作者XBogaerts (银棒奖的签名球)
看板RedSox
标题[渔塭] Prospects Chat - Alex Speier
时间Thu Dec 17 22:07:44 2015
Boston Red Sox Top 10 Prospects Chat
https://t.co/VJ6fTjqngr
文长,会分成好几篇刊出~
@Jaypers413 (IL): About how far away from the bigs is Sam Travis, and is he
likely to eventually become Papi's successor at DH?
@Jaypers413 (IL): Sam Travis距离大联盟还有多远?他最终有可能继承老爹的DH位置
吗?
Alex Speier: There’s a sense that Travis could be big league-ready by the
end of this year, given his college pedigree and the impressive hit tool he
showed at two levels in 2015. Not sure he’s Ortiz’s successor given that
Hanley Ramirez might be better suited to DH, but certainly, Travis (along
with Travis Shaw, whose nomenclaturial proximity will prove very confusing in
coming years) has asserted himself as an important consideration for
late-2016 and into 2017.
Alex Speier: 因为他是大学出身、加上这今年在两个层级展现出的hit tool,Travis有
机会在年底成为MLB-ready。
不确定他能否成为老爹的继任者,因为Hanley Ramirez或许比较适合这个位置─但可以
确定的是,他的表现已经让他成为2016季末与2017年的重要人物。
--
Grant (NYC): What is the consensus opinion of Trey Ball at this point? Is he
still in your top 30?
Grant (NYC): 现在外界对Trey Ball的评价如何?他还在你的Top 30吗?
Alex Speier: Yes, he’s in the top 30, and thanks to the Padres trade that
knocked out three of the top 12 prospects in the system, he ended up higher
than I expected (top-20). Consensus is that his athleticism and easy arm
action still offer potentially tantalizing projection, but he’s arrived at
the show-don’t-tell stage of his career where his prospect status will be
capped until he starts showing the ability to handle opposing hitters more
consistently.
Alex Speier: 是的。因为Kimbrel交易少掉三位Top 12,他甚至打进令我惊讶的Top 20。
共识是他的运动能力以及轻松的挥臂动作依然展现出诱人的潜力,但是在他拿出宰制打者
的能力之前,评价都会落在一定水准之下。
--
Frank (Chicago, IL): How high are you on Luis Alexander Basabe? About how
many years away is he?
Frank (Chicago, IL): 对Luis Alexander Basabe有多高?他距离大联盟还多久?
Alex Speier: He’s been a fascinating guy from the time he debuted in the DSL
as a 16-year-old. His power/speed combo stands out — particularly given that
he’s actually *shown* power as an 18-year-old. His ceiling would put him up
there with the top five guys in the Sox’ system, but his floor is
ill-defined, and there are likely to be bumps along the way as he refines his
approach, so … far away.
Alex Speier: 从16岁在DSL亮相开始就拿出令人赞赏的表现。炮瓦/速度的组合相当突出
─特别是才18岁的年纪就已经拿出炮瓦了。
他的天花板可以排上红袜前五,不过地板难以预测,而且他的打击策略还需要修正,一路
上会跌跌撞撞─他还需要很多时间养成。
--
PR (NY): Why does Betts go in RF when Castillo has a stronger arm and also
has speed?
PR (NY): Castillo有更强的传球臂力和速度,为何还让Mookie Betts守RF?
Alex Speier: Betts’ arm strength improved as he developed his throwing
mechanics as an outfielder (remember: He’s only been playing OF since May
2014), and his routes and speed appear to permit more ground coverage.
Alex Speier: Betts在转守外野後传球力道提升,姿势也修正过了(别忘记他在2014年才
转外野),还有他的守备路径和速度让他有更好的守备范围。
--
Francisco (Atlanta, GA): what's Josh Ockimey ceiling ?
Francisco (Atlanta, GA): Josh Ockimey的天花板在哪?
Alex Speier: Power-hitting everyday first baseman, probably with a goodly
number of strikeouts in the mix. He put on an impressive show in
instructional league, driving balls out into the bullpen in right-center at
JetBlue. Not many teenagers do that.
Alex Speier: 先发等级的一垒炮手,或许会有不少三振。他在指导联盟拿出好表现,时
常把球送进JetBlue的右外野牛棚─鲜少有少年能做到。
--
Mark (Fargo, ND): Which Red Sox prospect has the best chance of being a MLB
closer someday?
Mark (Fargo, ND): 哪位新秀最有机会在未来成为大联盟终结者?
Alex Speier: Hmmmm… That might depend on whether Kopech’s changeup develops
to the point of keeping him in the rotation. If he’s more of a two-pitch
guy, then he’d look an awful lot like a potential closer.
Alex Speier: 嗯...大概要取决於Kopech的changeup养成状况,看他能不能担任先发投
手。如果他最终偏向两种球种的投手,他有成为终结者的潜力。
--
Tim (Boston): Hi Alex, for my tastes, Ben seemed pretty conservative in his
drafts, typically looking for high floor over high ceiling types...are there
any lesser known high ceiling guys in the system you could potentially see
taking off and rising into the top 10 at any point this season? Thanks!
Tim (Boston): 我觉得Cherington的选秀风格偏向保守,喜欢高地板胜过高天花板...还
有现在农场里是否有知名度较低但有高天花板、能在这季爆发,冲进Top 10的新秀?
Alex Speier: I don’t think the Sox were wedded to any one form of emphasis
in the draft under Cherington. They mixed established college performers
(Marrero, Johnson, Benintendi) with high schoolers (Ball, Chavis, Kopech) in
the first round. There are a couple of intriguing names who have a chance to
make a jump in future prospect rankings, with some of the strongest reviews
being for Travis Lakins (RHP out of Ohio State this year). OF Yoan Aybar is
another fascinating one — huge ceiling, no floor.
Alex Speier: 我不认为Cherington有这种倾向─成熟的大学球员(Marrero, Johnson,
Benintendi)和高中生(Ball, Chavis, Kopech)都是近几年的第一轮。
--
Dan (Mid-Atlantic): Could Mauricio Dubon slide into the now-departed Carlos
Asuaje's role as utility man of the future in the system? Seems Dubon has
exceeded expectations and rose quickly. What's the scouting/organizational
view of him?
Dan (Mid-Atlantic): Mauricio Dubon是否能取代Carlos Asuaje的工具人位置?Dubon打
出超乎预期的成绩,在新秀榜上大幅窜升。球探界和球团怎麽看他?
Alex Speier: Dubon has been regarded more highly than Asuaje throughout his
time in the minors — more versatile defender. He shows a skill set that
stands a solid chance of being at least a nice utility option, and some
evaluators think that he could develop a bit more as a hitter to the point of
future consideration as a starter (most likely at 2B).
Alex Speier: Dubon在小联盟的评价高於Asuaje,他是个更多元的防守者。他的skill
set让他有不小的机会能拿到工具人的位置,甚至有些球探认为他在打击上会有突破,
成为先发等级球员(最有可能成为二垒手)。
--
DR (Baltimore): Kopech looks like he's put on a lot of muscle, at least
according to his twitter. Does the organization feel he is poised to make a
big leap? Or is he still working on mechanical issues?
DR (Baltimore): Kopech似乎增加了不少肌肉,是不是球团觉得他已经转备好要突破了
?还是他还在修正投球机制问题?
Alex Speier: I guess that depends on what he’s leaping from — he had a
really good run in his first full pro season (at 19) before his suspension
for an amphetamine. He’s always been strong and had velocity, so I don’t
know that one would expect him to develop more power, but certainly, if he
builds upon some of the progress he made as a pitcher during his suspension
and through instructional league, he could solidify a rotation development
track.
Alex Speier:这取决於你文中突破的基准点为何。他在第一个完整球季(19岁)有很棒的
表现─直到因为安非他命遭到禁赛。他一直都很壮也有很快的球速,所以我不认为有人
会预期他拿出更多power。当然,禁赛期间如果在这段期间谨遵指示训练的画,或许能稳
住先发投手养成计画中的位置。
--
Greg T. (Lake Central): What's the good word on Nick Longhi? Does he have a
bright future? Sleeper for 2016? Thanks.
Greg T. (Lake Central): Nick Longhi的优点为何?他有光明的未来吗?2016年的黑
马?
Alex Speier: Good hit tool but he’s a 1B/LF, which means that a lot of his
prospect value is tied up in his future power development. He’s strong and
young, so if the power does come, then he’s a pretty interesting prospect.
Otherwise, he’s more of a RHH corner bench guy. But the bat offers a good
foundation for prospect status.
Alex Speier: 不错的hit tool但是他只能守1B/LF─因此他的价值将取决於power的养
成。他很年轻、强壮,如果power潜力确实实现,他将成为很有趣的新秀。不然他就只
能成为右打的1B/LF替补球员。
--
@Jaypers413 (IL): About where would you have ranked Margot, Guerra and Allen,
had they not been traded?
@Jaypers413 (IL): 交易前Margot, Guerra 和 Allen的新秀排行?
Alex Speier: I had Guerra at 5, Margot at 7, Allen at 12. I ended up writing
them up for the Globe instead of BA…
http://bit.ly/1mpyMlP
Alex Speier: Guerra 5, Margot 7, Allen 12
--
Ringo (Octopusses Garden): So who just missed the top 10 list?
Ringo (Octopusses Garden): 谁落在Top 10外?
Alex Speier: Well, all of the guys who just missed ended up being bumped up
into the top-10 once the Padres trade went down! A couple of guys who were
added to the 40-man, Marco Hernandez and Pat Light, were among those who fell
just outside the final top 10.
Alex Speier: 原本跌出去的球员都因为Kimbrel交易案挤进去了。Marco Hernandez和
Pat Light正好落在十名外。
--
*Athletic frame.
*High baseball IQ. Xander
*Smooth, fluid swing. Bogaerts
*Elite batspeed. #01
*Strong and explosive hands.
*Above-average-to-better power ceiling, potential 30 home run bat.
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 42.79.136.171
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/RedSox/M.1450361270.A.B51.html
1F:推 BrandonMai: 推 12/17 22:10
2F:推 boston31: 辛苦了 12/17 22:15
3F:推 JButton: 推 12/17 22:15
4F:推 tortoise2006: 推翻译 12/17 22:22
5F:推 Bstrong: 辛苦了 12/17 22:33
6F:推 barber: 有看有推 12/17 23:15
7F:推 vibration333: 推渔塭! 12/17 23:29
8F:推 kazumi66: 推翻译 12/18 00:08
9F:推 Unleashed: 推~ 12/18 09:08
10F:推 ekpum135: 推 12/18 10:07
11F:推 cyscys: Light要赶紧修正控球呀 12/18 10:54
12F:推 burnie: 推 12/18 11:19
13F:推 hahabis: 感谢您的分享 12/18 19:10
14F:推 pain0: 可以请教一下关於Kopech因安非他命被禁赛的细节吗 12/18 23:00
http://atmilb.com/1QRje5u
Michael Kopech在7/16
(人在成功岭上,难怪没印象...)被验出Oxilofrine阳性反应,
被禁赛50场
Kopech公开道歉、声称他在不知情的状态下误用,并表示下季不会有禁药问题了。
--
文章中说Oxilofrine用於低血压治疗,副作用包含激发肾上腺素、增加耐力、专注力和
心率(被视为PED),过去有短跑选手因为服用Oxilofrine遭惩处。
※ 编辑: XBogaerts (42.79.100.125), 12/19/2015 00:05:25
15F:→ XBogaerts: #1Lg3ZJvA brillanmela大的文章有提到 12/19 00:06
16F:推 tetsufuu: thx 12/19 01:32
17F:推 aazz1988: 12/20 09:55
18F:推 pain0: 感激不尽~ 12/23 16:36