Hidden Advantages Houston Rockets Have in the Playoffs ByKenny DeJohn(Featured Columnist) on April 6 http://0rz.tw/UAvTC The Houston Rockets have more advantages than what's on the surface in the 2012-13 playoffs. These hidden advantages should help to give Houston a fighting chance against the tougher teams of the Western Conference. As the No. 7 seed, the Rockets will play the West's No. 2 seed in the first-round of the playoffs. That team is currently the Oklahoma City Thunder, though they are just 0.5 games behind the San Antonio Spurs for the top spot in the conference. The Rockets will have to capitalize on every little advantage they have if they want to pull off the first-round upset. Several of Houston's advantages are obvious. For starters, they have a superstar in James Harden that can take over games. Their offense also ranks amongst the top in the NBA (106.0 points per game), and their bench has the depth necessary to succeed. It's the hidden advantages that will give the Rockets an edge in the playoffs, though. 火箭队今年比去年在季後赛相对更有优势。 而这些隐藏的优势应该能帮助火箭队去挑战西区更难缠的对手。 以目前第七种子的成绩，将会在第一轮面对到第二种子(OKC or SPURS)。 火箭需要将所有优势最大化来免於第一轮被淘汰的命运。 目前火箭有几点较明显的优势: 1.有如HARDEN这种超级球星的先发阵容。 2.联盟顶级的火力，场均106pts/Per Game 3.有足够的板凳深度取得胜利。(我个人对这点有小问号) 除此之外，火箭还有其他隐藏优势。 Greg Smith and Patrick Beverley As good as Harden and Chandler Parsons have been offensively this season, Greg Smith and Patrick Beverley have gone relatively unnoticed in terms of their scoring abilities. Their offensive ratings (ORtg) have been off the charts. Actually, Smith's ORtg (125.7) and Beverley's ORtg (115.7) rank first and third on the team, respectively (Harden's ORtg of 117.7 ranks second). Offensive rating is simply the number of points a player would score per 100 possessions. This statistic has to do with a player's scoring efficiency (though that is also it's own statistic), though it is effective because it neglects how many minutes a player plays per contest. 今年HARDEN与CP在进攻面的表现十分优秀抢眼。 而相对於G.SMITH与PB在得分能力上，普遍被忽略了。 以ORTG的数据来看每个队员的表现: ＊注:我已将数据更新与原文不同，并列举前十名。 NO.1 - G.Smith [127] NO.2 - James Harden [117] NO.3 - PB [117] NO.4 - GARCIA [115] NO.5 - CP [113] 原为离队的PPT NO.6 - DEFINO [108] NO.7 - J.ANDERSON [108] NO.8 - TJ [107] NO.9 - LIN [106] NO.10- ASIK [106] ORTG:该球员在100次进攻回合中能取的得分预估值。 这个数据对於一个球员的进攻效率评估算是非常有效的。 因为他不受该球员的场均上场时间受影响，比较客观。 Smith and Beverley have been stellar off the bench for Houston. Both players have different roles on the team, even though each player averages under 17.0 minutes per game. Smith, a low-post player, has been incredibly efficient this season. His player efficiency rating (PER) of 16.2 ranks third on the team. His field-goal percentage of 62.5 is tops on the team. Smith has been invaluable because of the production he gives the team either starting at power forward or spelling Omer Asik at center. Beverley, the team's No. 2 point guard, is generally praised for his perimeter defense. He's been quite good offensively as well. This will surprise many people. He's shooting just 39.7 percent from the floor and 38 percent from deep. That doesn't matter, though. He's actually an efficient scorer and is a good replacement for Jeremy Lin when he's on the bench. Having strong role players coming off the bench is a huge advantage for Houston. While they won't be playing many minutes, Smith and Beverley will be a part of the regular rotation. In the playoffs, every minute is a big minute. Their production will not go unnoticed, but it may not be recognized until after a game or two. Smith与PB已经成为板凳席上不可或缺的重要角色。 他们的场均上场时间都在17分左右。＊注:Smith MP15.3 PB MP17.2 Smith在扮演一位低位球员上，本季有难以置信的优秀表现。 他的PER值16.4名列球队第二名，他的FG%62.5名列第一。 而他在近期以先发PF身分上场(与Asik搭配)的表现，带给全队难以估价的价值。 PB，球队中的第一替补PG，他被广为称赞的是他的防守能力。 而他在进攻端的表现是一样优秀的。 他有着FG% 0.419 3PTG% 0.384的惊人表现。＊注数据已更新，与原文不同。 所以他不但是一个非常有效率的得分手，也是JLIN休息时的称职替补。 拥有强大的板凳角色球员，对火箭队来说是一大优势。 虽然他们并没有非常多的上场时间(林迷表示:...)，但绝对是正常轮替的一部份。 况且，在季後赛的每一分每一秒都十分关键。 他们的表现或许将不会再继续被忽略，但也很难在一两场比赛中被发现。 ＊注:我已将数据更新与原文不同，并列举前十名。 PER:该球员每分钟的产值 (联盟平均值为15) NO.1 - James Harden [23.3] NO.2 - G.Smith [16.4] NO.3 - PB [16.2] NO.4 - TJ [15.5] 与已离队的PPT并列 NO.5 - CP [15.1] NO.6 - LIN [15.1] NO.7 - ASIK [15.1] NO.8 - J.ANDERSON [14.0] NO.9 - Garcia [13.8] NO.10- DEFINO [13.3] Not Allowing Many Offensive Rebounds Rebounding in general is a relative advantage for the Rockets. They are ninth in the NBA with 43.3 rebounds per game and a differential of plus-two. That can be seen by simply viewing the stat sheet, however. The Rockets' hidden advantage in rebounding comes from digging a little deeper. As a team, Houston doesn't grab all that many offensive boards. Their mark of 11.1 puts them 17th in the league. They allow just 10.4 offensive boards per game, however, and this is good enough for fourth-lowest in the NBA. This is almost entirely because of Omer Asik's dominance on the glass. Asik is the NBA's second-leading rebounder with 11.6 per game. His ability to box out defenders and prevent them from getting second-chance opportunities has been one of the lone bright spots for Houston's defense. Houston's ability to limit second-chance opportunities for their opponents will prove valuable in the playoffs. Teams like the Thunder and the Spurs cannot be given second chances at scoring. They are almost certain to capitalize on those opportunities given their skills on offense. Asik can't be the only guy working hard down low, though. Smith, Donatas Motiejunas and Thomas Robinson all have to work to box out their assignments and prevent them from getting position under the glass. Even the "little" guys need to box out their assignments, especially those on the perimeter. Jump-shooting teams often produce longer rebounds. Allowing opposing guards to grab those long boards can kill the Rockets (or any team, for that matter) going forward. 巩固篮板对於火箭队来说也是优势之一。 团队篮板场均为43.3名列联盟第七，而进攻篮板则没那麽优秀。 以上数据是非常容易被理解的，但还有更深层的涵义在里面。 对於火箭队来说，他们并没有抓下许多进攻篮板。 场均进攻篮板为11.2名列联盟第十七，然而他们只让对手抓下了场均10.4颗进攻篮板。 这对整体身高排名第四矮的火箭队来说，已经是够优秀了。 而这大部分的功劳都要归功於ASIK在禁区的统治力，ASIK的场均篮板11.6名列联盟第二。 他在篮下的卡位能力以及阻挡对手二次进攻的能力，是火箭队防守的孤星泪。 火箭队在限制对方二次进攻的能力将在季後赛有极大的价值体现。 ＊注：被对手抓进攻篮板场均10.52，排名联盟第四低。 当面对到像OKC或者SPURS这种球队，你绝对不能给他有二次进攻的机会。 而对手肯定会充分利用这些机会去展现他们的进攻能力。 当然ASIK不能再继续孤军奋战，不论是内线球员如:Smith，DMO，T-ROB， 甚至连後场球员，都要做好卡位的工作，誓死让敌人远离禁区。 ＊注:DMO场均篮板输PB 0.5颗 ~ 冏。 通常像火箭队这种善於跳投的球队，都会有给予对方後场球员抢到长篮板的机会。 如果我们後场不把该对位球员卡好，让对方抢到长篮板进而被反快攻 = 冏。 ＊注：火箭队令人诟病的transition denfense。 James Harden's Willingness to Dish the Ball The ball is in James Harden's hands a lot—28.61 percent of the time he's on the floor, to be exact. While his primary job is to score (obviously), he's also done a nice job distributing the ball to his teammates. On the season, he sports an assist percentage (AST%) of 25.75. This means that Harden has assisted on nearly 26 percent of the shots made by his teammates per game. He averages 5.89 assists per game, just below Lin's team-leading 6.08. Harden's willingness to pass gives the Rockets an element that's different from other teams with big-name superstars. Generally speaking, superstars look to shoot much more often than they look to pass. Harden has recognized open teammates this season and that has resulted in his high assist percentage. Harden's skills at orchestrating the offense will be important to the success of the Rockets in the playoffs. One scorer can't get it done, so he'll have to look to Chandler Parsons, Asik and Lin to help on the offensive end. If Harden continues to set up his teammates like he has thus far, the Rockets can use that to their advantage. James Harden在场上时，他的USG%28.7排名全队第一，也就是进攻第一选择。 ＊注：Usage (USG%)- 100 * ((Field Goal Attempts + 0.44 * Free Throw Attempts + Turnovers) * (Team Minutes Played/5)) / (Minutes Played * (Team Field Goal Attempts + 0.44 * Team Free Throw Attempts + Team Turnovers) (看不懂 冏) A player's usage is derived by calculating the percent of plays used by a specific player when he is on the floor. (USG用来计算单一球员在球场上参与每次进攻的比率，内含FG，FT，TO) 当然身为一个专业的SG，他的首要任务就是得分。 但他在传导与助攻方面的能力也十分优秀。 James Harden的AST%25.8排名全队第第三。＊注：马查多跟小AB出场时间太少不予参考。 AST%25.8的意义在於:当HARDEN在场上时，其他队友受到他助攻而得分比率占总得分约26%。 而HARDEN的场均助功为5.9Asts，仅次於排名第一的J.Lin(6.1Asts)。 James Harden的乐於分享球权为火箭队注入新的元素。 一般来说，在其他球队的超级球星会更重视出手次数更甚於传球。 而HARDEN这季的表现则是更着重於传导让队友们出手，产生多点开花的效果 = 高AST%。 当然扮演球队进攻主旋律角色的HARDEN在季後赛很重要。 但篮球是团队的运动，无法靠一人ISO带领球队走向胜利的道路。 所以HARDEN势必要借重无论是CP，LIN，ASIK..等其他人来完成进攻的拼图。 如果HARDEN在季後赛仍能如此建立和队友间的良好化学效应，这将是季後赛的利多。 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ＊编按1:LIN的USG%20.6，扣除离队球员与小AB+新人T.O排名全队第四，先发第二。 老实说有点低，仅高於联盟PG平均USG%19.94一点点。 如果把条件限制在已出赛30+，场均时间30Mins+的主力PG， 则联盟平均USG%23.62。而LIN排名则在第24名。 身为一个第一次先发的一整季的Rookie Prospect来说，我举几个人来比较好了: Kemba Walker:上个赛季跟这个赛季都是USG%25.2左右。 Damian Lillard:本季USG%24.13。 Greivis Vasquez:本季也是第一次整季先发USG%23.27。 Jeff Teague:已在联盟出赛过四年，今年第二次年整年先发USG%23.03。 与去年相比LIN的USG%从28.1大幅降到20.6，虽然USG%跟球权或许没有正相关。 但显现出今年参与进攻的比率下降许多，究竟是甚麽原因，有没有高手愿意分析。 战术?开火权?健康状况?改变打法?.....(令人欣慰的是ORTG是略为+2的106) 好谜。 但考虑到今年是伤後复出，而且第一次完整赛季。 无论我之前多讨厌KM，今年都还能接受这样的结果。 不过既然伤好了，也要打季後赛了。 希望LIN能在季後赛有多点时间去历练。 ＊编按2:关於哈登，同原文。希望胡黑们不要再攻击他了。 虽然我本季一开始也觉得他很独，但是跟其他队某些老大比，相对算好了。 何况数据也显示，他是有能力而且愿意分享球权的人。 对於突然来到火箭的HARDEN，能作出应变与付出，我表示肯定。 而展望明年，虽然阵容还不定，但肯定要再作出一些调整。 不然Harden的双腿表示:........ 。 ＊编按3:关於禁区与防守同原文，教练别再最後紧要关头把会抢板的ASIK等人放板凳了。 小阵容有进攻优势，但在TIMEOUT过後而对方发边线球时，千万不要在搞砸了。 而DMO我一直欣赏他的进攻能力，即使感觉他越来越没自信了。 新人嘛，受点挫折应该的。暑假好好跟教练团讨论，未来的方向， 到底是要成为偶而有进攻亮点的大後锋，还是乖乖增重扛下禁区重任呢。 而TJ跟T-ROB，短期来看季後TJ肯定多点时间，攻守两端，战术理解相对成熟。 TROB则暂为角色球员非PROSPECT，上来跑跑龙套，巩固防守与篮板就好。 这真的没办法，都要季後赛了，时不我予呀。 如果明年没被交易掉，也是好好暑假进修吧。别辜负大家对你的期望。 ＊编按4:关於USG%再补充一点，其实火箭队每个人都USG%因为所属位置的关系有差异， 但是整体看来是很平均的，球队一哥HARDEN不用说，攻击第一选择。 可以说是非常打团队篮球的球队，也因此球队气氛也蛮不错的吧，或许。 而一件蛮有趣的事情是PB的USG%15.7仅大於G.SMITH的USG%14.8(倒数第一与二)， 但ORTG部份，PB的ORTG 117，G.SMITH127，各别为球队第二与第一。 只能说他们是非常有进攻效率的球员啊。 也因此获得更多上场时间，而担任LIN替补的PB来跟HARDEN搭可以说是天造之合。 而LIN与PB两者的差异性，也是令人玩味。 今年教练的调度一直是热门TOPIC，到过去就让他过去，或许他也有难言之隐吧。 展望明年，希望会有更好的轮替模式与化学效应。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 最後，这篇文章对我来说获得更多解答，也产生其他问号， 希望大家来共同讨论，多多指教。 但这都不重要， 重要的是: We're Playoff Bound! Go Go Rockets!!! -- J.LIN#7 @ RedNation Go Go ROCKETS!! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 211.20.239.247 ※ 编辑: KenRock 来自: 111.253.95.46 (04/11 17:20)