Boston Red Sox Top 20 Prospects for 2015 by John Sickels http://t.co/PVCb8meXEs 1) Rusney Castillo, OF, Grade A-: Cuban defector age 27, hit .333/.400/.528 with three steals in 36 major league at-bats despite rust from not playing in over a year. Looks legit to me with speed/power combination; good track record of most high-profile Cuban hitters is another positive. 27岁的古巴叛将，尽管一年没出赛了，依然在大联盟的36 AB缴出.333/.400/.528。腿/炮 组合看起来很棒；另一个加分点是过去受瞩目的古巴打者转换成功率相当高。 2) Blake Swihart, C, Grade A-: Borderline B+: Age 22, hit .293/.341/.469 with 13 homers between Double-A and Triple-A. Bat is steadily improving. Glove is amazing: threw out 47 percent of runners while giving up zero passed balls in 96 games behind the plate. Mobile, athletic, extremely reliable. 22岁，在2A和3A缴出.293/.341/.469, 13 HR，打击稳定成长；防守也很惊人，除了干掉 47%的盗垒者之外，96场蹲捕中没出现任何一次捕逸。灵活度、运动能力都很可靠。 3) Henry Owens, LHP, Grade B+: Age 22, went 17-5, 2.94 in 159 innings between Double-A and Triple-A, 170/59 K/BB and 121 hits. Steadily progressing with three pitch mix, durability, command, good bet to be a number three starter. 22岁，2A、3A的159局缴出17-5, 2.94 ERA, 170/59 K/BB and 121 hits，三球路、耐力 与控球稳定成长，有不错的机率长成三号先发。 4) Eduardo Rodriguez, LHP, Grade B+/Borderline B: Age 21, 3.60 ERA with 108/37 K/BB in 120 innings in Double-A. Strange season: did not pitch particularly well for Bowie in the Orioles system, velocity was down. Traded to Red Sox for Andrew Miller and stuff took a sudden step forward in final six starts, fastball up to 97 with better secondary pitches. Given unusual season grading is tough, which is the real Rodriguez? Could wind up ahead of Owens if the August Rodriguez is more real than the June one. 21岁、在2A的120局缴出3.60 ERA, 108/37 K/BB。诡异的是他在金莺2A的Bowie表现并没 有很好，球速也掉了。被拿去换Andrew Miller之後感觉stuff突然跳了一级，最後六场比 赛出现97 mph的fastball和较优异的变化球种。这种诡异球技很难评分，到底哪个才是真 正的Ed-Rod？如果八月的Ed-Rod比六月的更真实，他甚至能超越Henry Owens。 5) Rafael Devers, 3B, Grade B+/Borderline B: Age 18, hit .337/.445/.538 in Dominican Summer League then .312/.374/.484 in Gulf Coast League. This is an extremely aggressive grade for a rookie ball player but I don’t always play it safe. Questions about his defense exist but scouting reports on the bat are excellent and the early numbers support the scouting reports. In my view, equivalent to a first-round pick out of high school with premium tools and a fast start and graded accordingly. 18岁，DSL .337/.445/.538、GCL .312/.374/.484。对於菜鸟联盟的球员来说这个评分是 野心甚高的评估，但是我并不会一直打安全牌。球探对他的防守有些质疑，但是对他的打 击都很赞赏，生涯初期的数据也支持了这些观察。我觉得Devers和第一轮、优异tool以及 优异初期成绩的高中生球员是并驾齐驱的。 6) Manuel Margot, OF, Grade B: Age 20, hit .293/.356/.462 with 12 homers, 42 steals between Low-A and High-A. Seems to do everything well, speed is ahead of his power and will likely stay that way. Could go up to B+. 20岁，A和高阶A .293/.356/.462, 12 HR, 42 SB。感觉表现很全面、速度优於炮瓦而之 後应该也会依照这个趋势发展。有机会爬上B+。 7) Garin Cecchini, 3B-OF, Grade B-: Age 23, hit disappointing .263/.341/.371 in Triple-A although he was much more effective late in the year. Complaints about lack of power seemed to get into his head and he changed his approach early in the year with poor results. In August he went back to his previous philosophy and hit .333/.413/.500, ironically showing more power after he stopped trying to pull everything. Still, the rest of the season counts too and the grade reflects that. 23岁，在3A只缴出令人失望的.263/.341/.371但是後期表现回升。大家对他炮瓦不足的批 评似乎对他造成影响，让他的打击机制跑掉而造成成绩下滑。八月份乔回观念之後缴出 .333/.413/.500─很讽刺，在停止狂拉球之後的打出更多炮瓦。不过前面的成绩也算所以 评价就到此而已。 8) Matt Barnes, RHP, Grade B-: Age 24, posted 3.95 ERA with 103/46 K/BB in 128 innings in Triple-A. Shoulder trouble early but got over it, in Boston he may be more of a reliever than a starter. Good fastball and change-up, breaking stuff remains erratic. 24岁，在3A的128局 3.95 ERA, 103/46 K/BB。季初有肩膀问题但是後来撑过了；在红袜 的表现似乎显示他更适合当一位牛棚投手。不错的fastball、changeup，但是变化球还 是相当不稳。 9) Anthony Ranaudo, RHP, Grade B-: Age 25, posted 2.61 ERA with 111/54 K/BB in 138 innings in Triple-A, 4.81 ERA with 15/16 K/BB in 39 innings in the majors. Strange track record, sometimes brilliant, sometimes terrible, sometimes mediocre. Like Barnes, he could be a number three starter or he could wash out. I don’t pretend to know which way it will go. 25岁，3A的138局 2.61 ERA, 111/54 K/BB，大联盟的39局 4.81 ERA, 15/16 K/BB。过往 成绩颇为诡异，有时很棒，有时很烂，有时普普。跟Barnes一样，或许能当三号，或者可 能会养坏。我也不知道他会走向哪一边。 10) Deven Marrero, SS, Grade B-: Age 24, hit .291/.371/.433 in 268 at-bats in Double-A, .210/.260/.285 in 186 at-bats in Triple-A. Very good with the glove, sometimes he hits well and many times he doesn’t. My guess is that he will have a few good seasons offensively but not right away. Defense will be good enough for him to play. 24岁，在2A的268 AB .291/.371/.433、3A的186 AB .210/.260/.285。防守能力优秀，打 击状况时好时坏。我的预测是未来会打出不错的球季，只是不会出现在刚上大联盟的时候 。防守能力足以让他站上大联盟。 11) Brian Johnson, LHP, Grade B-: Age 24, posted 1.75 ERA with 99/32 K/BB in 118 innings in Double-A. Classic four-pitch college-trained lefty, nothing spectacular with the stuff but knows how to pitch, not as much upside as Barnes or Ranaudo but perhaps more likely to reach what upside he has. 24岁，2A的118局 1.75 ERA, 99/32 K/BB。典型的四球种大学左投，没有令人惊艳的 stuff但是知道怎麽投球─upside不如Ranaudo和Barnes但是有更大的机会摸到天花板。 12) Wendell Rijo, 2B, Grade B-: Age 19, hit .254/.348/.416 in Low-A, very young for the level, stole 16 bases. Power developing, needs a lot of work on defensive reliability but the tools are there. Breakthrough candidate. 在Low-A相对非常年轻的19岁，打出.254/.348/.416的成绩，附带16盗垒。炮瓦发展中， 防守的可靠度尚待加强但是他有足够的tool。本季大黑马人选。 13) Sean Coyle, 2B-3B, Grade B-: Age 23, hit .295/.371/.512 in Double-A over 96 games, has hit 32 homers in his last 160 minor league contests. Undersized at 5-8 and there are skeptics, but the I think the strength is real, not sure about the batting average and OBP. Reliable glove at second base but had trouble when used at third. 23岁，在2A的96战打出.295/.371/.512；最近的160场比赛中一共敲出32只红不让。仅有 5'8的小派型身高，亦有一些质疑声浪，但我认为他的炮瓦是货真价实的─但不确定打击 率和上垒率是否能维持下去。可靠的二垒防守，但是移到三垒会出现一些问题。 14) Michael Chavis, SS-3B, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 19, first round pick in 2014 draft from Georgia high school, hit .269/.347/.425 in rookie ball. Raw, particularly on defense, but has tools to be above-average on both sides of the ball. Will need time. 19岁，2014梯选秀第一轮的Georgia high school打者，在菜鸟联盟打出.269/.347/.425。 目前球技依然粗糙，尤其是防守方面─但是攻守两边的tool都有机会长成高於平均的等 级。得花一些时间养成。 15) Edwin Escobar, LHP, Grade C+: Age 22, acquired from Giants, 4.94 ERA with 116/45 K/BB in 138 innings between Triple-A Fresno and Pawtucket. Stock down some after breaking ball went backwards, could still be a fourth starter or a relief option, the latter looking more likely at this point. 22岁，从巨人挖来的投手，3A通算(Fresno+Pawtucket) 138局 4.94 ERA, 116/45 K/BB。 变化球表现衰退後价值下跌，但是依然有机会成为四号先发或是牛棚投手─目前而言後者 的可能性比较高。 16) Heath Hembree, RHP, Grade C+: Age 26, another part of trade with Giants, 3.72 ERA with 20 saves, 55/18 K/BB in 46 innings in Triple-A. Nothing left to prove in the minors, fastball has declined a bit but slider has improved, should be effective middle reliever. 26岁，一样从巨人来的。在3A的46局 3.72 ERA, 55/18 K/BB、20救援成功。在小联盟已 经没啥好练的，fastball有些衰退但是slider进步了，应该能担任优秀的中段牛棚投手。 17) Michael Kopech, RHP, Grade C+: Age 18, hard-throwing Texan drafted in first round, 4.61 ERA with 16/9 K/BB in 14 innings in rookie ball. Long way off, will need time but could be a rotation anchor or at least a workhorse. Can hit mid-90s, secondaries under development. 18岁、第一轮选进的德州火球投手，在菜鸟联盟的14局 4.61 ERA, 16/9 K/BB，需要时间 养成但有机会养成不动先发或是工作马。目前最快球速mid-90s，变化球养成中。 18) Trey Ball, LHP, Grade C+: Age 20, first round pick in 2013, posted 4.68 ERA with 68/39 K/BB in 100 innings in Low-A. Very projectable, athletic, 6-6, 185 body, could become a number three starter if he can refine curveball and change-up. Low strikeout rate is a negative. 20岁，2013年的第一轮；Low-A的100局 4.68 ERA, 68/39 K/BB。具有高潜力与运动能力 的6尺6寸、185磅身材，若乔好curveball和changeup的话有希望成为三号投手。低三振 率则是一项扣分。 19) Teddy Stankeiwicz, RHP, Grade C+: Second round pick in 2013, posted 3.72 ERA with 102/29 K/BB in 140 innings in Low-A. Not as much physical upside as Ball but more polished fastball/curve/change arsenal, number four starter potential. 2013年第二轮的投手，Low-A的140局 3.72 ERA, 102/29 K/BB，没有像Ball那麽赞的身材 但是拥有更成熟的fastball/curve/changeup球路，四号先发潜力。 20) Carlos Asuaje, INF-OF, Grade C+: Age 23, sleeper prospect, 11th round pick in 2013 from Nova Southeastern University, hit .310/.393/.533 with 15 homers, 59 walks, 90 strikeouts in 480 at-bats in Low-A and High-A. He has always hit like this; he was an excellent hitter in college too but scouts were skeptical about his tools. That opinion is starting to change; his swing draws good reviews, the numbers are excellent. Being groomed as a super-utility type. 23岁的黑马新秀，2013年第11轮从Nova Southeastern University选来的打者，在Low-A 和High-A的480 AB打出.310/.393/.533, 15 HR, 90K/59BB。他过去的打击表现亦为如此 ─在大学的打击成绩亮眼，但是球探质疑他的tool。这个看法渐渐开始扭转，他的挥棒 获得好的回响，成绩也很不错。往超级工具人发展中。 OTHER GRADE C+: Christopher Acosta, RHP; Anderson Espinosa, RHP; Sam Travis 1B OTHERS: Jake Cosart, RHP; Keury De La Cruz, OF; Luis Diaz, RHP; Javier Guerra, SS; Joe Gunkel, RHP; Justin Haley, RHP; Dalier Hinojosa, RHP; Nick Longhi, OF; Danny Mars, OF; Kevin McAvoy, RHP; Simon Mercedes, RHP; Sheev Palpatine, Senator from Naboo; Noe Ramirez, RHP; Henry Ramos, OF; Travis Shaw, 1B; Zeke Spruill, RHP; Steven Wright, RHP. 2014 was a rough year for the major league team. Xander Bogaerts didn’t live up to his full potential and Jackie Bradley Jr. was terrible, but there are still many reasons for Red Sox fans to be optimistic about the farm system. JBJ may not figure it out but Bogaerts likely will, and Mookie Betts was a revelation who seems completely legitimate. 2014对母队来说是个艰困的一年，Xander Bogaerts没拿出所有潜力，JBJ表现很糟糕，不 过红袜球迷依然有许多对农场保持乐观的原因。JBJ或许没办法走出来，但是XB应该会； 还有Mookie Betts看起来很赞。 The farm system has some depth to it. Blake Swihart has turned into an outstanding defensive catcher with a bat that will be good-enough to play regularly. Cuban defector Rusney Castillo made a good first impression. There is a diverse set of players at all levels, with a mixture of polished players who play above their tools (Cecchini, Asuaje, Sam Travis, Travis Shaw) and toolsy players who look like they will figure things out (Devers, Margot, Rijo). There are potential role players, potential stars, and lots of fodder for trades. 农场有不少深度，Blake Swihart长出优异的防守，打击也将让他获得固定先发的门票； 古巴叛将Rusney Castillo给大家很棒的第一印象。各级都有各式各样型态的渔获，有着 相对较为成熟、表现比本身的tool还好的球员(Cecchini, Asuaje, Sam Travis, Travis Shaw)以及tool相当引人、看起来能发展茁壮的球员(Devers, Margot, Rijo)。可能的功 能型球员、可能的球星、还有许多能成为交易筹码的球员。 You want lefties? Owens and Rodriguez (stolen from the Orioles) are two of the top lefty prospects in baseball and should be ready for trials soon. Brian Johnson and Edwin Escobar don’t have as much upside but could still be good. The pitching staff at Pawtucket will be very interesting. Right-handed pitching doesn’t have quite as much upside as but there is a lot of C+/B- depth. Physical right-handers abound even if Barnes and Ranaudo are somewhat enigmatic. Kopech and the pair of high-profile Latin American signees (Christopher Acosta, Anderson Espinosa) have the highest upside but are also the furthest away. 想要左投？这里有Owens和Rodriguez，这两个都是Top Prospects并即将站上审判台了； Brian Johnson 和 Edwin Escobar都没有他们的天花板但也有机会缴出好表现。这季 Pawtucket的先发阵容将会很有趣。右投的天花板较低但有雄厚的C+/B-深度，即使Barnes 和Ranaudo表现不稳，依然拥有丰富的优异体能右投手。Kopech和两位国际选秀的 Christopher Acosta, Anderson Espinosa都有最佳的天花板但同时也是离大联盟最远的 一组。 Overall, this is a very good farm system that should continue to produce a steady stream of talent. 总而言之，这是个非常棒的农场系统，应该能继续稳定的供出天份来。 -- "HARD WORK BEATS TALENT WHEN TALENT FAILS TO WORK HARD." --

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