Link：http://ppt.cc/7Xt0 Left Field The left field profile is very similar to last week's right field. Hitting and hitting for power are typically key attributes, but the big difference is arm strength isn't as important. Less athletic players usually wind up here if they can't continue playing the positions they did as amateurs. 左外野手的技能需求和右外野相似，打击和长打能力是典型的需求，最大的不同 在於臂力的重要性比较低。如果选秀球员不能持续待在原来的守备位置，运动能力较 差的选手常会转换到这个守位。 Two top 30 players were left fielders this year, and they may not be back. Because of down performance and injuries, their status is up in the air for next year. There were a few other players I found to be pretty intriguing among those that weren't ranked going into the year. I don't know if they're top 30 players, but I have changed my views on some. 今年有两位左外野手进入Top 30，但因为表现不佳和伤病，他们下个赛季的前景 还不明朗，下次可能不会出现在名单里。我对其中几位球员满有兴趣的，即使他们不 在Top 30名单里，虽然我不确定接下来这些新秀会不会进入Top 30，但他们已经改变 了我的看法。 18. Todd Glaesmann (22 Y.O. at Double-A) 529 PA, .240/.289/.378, 4.9 BB%, 20.8 K%, 11 HR, 42 XBH After only hitting eight career home runs from 2009 to 2011, Glaesmann finally tapped into his raw power in 2012 with 21 homers between Bowling Green and Charlotte. His walk and strikeout rates remained roughly the same as previous seasons, but he even batted .285 across those two levels. 从'09到'11只击出8发全垒打的Glaesmann，去年在A/A+把21颗小白球送出场外， 保送率和三振率大致上和之前的赛季相同，但打击率是水准之上的.285。 It turns out that might've been fueled by a high BABIP. In 2013, he was closer to the player he was prior to 2012. Although his walk and strikeout rates were still roughly the same, his OPS dropped 162 points, and he only hit 11 home runs. His average dropped down to .240 as his BABIP plunged over 50 points. The report going into the season indicated he should hit for a good average (BA, $), but that has hardly materialized during his professional career. With his power potential and defensive ability, it wouldn't be wise to throw in the towel on Glaesmann, but he has to work to show 2012 isn't just an outlier in his career. 结果发现，他的好成绩可能是运气成分居多。2013年又回到2012年之前的状态， 虽然保送和三振率依旧相似，但OPS下滑了.162，也只有11发全垒打，BABIP下滑.050 的结果就是打击率也掉到.240。球季之前的球探报告说他有能力打出不错的打击率， 不过整个职业生涯都没有做到过。Glaesmann 的长打潜力和防守能力还是值得培养， 但他必须先证明2012年的成绩不是昙花一现。 个人补充： Glaesmann去年BABIP（.338）的确偏高，但是今年（.285）却也是低於他生涯平 均（.318），加上今年 AA整体OPS偏低，明年应该会反弹。比较麻烦的是选保送依旧 没有进步，严重右杀，这两个缺陷如果不能做出调整，那他未来就只会是四、五号外 野手，一个不能守中外野，防守一般水准，有点长打能力的角色球员。作为光芒去年 农场最佳打者，我相信应该对他有更多期待。 ------ 30. Ty Morrison (22 Y.O. at Double-A) 80 PA, .211/.275/.268, 7.5 BB%, 23.8 K% Like Glaesmann, Morrison restored some of his stock with a good 2012 season. He started the year repeating Charlotte, and with improved numbers across the board, he was quickly promoted to Montgomery. He was able to continue making better contact than he had in the past, and his OPS there was actually three points higher than it was in Charlotte. 就像Glaesmann一样， Morrison在2012年让大家对他再次充满期待，去年他从A+ 起步，带着出色的成绩很快来到AA。在更高层级他的击球能力依旧保持的不错。 Unfortunately, he didn't get a chance to build on that campaign in 2013, playing in just 17 games before going down with an elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery. His arm was never strong in the first place, so the biggest affect that will have on his game is probably just the missed at-bats. He should be ready to play in 2014, and I expect he'll start as a 23 year old back with Montgomery. 不幸的伤病让他没机会在今年证明自己，17场比赛後就因为肘伤接受韧带置换手 术。他的臂力本来就不算太好，所以最大的影响应该就是错过上场打击的机会，期待 明年23岁的他会在AA重新起步。 ------ Willie Argo (23 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 359 PA, .308/.404/.420, 12.0 BB%, 21.2 K%, 37 SB (88.1%) At one point, Argo was actually considered a top 100 prospect in the 2011 draft, but he had a down season at Illinois and returned for his senior season. After starting the season in extended spring training because of a hip injury, he was added to Charlotte's roster in May and had an impressive season. He was third in the Florida State League in steals and did it very efficiently. He knows to walk to get on base to use his speed, but despite his career .300 average, making enough contact to utilize it further is in question. 起初，Argo被视为2011年选秀会上的Top 100 prospect，但他的大三赛季表现下 滑，所以他选择返校念大四。因臀部伤势从延长春训起步後，他五月加入A+展开今年 的赛季，并留下令人印象深刻的成绩。他知道如何上垒，并知道如何展现他的速度， 虽然生涯还是有.300的打击率，但如何进一步提高击球率是他接下来最重要的问题。 He doesn't really have power, so he'll need to focus on cutting down those strikeouts and putting the ball in play. He should have the athleticism to play center field, but in his first two pro seasons, he's had to defer to Andrew Toles with Princeton and Kes Carter with Charlotte. 他没有足够的长打能力，所以需要学习如何降低三振次数并把球打进场内。有防 守中外野的运动能力，但职业前两个赛季都被高顺位新秀Andrew Toles和Kes Carter 挡住了。 个人补充： 高中时期，曾有球探以Curtis Granderson作为Argo的模板，但'10年的腕伤让长 打能力大打折扣。今年能交出这种成绩满令我意外的，因为他去年 BABIP（.362）就 偏高了，今年更高（.398）。不过上垒技巧和速度是货真价实的。Argo臂力在水准之 下，守备范围足以覆盖中外野，可以贡献稳定的打击率和上垒率。至少会是一位合格 的四号外野手。 ------ Taylor Motter (23 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 239 PA, .290/.359/.419, 9.2 BB%, 12.1 K%, 20 SB (71.4%) Motter happened to end up grouped with the left fielders, but his defensive versatility is what makes him such a good minor league player. He appeared in five or more games at five different positions with Charlotte, and it couldn't have been more if a hamstring injury didn't limit him to 66 games. Motter最後被分到左外野手这个分类，但他其实是个守备相当多元的新秀，而这 也成为他最棒的特色。他今年在A+在五个不同守位出赛超过 5场。如果不是腿筋受伤 让他本季只出赛66场，这项数据绝对不只如此。 He's a good athlete with a patient approach, and he cut down on his strikeouts to improve his contact rate. His power isn't good enough for a regular corner outfielder, but it's more adequate for someone who can play just about every position. He'll be 24 next year with Montgomery and look to provide value all across the diamond. 耐心打击的出色运动员，今年Motter提高击球率，压低三振次数。他的长打能力 不足以成为固定的角落外野手，但就工具人来说已经够用了。明年将满24岁的Motter 明年将会升上AA在内野的每个角落贡献能力。 个人补充： 游击手出身的Motter运动能力、防守和臂力都在水准之上，打击有平均水准，速 度不差，但称不上有破坏性。仅管没有出色的长打能力，对左右投的表现差异也满大 的，但他是一位知道怎麽上垒的球员，稳定发展应该会是不错的多功能角色球员。 ------ Marty Gantt (23 Y.O. at Class A) 496 PA, .267/.339/.391, 9.3 BB%, 22.2 K%, 19 SB (86.4%) 23 year olds having good seasons in the Midwest League is not uncommon, but Gantt's season is one of the best success stories in the organization this year. Without fully formed fingers on his right hand, he was able to post a .730 OPS, above the MWL average. He has very little power, but he does have decent on-base skills and the speed to steal some bases. He may not have the tools to be a major league hitter, but his athleticism and work ethic are good to have around the organization. 23岁的球员在A有好成绩并不算稀奇，但对Gantt来说这可能是整个光芒体系最成 功的故事之一。他的右手手指发育不全，但依旧交出OPS .730高於联盟水准的成绩。 缺乏长打能力，但有足够的上垒技巧，盗垒效率也有一定水准。也许没有成为大联盟 球员的打击工具，但运动能力和职业道德可能是整个光芒体系最好的。 个人补充： Gantt 是个很有趣的球员，身材不高大又有先天的缺陷，但在场上的拚劲和灵活 的思考很容易感染队友，虽然不会是明星，但会是每支球队都会需要的球员。虽然是 右打但生涯面对右投的成绩却远优於左投。今年上半季和下半季的表现落差很大，乐 观一点的想法是他的体力还无法负荷完整赛季的考验，但我想出色的工作态度会轻松 解决这个问题。2012年会早在第7轮就选中他，主因还是为了配合新版CBA的选秀规则 ，不过今年成绩看起来还不算太坏，防守范围一般，但防守能力在水准之上，未来有 机会成为四号外野甚至固定先发。 ------ Granden Goetzman (20 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A and Class A) 300 PA, .203/.237/.317, 3.7 BB%, 21.7 K%, 23 SB (74.2%) Groin and back injuries limited Goetzman to 136 plate appearances in his first two seasons, but with the exception of a brief DL stint in June, he was healthy in 2013. Unfortunately, his performance in 300 plate appearances wasn't good at all. He struggled in about a month's worth of action with Bowling Green, but things didn't get any better with Hudson Valley starting in June. 腹股沟和背伤让Goetzman前两个职业赛季只有 136个打席。除了六月短暂进入 DL，今年完全是健康出赛的。不幸的，今年 300个打席里，他的表现并不理想。在 A打了不太顺利的一个月後，回到A-状况也没有改善。 Billed as a potential five tool talent, the hit and power tools were nowhere to be found, and his poor plate approach didn't help matters. He was still able to display effective base running though. The success rate of drafted hitters that go to extended spring training in consecutive years isn't good at all, but perhaps Goetzman deserves some slack for now because of the injuries. 这位号称五工具潜力的好手，打击和长打能力都没有展现出来，悲剧的攻击模式 也没有帮上忙。好消息是至少他还能展现不错的盗垒效率。连续三年从延长春训出发 的新秀表现都称不上亮眼，但也许应该对Goetzman多点耐心，毕竟他才刚伤癒复出。 个人补充： 对於Goetzman我只能说健康就好，他过去两年都为伤所困打打停停，如果伤势可 以完全康复，还是一位有Top 20潜力的新秀，只是需要更多时间磨练。今年表现不佳 多少和偏低的BABIP和身在投手天堂A-（Lg. OPS.651）有关，期待明年升上比较适合 打者发挥的A可以交出好成绩。 ------ Johnny Eierman (20 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton) 111 PA, .228/.278/.446, 6.3 BB%, 26.1 K%, 4 HR, 12 XBH Eierman was one of the best athletes in the 2011 draft, and the Rays took him in the third round. He got a $550,000 signing bonus, more than twice the slot value for his pick, but his talent hasn't resulted in any game production. Including an absurdly large leg kick, his swing needed a lot of work. That resulted in him starting consecutive seasons in extended spring training, and he still hasn't played in a full-season league. Eierman是'11年最棒的运动员之一，光芒在第三轮选中他以後，用两倍於建议签 约金的550K签下他，但他的天分还没展现在赛场上。包括夸张的高抬腿，他的打击机 制还需要大修。这就是为什麽他这几年都必须从延长春训开始，至今仍未接受完整球 季的考验。 Although it was another poor season, he did show some of the power potential that was promised two years ago with 12 extra base hits in 111 plate appearances, but his athleticism has been missing in action. The last two years, he's almost entirely played a corner outfield spot instead of shortstop or center field, and he didn't attempt a single steal in 2013. 虽然这依旧是个惨淡的赛季，但他展现了两年前被球探称道的长打潜力，在 111 个打席里敲出12支长打，但他的运动能力消失了。最近两年他大多是站边角外野，而 不是当初期待的中外野或游击，今年也没有任何盗垒成功。 个人补充： Eierman 2011年选秀会上被视为第一轮人选，但因为签约问题落到第三轮才被光 芒选中。当初就被球探认为有挥棒轨迹过长和守位不明确的问题，不过爆发力和运动 能力很值得培养。生涯打右投的成绩不太理想，也有攻击慾望过剩的倾向。这些都是 他未来在养成上需要留心的指标。 ------ Hunter Lockwood (20 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton) 258 PA, .243/.295/.451, 6.2 BB%, 29.5 K%, 9 HR, 25 XBH As an amateur, there was never any question that Lockwood had power. He led the DFW Metroplex with 17 home runs as a high school senior, and he was second in the Big 12 in homers with 11 his freshman year before transferring. The Rays signed him in the 11th round, moved him out from behind the plate where he was a poor defender, and sent him out to Princeton where he continued hitting for power. Lockwood的长打实力是无庸置疑的，高四以17发全垒打领跑 DFW Metroplex，转 学前也以11发全垒打在大十二区排名第二。光芒在第11轮选中他就因为做为捕手的防 守功力还不够，将他移防左外野，并直接送到 Rk+让他继续展现长打火力。 His 25 extra base hits led the Appy League, and the outfield is a better fit for him defensively, although he still has work to do. Plus power from the right side of the plate isn't terribly common, and the Rays will have to work on his plate approach and cutting down on his swing so he can continue to tap into it. 25支长打是全联盟最多，外野防守虽然还有进步空间，却是较适合他的守位，右 打区的长打者并不十分常见，光芒需要调整打击型态并缩短挥棒轨迹，这样他才能在 更高层级持续把球送出墙外。 个人补充： Lockwood是不是光芒一直在找的大棒子还不得而知，但他的长打火力已经足以让 球探留下深刻的印象。右打的Lockwood其实不擅於面对左投，不论是打击率、上垒率 或是长打率都有一段落差。进入职业赛场後的表现其实不算理想，一直到球季最後一 个月29场比赛扫了 7发全垒打为这个球季画下句点，打击机制还有很大的修正空间， 如果能提高对好球带的掌握，会是相当可怕的打者。 ------ Clayton Henning (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 112 PA, .260/.339/.323, 10.7 BB%, 32.1 K%, 10 SB (83.3%) Henning was a pretty unheralded signing in the 2012 draft, but he was able to open some eyes in last year's instructional league season (Baseball Prospectus $). He's beyond raw at the plate, but the former high school football player's speed impacts the game on the bases and in the field. While it's a positive that he's able to try to wait for his pitch, he strikes out far too often at this point and still needs a ton of work. He has the bat speed to make solid contact and develop some power down the road if he can improve pitch recognition. With a BABIP over .400, he may not bat .260 again unless something clicks. Henning在'12年选秀会上只是一位名不经传的新秀，但他在去年的指导联盟让球 探开始注意到他的存在。打击还很生涩，但美式足球员出身的他在跑垒和防守上做得 好棒。虽然他很耐心等球，不过三振率高得太吓人了，这部分还需要下很多功夫。不 错的挥棒速度让他做出有效的挥击，如果可以增强球路判别能力，长打能力应该也会 长出来。 BABIP超过.400，如果其他技巧没有进步，打击率很难维持住。 ------ Jose Paez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 195 PA, .236/.284/.352, 4.6 BB%, 24.6 K%, 9 SB (60%) In 2012, Paez was named the Most Valuable Player for the Venezuelan Summer League Rays by the organization. In his first trip to U.S. ball, his .636 OPS was below the league average, but he was only 19 years old. That's a far cry from his 2012 stats in the VSL when he batted .364 with a .966 OPS. The stadium down there is known for inflating offensive numbers, and that appears that it could be the case here. His walk rate was nearly cut in half, and his strikeout rate rose by nearly 10%. Another seaso in the GCL is probably in order here. 2012年，Paez当选光芒VSL的MVP，来到美国後OPS .636虽然低於联盟平均，但他 只有19岁。去年他在VSL的打击率是 .364，OPS .966。一般来说，球场因素会让打击 数据膨胀，而Paez看起来是个很好的例子。保送率大概只有去年的一半，三振率却上 升了10%。明年应该还会在GCL看见他的身影。 ------ Erick Vasquez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 136 PA, .179/.243/.220, 5.1 BB%, 30.1 K%, 5 SB (83.3%) In the same international signing period that the Rays signed Yoel Araujo, they also nabbed Vasquez for $100,000. BA's report from the time ($) noted he had some power but needed to adjust his swing. Half of that was clear in 2013, and it wasn't that he has power. He continued to struggle making contact, and his strikeout rate would suggest that he may not have been ready for this level. He did steal five bases efficiently (after stealing 24 last year in the VSL), but that's not expected to be a part of his game moving forward. 签下Yoel Araujo的同时光芒也用$100K签下Vasquez ，BA的报告显示他有一点长 打能力，但挥击需要调整。就今年的成绩来说，这句话只说对了一半，偏偏这一半不 是他有长打能力。他的盗垒效率不错（去年在 VSL有24次盗垒成功），但在更高层级 可能不管用。 --

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