作者tanaka0826 (田中鬪莉王)
看板RedSox
标题[讨论] 签下Mike Napoli对市场的影响力
时间Tue Dec 4 22:04:22 2012
HOT STOVE: HOW MIKE NAPOLI IMPACTS RED SOX CATCHING MARKET
http://0rz.tw/XjkW1
Mike Napoli was signed to serve primarily as a first baseman. Still, his
addition impacts the Red Sox at catcher, both from the standpoint of in-game
management and the trade market.
红袜签下Mike Napoli主要是要他来当一垒手,但是他还是会对捕手的部分造成冲击,无
论是场上调度还是交易市场都是。
First, the in-game management: With Napoli, the Sox are likely to have three
players on their roster who can catch — Napoli, David Ross (signed earlier
in the offseason to a two-year, $6.2 million deal) and either Jarrod
Saltalamacchia or Ryan Lavarnway. That, in turn, means that the Sox can make
more aggressive strategic moves during games with regards to either
pinch-hitting or pinch-running for their catchers, since they won’t be
leaving themselves in a position of being short on the roster (particularly
if the Sox have a versatile player on the bench — someone capable of playing
both infield corners or first base and the outfield) by replacing their
starting catcher on a given day.
先谈场上调度:加进Napoli之後,红袜应该会有三位可以当捕手的球员─Napoli、Ross
,以及Salty或Lavarnway其中一人。这样红袜可以做出更积极的调度,可以用代打、代跑
换下捕手,不用担心捕手没的用。(如果板凳有能守一三垒或一垒+外野的工具人的话就更
棒了。)红袜可以在任何一天换下先发捕手。
Meanwhile, Napoli also added to the Sox’ intriguing effort to corner the
offseason catching market. With Ross and now Napoli, the team has taken two
of the best available catching options off the board. Russell Martin has now
signed a two-year, $17 million deal with the Pirates. There are going to be
teams who lose the free agent game of musical chairs.
不仅如此,红袜还藉着签下Napoli来垄断捕手市场。红袜一次抓走Ross和Napoli两位热门
捕手,Russell Martin也和海盗签下了2y$17M的合约。所以接下来冒出了一些大风吹没坐
到椅子的球队。
The Mariners (who wanted to sign Napoli as a catcher), Mets, Yankees, White
Sox and Dodgers, according to major league sources, are expected to be in the
market for catchers. With Napoli and Ross now added to a roster that already
featured Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Ryan Lavarnway (as well as minor leaguers
Dan Butler and Christian Vazquez on the 40-man), the Sox are positioned like
virtually no other team to strike deals involving catching.
水兵(想签下Napoli当捕手)、梅子、洋基、白袜和道奇都想要买捕手。随着Napoli和Ross
的加入,40人名单中一共有六位捕手(Salty, Lavarnway, Butler 和 Vazquez),其他球
队简直像是完全没和捕手达成协议。
In all likelihood, the trade market for catchers will develop once free agent
A.J. Pierzynski signs. He’s the top remaining catcher on the market. Behind
him, the market features mostly backup types (Kelly Shoppach, Miguel Olivo,
etc.). That being the case, once Pierzynski signs, the Sox expect that they’
ll be able to see where the market stands for their catchers — most likely,
Saltalamacchia or Lavarnway.
当市场上仅存的大物捕手A.J. Pierzynski签约後,捕手部分的交易市场就会打开了。除了
Pierzynski之外,几乎只剩下备用型捕手(Shoppach, Olivo等人)。等Pierzynski签约之後
,红袜就能看见他们捕手的交易价值大概有多少。而红袜比较可能拿出来卖的捕手是
Salty和Lavarnway。
Saltalamacchia has shown the ability to make an offensive impact at the big
league level, something that Lavarnway has yet to do. Still, his rough end to
2012 wouldn’t necessarily deter teams that have been tracking him for years
and believe that he will be able to hit at the big league level. Both the
Mariners (who tried to get Lavarnway from the Sox at the 2011 trade deadline)
and Mets believe in his offensive track record and members of both
organizations believe he can be serviceable behind the plate.
Salty在大联盟展现出稳定的攻击力,这就是Lavarnway还没有做到的。2012的低潮年并不
会吓到其他球队,因为各队都已经追踪他很多年了,都相信他的攻击力在大联盟是OK的。
水兵(2011想买Lavarnway)、梅子都相信他过去的打击记录并相信他的蹲捕实力足够。
Lavarnway, based on the fact that he would be under team control for six
years and would cost next to nothing in 2013, would have the greatest trade
value. (It’s worth noting, for instance, that the Mets could afford him but
not Saltalamacchia.) Still, given the positional scarcity and his
demonstrated power, Saltalamacchia (who will be eligible for free agency
after the 2013 season) will also be a viable option for teams looking for a
short-term option at the position. It’s worth noting that the Sox have not
had talks with Saltalamacchia about an extension, and given the glut of
catchers, they are not expected to do so this offseason.
Lavarnway则是因为他会受球队控制六年,在2013年的薪水也只有一丁点,所以他有很高
的交易价值。(例如,梅子可能只能负担Lavarnway)。但因为捕手市场贫乏、Salty有炮瓦
且Salty只剩一年就要成为FA了,Salty会成为需要打工仔的球队的一大选择。而且,红袜
到目前为止还没和Salty谈续约,在捕手供过於求的状况之下不太可能在这个休赛期和他
续约。
The dominoes haven’t yet fallen to bring the catching trade market to
critical mass, but the Red Sox just gave them a nice push in removing Napoli
from the market.
目前还不到捕手市场最激烈的时候,不过红袜已经藉着拦走Napoli把自己向前推了一大步。
--
"HARD WORK BEATS TALENT
WHEN TALENT FAILS TO WORK HARD."
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.114.207.153
1F:推 tfg520:高招!! 12/04 22:17
2F:推 jameshu0910:蓝鸟是最大竞争对手,张爸.JPA.d'Arnaud 12/04 22:17
3F:推 maikxz:没注意到这点 的确变成市场上主动者... 12/04 22:22
4F:推 MinChuan:这的确没想那麽多,先签Napoli不但加强打线,今年冬天的 12/04 22:27
5F:→ MinChuan:交易还可以处於有利位置@@!! 12/04 22:27
6F:推 piggreat:还有要补SP吗????? 12/04 22:33
7F:推 sky1686:大风吹XDD 12/04 22:41
8F:推 roverchi:现在sp剩谁?Lester...Buchy...Doubront? 12/04 22:45
9F:→ roverchi:发球姬开季能投吗? 12/04 22:46
10F:推 piggreat:今年最大的问题就是SP了~~怎麽都没看到这类新闻QQ"~ 12/04 22:46
11F:推 mcgradymp5:希望不要交易SALTY...个人还蛮爱他的 12/04 22:52
12F:推 jameshu0910:自从Nomar都卖掉後,我就不信谁不可以卖了 12/04 23:09
13F:推 forgetta:还没买Salty的球衣耶 有名字的球衣就属他的最划算 12/04 23:09
14F:→ solarcells:楼上好机车 不过现在还买得到老蝴蝶的球衣吗 12/04 23:27
15F:→ mrkey:问题是如果要交易 Salty, 她的潜力和稳定度到底能叫到多高? 12/05 02:00
16F:→ mrkey:这个垄断的方法看似聪明,但囤积货物然後趁物缺的时候抬价 12/05 02:01
17F:→ mrkey:也要看能不能叫对价码 12/05 02:01
18F:→ goopa:不太懂为啥一直文章中一直提到水手 12/05 18:20
19F:→ goopa:水手应该不太可能花太大代价靠交易取得捕手 12/05 18:21