作者XBogaerts (仙德‧波嘎滋)
看板RedSox
标题[渔塭] Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review
时间Sat Jul 27 00:53:26 2013
Boston Red Sox Top 20 2013 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review
by John Sickels
http://t.co/fs6gzp0FaS
Here is a review of the Top 20 2013 Boston Red Sox prospect list. Keep in
mind that was the PRE-SEASON List. It is NOT a new list. These are the
pre-season grades and rankings!
This list was originally published on January 7, 2013 and revised on January
14, 2013.
以下将回顾季初排名 ( http://0rz.tw/Ahxro、本板#1Gwto_4- )中的新秀表现如何:
1) Xander Bogaerts, SS, Grade A: Remains an elite prospect; .311/.407/.502 in
56 Double-A games, .256/.360/.465 in 36 Triple-A games at age 20.
依然是个优秀新秀,AA的55场比赛.311/.407/.502,3A的36场比赛.256/.360/.465─而且
只有20岁。
2) Jackie Bradley, OF, Grade B+: .284/.382/.516 in 52 games for Triple-A
Pawtucket, .155/.258/.310 in 23 major league games. Playing the roster yo-yo
but I think he will be ready to contribute fully next year.
在3A的52场比赛.284/.382/.516,23场大联盟比赛.155/.258/.310。虽然今年在大小联盟
间游走,但我认为他明年就能准备为球队全力贡献了。
3) Matt Barnes, RHP, Grade B+: 4.75 ERA with 98/31 K/BB in 78 innings for
Double-A Portland, 84 hits. Has had some outstanding games (10 strikeouts in
seven shutout innings in his last start for example) but he's had some real
stinkers as well, elevating his ERA. I'd look for him sometime next year but
he could struggle if rushed too quickly.
在2A的78局内4.75 ERA、98/31 K/BB、被打84支安打。他有几场优异的表现(上一场七局
无失分还送出10K),但也有一些不尽理想的内容,把ERA撑大。我明年应该会再次注意他
,不过升太快可能会揠苗助长。
4) Garin Cecchini, 3B, Grade B: Borderline B+. I assume this grade may
surprise people, but I'm thinking he will start to show more power to go with
his OBP skills, speed, and greatly improved defense. I don't always play it
safe with the grades.Initially I had him at a B+, but have kicked that down
slightly. It isn't that my opinion about Cecchini changed, but rather that
there were a couple of guys I had at strong Bs that I felt were slightly
better. My original instinct was right and I should have left him with the
B+. He's hitting .343/.452/.523 with 19 steals combined between High-A and
Double-A.
我猜这个成绩会有些令人惊讶,不过我认为他的炮瓦会随着上垒能力、速度和进步不少的
防少渐渐展现出来。季初第一份评监中我给他B+,後来修正过後移到B─并不是我对於
Cecchini的评价有所改变,而是B等里面有很多优异新秀,我认为他们稍微比Cecchini好
一点。
不过我现在觉得一开始的直觉是对的,应该给他B+才对。A+和AA通算.343/.452/.523、
19次盗垒成功。
5) Allen Webster, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. 4.40 ERA with 67/28 K/BB in 59
innings for Pawtucket, 9.57 ERA with 21/14 K/BB in 26 innings in the major
leagues. Report hasn't changed much: plenty of stuff, but command remains
troublesome.
Paw Sox的59局4.40 ERA、67/28 K/BB,大联盟26局9.57 ERA、21/14 K/BB。评价大致不
变,有不错的stuff,但是控球还是问题。
6) Henry Owens, LHP, Grade B: 2.78 ERA with 116/50 K/BB in 97 innings for
High-A Salem, 62 hits. Love the strikeout rate; still needs to lower walks.
Reports are still oddly mixed on him; some observers really like him, others
are pretty "meh." I tend to optimism with him.
A+的97局2.78 ERA、116/50 K/BB、被打62支安打,三振率很迷人,但是需要降低保送数
。球探对Owens的评价依然两极,有些人很爱,有些人只觉得"meh"─我个人对他很乐观。
7) Bryce Brentz, OF, Grade B-: Borderline B: Hitting .272/.321/.487 with 16
homers in Triple-A before going on the disabled list in early July with a
knee injury. Not much change here either: power bat with questionable contact
skills. Could be a trade rumor guy.
七月初因膝伤进入伤兵名单,在此之前.272/.321/.487、16轰。评价也几乎不变:炮瓦强
、击球技巧有问题。或许会是交易筹码。
8) Blake Swihart, C, Grade B-: So far, he scouts better than he performs.
Defense seems to be coming along, but hitting was disappointing in the Sally
League given all the pre-draft hype his bat received, and at age 20 he was
old for a 2011 high school draft. He's a solid prospect certainly but I am
going to wait and see beyond that. Catchers have weird development curves,
though, and New Mexico background also factors in. He still scouts better
than he performs; .270/.348/.408, 36% of runners caught in High-A, not bad
but not the "future star" stuff you hear about. Has hit nine homers in 170
pro games. Controls the strike zone well, which helps his chances.
球探看到的比他的实际表现好。防守技巧进步很多,但是身为20岁进入2011年选秀的球员
,他在南大西洋联盟的打击成绩令人失望。他是一个不错的新秀,但是我还要多等一段时
间观察他的成长。不过捕手的养成曲线比较特殊,他出身背景(新墨西哥州)也是影响因素
。
球探看到依然的比他的实际表现好,他在A+ .270/.348/.408,追悼36%的盗垒者。不错但
算不上未来明星的stuff。他在职业联盟的170场比赛打出九支全垒打,不过他还蛮会控制
好球带,这在未来或许会有所帮助。
9) Brandon Workman, RHP, Grade B-: 3.21 ERA with 108/30 K/BB in 101 innings
between Double-A and Triple-A; has a 13/3 K/BB in his first 14 major league
innings. Looks like a solid inning-eater type to me; doesn't receive enough
attention outside of Red Sox circles.
AA和AAA的101局3.21 ERA、108/30 K/BB,在大联盟的头14局13/3 K/BB。看起来会是个
吃局数的工作马,在红袜国之外不受瞩目的球员。
10) Deven Marrero, SS, Grade B-: Another trade bait possibility. Hitting
.263/.342/.344 in High-A, which isn't great, but he's got outstanding skills
on the bases (18-for-18 this year, 42-for-48 in his pro career) and is a very
good defensive shortstop. It is possible his hitting can improve further.
另一个潜在的交易筹码。在A+ .263/.342/.344,不是很好,不过他有很好的盗垒能力
(本季连18拉18,生涯42-48,也是个防守能力优异的游击手。打击能力在未来有进步的
可能性。
11) Pat Light, RHP, Grade B-: 8.06 ERA with 24/13 K/BB in 26 innings for
Low-A Greenville; was put on the disabled list in May with a hamstring injury.
Greenville的26局8.06 ERA、24/13 K/BB,五月因为腿後肌受伤进入伤兵名单。
12) Jose Iglesias, SS, Grade C+: His glove is excellent but his bat is so bad
that it may be tough to keep him in the lineup anyway. If they are lucky he
can be the Cuban Adam Everett and hold a job with positive WAR even with poor
hitting. If they aren't lucky, keep in mind that Rey Ordonez had a great
glove but couldn't hold the job anyway. This is baseball. Weird shit happens
sometimes. He hit .202/.262/.319 in 33 games for Pawtucket, which is
horrendous, then comes up to the majors and hits .343/.391/.428 in 201
at-bats. Yeah, driven by an unsustainable BABIP. I'll be very surprised if
he's hitting anything close to this by the time he gets to 600 plate
appearances.
他的守备能力优异,但是打击能力糟到难以在打线中生存。幸运的话会成为Adam Everett
,靠手套弥补不佳的打击能力而赚进正的WAR;倒楣的话会成为拿不到工作的Rey Ordonez
。
不过棒球就是个充满怪事的运动,在3A的33场比赛打出很糟糕的.202/.262/.319,却在
大联盟的201打席中缴出.343/.391/.428─嗯,很不科学的BABIP支撑着。如果打到600PA
还能维持这种成绩的话会跌破我的眼镜。
13) Brandon Jacobs, OF, Grade C+: Traded to the Chicago White Sox for Matt
Thornton; hitting a combined .252/.337/.441 this year with 11 homers between
81 games in High-A and 10 in Double-A. Toolsy outfielder who hasn't lived up
to expectations with the bat yet.
送去白袜换Matt Thornton,81场A+和十场AA缴出.252/.337/.441,很多工具的外野手,
但无法将潜力转化为表现。
14) Drake Britton, LHP, Grade C+: Recently promoted to majors; 3.77 ERA in
103 innings between Double-A and Triple-A, 85/37 K/BB, 104 hits. Track record
is erratic but he has good stuff and could be a useful power bullpen arm, or
possibly a back-end starter.
刚升上大联盟不久。在AA和AAA的103局3.77 ERA、85/37 K/BB、104安打。过往纪录不稳
定但是stuff很棒,也许能成为很有用的牛棚手臂或是後段先发人选。
15) Brian Johnson, LHP, Grade C+: 3.64 ERA with 44/19 K/BB in 42 innings for
Greenville in the Low-A Sally League; spent much of the spring on the
disabled list but was just reactivated. Strike-throwing fourth starter type
when healthy.
Greenville的42局3.64 ERA、44/19 K/BB,春天都在伤兵名单,在之前归队了。健康时会
是有K功的四号先发。
16) Keury De La Cruz, OF, Grade C+: Hitting .284/.324/.422 with six homers,
12 steals, 24 walks, 78 strikeouts in 384 at-bats for Salem. Plate discipline
will be an issue at higher levels.
在Salem的384 AB缴出.284/.324/.422、六轰、12盗、24次保送、78次三振。选球能力在
高阶联盟会成为一大问题。
17) Ty Buttrey, RHP, Grade C+: Limited pitch counts at short-season Lowell in
the New York-Penn League result in 2.22 ERA, 14/10 K/BB in 28 innings over
six starts. Being handled conservatively.
在Lowell的用球数都不多,28局(六次先发) 2.22 ERA、14/10 K/BB。
球团用很保守的方式的使用他。
18) Jose Vinicio, SS, Grade C+: Hitting .218/.256/.284 with 18 steals, 12
walks, 78 strikeouts in 296 at-bats for Greenville. Combination of lack of
patience, high strikeout rate, and no power makes him ineffective as an
offensive player at this stage. Has the tools to be a good defender but is
still raw in that area too.
Greenville的296 AB打出.218/.256/.284、18盗、12保送、78三振。「无耐心」、
「高三振率」、「无炮瓦」让他在这个阶段成为不怎麽样的新秀。他有成为优秀防守者的
tool,但是这部份也依然很生。
19) Brock Holt, 2B, Grade C+: .259/.331/.292 in 216 at-bats in Triple-A;
.290/.333/.290 in 31 at-bats in the majors. Undone by lack of power at this
point. I thought he could be a useful scrappy utility guy with a decent bat,
but it isn't happening this year.
AAA的216打数.259/.331/.292,大联盟的31打数.290/.333/.290,目前缺乏炮瓦。我曾认
为他是个好用、有棒子的工具人,但是今年还看不到这种表现。
20) Cody Kukuk, LHP, Grade C+: Big 6-4, 200 pound lefty with good stuff, 3.82
ERA with a 76/61 K/BB in 73 innings for Greenville, 43 hits. K/IP and H/IP
are very impressive and reflect his potential, but his walk rate is way too
high. Upside remains intriguing.
6尺4寸、200磅左投,有很不错的stuff,今年在Greenville缴出3.82 ERA、76/61 K/BB、
73局被打43支安打。K/IP 和 H/IP很优异,展现出他的潜力,但是保送率太高了。天花板
在哪里依然很难摸清。
OTHER GRADE C+: Sean Coyle, 2B; Austin Maddox, RHP; Travis Shaw, 1B.
OTHERS: Mike Augliera, RHP; Jamie Callahan, RHP; Chris Carpenter, RHP; Sergio
Gomez, RHP; Alex Hassan, OF; Chris Hernandez, LHP; Aaron Kurcz, RHP; Juan
Carlos Linares, OF; Tzu-Wei Lin, SS; Manuel Margot, OF; Simon Mercedes, RHP;
Francellis Montas, RHP; Miguel Pena, LHP; Noe Ramirez, RHP; Anthony Ranaudo,
RHP; Christian Vazquez, C; Alex Wilson, RHP; Steven Wright, RHP.
--
The big league team is in first place, and there are some young players who
are ready to help now or within the next year, even if Jose Iglesias turns
back into a pumpkin. Bogaerts and Bradley (at least in Triple-A) have lived
up to their press clippings, Workman looks ready now, and there is more
behind them, with Garin Cecchini standing out in particular.
大联盟母队的战绩优秀,也有准备在今年或明年上来的新秀─就算鹰侠的魔法结束也没关
系,Xander Bogaerts和JBJ都打出应有的成绩,Workman也准备好了。後面也有Cecchini
等人在等着。
Anthony Ranaudo has finally shown what he can do when healthy and his stock
has moved back up. Alex Wilson has helped in the bullpen. Mookie Betts is
having a breakout season in A-ball. Results from Kukuk and Francellis Montas
in Low-A have been spotty, but both have plenty of stuff. The lower levels
have a lot of high-ceiling guys that we need to see more from, with the 2013
draft group (Trey Ball, Jon Denney, Teddy Stankiewicz) looking like a great
haul, on paper anyway.
Anthony Ranaudo终於展现出健康时能拿出的表现是什麽样子,他的价值也跟着水涨船高。
Alex Wilson成为牛棚的援兵、Mookie Betts大爆发、Cody Kukuk和Francellis Montas在
A阶的表现不稳定,但都有不错的stuff。低阶联盟有很多待观察的高潜力球员,其中包含
看起来结果很不错的2013选秀成员(Trey Ball, Jon Denney, Teddy Stankiewicz)。
There was a lot of C+ in this system pre-season and there still is, though
the names beyond the top group will look different when I revise this list
after the season is over.
红袜在季前拥有一大票C+球员,现在也是─虽然球季结束後C+以上的样子会有不同的面貌
。
--
*Athletic frame.
*High baseball IQ. Xander
*Smooth, fluid swing. Bogaerts
*Elite batspeed. #01
*Strong and explosive hands.
*Above-average-to-better power ceiling, potential 30 home run bat.
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 122.117.20.246
1F:推 vibration333:推鱼塭文! 07/27 01:01
2F:推 TWN2:南瓜鹰!!! 07/27 01:10
3F:推 lovemost:有A耶.... 07/27 01:58
4F:推 maxspeed150:Bogaerts是全美top 5的新秀 当然该拿个A 07/27 02:03
5F:推 lovemost:收割季节 07/27 02:06
6F:推 tetsufuu:请问很meh是什麽意思? 07/27 11:19
7F:→ tanaka0826:不怎麽喜欢 07/27 11:22
8F:推 hahabis:感谢! 希望有机会看到Bogaerts XD 07/27 17:20
9F:推 Jaicabai:推!!! 07/30 23:31