Kobe's injury raises big questions about Howard's future. By MattStephens http://0rz.tw/5q0UL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Whether you're a Lakers fan, a die-hard NBA fan or a fan of another team who just flat out loathes the man, there are few NBA connoisseurs who would have wished for Kobe Bryant's career to end the way it may have on Friday night. However, knowing Kobe's obsessive workout routines and determination to prove his detractors wrong, don't bet on this being the end of the inevitable Hall-of-Famer's career. He could come back as good as he has played this year, looking like the Kobe of 10 years ago, or he might be a shell of himself who only plays another season or two as he tries to surpass Kareem's all-time point total and reach other historic NBA milestones. At this point, it's far too early to tell. What we know for sure is the injury will have an effect on the entire league, just as the Rose injury has and major injuries before that. At the bare minimum, Kobe will probably not be back to 100 percent until early next season as Achilles' rehab takes several months to recover from . Not only will this injury damage the Lakers' playoff chances for this season, but next season now could be in jeopardy as well. 前言(仅翻译重点) 1.首先，KB，GOOD LUCK~! 祝 早日康复。 2.尽管如KB如此坚毅难拔，如同钢铁般地硬汉，但因年事小高，目前很难判定归期。 3.最保守的角度来看，或许KB明年也无法从重伤後100%复出，肯定对LA今明两年有影响。 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- So, what about Houston? So (this being a Rockets blog), how does this affect your Houston Rockets, you ask? First off, it means the Lakers are not likely to be battling the Rockets for a playoff bid next year. Given their current cap situation, whether they re-sign Dwight Howard or not, they will be completely handcuffed when it comes to free agency because of Kobe, Pau and Nash's salaries, able to only utilize the MLE and add veterans to put band-aids over their fatal wounds. But the real reason you should pay attention to this injury is the future of Dwight Howard's career. The Rockets have tried to attain the Lakers' center multiple times in the past and will almost certainly attempt to make a run at him this summer. After Kobe's injury, however, Houston may have leapfrogged the Lakers on Howard's list. If there's one thing we have learned from Dwight Howard, it is that he is incredibly fickle and changes his mind at the drop of a hat. The Lakers can provide the sex appeal of Los Angeles, a max contract at five years thanks to his Bird Rights and the chance to play for one of the most storied franchise in the history of sports. But with Kobe possibly gone for a good chunk of next season and no way to know for sure what kind of player a 35-year-old Kobe Bryant coming off an Achilles tear could be, Howard also won't be able to compete for a title next season. The Lakers will have a boatload of cap room in 2015 to entice free agents, but there's no certainty in that. Howard, a 27-year-old center who has been in the league eight years, already shows signs of back problems. This contract could be the last one he gets in his prime. KOBE伤後对火箭队的影响? 1) 或许，只是或许，明年LA已无力和HOU争夺季後赛种子了。 2) 以目前LA的薪资帽来说， 当HOWARD变成自由球员时，不管他们续不续签他，都将变成束缚。 那是因为KOBE+GASOL+NASH的薪水负担，使它们仅能在挤出一张老将中产合约来补强。 (若有合约+薪资达人，欢迎补充。谢谢。 http://0rz.tw/EuAZp ) 3) 而重点是，火箭有极大可能会在KB伤後，在今年暑假市场对HOWARD抢人大作战。 4) 魔兽表示: 我最忠诚。 5) LA三点利多: A.大城市吸引力。 B.拥有早鸟权 = 五年顶约。 C.在LA这个历史辉煌的城市，再写下一个震撼人心的诗篇的机会。 LA三点利空: A.KB受伤，而且明年是否能恢复还是未知数 = 明年LA总冠军机会更小。 B.2015年时有大把钞票与空间在自由市场抢人 = 但也还是未知数太多。 C.今年已是HOWARD第八年，而且持续受到背伤的困扰， 所以下一张合约有可能是他的最後一张顶约。= 更会心急。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Houston a better fit than LA With Houston, Howard does not get certainty of a ring, but no location can provide that. What this city can offer (aside from a booming economy, no state income tax and some incredible barbecue) is a dynamic young core of players with which he could thrive. James Harden (23) is the unselfish superstar who would elevate Howard's game, while Jeremy Lin (24) and Chandler Parsons (24) are incredible role players with high upside. All three are likely locked in for at least the next two seasons. Houston also has a talented young group of power forwards with upside in Donatas Motiejunas, Terrence Jones, Greg Smith and Thomas Robinson who are all 22 or younger. Of course there's the little question of what Houston would do with Omer Asik should they deal for Howard, but Howard probably won't concern himself with that and neither will the Rockets until he gets close to donning Rockets red. The Rockets won't be able to offer Dwight a five-year max contract without a sign and trade, but if Daryl Morey allows Carlos Delfino and some other non-guaranteed contracts to walk, the Rockets should have at least $17 million-$18 million to work with in the off-season. Morey could easily flick his magic wand and free up enough room to sign Dwight at a four-year max deal by swapping Thomas Robinson or another combination of young guaranteed players for draft picks. Other teams such as Dallas and Atlanta will be able to make attractive offers to Howard, but neither team is as built for the future or tailor made to Dwight's strengths like the Rockets. If he doesn't re-sign to the purple and gold, Houston should be the clear favorite. 火箭队的利多? 1) 一群能帮助HOWARD夺冠的年轻小伙子们: J.HARDEN - 一名无私的超级球星，能帮助提升HOWARD在场上的表现。 J.LIN + C.P - 两名天花板颇高的未来球星(现为顶级绿叶)。 　　(＊注：以上三人都跟火箭还有两年合约。） 一票青春肉体PF海 - D.MO，T.Jones，G.Smith，T.ROB。 而关於ASIK的未来与定位，这并不会对他造成困扰，因为这也不是他要烦恼的。 2) 火箭无法提供像LA能给的五年顶约(但LA不一定会给)， 而火箭的八奇莫雷却很有可能为了HOWARD使出大绝招: 砍人，交易包，选秀权..etc. 来供给HOWARD四年顶约的条件(也不算差了)。 3) 当然肯定有其他球队也想抢HOWARD，但以过往经验来说。 火箭肯定是最有诚意的，所以假设他不与LA续约，第一个考虑到肯定是HOU。 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asik versus Howard Whether Houston should pursue Dwight in the first place is another question entirely. As much as Rockets fans (myself included) have fallen in love with Asik this season, Friday night's game was a perfect example as to the major differences between the Turk and a player of Howard's caliber. At one point in the second half, Asik missed an easy layup in a crowd of Grizzlies jerseys and then failed to convert on two follow-up attempts. For all his strengths defensively and unselfish play, Asik squanders the easy opportunities offensively far too often which Howard would not. Is Houston necessarily a better team with Howard than Asik? Probably so. When Howard is motivated, he is arguably the most dominating low post player in the NBA. Asik's 10.2 points per game and relatively efficient 56 percent TS% have been unsuspected, welcome additions to Houston this season, but his offensive game and a 16.4 percent USG% are indicative of a role player who will never match Howard's dominance. Even in what many consider an off year, Dwight has averaged 17 and 12 with a 58 percent TS% and a 22 percent USG%. So while all NBA fans mourn what could be the end of one storied career in LA, consider it could point to the beginning of another career here in Houston. It's still nowhere near a certainty, but with Dwigh 比较ASIK与HOWARD 1) 虽然我们都很爱ASIK，但有看今天比赛的都知道，那个连续奶油桂花手.. 这或许就是顶级蓝领与顶级中锋的分水岭吧。 2) ASIK是个尽责且卖力防守与无私的好球员。 但他总是浪费了LIN跟HARDEN的助攻，而这并不会发生在HOWARD身上。 3) HOU是否会需要HOWARD比需要ASIK来的多? 或许吧，因为: *当健康的HOWARD出现时，他肯定是全联盟最有统治力的中锋。 *ASIK今年在进攻端的进步已让人啧啧称奇，并拥有56%的TS%(真实命中率) 但他的USG%只有16.4(参与球队进攻比例不多，但或许已经很尽力了。 拿来与HOWARD今年的PPG 17pts + RPG 12rebs + TS% 58% + USG% 22%相比， 这或许是一个蓝领与顶级中锋另一个分水岭了。 *最後一个利多: 魔兽表示:我最忠诚!!。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -- J.LIN#7 @ RedNation Go Go ROCKETS!! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.242.106.179 ※ 编辑: KenRock 来自: 111.242.110.251 (04/14 19:41)