons would have deserved
the Rookie of the Year Award. This year, however, he was up against arguably
the best defensive player in the league, someone who's also a good hitter in
his own right. Troy Tulowitzki wasn’t robbed by much, but he was robbed.
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◆ From: 140.114.123.120
1F:推 rahim03:John Sickels也认为Tulo才应该是ROY 11/16 15:37
2F:推 flyinwinds:认了吧~毕竟MLB打击比守备要给人印象深刻的多了 11/16 16:09