作者alex710707 ()
看板RedSox
标题[渔塭]KL Top 25 under25,BA top 100, BP top 50
时间Sat Jul 9 11:59:46 2016
BP TOP 50
2. Yoan Moncada, 2B, Boston Red Sox
Why He'll Succeed: An explosive power/speed combination that propels him to
stardom despite a non-premium defensive position.
Why He Might Fail: His shirts could become tighter and tighter until he earns
Dan Uggla comparisons as a shirt-wearer and a baseball player.
11. Andrew Benintendi, OF, Boston Red Sox
Why He’ll Succeed: The roaring start to Benintendi’s pro career is indicative
of a player who has rapidly—and in some cases unexpectedly—grown into a
hitter capable of maintaining a high average, getting on base, and slugging
the ball.
Why He Might Fail: Advanced arms figure out how to sequence against and
manipulate an aggressive hitter who can’t counter with his own adjustment.
19. Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox
Why He'll Succeed: He maintains his lower half and defensive range enough to
stick at the hot corner, where his plus hit and power tools make for a
special profile.
Why He Might Fail: He could gain weight in his lower half, forcing a shift
to first base, where the power and hit tools aren’t quite as special.
24. Anderson Espinoza, RHP, Boston Red Sox
Why He'll Succeed: Espinoza’s stuff is ridiculously advanced for his age/lack
of experience, showing a plus-plus fastball and two plus secondary pitches
while throwing strikes with all three.
Why He Might Fail: Calling him slight of build is an understatement, and as
good as the stuff is, you have to wonder if he’s going to be able to handle
the rigors of a 180-200 inning workload.
BA TOP 100
1. Yoan Moncada 2b
Red Sox So far, Moncada has managed to live up to the hype generated by his
$31.5 million signing bonus.
9. Andrew Benintendi of
Red Sox Benintendi’s combination of batting eye, power and defense is
pretty special.
15. Anderson Espinoza rhp
Red Sox The youngest player in the South Atlantic League has flashed
brilliance; remember, he’s just 18.
41. Rafael Devers 3b
Red Sox Boston’s No. 2 prospect entering the season has shown ability
to rebound after slow start; still just 19.
93. Michael Kopech rhp
Red Sox Kopech has barely pitched this year thanks to hand and calf
injuries, but when he has his fastball remains elite.
Keith Law top 25 under 25
Xander came in at 7th
Bogaerts can hit, and he's starting to come into some of the raw power
that everyone saw when he first emerged as a prospect in short-season ball.
The ball has always come off his bat differently, but he focused more on
developing as a hitter, using the whole field and giving up some harder
contact in the process. This year, he has been more aggressive about pulling
the ball -- all nine of his homers have been to left field -- and if he keeps
that up, he'll be a 25-homer guy on top of everything else he does well.
Mookie 11th
Betts' second full season has still been outstanding but has taken on a
different shape than his first, with more power (he's on pace for 30-plus
homers, which I never expected), fewer walks and a slight bump in strikeout
rate. Given his age and athleticism, however, nothing should surprise us as
Betts is concerned. He has shown that he can play elite defense in right field,
can play at least average defense in center and could fill in in the middle
infield, if required. Bogaerts is the more polished hitter and can really
play shortstop, which is why he's higher on the list, but Betts has more
wild-card upside because of his athleticism and the speed with which he
seems to pick up new skills.
BA Top 100 chat
Dean Gulberry (Jenks, OK): Why has Anderson Espnizoa been getting "hit"
as of late? Is he having issues with FB control? I realize he is only 18,
but there was chatter that he could be the next Julio Urias and make the
bigs by 19.. I can't see that happening..
John Manuel: Sorry if this shows up twice, I got booted off … Short answer
is he’s probably tired. I was stunned when Bill Ripken, on our Prospects
Show on MLB Network coming into the year, talked about Espinoza moving that
quickly, being up in 2017, and I suppose it’s still not out of the question.
But We probably all got a bit too excited. He’s not quite physical enough for
the grind of a full season, in terms of maintaining his stuff and his delivery.
Jack (San Jose): Of the big four Red Sox prospects (Moncada, Benintendi,
Espinoza, and Devers), who is the most likely to go at the deadline?
Vincent Lara-Cinisomo: I’d have to say Devers simply because I cannot see
the scenario under which they trade Moncada, Benintendi or Espinoza. Maybe
for Jose Fernandez?
Keith LAW的TOP 25 under 25第一 Mike Trout 第二 Bryce Harper 第三我猜应该是
Machado,蛮好奇其他的有谁,但不是免费,就不想花钱看了,内容也是一些大家都知道的
分析而已,(XB跟Betts的部分则是从sox prospect版友贴的复制过来的)
个人认为我们的前4名新秀,Benintendi没啥大问题,他Bust的机率应该非常低,
但其他3个都各自有要改善的地方
Moncada A+ 61场被K 60次,AA 15场被K 18次,优点是才21岁,各方面的Tool都很强
Anderson Espinoza跟Rafael Devers排名有点高,尤其Devers
Espinoza天花板高,但还是有不小的风险,身材不够高壮也不够耐操,耐操的问题还可以
透过训练改善,才18岁的他再接下来A+~AA是否能挺上来也有待时间证明,回去看KING
在小联盟一路杀上来,19岁上大联盟实在很不可思议
Devers是我比较不看好的,他蛮常被变化球骗到,虽然他还年轻,但从身材看,他的炮瓦
成长空间有限,20轰还有可能,再往上应该比较难,守备方面,他的脚步不好,横向移动跟
动作都不够顺,守3B太勉强,要转到1B/DH,炮瓦又不够大只,我觉得BP排他19有点高估
Kopech虽然评价没这几个高,但是整体素质跟身材都非常好,或许没Espinoza的天花板,
但是整体看来,除了脑冲问题以外,Stuff问题不大,去年年初就能看出他有明显的进步
当初选秀时的影片
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIdwyfxRmns
去年的影片
http://t.co/QTx9kBiVVT
看选秀时期跟去年年初的影片,很明显他的Mechanic调得更顺更稳定,而且身材比当初壮
很多
看到他的速球应该会有人怕他会不会跟Joe Kelly一样空有球速,个人认为应该不会,
他的身材条件真的不错 6尺3寸,从以下影片看来,身高+高压投球姿势,以他投球的
进垒角度,打者不好掌握
版友贴的近期9球3K影片
http://m.milb.com/video/907325483/?vref=redirector
个人是认为他的条件比当初的Matt Barnes好,不要肩炸或是又脑残跟队友吵架弄伤手
的话,最差的情况应该是个地板Setup man天花板上看2号(一般应该认为天花板3号吧,
个人是比较看好一点)
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※ 编辑: alex710707 (61.224.155.93), 07/09/2016 12:07:13
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