STILL MONEY TO SPEND? RED SOX PAYROLL, 2013-15 By Alex Speier The Red Sox have been arguably the most aggressive team involved in free agency this offseason, making a number of one-, two- and three-year bets that have allowed the team to keep of of its prospects and draft picks but paying top-of-the-market rates for players meant to help create a competitor in the short term while also buying time for the team’s next wave of prospects to develop. 这个季後的策略，简单说就是留下新秀，洒钱在FA补洞。 避免长约，等待这一批农场上来。 Here’s a look at the team’s payroll outlook for the next three seasons, with particular significance attached to the idea of getting under the $189 million luxury tax threshold in 2014, given that doing so would both reset the team’s luxury tax rate (from more than 40 percent in 2012 to 17 percent for its next infraction) while also positioning the team, potentially, to realize millions of dollars in a revenue-sharing rebate. 以下整理了未来三年的payroll，看看在避免豪华税的前提下，还有多少钱可花： (This list will be updated throughout the offseason as the Red Sox make additional commitments. For the purposes of these projections, it is assumed that the team will finalize a three-year, $39 million deal with Mike Napoli, though that’s clearly subject to change.) 2013 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $178 MILLION) Guaranteed deals John Lackey, $16.5 million Ryan Dempster, $13.25 million David Ortiz, $13 million Mike Napoli, $13 million Shane Victorino, $13 million Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million Dustin Pedroia, $6.80 million Jon Lester, $6 million Jonny Gomes, $5 million Koji Uehara, $4.25 million David Ross, $3.1 million Jose Iglesias, $2.1 million TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROX $103 MILLION Arbitration eligible Jacoby Ellsbury Jarrod Saltalamacchia Andrew Bailey Alfredo Aceves Craig Breslow Andrew Miller Daniel Bard Franklin Morales PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $30 MILLION-$35 MILLION Pre-arbitration eligible Junichi Tazawa Mark Melancon Felix Doubront Ryan Kalish Daniel Nava Will Middlebrooks Clayton Mortensen Pedro Ciriaco PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $5 MILLION Additional expenses Medical, 40-man roster, etc. APPROXIMATELY $12 MILLION ESTIMATED 2013 TOTAL COMMITMENTS: $155 MILLION (AS MEASURED FOR LUXURY TAX PURPOSES) — APPROXIMATELY $23 MILLION UNDER THE THRESHOLD 13豪华税门槛：178M 目前总支出　：155M（以最高计算） 可动用余额　： 23M 2014 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $189 MILLION) Guaranteed deals John Lackey, $16.5 million Ryan Dempster, $13.25 million David Ortiz, $13 million Mike Napoli, $13 million Jon Lester, $13 million (option) Shane Victorino, $13 million Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million Dustin Pedroia, $6.8 million Jonny Gomes, $5 million David Ross, $3.1 million TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROXIMATELY $104 MILLION Arbitration eligible Andrew Bailey Alfredo Aceves Andrew Miller Daniel Bard Franklin Morales Junichi Tazawa Felix Doubront Mark Melancon PROJECTED TOTAL: VERY ROUGH APPROXIMATION OF $25 MILLION-$30 MILLION Pre-arbitration eligible Jose Iglesias (he can have a salary reduction of no more than 20 percent) Will Middlebrooks Clayton Mortensen Pedro Ciriaco Jackie Bradley Jr. Ryan Lavarnway Ryan Kalish/Daniel Nava/Bryce Brentz PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $5 MILLION Additional expenses Medical, 40-man roster, etc. APPROXIMATELY $12 MILLION ESTIMATED 2014 TOTAL COMMITMENTS: $151 MILLION (WITH THE ABILITY TO PUSH THAT NUMBER DOWN THROUGH TRADES) — APPROXIMATELY $38 MILLION UNDER THE THRESHOLD 14豪华税门槛：189M 预计总支出 ：151M 可动用余额 ： 38M 2015 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $189 MILLION) This is so far out that it’s almost nonsensical to hypothesize what the team ’s obligations might be to arbitration-eligible players and pre-arbitration players. But, a look at the guarantees reveals a ton of financial flexibility for the team. Guaranteed deals John Lackey, $0.5 million Mike Napoli, $13 million Shane Victorino, $13 million Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million Dustin Pedroia, $11 million (option) TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROXIMATELY $45 MILLION — APPROXIMATELY $144 MILLION UNDER THE LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD 15豪华税门槛：189M 预计总支出 ： 45M（保证约球员） 可动用余额 ：144M --- 1. 如果真的还有23M可花，看起来补个Drew + 五号SP可以期待？ 2. Napoli的部份，有消息说体检有问题，正在重新协商合约中， 　 球团希望把保证约砍到两年。 3. 仍然跟Swisher、LaRoche保持联络，作为Napoli出状况时的备案。 --

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