2013-8-16莫雷在reddit与网友问答摘译 原文连结：http://bit.ly/14TyGq6 这次的聊天一直陆续有相关报导和讨论。 以下补充三个我觉得比较有意思的问答。 分别是关於比赛的随机成分、控卫类型与球权。 yurtyybomb: Is there a certain element of randomness when it comes to building a team that can't be accounted for by analytics? Teams like the 2008 era Celtics, big 3 Heat, and Pau-Kobe-Bynum-Odom Lakers all worked tremendously, but other combinations fall flat when a team may appear to be dominant. dmorey: Tons of randomness. I love the NBA as a sport because it is one that cannot be quantified as directly as say, baseball but still has enough data&information to challenge assumptions and draw useful conclusions. Think about one jump shot made -- was it because he is a good shooter? Bad individual defense? Bad team defense? A good pick? Because it was not off the dribble? etc... I think the most basic components of the game having multiple significant factors and randomness is illustrative to how complex the game is overall. 问：在建队过程中，是否有些统计分析所无法解释的随机成分？ 2008的赛尔提克三巨头、热火三巨头，以及湖人的Pau-Kobe-Bynum-Odom很成功， 但其他组合尽管看来很有主宰力，却都以失败收场。 答：这里面充满了太多随机因素。 我之所以喜爱NBA这项运动，正因为它比棒球更难量化， 但我们仍能蒐集充足的资讯、归纳出有用的结论，并挑战既定的观念。 就以一次跳投得分为例吧—— 得分是因为这名球员是个好射手？ 还是因为差劲的单防？或是差劲的团队防守？ 又或者这是一次成功的挡人？或因为这不是运球自投？等等…… 仅仅是比赛中最基本的一小部分，都可能受许许多多的重要因素与随机成分影响， 我想这足以说明一场球赛有多麽复杂。 burimal: Firstly, congrats on making a kick ass team. I always wondered what type of point guard is more valuable: a score first point guard (Like Rose, Westbrook) or a pass first point (Nash, Paul). Personally, I always felt that the former were just smaller shooting guards, and that they don’t help the rest of the team as much as the former. Do you (Or anybody on the Rockets, I suppose) believe that one style is more preferable than the other? Or is it merely based on what the rest of the team is like? Thanks. dmorey: Really depends on context but I prefer all 5 players to be offensive threats at all times so I know I prefer score first PGs more than most teams. 问：得分型控卫和传球型控卫，哪一种更有价值？ 我个人觉得前者只是小个子的得分後卫，对球队的帮助不如後者。 火箭比较喜欢哪种类型的控卫，或者这要视其他队员组合而定？ 答：当然这需要视情况而定。 不过和联盟中的其他队伍相比，我更偏好得分型控卫， 因为我希望场上的五个球员都能带来进攻威胁。 IanicRR: Have you done a lot of work regarding advanced stats and how they work with your current roster? Do you think there are enough possessions for Harden, Dwight, JLin and trying to keep Parsons happy too? permalinkpocket dmorey: Yes 问：你是否已经就根据目前的轮值阵容，做了大量的进阶数据研究？ 你觉得哈登、DH、林书豪都能有足够的球权，而Parsons也会感到满意吗？ 答：是。 （下面有网友推文表示：Popovich level answer!。XD） --

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