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Scenario One Mavericks get Asik (~$8.4mil) Rockets get Trade Exception (~$8.4mil) With the Mavs excess cap room, absorbing Asik's salary shouldn't be an issue if they manage their finances properly. Why would the Rockets do this? Simply to free up cap space. If they truly believe they have a chance to land a star or top tier player then they'll look to unload salary whenever possible. Also, netting a decently large trade exception could be useful for them in future trades. The Mavs could probably trade a future second round selection (doubt they would want to use a first rounder on Asik) to make it somewhat more appealing. 方案一 *小牛得到Asik *火箭得到交易特例 小牛有足够的薪资空间,所以吃下Asik的合约不是什麽大问题。 火箭这麽做的好处? 火箭腾出薪资空间引入第三巨头,还得到一个将来可能会派上用场的交易特例。 小牛可能还会奉上一枚未来次轮选秀权给火箭。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario Two Mavericks get Asik (~$8.4mil) Rockets get Samuel Dalembert and Wayne Ellington (~$5.6mil) Taking the difference in salaries shouldn't be an obstacle at all in this deal. If the Rockets aren't interested in Ellington, this trade can easily be a straight swap of Asik for Dalembert; the Mavs should be able to absorb the estimated five million difference. Why would the Rockets do this? They add two potential rotation players to their roster. Dalembert can take over the backup duties Asik is leaving behind. Ellington's three point shooting could land him in the rotation, as he could spread the court for stars James Harden and Howard. Worst case for the Rockets is they can terminate Dalembert's non-fully guaranteed contract and free up additional cap space. 方案二 *小牛得到Asik *火箭得到Dalembert和Ellington 如果火箭不想要Ellington的话,可以直接用Asik一对一换Dalembert,小牛应该能吸收 那500万的价差。 火箭有什麽好处? 火箭可以得到两名替补球员,Dalembert可以取代Asik离开後的替补中锋位置, Ellington 会是轮替阵容中的三分射手,他可以替Harden和Howard拉开空间。对於火箭来说,最糟的 情况如果发生,他们还可以终止Dalembert的非完全保障合约,然後腾出更多的薪资空间。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Scenario Three Mavericks get Asik and Jeremy Lin (~$16.8mil) Rockets get Dalembert, Ellington, and possibly Shawn Marion (S&T) ($5.6+mil) It's obvious that Marion wants to end his career with a contender (if it's not with the Mavs), so he might feel Houston would be a good place for him to most likely end his career with. The Mavs could try to force Houston into including Donatas Motiejunas for taking on Lin's contract. Whether or not Marion is involved, the Mavs could possibly free up enough money to bring those two in. Why would the Rockets do this? They dump not one, but two contracts and players they may feel they may be better off without. Again, we already know what Dalembert and Ellington could offer them (see scenario two). Now, why would they want Marion? Well, Houston wasn't exactly a great defensive team, so while Marion isn't the defender he once was, he could still give them some good minutes on the defensive end. Also, his ability to play power forward for stretches may also appeal to the Rockets, as they prefer to spread the court and due to Terrence Jones being the only power forward on the roster. Why would the Mavericks do this? This could possibly be a latch ditch effort to land a center (if they strike on on the free agent market and on Tyson Chander and Larry Sanders). With their backs against the wall, they may feel they'd have no choice but to take on Lin. Positive is like Asik, Lin is in the final year of his poison pill contract. Bringing in Lin would most likely mean the end of Devin Harris in Dallas sadly. Though, paying $30mil for these two due to the poison pill contract could be a tough swallow. 方案三 *小牛得到林书豪和Asik *火箭得到Dalembert、Ellington,可能再外加个Shawn Marion(先签後换) 很明显地Marion希望能在一支有竞争力的球队效力(假设不是小牛的话)为他的职业生涯 划上句点,所以他可能会觉得火箭会是他结束职业生涯不错的落脚处,小牛可以试着说服 火箭把Motiejunas也放进吃下林书豪的合约里,不管Marion是否涉入这桩交易,小牛都有 足够的薪资空间能吃下Asik和林书豪。 火箭这麽做的好处?他们抛售掉两笔合约,再来,我们已经知道Dalembert和Ellington 对火箭有什麽好处(见方案二),现在,为什麽觉得火箭会想要Marion?嗯,火箭事实上 并不是一支防守很好的球队,虽然Marion没有以前防守大闸的功力,但他仍然可以充当 火箭几分钟的防守终结者。而且他可以打大前锋的位置也是吸引火箭的优点,火箭偏好 可以拉开空间的大前锋,也是因为Terrence Jones是目前火箭阵中唯一有这种能力的大 前锋。 小牛这麽做的好处?这可能是小牛无路可退的引援中锋方案(假如小牛想引援Tyson Chandler或Larry Sanders的计划失利的话),背水一战的他们可能会觉得他们除了吃下 林书豪以外别无选择了,乐观的是这是林书豪和Asik毒药合约的最後一年了,但可惜的是 引入林书豪Devin Harris可能就不在小牛了,虽然,吞下30M的毒药合约还是很难下咽。 http://ppt.cc/~grU --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 1.170.121.211
※ 文章网址: http://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Rockets/M.1403238609.A.BE7.html ※ 编辑: thanos (1.170.121.211), 06/20/2014 12:33:18
1F:→ evangelew:方案三比较不可能 小牛已经有Ellis了,应该不需要Lin 06/20 12:48
2F:推 qoomilk:1.2都非常合理,唯一失败原因大概就同区资敌问题 06/20 12:51
3F:→ evangelew:有薪资空间加上老板又很愿意花钱补强 这样的球队 06/20 12:53
4F:→ evangelew:应该不多 06/20 12:53
5F:→ mozzan:Marion到火箭根本上不了场,冰箱根本不会用 06/20 13:06
6F:→ magamanzero:都不太可能 雷霆都愿意出首轮了 干麻跟小牛拿次轮 06/20 13:09
7F:→ magamanzero:更遑论这是资敌 到时候季後赛被阿西打脸 莫雷可会哭哭 06/20 13:09
8F:→ magamanzero:当年被Lin打一次 现在要再被阿西打一次吗XDD 06/20 13:10
9F:→ magamanzero:再来 小牛吞这毒药的意义在哪 阿西就一年约 06/20 13:14
10F:→ magamanzero:除非司机就剩下一年了 不然吞这毒药还要送签不合理 06/20 13:15
11F:→ magamanzero:再者阿西虽然防守效益很好 但是有奶油手和体力问题 06/20 13:16
12F:→ magamanzero:这一年约 可以让它的奶油手在小牛消失 完全不看好 06/20 13:16
13F:→ magamanzero:火箭也是花了一年 才稍微减少他手上的奶油量 06/20 13:17
14F:推 JCrawford:你都说了这是资敌,拿个二轮也不为过,二轮也不是啥 06/20 13:21
15F:→ JCrawford:宝,充其量只是配菜 06/20 13:22
16F:→ magamanzero:我的意思是资敌行为不能用一个次轮打发这样 06/20 13:32
17F:→ sdf138:说阿西奶油手 然後花了一年 不认同 这一年 不就是冰和吹密 06/20 21:55
18F:→ sdf138:有练他才怪 06/20 21:56
19F:→ nenpow:是第一年吧 06/21 08:20
20F:→ tliu223:方案2比较有实现的可能吧… 06/22 19:03







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