作者csy1911 (招财猫)
看板Rays
标题[农场] 2013 Prospects in Review: Pitchers(4)
时间Wed Dec 18 01:42:33 2013
Link:
http://ppt.cc/kerJ
右手後援篇
To be honest, we're at the point in this series where you're not going to see
quality prospects. There's an occasional intriguing player here or there, but
it's hard to just find information on most of these pitchers. Pitchers who
are already in the bullpen in the minors face a serious uphill battle to make
the majors. Unless they have a great pitch to get strikeouts, generate ground
balls or throw from an odd arm slot, they're not going to stand out very much.
坦白说,这份名单里并没有引人注目的新秀。他们都是偶尔注意到的球员。这些
在小联盟就已经在牛棚打滚的投手要升上大联盟势必有场艰困的奋斗。除非球路能够
取得三振、制造滚地球或是有特别的投球姿势,不然很难看到他们未来发光发热。
Brandon Gomes (28 Y.O. at Triple-A and Majors)
10.1 IP, 2.61 ERA, 2.33 FIP, 35.0 K%, 2.5 BB%, 33.3 GB% (minor league stats
only)
Gomes missed a lot of time with a shoulder injury this year, but he was still
a really effective reliever for Durham in a handful of innings on his way
back to the majors. His limited time in the majors suggests he can get
righties out pretty well.
Gomes今年因为肩伤错过很多比赛,但在重返大联盟之前,他仍然是光芒AAA最能
有效解决打者的投手之一。在有限的小样本里,他证明自己能让右打者出局。
个人补充:
附注数据是Gomes的小联盟成绩,今年他在大联盟也投了19.1局交出6.52的ERA。
基本上Gomes一直是飞球型的投手,加上球质并不出众,即使是在Trop. Field,挨轰
对他来说也是很常见的事。他是属於不常掉分,但一开始喷就停不下来的那种投手,
生涯
垒包有人的被打击三围是.307/.397/.480…差不多就是一个中心打者的打击成绩
…囧,这对一位中继投手来说很不OK!因为光芒补强尚未结束,但40人名单已满,除
非发生交易…不然Gomes很可能成为光芒今年冬天第一个DFA'd的对象。
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Steve Geltz (25 Y.O. at Triple-A)
67 IP, 2.82 ERA, 3.29 FIP, 31.6 K%, 9.5 BB%, 31.1 GB%
The Rays acquired Geltz just before the season started for Dane De La Rosa,
and he had another strong performance in the minors. He has some trouble
throwing strikes, but he maintained his career strikeout rate over 30% thanks
to his hard fastball and breaking ball combo. He probably could have a little
major league success.
光芒在季前用Dane De La Rosa换来Geltz,而他再次在小联盟交出亮眼的成绩单
。他的控球不太好,但强力的速球和变化球让他的生涯三振率都在3 0%以上。他有可
能在大联盟取得一点成就。
个人补充:
DDLR的故事,稍微熟悉光芒的版友应该都不陌生。同样的, Geltz也是一位充满
故事性的投手,别说登上大联盟…娇小的体格让他差点进不了职棒,仅管辗转好几圈
终於以未经选秀签约的方式进入天使农场,但生涯前期依旧不得重用。机会总是留给
准备好的人,他最後只花三年的时间就登上大联盟,奇妙的是,生涯两场比赛都是对
上光芒。
如果不是身在农场深度雄厚的光芒, Geltz今年天使农场的排名大概在Top 20上
下。 93-96 mph的
速球是最强大的武器,可以让打者频频挥空。
滑球不像速球这麽有
宰制力,但有机会成为水准之上的球路。
投球机制简洁。
控球很糟,是他通往大联盟
的路上最大的绊脚石。Geltz 今年在小联盟的
被打击率只有.156,但被
长打率过高。
如果可以修好控球,他会是不错的短中继。
Steve Geltz曲折的大联盟之路:
http://ernieyangtw.pixnet.net/blog/post/147298648
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Marquis Fleming (26 Y.O. at Double-A)
92 IP, 5.18 ERA, 3.82 FIP, 21.7 K%, 8.4 BB%, 40.0 GB%
Fleming struggled for the second straight season, and it's now much more
difficult to envision him wearing a big league uniform. His changeup was
again rated the best in the Southern League, but his high-80's fastball just
doesn't cut it in relief. Pitchers with better control might be able to make
it work, but his walk rate has consistently been higher than 8.0%.
Fleming在AA的第二个赛季大爆炸,现在看起来他似乎不太有机会披上大联盟战
袍了。
变速球依旧是所属联盟最棒的,但是 87-89 mph的
速球并不管用。如果能有更
好的控球也许可以改善这个缺点,但他的
保送率一直很稳定的维持在8.0%之上。
个人补充:
看进阶数据的话,其实 Fleming今年进步很多,三振率差不多,但
BB/9从去年接
近7一直到今年只有3出头。不正常的BABIP 显示运气有点差。但仅管如此,我认为他
能登上大联盟的机率真的不高,因为联盟这类型的投手很多,不过要为高阶农场找一
位稳定的长中继,Fleming是不错的选项。
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Andrew Bellatti (21 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced and Double-A)
81.2 IP, 4.30 ERA, 3.75 FIP, 20.4 K%, 8.2 BB%, 31.3 GB%
For the second straight year, Bellatti had a decent year out of the bullpen,
but an early season promotion from Charlotte to Montgomery proved to be too
soon. His strikeout rate plummeted to a career low 14.8%, and his walk rate
was a career high 9%. His numbers with Charlotte were more in line with the
rest of his career though.
从A+出发的第二年Bellatti在牛棚的表现还不错,但季初把他拉上AA的结果看起
来一切还为时过早。他在AA的三振率跌到14.8%,保送率是生涯新高的 9%。他在A+的
成绩看起来很接近生涯平均。
个人补充:
Bellatti是光芒在2009年选秀会上少数还幸存在光芒农场的球员。要说故事性,
他的经历也有点传奇。17岁就进入职业,但第一个休赛期在载小女友兜风的时候受了
很严重的伤,不过他用不错的成绩让大家知道他回来了。今年只在A+丢了两场,就被
升上AA支援少兵缺将的牛棚,在适应不良的情况下硬是丢了两个月。在伤兵陆续归队
,透过各种管道找来新援後,才又回到A+交出漂亮的成绩单。Ballatti的球质普普,
不过还在水准之上,
变速球是最重要的武器。在A+对上打者的打击三围是.195/.258/
.320,而且没有明显的左右病。这家伙的
控球也很棒。不过容易
挨轰则是主要罩门。
看起来他已经通过A+的磨练,以他的资历也不能再用适应不良当作藉口,虽然我还满
喜欢他的,但Bellatti的实力应该只有大联盟边缘,想要在牛棚取得一席之地,接下
来每年都很关键。
------
Nate Garcia (25 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced)
54.1 IP, 3.48 ERA, 3.60 FIP, 20.9 K%, 10.3 BB%, 34.6 GB%
Garcia improved over his 2012 season, but that was to be expected because he
was repeating Charlotte. His strikeout and walk rates were actually worse
(although inconsequentially so) than last year, but a 46 point drop in BABIP
probably helped a lot.
Garcia的成绩比去年好,但这是因为他又在A+多待了一年。
三振率和
保送率都有
小幅进步,不过今年他的好成绩可能是因为BABIP有显着的下修。
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Marcus Jensen (21 Y.O. at Class A)
78.1 IP, 2.99 ERA, 2.90 FIP, 22.7 K%, 3.9 BB%, 39.1 GB%
Jensen signed out of high school, but he has always pitched primarily in
relief. He has always been effective too, and his 2013 season was probably
his best to date. He's moved one level at a time in his career, but it would
be nice to see him accelerated a bit faster.
Jensen是高中生出身,一直以来都是以後援投手的身分在培养,他的表现也很不
错,而今年可能是他到目前为止最棒的一年。Jensen以每年一个层级的速度晋升,但
接下来有机会快一点。
个人补充:
Jensen的主要武器是速球和曲球,这两年都是低阶农场「终结者委员会」的成员
之一,偶尔也会负担长局数。整体评价普普,但今年在
控球上有很大的进步。虽然季
末有点小爆胎,不过这对第一次迎接完整赛季的投手来说并不罕见。
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Ryan Garton (23 Y.O. at Class A)
70 IP, 2.44 ERA, 3.40 FIP, 20.7 K%, 11.3 BB%, 41.7 GB%
Garton, a local product from New Port Richey, looks like he'll get a shot to
pitch in Charlotte next year. He had a good season with Bowling Green, but it
wasn't close to his great pro debut when he had a 28.7% strikeout rate with
Hudson Valley.
Garton是土生土长的佛州人,看起来明年会从A+出发。今年在 A的成绩不错,但
不比去年在A-的成绩好。去年他的三振率高达28.7%。
个人补充:
同样也是低阶农场「终结者委员会」的成员之一,Garton在大学时期是队上的王
牌,但综合评价普通。
速球低於平均,不过
变速球等级很高,加上他的投球动作几乎
一样,要吃死小联盟打者不是问题。个人不是很看好他会登上大联盟。
Andrew Hanse (22 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A and Class A)
39.1 IP, 2.75 ERA, 2.85 FIP, 22.6 K%, 6.2 BB%, 41.7 GB%
Hanse was able to advance to Bowling Green in his pro debut as a 22nd round
pick. For a 6'7 pitcher, he did do a good job throwing strikes, and his
challenge will be to continue doing that in 2014.
今年第22轮选中的Hanse直接就从A出发。6'7"的身材,能把球塞进好球带。明年
会继续在农场接受挑战。
------
Eli Echarry (20 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A)
53.1 IP, 2.70 ERA, 4.01 FIP, 19.9 K%, 9.5 BB%, 48.4 GB%
Echarry has not been good in his two seasons in the U.S., but he was better
this year. His strikeout rate was the highest in his U.S. career, and so was
his opponents' batting average. That came with his lowest BABIP in the U.S.
Echarry 在美国的前两个赛季表现并不好,但今年进步多了。
三振率是来到美国
後的新高,
对手打击率也是新低。不过他的BABIP也是他赴美以後的新低。
------
Cory Jordan (22 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A)
27 IP, 4.00 ERA, 2.94 FIP, 21.3 K%, 9.0 BB%, 42.0 GB%
Cory will probably always be known as DeAndre's younger brother, but he was
decent for Hudson Valley. He needs to cut down on the walks, but he kept the
ball in the park.
大家会知道 Cory Jordan,通常是因为他有个名叫DeAndre Jordan的哥哥。不过
他在A-的成绩也还不错。他需要减少
保送次数,并把球保持在场内。
------
Willie Gabay (21 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League and Short-Season Class A)
7 IP, 2.57 ERA, 2.34 FIP, 21.4 K%, 7.1 BB%, 30.0 GB%
Gabay is one of two Mahopac High School graduates in the organization, the
other being C.J. Riefenhauser. Injuries, including to his face and throwing
arm, have limited him to 29 innings the last two seasons, but the Rays are
going to stick with him because of his mid-90's fastball velocity.
Gabay 是农场第二位出身於Mahopac高中的球员,另一位则是C.J. Riefenhauser
。脸部和投球手的伤势让他过去两年只投了29局,但光芒会继续给他机会,毕竟
球速
能达到94-96 mph的投手不是随处都有。
------
Isaac Gil (21 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton and Short-Season Class A)
32 IP, 1.41 ERA, 3.64 FIP, 15.0 K%, 9.4 BB%, 56.4 GB%
Gil couldn't maintain his 21.5% strikeout rate from last year, and that's now
looking like a fluke compared to the other two seasons in his career. Despite
a walk rate that's a bit too high, his career WHIP of 1.18 in 80 innings is
solid. He generates ground balls at a decent clip.
Gil无法维持他去年21.5%的三振率,目前看起来去年的表现似乎也只是一场意外
。
保送率偏高,但80局的投球局数WHIP是不错的1.18。制造
滚地球的能力还不赖。
------
Luis Cabrera (22 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton and Class A-Advanced)
38.2 IP, 4.19 ERA, 3.04 FIP, 20.8 K%, 10.4 BB%, 43.7 GB%
Cabrera was once an outfielder in the Rangers' system, but the Rays scooped
him up and sent him out to the mound after Texas released him. He was pretty
solid with Princeton, posting a career high strikeout rate. Two poor
appearances with Charlotte at the end of the season skewed his numbers a bit.
Carbrera曾经在游骑兵农场当外野手,但就在游骑兵释出他之後,光芒把它送上
投手丘。今年他在Rk的表现不错,交出生涯最好的
三振率。季末两场在A+的表现拉低
了整体的成绩。
------
Clayton Crum (21 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton)
29.1 IP, 3.07 ERA, 4.63 FIP, 20.8 K%, 6.7 BB%, 39.5 GB%
Crum was drafted from Oregon, but the Rays probably got their first look at
him at Howard College on a staff with two other recent Rays picks, Nick
Sawyer and Hunter Wood. He had a pretty decent debut with Princeton, and now
that he's another year removed from Tommy John surgery, maybe he hasn't hit
his ceiling yet with a low-90's fastball.
来自Oregon大学的新人,不过光芒可能在二专时期就开始注意他了。因为农场
里还有来自同一所学校的Nick Sawyer和Hunter Wood。他在Rk的处女秀还不错,不
过他接下来一年要接受
Tommy John手术,他归队後球速可能不到90 mph出头。
------
Mario Fernandez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League, Rookie/Princeton and
Class A-Advanced)
46.2 IP, 3.66 ERA, 4.11 FIP, 16.5 K%, 8.2 BB%, 33.8 GB%
Most of Fernandez's innings came with Princeton where his strikeout and walk
rates were both a bit better than those overall numbers. Prior to this year,
he struggled in two seasons in the VSL, as do a lot of pitchers.
Fernandez 今年在Rk的成绩,不论是
三振率还是
保送率都比去年来得好。像大多
数的投手一样,他过去两年在VSL投得很挣扎。
------
Hyrum Formo (21 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
8.1 IP, 2.16 ERA, 2.12 FIP, 16.7 K%, 0.0 BB%, 37.9 GB%
Not walking a batter in his pro debut was impressive, but it was a very small
sample of innings. After the draft, apparently I found a report that said his
fastball velocity was in the low-90's. He missed a month and a half with what
I assume is an injury.
没有投出任何保送的表现令人印象深刻,但样本数并不多。选秀後,我只找到一
篇球探报告写说他的球速在90 mph出头。他错过了一个半月,我想应该是因为受伤。
个人补充:
和名单上的其他球员相比,Formo 应该值得更多关注,他不但是学校的王牌,在
今年选秀网站评选的二专新人Top 100也是榜上有名。
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Freddy Alvarez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
40 IP, 3.60 ERA, 3.58 FIP, 23.8 K%, 15.1 BB%, 47.6 GB%
Alvarez made his U.S. debut after two years in the Venezuelan Summer League
and improved his strikeout rate by 10 points. He also walked a lot more
batters though.
在 VSL磨练两年後,Alvarez展开了他在美国的旅程。
三振率提高了10%,不过他
也
保送了许多打者。
------
Andres Gonzalez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
39.1 IP, 2.06 ERA, 2.34 FIP, 18.1 K%, 0.7 BB%, 45.0 GB%
A couple years ago, the Rays signed Gonzalez for $225,000, and he has done a
lot to earn it so far despite missing all of the 2012 season with what I'm
assuming is an injury. His stuff isn't overwhelming, but he can obviously
throw a ton of strikes and is probably a bit more advanced than the usual 19
year old.
几年前,光芒用22.5K签下 Gonzalez,除了去年错过整个赛季以外,他目前的表
现对得起这份合约。球质并不令人惊艳,但知道怎麽
投好球,以他的年纪,这部分应
该还会更进步。
I would imagine he was only pitching in relief coming back from a missed
season. I expect to see him in a rotation or at least throwing more innings
in 2014.
我猜他只是因为错过一个赛季後,才从牛棚出发。我期待他明年会在轮值里贡献
更多局数。
个人补充:
Gonzalez在'11年签约的时候(17岁)
球速就有88-92 mph了,同时还有一颗不错的
变速球和正在开发的
曲球。有不错的
滚飞比。
体型也很成熟。可能是这份名单天分最
高的新秀。
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