Why Jeremy Lin Will Be the Key to Houston Rockets' Postseason Success By Kenny DeJohn on [b/r] http://0rz.tw/cIEXf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Point guard Jeremy Lin is the key to the success of the Houston Rockets in the 2012-13 playoffs—period. 火箭队先发控卫「林书豪」将会是本季季後赛的「关键之钥」。 Anyone who tries to tell you that James Harden, Chandler Parsons or Omer Asik is that player is unfortunately incorrect. Harden will continue to score— it's the biggest part of his game. Parsons is a stat sheet filler, and there's no reason why we should think he won't continue. Asik is a monster in the paint (both on offense and when grabbing rebounds), and his physical play will translate right over to the postseason. All these guys are important, but Lin's performance is crucial. Whether it be because of coaching decisions or sheer inconsistency, sometimes we don't know what we're going to get from Lin on a nightly basis. That's why Lin stepping up is key. 如果有任何人试图说服你说:HARDEN或是CP或是ASIK，将会是季後赛的「关键之钥」。 对不起，那肯定是错的! 是的，HARDEN将会继续得分，那正是他所擅长的。 是的，CP这位血汗劳工将会继续填满BOX上的格子。 (AK表示:..有人接班了。) 是的，ASIK这位禁区的奶油兽将会继续在防守端和篮板上统治禁区。 上述几位当然是火箭队非常重要的球员，但LIN的表现更是关键。 本季因为MCHALE的神奇调度，又或者LIN本身表现的不稳定， 而使的我们不知道该对该场比赛能有甚麽期待或是获的惊喜? (健达出奇蛋?! 冏) 但，正也刚好证明当LIN挺身而出的重要性。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Kevin McHale has handled Lin interestingly this season. First off, he prefers Harden to handle the ball most of the time. Harden's USG (usage rate) this season is 28.73 percent. Lin's is a paltry 20.36, barely above the league average of 18.79. This suggests that Harden is not only the focal point of the scoring offense, but also the main distributor. If Lin is the point guard, then he needs to be given the ball more. He doesn't need to score more, but he most certainly needs to take control of his offense. Lin has shown that he can orchestrate the offense when given the opportunities. McHale has also given Lin inconsistent minutes. Fourth quarters often go by with Lin on the bench for a good portion of the period. Patrick Beverley plays the point instead, which is baffling. Beverley, a good defender and solid bench guy in his own right, should not be on the court in tight situations late in the fourth quarter. KEVIN MCHALE的神奇调度 1) 在KM的战术底下，他让SG的HARDEN大量持球 = USG% 28.73 (使用率) 反观打PG的LIN = USG% 20.36 (仅高於联盟评均18.79一点点) ＊注：USG%使用率的参考数据来自(FG+FT+TO)，或许没有球权正关的概念。 但也可以被考虑到的是参与进攻回合的比例。(加上我们都有在FOLLOW比赛 X) 2) 在KM的战术底下，他让HARDEN不只专注於得分，甚至也参与到传导者的角色。 反观不用得太多分但应该有更多球权组织的LIN，躲在底角玩沙。 不用怀疑，LIN就应该是那个"THE-PG"，而不是 "A-PG"。 3) 在KM的调度底下，LIN没有稳定的上场时间或时机点。(上上下下 左左右右 大绝招?!) 4) 在KM的调度底下，第四节时，LIN时常会被遗忘在板凳上。(疑?!LIN怎麽黑黑的=PB) 当然PB是一位很好的替补，也是一名很好的防守球员， 但也不该决胜关头时把PB放在上面，而不是LIN。 ＊注：其实PB其实也是小人物的奋斗史，也有非常多优缺点， 有兴趣的话我在队版有相关文章。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Lin is the far superior player and has shown instances of being a clutch performer in the past. McHale needs to give Lin more minutes in the final period. That will more than likely occur now that playoff rotations should be tightening up, but we'll have to wait until Game 1 of the first round to find that out. 早在去年LIN就已经证明自己是「第四节先生」+「大心脏」。 而KM必须要把LIN留在倒数的决胜期上，用跪的也要跪他去。 当然以最近的比赛来看，的确有这样的趋势。 笔者跟版友们也还在等待CP回归，以及季後赛时KM的调度来验证。 (原文内回顾影片:http://0rz.tw/FhyL8 ) Even without the ball in his hands as often as it should be, Lin's energy and hustle are what make him so important. He's an above-average off-ball player (though he's not in the same league as Richard Hamilton), and his hustle results in many Rockets baskets. 当球权变少变成常态时，LIN仍努力向上拼劲十足，这也成就他为何如此重要的原因之一。 他也是联盟中「无球打法」的佼佼者 ，(当然没有公牛队的RIP那麽厉害啦。) 但他的HUSTLE PLAY常常让火箭队赚进不少分数。 When the ball is in his hands, he's a very good orchestrator. He's averaging 6.1 assists per game, as well as a 38.9 AST%. There's one caveat with his AST%, though. The league average is 61.2 percent. This advanced statistic measures what percentage of his team's baskets a player assists on when he's on the court. Because Lin plays a majority of his minutes alongside Harden (who commands the ball and has an AST% of 29.9), his AST% is deceiving. He's much better than it indicates. 而当有球在手时，他是非常好的组织者与助攻者。 他有着场均6.1 ASTS/PEG GAME的成绩，和38.9%的AST%助攻率。 (＊注:AST%助功率:当该位球员在场上时，队友受到他助攻而得分/总得分比。) 但这个AST%并不能反映LIN的真正实力。 因为... LIN上时，大部分都会跟HARDEN一起上。(HARDEN的AST%:29.9) 所以因为战术需求，导致HARDEN会有长期持球的机会 = 降低LIN的球权与AST%。 笔者相信如果让LIN主导战局，数据会更漂亮。 Lin also has the valuable ability of putting his head down and driving into the lane. He has the uncanny ability of going up strong and controlling his body while in the air, resulting in trips to the free-throw line and easy baskets for his team. He's shooting 78.8 percent from the charity stripe this season. LIN有着众所皆知的「第一步」过人切入。 再者，切入後还有不可思议的制空对抗性与平衡感，常常造成「2AND1」。 而他的罚球率FT% 78.8%也是有水准的表现。 (*注:该开季到中段时期，感觉伤还没全好OR心理因素，不太敢切，FINISH也不如去年。 但最近的一两个月已经慢慢找回手感，而且越来越烫了!) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Rockets need Lin to be huge in the playoffs. Houston faces a tough first-round opponent whether or not it passes the Golden State Warriors in the standings for the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference. As the No. 7 seed (if the season ended today), the San Antonio Spurs would be its opponent. As the No. 6 seed, it would be the Denver Nuggets. Both teams have high-energy point guards in Tony Parker and Ty Lawson, respectively, and Lin will need to match their level of play if the Rockets wish to compete. Expecting 20-plus points per game from the third-year guard is unfair, but 15-plus points and eight-plus assists are numbers that are easily attainable. With those numbers, Houston stands a much better chance of defeating its opponent, whoever it may be. 火箭队非常需要林书豪在季後赛挺身而出! 不管季後会上哪一队，也许LIN对位的是TP或者TL，(又或者是其他控卫。) LIN都必须要能够挺身而出，打败强敌，帮助火箭队获胜。 然而对一名第三年的菜鸟(第一次全先发赛季)来说，20 PTS/PER GAME来说是太过严苛。 但是15 PTS/PG + 8 ASTS 并不是不可能的任务。 如果LIN能持续保持水准并进步，不管面对谁，对火箭的季後赛肯定是一大利多。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Lin has played very well over his last five games, so those numbers may even be the low point of expectations if he keeps this up. He's scoring 18.4 points, dishing out 8.6 assists and even grabbing 2.2 rebounds per game in the past five contests. With him hot entering the playoffs, the Rockets become that much scarier of a team. Their offense is tops in the NBA at 106.18 points per game. Throw in a productive Lin (while keeping everyone else's numbers the same), and the Rockets can reasonably score around 110 points per game. Even with their suspect defense, that's difficult to beat. Without Lin performing at the highest level possible, there's not much of a chance Houston advances to the second round. 最近的五场比赛LIN表现的十分出色: 场均18.4 PTS + 8.6 ASTS + 2.2 REBS。 有了他，火箭队会在季後赛更凶猛，可怕的是他还正在迅速成长呢。 火箭队有着全联盟顶级的火力: 场均106.18 PTS。 如果加上LIN的贡献，可以上到场均110 PTS左右，没问题的。 (＊注：不知道是不是笔者数学老师时常请假，怎麽才多3.82 PTS 冏， 或者笔者的意思是说，每个人的得分都扣掉了，林的助攻或是其他贡献能拉分。) 所以即使，火箭队的破防守会有点麻烦，但仍是很有竞争力的。 笔者大胆预言，假使没有LIN，火箭队一轮游的机会会比「沙锅」还大 XD。 (＊注：数据来源 http://hoopdata.com/advancedstats.aspx ) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Who's your key performer for the Rockets? I'm happy to debate, so leave it down below in the comments section! 最後笔者开放赌盘，「谁是你心目中的季後赛之钥?」 请在推文中投票吧! XD 我选: 「KEVIN MCHALE」... BJ4 -- J.LIN#7 @ RedNation Go Go ROCKETS!! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.242.110.251 ※ KenRock:转录至看板 Jeremy_Lin 04/14 21:49 ※ 编辑: KenRock 来自: 111.242.110.251 (04/14 22:04)