Shawn Adorno (Saugerties, NY): I've heard a comp of Carlos Delgado for Rafael Devers. So hard to project power... but do you think that is his ceiling? Also, how quickly do the Red Sox feel Moncada could reach the bigs? Thanks. @Shawn Adorno (Saugerties, NY): 我听到有人将Rafael Devers比为Carlos Delgado， power真的很难预测啊...但你认为Devers的天花板在哪？ Alex Speier: His ceiling is middle-of-the-order All-Star, and he has a chance to stay at third, which opens up a different array of comps. I heard comparisons to young versions of Cano, Beltre, and Sandoval. There isn’t that much imagination needed to project his power, though — I saw him demolish some pitches to straightaway CF, in a way that 18-year-olds rarely do. Alex Speier: Devers的天花板是打线核心的全明星球员，而且他有机会待在三垒─这点 让模板比较更复杂了。我听到的版本有年轻版的Cano, Beltre, Sandoval。还有有关他的 power预测，其实不需要用太多的想像力补足，Devers已经能把球干出中外野─这对18岁 球员来说是相当罕见的。 -- CVC (Ohio): Is Marco Hernandez breakout sustainable? and do you think he'll be able to be a regular or mainly just a utility player? CVC (Ohio): Marco Hernandez的爆发能持续吗？他能成为先发还是只能担任工具人？ Alex Speier: Most likely a utility guy, but he’s a solid defender with the ability to make some hard contact, so there’s at least a chance he could spend time as something more than that at some point in his career. Obviously, the Sox thought it was worth a 40-man spot to see where his 2015 step forward goes. Alex Speier: 比较有可能成为工具人，但是他的防守佳、打击能打得紮实，所以他至少 有机会获得更多的上场机会。显然红袜认为把他加进40人名单、多加观察是值得的。 -- Kyle (Columbus): What is your opinion on Wendal Rijo. Was he close to making this list. Does he look like a Regular or a utility player? Kyle (Columbus): 你对Wendal Rijo的评价如何？他偏向先发还是工具人？ Alex Speier: Rijo doesn’t have a clean consensus. He has at least a chance to be an everyday guy, because the hit tool is very advanced for a teenager and he showed considerable defensive improvement this year at 2B. He doesn’t seem to profile as a utility option, however, since he’s probably limited in the IF to 2B. He’ll represent an interesting 40-man protection question after this coming season. Alex Speier: 球探们对Rijo的评价依然不一。他还有机会成为每日先发，因为他拥有超 龄的hit tool、二垒的防守也有大幅进步。 但是Rijo并不符合工具人的要件，他应该只能守内野或二垒。他在下季结束後能不能进 入40人名单将是观察重点。 -- Randall (Salem): What do we think the power upside on Benintendi is? Would you venture a comp? Randall (Salem): Benintendi的power天花板在哪？模板？ Alex Speier: He hit 31 homers in about 110 games in college and the minors this year, so … the ultimate power upside has to be viewed as impressive, even if a more reasonable expectation would be about half that figure. Some of the comps brought up by scouts/evaluators: Mark Kotsay, LH version of Mookie Betts (small in stature but with great approach and ability to barrel the ball), Ellsbury, among others. Alex Speier: 他在大学和小联盟的110场比赛就打出31支全垒打，所以最高的天花板... 很棒─合理推估可能落在一半。有些球探的比较是Mark Kotsay、左打版Mookie Betts (身材矮但打击策略优异、能紮实咬中球)、Ellsbury等等。 -- Ben (Rhode Island): I know it's tough to predict but who does Anderson Espinoza remind you of in today's game? And what do you see his ceiling being? Ben (Rhode Island): 我知道很难预测，但是Anderson Espinoza像哪位投手？他的天花 板在哪？ Alex Speier: His slight stature, smooth delivery, incredible power stuff, and maturity/makeup prompted a lot of people to say that he reminded them of a teenage Pedro, including Goose Gregson, the Red Sox’ Latin American pitching coordinator who worked with a 16-/17-year-old Pedro with the Dodgers. Pedro said the same. He has the makings of three plus pitches, so there’s legitimate ace potential. That’s far from a guarantee (see Bundy, Dylan), but he’s ridiculously talented at a ridiculously young age. Alex Speier: 身材稍偏矮瘦、投球机制顺畅、惊人的球速并拥有成熟度和不错的makeup ，让许多人声称看到年轻版Pedro(包含在Pedro年轻时合作过的训练员)、甚至是Pedro 本人都这麽说。Espinosa有三个plus球种，所以这代表着ace潜力。当然这不能保证他确 实能成为ace(看看Dylan Bundy)，但是Espinosa这麽年轻就拥有这种天分，夸张。 -- Raymond (New York): Hi Alex, what do you think of the cost for Kimbrel ? I think the Red Sox did quite well as they kept a lot of their better prospects and didn't lose any high draftees.(Owens,Johnson,Ball, Kopech,Bradley) thanks Raymond (New York): 您觉得Kimbrel交易案的代价如何？我觉得红袜做得很好，他们留 下很多更棒的新秀，也没丢掉高顺位选进来的人(Owens,Johnson,Ball, Kopech, Bradley)。 Alex Speier: They preserved their complete inventory of major league cornerstone players (Bogaerts, Betts, Swihart, Rodriguez) and their top four prospects. I’m still at least a bit surprised that three prospects of that caliber ended up getting moved (Guerra and Margot along with Asuaje wouldn’t have done it?), but I also think that the way the market values relievers is in a state of flux that requires everyone to reassess their preconceptions … in the same way that we need to stop expressing shock that “OMG, how is worth $20 million a year?” To get an elite starter along with two elite relievers while giving up two excellent prospects who happened to be at redundant positions and keeping the draft pick … the larger picture seems reasonable for what the Sox have done this offseason. Alex Speier: 红袜保留了所有大联盟基石(Bogaerts, Betts, Swihart, Rodriguez)以及 四大新秀。我多少还是对於三个这种层级的新秀被卖掉感到惊讶，但我认为市场对於牛棚 投手的价值衡量已经改变了，大家必须跟着改变旧思维─就像是我们必须停止屏除「挖， $20M欸，好贵」这种思维。为了抓下王牌先发和两个优质牛棚，卖掉位置重复的两位顶级 新秀并留下选秀权...通盘思考，红袜的move似乎合情合理。 -- JJ O'Connor (Mass): Where would Manuel Margot rank on this list? And is it true he wasn't as valued by Red Sox officials as most in the outside thought? JJ O'Connor (Mass): Manuel Margot排在哪？他在红袜眼中是否没外界估的那麽高？ Alex Speier: He was valued plenty … but the Sox have Betts, Bradley, Benintendi, not to mention Basabe. The industry consensus on him, both inside and outside the Sox organization, came across as very consistent: Excellent likelihood of being a roughly average everyday CF who hits in the bottom third of the order. Alex Speier: 他的评价很高，但是红袜手上已经有Betts, Bradley, Benintendi，还有 是Basabe。球团内外的评价都很类似，很高的机会能成为平均等级的先发CF、打线中的 最後三棒。 -- Wellington (Fort Myers, FL): There seems to be a drop off after the top 6/7. Anyone on the lower levels of the system that could make a big leap? Wellington (Fort Myers, FL): 感觉第6,7名跟後面的新秀有很大的落差。後面有哪位新 秀能爆发？ Alex Speier: I do agree that there’s a pretty significant drop beyond the top seven — not a lot of guys beyond that who combine high probability with high ceiling, but that’s the nature of the beast. It was, frankly, ridiculous that the Sox had as deep a pool of high-end prospects as they did prior to the Kimbrel trade. Alex Speier: 我同意Top 7跟後面有不小差距，农场里高成功率与高天花板兼具的球员 毕竟是少数，但是在Kimbrel交易案前红袜农场中的高级新秀深度只能用夸张来形容。 -- Adirondack (Syracuse, NY): Red Sox first baseman of the future, Travis Shaw or Sam Travis? Which player has the better all around skills? Adirondack (Syracuse, NY): 红袜未来一垒手，Travis Shaw or Sam Travis？哪一位 选手较为全面？ Alex Speier: Good question. Travis has a better hit tool. Shaw has more present power and is a better defender. He’s also lefthanded, which helps. Somehow, I see the Sox gerrymandering playing time for both for a number of years. Alex Speier: 好问题。Travis有比较优的hit tool，Shaw展现出更多power，防守也比较 好─而且是左打，这点有不小帮助。我的感觉是红袜有几年会给两个人分享上场时间。 -- Manolo Ozuna (Providence, RI): How do scouts grade Espinoza's secondary pitches? Manolo Ozuna (Providence, RI): 球探对Espinosa的变化球评价？ Alex Speier: The changeup and curve were both viewed as being at least average now, albeit without the consistency one would seek out of a major leaguer. But Espinoza has super-long fingers that let him perform some feats of prestidigitation when it comes to manipulating and spinning a baseball. Alex Speier: changeup和curve至少都是average，但还缺乏大联盟球员的稳定性。 题外话，Espinosa拥有超长的手指，这给他操控球种的优势。 -- ＊Athletic frame. ＊High baseball IQ. Xander ＊Smooth, fluid swing. Bogaerts ＊Elite batspeed. #01 ＊Strong and explosive hands. ＊Above-average-to-better power ceiling, potential 30 home run bat. --

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