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新闻连结:https://reurl.cc/vg53QL Unless you're Derek Jeter or Barry Larkin, nearly every great offensive shorts top of the last 50 years eventually ends up somewhere else. Robin Yount began his career as an MVP shortstop and ended it as an MVP center fielder. A little more than a year after breaking Lou Gehrig's consecutive-ga mes record, Cal Ripken shifted to third base. Nomar Garciaparra made his final All-Star team as a first baseman. Alex Rodriguez transitioned from short to t hird to DH to exile. The two notable exceptions of this generation -- Hall of Famers Larkin and Jet er -- clearly overstayed their respective welcomes in the middle of the diamon d. To the extent that Jeter, technically a five-time Gold Glover, was ever a g ood fielder, those skills had permanently abandoned him when he played 130 gam es at short as a 40-year-old in 2014 and cost the Yankees a staggering 28 runs , per Baseball Info Solutions. Larkin was a less extreme negative during his f inal season, also at age 40, in 2004 with the Reds. Tomase: Red Sox still in good shape in tight Wild Card race You can probably see where this is headed. It brings me no joy to say it, but if the Red Sox aren't urgently contemplating what's next for All-Star shortsto p Xander Bogaerts, they're not doing their jobs. Just a couple of weeks shy of his 29th birthday, Bogaerts remains an elite off ensive force, a .300-.500.-900 superstar with 30-homer power, near-total plate coverage (save for the occasional slider away), and a penchant for delivering in big moments. He has been described so many times as the heart and soul of the Red Sox that the phrase sounds rote, but it's true. Whereas many of Boston's stars start sc anning for exits as soon as free agency beckons, Bogaerts not only accepted le ss money to stay, he then delivered. He owns two World Series rings since debuting in 2013 and if next year's opt-o ut doesn't get in the way, he'll anchor the next contending Red Sox team, too. He was built to play here, he's homegrown, and with a little luck, he may nev er don another uniform. All of that praise established, here comes the sucker punch: He's a liability at a primary defensive position. And the Red Sox must design a way forward. Coming up short Bogaerts' rank among 35 shortstops in outs above average (Baseball Savant) 34th Variation Single That they can't play defense in 2021 has been long established. The latest ble mish came Monday night, when Kyle Schwarber, playing out of position at first base, booted a routine two-out grounder that set up the decisive three-run hom er in a 5-4 loss to the Mariners. You want bad defense, step right up to the buffet. Rafael Devers made every Ap ril groundball an adventure. During his four-month slump before catching fire in August, first baseman Bobby Dalbec fielded as poorly as he swung. The arriv al of Schwarber and the hammer of COVID forced manager Alex Cora to reconfigur e the outfield in ways that proved murderous defensively, because any alignmen t other than Alex Verdugo in left, Kik? Hern嫕dez in center, and Hunter Renfro e in right will cost the team runs. Overlooked through all of the defensive struggles, however, is Bogaerts, maybe because he's hitting .300 with 21 bombs, including one during Monday's futile comeback. Or maybe it's because he's popular and we'd rather avert our eyes. Of 23 shortstops to play at least 800 innings this season, Bogaerts ranks 19th in defensive runs saved at minus-five, per Fangraphs. The advanced metrics at Baseball Savant are even harsher, putting him 34th out of 35 shortstops in ou ts above average at minus-nine, 27 runs behind leader Nick Ahmed of the Diamon dbacks. The problem isn't errors. Bogaerts is sure-handed and has only made eight of t hem. It's range. While Bogaerts converted a highlight-reel play up the middle over the weekend from his knees vs. the White Sox, ask yourself this: When did he last wow you from the hole? Like Garciaparra at roughly the same age, the 6-foot-2 Bogaerts doesn't cover a lot of ground, particularly to his right. That's part of the reason Red Sox pitchers have allowed a league-worst .324 batting average on balls in play, ab out 35 points worse than average. Tomase: Schwarber's bat creates pressing defensive question for Sox Needless to say, every ball not converted into an out is another chance at a r un, as the Red Sox have learned with disturbing frequency. Their defensive issues are what they are and there's no way to fix them now. I f they're fortunate enough to reach the playoffs, their stay will almost certa inly be short, because teams that can't field can't last in the postseason. The question is the future. Bogaerts played third as a rookie in order to crac k the lineup, but when the Red Sox tried to move him back there midway through 2014 to make room for Stephen Drew, it did a number on him psychologically. H e plays with pride and he considers himself a shortstop. Full stop. If Chaim Bloom and Cora want to broach a position change, they'll have to do s o delicately, particularly as he enters what is effectively a contract year. T he good news is Bogaerts' bat plays anywhere. If management wanted to radicall y realign the infield, Bogaerts could move to third and Devers to first. Anoth er possibility would be going the Marcus Semien route and shifting to second b ase, a move that will earn the former A's shortstop MVP votes with the Blue Ja ys. What's clear to anyone paying attention is that for all his leadership, charac ter, and offensive greatness, Bogaerts' days as an everyday shortstop need to end sooner than later if the Red Sox want to remake their infield defense. There's certainly no shame in it. It's a fate reserved for virtually all elite shortstops. Some just get there a little sooner than others. 重点摘要: 1.近50年来攻击型SS明星选手只有Jeter跟Barry Larkin一直待在SS到退休 2.XB今年防守进阶数据很惨,跟防守第一名的SS的DRS比较起来差了整整27分之多 3.XB问题不在失误,而是他的防守范围真的太小 4.红袜本季投手的BABIP高达.323联盟第一(第二金鸟.307)投手真的受防守拖累不少 5.如果转换守位,可以让XB守三垒Devers移往一垒,或者是循Semien模式移往二垒。 红袜真的该认真思考XB的转守位问题了 然後今年投手群的表现真的没有帐面数据上这麽差 Nathan Eovaldi:ERA3.52/FIP2.78 E-Rod:ERA5.00/FIP3.46 Nick Pivetta:ERA4.49/FIP4.32 Garret Richards:ERA4.68/FIP4.72 Martin Perez:ERA4.88/FIP4.86 E-ROD本季BABIP高达.358 让他ERA肿到生涯最高的5 不然他FIP3.46甚至生涯最佳 xERA也只有3.67 --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 39.9.188.33 (台湾)
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/RedSox/M.1631693030.A.1C0.html
1F:推 sh3312037: 二垒吧,Dalbec还是可以期待一下09/15 16:11
2F:推 jameshu0910: Devers的手套也很破,跟Bobby.D对调?09/15 16:18
3F:推 AnitaHailey: 坐等Marcelo 09/15 17:10
4F:推 hahabis: 印象中是呆佛比XB手套更破,不知实际是怎麽样09/15 17:23
实际上Devers守备的确更破 所以才会想说让XB移到三垒Devers去一垒 然後其实XB基本的防守功不错 只是范围以SS来说真的太小了 ※ 编辑: jeff1013 (39.9.188.33 台湾), 09/15/2021 17:29:18 ※ 编辑: jeff1013 (39.9.188.33 台湾), 09/15/2021 17:31:17 ※ 编辑: jeff1013 (39.9.188.33 台湾), 09/15/2021 17:55:42
5F:推 seekforever: 问题在他本人的意愿,毕竟他明年算合约年09/15 17:51
6F:→ seekforever: 他以前有短时间守过三垒,守的比游击还烂09/15 17:52
这个的确也是问题点 ※ 编辑: jeff1013 (39.9.188.33 台湾), 09/15/2021 17:56:49
7F:推 MapleLeaf151: 我是觉得还好,现在布阵频繁范围小至少比手套破洞好09/15 18:31
8F:→ MapleLeaf151: 问题是三游都是洞才特别伤,呆佛移到一垒看看吧09/15 18:32
9F:推 AhCheng: 留不留的住说不定都还不知道....1B如果小胖去守那2B试试09/15 18:50
10F:→ AhCheng: 看吧09/15 18:50
11F:→ AhCheng: Devers的守备不知道怎麽回事,从出道到现在一直都不好09/15 18:51
12F:→ AhCheng: 果然是老爹的接班人.....09/15 18:51
13F:→ MapleLeaf151: 学小V葛瘦身看会不会比较好09/15 18:55
14F:→ MapleLeaf151: 再没改善要不要留都是问题 09/15 18:56
15F:→ MapleLeaf151: 毕竟BobbyD,Casas, Jordan都是守角落的 09/15 18:57
16F:推 redsoxnation: 三游炮是红袜与他队相比最大优势,攻>守我觉得ok 09/15 19:02
17F:推 redsoxnation: 火力极大化势必有所取舍,其他守位才有补强空间 09/15 19:05
18F:推 vince4687: 别担心Casas跟Dalbec 在内野没位置看谁可以守绿色怪物09/15 19:45
19F:→ vince4687: 丢过去就好09/15 19:45
20F:推 sisi2005: 守备不好会让投手心态崩溃阿!投手每球都怕被打进场内就09/15 20:38
21F:→ sisi2005: 糟了09/15 20:38
22F:→ sisi2005: 手机排版不好。守备不好怕投手心09/15 20:39
23F:→ sisi2005: 态崩掉,怕被打进场内09/15 20:39
24F:推 hahabis: 刀背守备有很差吗?我看的比赛基本觉得还OK阿09/15 20:48
https://i.imgur.com/jCzm5Yi.jpg Dalbec今年的守备真的不怎麽好 不过还可以再观察 ※ 编辑: jeff1013 (39.9.188.33 台湾), 09/15/2021 20:54:54
25F:推 Hans2479: 看BobbyD守三垒 舒服多了 09/15 20:54
26F:→ JohnLackey: 他们的火力可以cover阿 不要整队都破洞就好 09/15 21:16
27F:→ JohnLackey: 不对 现在好像就是 09/15 21:16
28F:推 hahabis: 整个内野还真找不到一个守备称得上优良的 09/15 21:19
29F:推 MapleLeaf151: 有啦,Kike守二垒的话,不过这样外野也两个洞QQ 09/15 21:28
30F:推 seekforever: 看oaa的话,Kike守二垒也不好 09/15 23:34
31F:→ seekforever: 一三垒跟游击都是全联盟垫底 09/15 23:34
32F:→ seekforever: 现在流行的是全能型球员,靠棒子cover手套的时代已 09/15 23:35
33F:→ seekforever: 经过去了 09/15 23:35
34F:推 a3868884: 我觉得不要移比较好,别忘了xb的出现才补了10年的游游击 09/16 11:37
35F:→ a3868884: 洞 09/16 11:37
36F:→ a3868884: 一三垒的问题可以去自由市场找答案,好的游击都会被母队 09/16 11:37
37F:→ a3868884: 绑死不会放出来 09/16 11:37
38F:推 bryant780417: 拜托不要移 红袜ss 已经黑暗十年了 09/16 19:56
39F:推 piggreat: 看看小鹰侠守备有无回来~~不然也是个解~ 09/16 20:43
40F:推 bryant780417: 希望他能成为红袜的基特不要跟木屐一样跑掉了 09/17 06:35
41F:推 a3868884: 应该是会留,他跟mookie不一样 09/17 07:51
42F:→ a3868884: 只是球团不要开伤人的价格来留人 09/17 07:51
43F:→ a3868884: 有太多红袜之前留人开那羞辱人的 09/17 07:51
44F:→ a3868884: 案例太多 09/17 07:51
45F:→ yp60802: 这几年ss算浅了吧 09/17 09:24
46F:推 seekforever: 今年刚好很多游击手进FA,反而三垒没什麽人 09/17 09:28
47F:推 MapleLeaf151: 今年SS有打鼓有痛痛人有乱挥流,看下来XB继续用就好 09/17 12:26
48F:推 a1ibooda: SS应该算人才辈出 只是大多都是球队核心 09/22 15:05
49F:→ a1ibooda: Seager也是FA 但情感上还是喜欢波嘎 09/22 15:06
50F:推 bryant780417: 当然唯一支持波嘎 自家养的耶 09/24 07:57







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