作者seekforever (sadnessflower)
看板RedSox
标题[讨论] Free Agent Profile: Hanley Ramirez
时间Mon Nov 24 09:30:41 2014
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/11/free-agent-profile-hanley-ramirez.html
The Manny Ramirez era in Los Angeles is long over, but Hanleywood has given
the Dodgers plenty of lasting memories in recent years. Hanley Ramirez is
now hitting the free agent market and whether he winds up back with the
Dodgers or with someone else, he’s all but certain to get paid big bucks.
Manny在洛杉矶的时代已经结束很久了 这几年由Hanley取而代之
无论Hanley明年会续留道奇还是去其他球队 肯定的是他会拿到一笔肥约
Strengths/Pros 优势
Offensively, Ramirez rates as one of the highest-impact free agents
available. Last season, Ramirez slashed .283/.369/.448 with 13 homers in 128
games for the Dodgers. His career track record is even stronger with a
batting line of .300/.373/.500. There aren’t many shortstops who offer the
kind of pop that Ramirez can, either. He has yet to hit less than ten homers
in a campaign and that low point comes from a partial season of play (2011).
Over the last nine years, Ramirez has averaged 21 homers per season.
攻击面而言 他是最具影响力的FA之一
上季出赛128场打出.283/.369/.448 13支全垒打
他生涯的成绩比这还亮眼 打击三围 .300/.373/.500 这在游击手中非常少见
他单季全垒打数从未低於10支 那年他只出赛了92场
过去九年 他平均每季有21发全垒打
Ramirez has never played in a particularly homer-friendly environment, but he
still boasts strong career numbers. With the Dodgers, Ramirez posted a
.299/.368/.506 line in his two-and-a-half seasons, numbers that are eerily
similar to his career slash line. When stacking his 2014 wRC+ against this
winter’s other free agents (I modified the free agent leaderboard
constructed by Steve Adams to exclude players with options that were
exercised, like Ben Zobrist and Denard Span), he rates third among qualified
hitters with a 135 rating. That puts him ahead of guys like Melky Cabrera and
just a hair behind the big bat of Nelson Cruz.
他从未在对打者友善的球场打球 但他仍然打出非常强势的打击数据
过去2.5个球季 他在道奇打出.299/.368/.506 与他生涯平均非常接近
他135的wRC+ 在今年所有FA打者中排第三 只略输Nelson Cruz这类巨炮
Ramirez turned in a 3.4 WAR this past season and a particularly strong 5.0
WAR in 2013. He was a massive offensive weapon for the Dodgers in 2013 with
a wOBA of .446. His closer-to-mortal .362 wOBA in 2014 is still quite
strong, also good for No. 3 on the aforementioned free agent leaderboard.
For his career, he has offered better-than-average strikeout and walk rates
(16.6% and 9.6%) and his walk rate of 10.9% this past season was actually a
step up from his total body of work. Both UBR and BsR scored him as an
above-average baserunner this past season and are fond his career body of
work on the bases.
他是道奇阵中的一门重炮手 上季WAR 3.4 13年则是5.0
他在有些衰退的14年赛季中 仍然打出相当强劲的.362 wOBA 在FA中排第三
生涯的三振率(16.6%)与保送率(9.6%)都高於平均 上季保送率更高到10.9%
两项跑垒数据也显示他是高於平均的跑垒者
A three-time All-Star, he shines especially bright when compared to the rest
of the crop at the shortstop position. After Ramirez, the next best options
are Stephen Drew, Jed Lowrie, and Asdrubal Cabrera. While all three are
starter material, Ramirez clearly is of a different caliber and figures to
out-earn all of them significantly in terms of average annual value and
contract length.
三届全明星 当他与其他游击手相比 更显现出他在打击表现上的不凡
今年在Hanley之後 FA游击手就剩下 Drew, Lowrie, Asdrubal Cabrera等人
而他们显然跟Hanley是完全不同等级的球员 当然要签下他们的代价也完全不同
Of course, Ramirez’s future might not be at shortstop. He also has 98 games
of experience at third base to his credit, the bulk of which came in 2012
with the Marlins. The top of the third base market is healthier than at
short, with options like Pablo Sandoval and Chase Headley, but Ramirez offers
the most offensive potential of the three. A team could sign Ramirez to play
shortstop, for now, and shift him over to third base down the line depending
on the needs and opportunities that come up.
当然Hanley未来不见得仍然会待在游击
他生涯也守过98场三垒 主要是12年还在马林鱼的时候
FA三垒手的市场比游击健康一些 还有Sandoval跟Headley等替代人选
不过Hanley在三个人中的打击能力还是最好的
球队可以签下Hanley让他暂时待在游击 视情况再把他移到三垒
Weaknesses/Cons 弱点
Ramirez’s health has been an issue for years now. He’s phenomenal when he’
s on the field, but it’s hard to count on getting a full season out of him
given his track record. We first saw the injury bug strike in 2011 where he
played in just 92 games, and in 2013, Ramirez took the field in just 86
games, his lowest output since becoming a full-time player.
他的健康在这几年都出现问题 当他健康时 他在场上是个顶尖球员
但是这几年越来越难期待他打满整季
11年他只出赛92场 13年则只出赛86场 这是他站稳大联盟後的最低出场数
Ramirez first started having shoulder trouble in 2010 and it only got worse
in 2011 when he injured himself trying to make a diving catch in August of
that year, causing him to miss the remainder of the season. In 2013, he tore
a ligament in his thumb and missed a month after undergoing surgery. When he
got back on the field, his hamstring cost him significant time. This past
season, Ramirez was held back by several injuries, including a strained
oblique.
他在10年开始出现肩伤 而在11年因一次扑接让他的肩伤恶化 错过了剩下的赛季
13年手指韧带拉伤 手术让他错过一个月的球季
回到球场後 又因为大腿拉伤 而休养了一段时间
上个赛季也因为几次受伤进了DL 包括一次斜纹肌拉伤
While there are tons of great things to say about Ramirez’s bat, his
fielding is not at all on the same level. Ramirez’s -15.6 UZR/150 rating
from this past season is atrocious and his -8.8 career mark is pretty ugly as
well. Defensive runs saved tells the same story – he cost the Dodgers nine
runs in 2014 and has a -77 tally for his career.
守备是他的致命伤 上赛季UZR只有非常糟的-15.6 生涯的-8.8也不好看
他上季让道奇多丢了9分 生涯则让他的球队多丢了77分
I mentioned the possibility of a shift from shortstop to third base as a
positive in the previous section, but here’s the other (and, maybe, more
realistic take): a club signing Ramirez to a multi-year pact will likely have
to put him at third base at some point to try and cover up his defensive
shortcomings. When you look at his history of poor defense and injuries and
consider that he’s on the wrong side of 30 (he’ll be 31 by Opening Day),
there’s little reason to believe it’ll get better.
即便把他移到三垒 他身边还是需要人帮他cover
而且他下季将满31岁 守备问题可能随着衰退变得更严重
Ramirez will most definitely turn down the Dodgers’ qualifying offer,
meaning that any other club signing him will forfeit its top unprotected pick.
他拒绝了道奇提出的QO 签下他要赔第一轮(红袜赔第二轮)
Personal 个人特质
Ramirez was born and raised in the Dominican Republic and attended Adbentista
High School. Ramirez is married with three children – two sons and a
daughter. In the summer of 2013, his youngest son showed everyone that he
has a gorgeous swing, just like his father (Vine link).
13年的夏天 他儿子展现了非常漂亮的挥棒 就跟爸爸一样
Market 市场状况
The Dodgers and Ramirez were discussing an extension in the early part of the
season, but the two sides agreed to table talks when they could not bridge a
sizable gap. A return is not out of the question, but rival evaluators told
ESPN.com’s Buster Olney in September that they were sensing that the Dodgers
would offer Ramirez the QO with the expectation that he would decline, sign
elsewhere, and net them draft compensation. Of course, the new regime in
L.A. headed by Andrew Friedman might feel differently.
季初道奇曾与他讨论延长合约 最终因为双方差距过大破局
同区FO认为道奇将会放他离队 拿回选秀权
当然Andrew Friedman上任後 想法或许会不一样
More recently, Ramirez has reportedly told teams that he’s willing to play a
position other than shortstop, which should make clubs with third base needs
and possibly corner outfield needs more open to adding him. However, some
clubs might have reservations about signing him and simply dropping him into
the outfield. After all, he’s never played a single game there in his pro
career.
最近Hanley曾公开表示他愿意换守位 这让有三垒或角落外野需求的球队进场竞标
然而他生涯没守过半场外野 可能会让一些球队对此产生疑虑
The Yankees might be the most obvious fit for Ramirez, but reports this week
indicated that they weren’t likely to pursue many of the big-name free
agents on the market. Of course, as Steve pointed out in the linked piece,
that report mentioned many top free agents by name, but Ramirez’s name was
absent. If the Yankees are willing to pay market price for Ramirez, they can
slot him in at shortstop in the short-term and transition him over to third
or a corner outfield spot later on in the contract.
洋基是Hanley最适合的去处 然而他们表示这季末可能不会追求任何大牌球星
如果洋基签下他 可以暂时顶住游击 等合约末期再把他移去外野
The Mariners and Giants could enter the mix as well, with San Francisco
looking at him as a third base or left field option. The Tigers might make
sense from a need standpoint, but they have so many large contracts on the
books looking forward that adding a significant deal for Ramirez might be
tough. A reunion with the Red Sox might be possible since he is willing to
play third, and they’ve reportedly already reached out to him. The White
Sox have money to spend, few significant long-term contracts on the books and
lack a clear long-term option at third base. The A’s are in need of a
shortstop and with a lefty-heavy offense, Ramirez’s big right-handed bat
would be a welcome addition, though it’s hard to see his salary fitting into
the budget. The Mets also probably won’t spend the money necessary to sign
Ramirez, but the need is there.
水手缺SS 巨人则缺3B跟LF 老虎也缺左半边内野 不过他们已经绑了太多大约
重回红袜也是可能性之一 据传他们已经向Hanley接触过了
白袜有钱可撒 很少长约负担 又缺长期的三垒手
运动家缺SS跟右打炮 不过Hanley应该超出他们的预算
最後是大都会 可能不愿出钱 但游击的洞就摆在那里
Expected Contract 预期合约
Ramirez was reportedly asking for over $130MM in the spring give up a chance
at testing the open market, presumably on a five- or six-year pact. Given
the lucrative deals signed by Jacoby Ellsbury ($153MM) and Shin-Soo Choo
($130MM) last winter, an AAV of $20MM or more seems feasible for Ramirez, who
offers major offensive production at a premium position.
据传Hanley想要一份130M 五到六年的大约
对照去年Ellsbury的七年153M跟秋信守的七年130M
Hanley拿到年薪20M是有可能的 毕竟他在游击这个位置有杰出的攻击输出
Even when considering Ramirez’s spotty health record and weak glove, it’s
hard to envision a scenario where he doesn’t comes away as the highest paid
positional player of the winter. Last winter, Ellsbury got a $153MM,
seven-year pact, despite his own checkered injury history. I think Ramirez
will approach that AAV with one less year, netting a six-year, $132MM deal.
即便考虑他的健康风险跟破手套 也很难想像他不是今年最贵的打者
去年Ellsbury在偶有伤病下 还是拿到七年153M
我认为Hanley能够拿到一样的年薪 年数则少一年 也就是六年132M的大约
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今天突然出现红袜打算一次签下Sandoval跟Hanley的消息
这篇简单把他的强项跟弱点介绍了一下
打击上他无疑是主炮级的 不过不管游击还是三垒的守备都很难看
如果真的签他 想必同时会出现拿Cespedes或XB去换前段轮值的交易
明年的阵容可能会有很大的改变
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 111.243.99.73
※ 文章网址: http://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/RedSox/M.1416792645.A.8FC.html
1F:推 tortoise2006: 以前很喜欢他...不过现在已届30且有点痛,不看好 11/24 10:10
2F:推 wasiwatery: 非常痛 签了丢XB一定会後悔 11/24 10:52
3F:→ seekforever: 我觉得签他守LF 丢Cespedes比较合理 11/24 10:58
4F:→ seekforever: 等老爹或Napoli约满 直接移到1B或DH就好 11/24 10:59
5F:→ seekforever: 这样应该有助於他的健康问题 11/24 10:59
6F:推 qozxcv: 签LOWRIE吧 11/24 11:00
7F:推 ramiraz615: XB守SS 小亨利守3B的话左半边也是蛮抖的 11/24 12:01
8F:推 Orcish: 11/24 12:09
9F:→ lingsk: 签熊猫/外野丢别的+打包跟水手换岩畏/再花大钱签回抗癌 11/24 12:20
10F:→ lingsk: 哪有这好啦(/‵Д′)/~ ╧╧ 11/24 12:20
11F:推 iverson0968: 拜托不要丢XB啊&一定会後悔的 11/24 12:28
12F:推 lovemost: 我也不太懂签他的这个目的何在,有接触OK 11/24 12:48
13F:推 vince4687: 借转脸书,会注明出处跟原PO ID谢谢 11/24 14:02