作者LebronKing (大帝)
看板RedSox
标题Re: 今天看比赛的心得
时间Mon Oct 15 14:48:11 2007
※ 引述《goopa (除此之外)》之铭言:
: 但如果说大家喜欢把每一种可能都计算进去的话,我想到一个状况....
: 无论胜负结果,假如 Matsuzaka 第三场状况不佳,而Beckett状况ok的话...
: 假设第五战打完红袜以2:3落後,那第六战 Beckett 依然可以中三日....
: 至於中三日的 Beckett + 中五日的 Matsuzaka 比较好...
: 还是中四日的 Matsuzaka + 中四日的 Beckett 比较好...
: 大家可以在心中给出自己的答案...
: 会这麽想是因为,虽然近年来大家极力避免中三日...
: 但一般会使用中三日的球队,也很少会把连续中三日这个选项划掉....
今天的boston globe:Lasting impression: Rest for the wary
By Dan Shaughnessy, Globe columnist
In a more pressing matter, Francona insisted that Wakefield, not Josh Beckett,
will pitch Game 4 at The Jake tomorrow night.
The Sox say they don't want Beckett to pitch on three days' rest -
which would set him up as a potential Game 7 starter on normal rest.
This means Beckett will pitch only twice this series, Game 1 and Game 5.
This, in turn, sets up Schilling and Matsuzaka for potential Games 6 and 7
at Fenway.
看来柯南不打算赌,北极接下来只可能上第5场。
所以是game4老魏、game5北极、game6席林、game7大辅。
"I think sometimes you can get short-sighted if the need for panic arises,
like perceived panic," said Francona. "Doing something like that may give you
a chance to win a game, but it doesn't set up the rest of the series."
柯南觉得让北极中三日是较为短视的做法。
但是作者认为:
Francona and his men certainly know their team better than we do and their
track record is pretty good on these kinds of decisions, but the idea of
Beckett in Games 4 and 7 sounds a lot better to me than Beckett pitching
Game 5 and the rest of the series put into the hands of Wakefield, Dice-K,
and Schilling. Wakefield hasn't been good in a while, Dice-K was ineffective
in his Division Series start against the Angels, and the Tribe gave Schilling
his overdue beat-down (nine hits, five runs in 4 2/3 innings) Saturday night.
Beckett has pitched on three days' rest before. Remember when he shut out the
Yankees in the clincher of the 2003 World Series? Three days' rest.
作者指出北极上次季後赛干掉洋基也是中三日。
结论:就算明天dice-K输球,柯南大概还是不会让北极中三日,
最差的情况是game3、game4都输,那就要北极稳稳抓下第五场,
然後game6、game7在主场拿下。
我是觉得这两种做法都是一种豪赌,
希望明天dice-K的表现可以让大家喘口气。
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 123.193.71.82
1F:推 Kobe24:Go Go Redsox!!!!!! 10/15 14:50
2F:推 lankyo:可是北极2003暴完气就受伤了...还是多想想吧.. 10/15 16:51
3F:推 Carmelo3:Dice-K嬴就没事了!!! 10/15 18:44
4F:→ Carmelo3:AND Beckett03年好像本来就有伤了? 10/15 18:45
5F:推 cjASKA:科南大概把眼光放到世界大赛???! 10/15 20:37