Link：http://ppt.cc/SSDz Third Base One last corner position before we move on. Like first base, it's usually the bat and power tools that carry a prospect here, but arm strength is vital too. The run tool isn't particularly important, but quick feet and reactions are an important part of the field tool. 需求和一垒手相似，对三垒手而言，打击和长打能力是他们生存的关键，除此之 外还有臂力的要求。跑垒能力并不是必要的，但敏捷的脚步和反应在防守上扮演很重 要的角色。 The Rays had two third base prospects in the top 30 this season, both of which are former first round picks. Both players were probably average at best but will probably remain among the organization's position player prospects. With Evan Longoria, if any of these players make the majors, it seems likely that it'll be at a different position. 光芒有两位三垒新秀本季进入Top 30，两位都是首轮签。他们最好可能会成为平 均水准的大联盟球员，但也有可能只是用来填补小联盟空缺的野手。在Longoria稳坐 光芒三垒手的前提下，这些球员都可能会面临移防的考验。 ------ 6. Richie Shaffer (22 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 519 PA, .254/.308/.399, 6.7 BB%, 20.4 K%, 11 HR, 45 XBH Shaffer damaged his stock in 2013 with a season that was barely better than the Florida State League average. Billed as a polished college hitter prepared to succeed at this level, he struggled making contact for most of the season. Maybe part of that can be attributed to radical changes to his swing that he attempted to make, but except for one especially hot month of July, the results were mostly the same throughout the season. Shaffer 今年的成绩只略高於所属联盟平均，这也毁了他的行情。成熟的大学新 人本应该在这个层级获得成功，但他大多数的赛季都无法有效的击球。也许部分可以 归咎到他个人想在挥棒姿势上做的彻底改变，但除了火烫的七月，每个月的表现其实 都差不多。 Going back to the Arizona Fall League for the second straight off-season, Shaffer's results have gotten better. As of writing this, he has more walks than strikeouts like he did at Clemson. He's batting .273, but the potential plus-plus power has not been evident with his .341 SLG. Extracting meaningful information from AFL stats can be an exercise in futility, but it's still encouraging that he didn't completely tank. Maybe he can build on that success next year which he didn't in 2013. 连续第二年参加AFL，Shaffer的表现有进步了。截至目前为止，就像在大学时期所 做的，保送比三振还多。打击率是还算不差的.277，不过原本预期70分的长打能力没有 反应在.341的长打率上。也许分析 AFL的数据是件没有太大意义，但至少看到一些令人 鼓舞的改变。也许我们明年可以看到他在今年所没有的成长。 个人补充： 比起打击或力量，球探更欣赏 Shaffer的挥棒速度，对打者来说挥棒速度是成就 打击技巧和长打火力的基础，需要结合许多先天条件才能发挥，是教不来的天赋，这 也是去年他一度被视为前10顺位最大的原因。当他能把挥棒速度、力量、平衡感和流 畅的挥棒轨迹结合在一起时，就能在不降低打击率的前提下，轻松发挥最大的长打威 力。除了这点，也有球探建议他需要学习在不同状况下调整打击模式，期待能更准确 的击中球，就算缩短挥棒幅度，水准之上的挥棒速度也能轻松也能把球扫到外野。 今年年初，就有球探报告指出 Shaffer在打击姿势上有了改变，最明显的地方在 和抬腿（球探用早期的Alex Rodriguez做比喻），优点是挥击动作会提早起动，在球 棒碰到球之前会累积更多动量，缺点是缩短判断球种的时间（俗称「挥大棒」）。虽 然 Shaffer很少会在前几球出棒，不过进攻欲望很强，会不自觉的放大好球带，甚至 用失去平衡的打击姿势攻击变速球，这都是他升上更高层级前所需要做出的调整。 虽然就成果来说是满惨的，但我对 Shaffer调整打击姿势是采正面态度，至少他 很清楚要登上大联盟最有机会的守位就是一垒，才想进一步提高长打火力。只是农场 打击教练还没帮他摸索出最适合他的打击姿势。 先前接受BA采访时Shaffer曾表示Jose Bautista是他的模仿对象之一，恰巧（也 有可能是专门为了他XD）光芒前些日子新雇用的小联盟打击指导Chad Mottola正是前 任蓝鸟打击教练，希望他能给Shaffer合适的建议。 附上Shaffer不同时期的三段影片： （注意跨步和抬腿） NCAA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=899EWcexyGU 2012 Rays https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVmxj3mIizc 2013 Rays https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JZ3TZC9i7zQ ------ 14. Tyler Goeddel (20 Y.O. at Class A) 497 PA, .249/.313/.389, 8.0 BB%, 19.7 K%, 7 HR, 37 XBH, 30 SB (85.7%) Goeddel repeating the Midwest League was a bit of a surprise to me, and it was also a surprise that he didn't perform any better. In fact, his performance on the surface was incredibly similar. He batted three points higher, and his OPS was five points lower (the league average OPS dipped two points.) He stole 30 bases in 35 opportunities in both seasons. His walk rate dipped from 10% to a still acceptable 8%, and he cut his strikeouts down to a more reasonable 19.7%. His power was a little better too, largely due to hitting 10 more triples. Goeddel今年再次从A出发有点令我意外，更意外的是他的表现没有进步。事实上 他的成绩几乎是一个模子刻出来的。打击率和长打率都差不多，两个赛季都是盗垒尝 试35次成功30次。保送率从10%掉到还可以接受的8%，然後三振率进步到19.7%。今年 多打了10支三垒安打，让他的长打率看起来有些成长。 Early in the season, Goeddel even played a few games at shortstop, but he didn't have any during the last three months of the season. He's athletic enough to play positions besides third base, but the Rays seem pretty content to keep him at the hot corner. That athleticism is why some scouts still remain optimistic (BA, $) despite his stagnant statistics this year. He'll get a shot in the FSL next season, and the Rays hope he continues getting stronger and gains some power. 季初 Goeddel在游击出赛了几场，但接下来三个月都没有守过游击。他的运动能 力要可以移防到其他守位，但光芒似乎很确定把他定位在边角野手。虽然今年数据没 有太多的进步，不过出色的运动能力让球探持续看好他的发展。下季他将会升到A+， 光芒希望他可以变得更壮并增加一些长打能力。 个人补充： 从全年的数据来说 Goeddel进步是不明显的，但要说他没有进步却不完全正确， 去年Goeddel四月的打击成绩是.304/.360/.493，出色成绩的背後却是偏高的BABIP， 接下来几个月BABIP下修以後，剩下赛季是.230/.305/.337，OPS .642。 今年则刚好 相反，四月依旧威猛，五月依旧低迷，但接下来是.263/.296/.412，OPS .708（算上 五月是.242/.294/.379，OPS .673），从这个角度来看，Goeddel 进步幅度是满明显 的。比较麻烦的是，今年他的GB%提高和LD%下降的幅度都很显着，如果想至少养成中 长程火力的打者，打击方式势必要进行调整。 ------ Cole Figueroa (26 Y.O. at Triple-A) 533 PA, .286/.361/.367, 10.1 BB%, 5.6 K% Figueroa continued plugging away with Durham in 2013 after spending the second half of 2012 there. His OPS clearly isn't impressive because he has almost no power, but Joe Maddon sees a big league future for him. He has more walks than strikeouts in his career, and he nearly had twice as many walks as strikeouts this year. He makes up for his lack of power by doing whatever it takes to get on base. Every cliche that's ever uttered about a player lacking tools probably applies to Figueroa. He'll get the most out of his ability. Figueroa今年在AAA开始球季，因为缺乏长打能力，OPS并不出色，但Joe Maddon 认为他已经是个大联盟选手了。生涯保送比三振多，今年保送甚至是三振的两倍。他 的上垒能力弥补了他在长打上的不足。每个升不上大联盟的老将都会被质疑在某些方 面有所不足，但他会最有效的利用他的能力。 How much ability he has is the question. After finishing last season in Triple-A, he was left unprotected in the Rule 5 draft and wasn't taken. To me, a player that can play every infield position and get on base should get a look on an ML roster. The Rays will decide again if they want to ensure he stays in the organization by putting him on the 40 man roster, or if they'll let other teams get another chance to take him. 问题是他有什麽能力？去年 AAA赛季结束後他没被放入40人名单，随後的Rule V 也没被选中。对我来说，一个能守内野每个守位又能上垒的球员应该有机会登上大联 盟。光芒今年要再次做出选择，决定他们是否要吧Figueroa放入40人名单，或让其他 球队有选择他的机会。 个人补充： 虽然Figueroa的打击型态（High contact, High On-Base）是光芒这几年很爱的 类型，但他最终没进入40人名单。原因除了光芒有全联盟最稳定的二、三、游防线， Sean Rodriguez、Tim Beckham、Hak-Ju Lee和新加入40人名单的Vince Belnome可以 提供够多深度以外，最大的原因是今年在Beckham和Fontenot挡道（Lee打没几场就报 销了）的情况下，Figueroa在三垒的防守机会居多，偶尔防守二垒或游击，但不论是 失误次数或是守备范围都没有大联盟水准，加上他不算是快腿，就算加进来也无法提 供球队立即的帮助，以他的年纪来说，没放在40人名单是正确的决定。 ---- Riccio Torrez (23 Y.O. at Double-A) 339 PA, .247/.322/.365, 4.7 BB%, 16.5 K%, 23 XBH Torrez was drafted out of Arizona State in the fourth round two years ago, but he's struggled on the accelerated track the Rays put him on. Although his performance with Montgomery this year was better than his performance with Charlotte the previous season, his strikeout and walk rates were both roughly the same, and the only clear difference was a 33 point jump in BABIP. 来自亚历桑纳州的Torrez两年前第四轮被光芒选中，但他在光芒为他安排的道路 上却是跌跌撞撞。虽然今年在AA的表现比以往好，但三振率和保送率都没有显着的进 步，今年的好表现更多是得益於BABIP的成长。 Torrez plays the game hard, but his lack of tools is amplified by playing at levels higher than he was maybe ready for. His performance at Arizona State as an amateur indicated he would be able to play a little middle infield as a pro, but he hasn't taken the field at a position besides third base so far. Torrez很认真投入比赛，但他提高能力的速度比升级速度来得慢。他在亚历桑纳 州的表现说明他进入职业有能力担任中线内野手，但到目前为止他还没有尝试过其他 守位。 ------ Ty Young (20 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A) 252 PA, .217/.310/.321, 9.5 BB%, 22.6 K%, 8 SB (61.5%) Being really disappointed in a seventh round pick may be a stretch, but Young failed to show many of the qualities in his pro debut that made him such a good player at Louisville. An athletic and high on-base player with the Cardinals, he wasn't able to make as much contact and get the ball in the gaps with the Renegades in his debut. 第七轮才被选中对 Young来说可能有点失望，但他第一个职业赛季并没有展现他 在Louisville所被期待的能力。作为一位出色的运动员和高上垒率的新秀，他在A-并 没有展现够好的击球能力和把球打向外野空隙的实力。 His strikeout rate in his sophomore and junior years with Louisville was just 13.6%, and he was much more inefficient stealing bases. Players have bounced back from poor pro debuts in a pitchers league like the NYPL, but this season was a negative. 本季三振率是22.6%，但他在二、三年级的三振率只有13.6%，盗垒也没有效率。 A-所属的联盟对投手较为有利，过去也有野手经历这个层级後反弹的案例，但今年的 表现还是令人失望的。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.235.118 ※ 编辑: csy1911 来自: 140.118.235.118 (11/22 00:35)