Link：http://ppt.cc/5ZHz Center Field While the Rays lack an elite prospect in center field, two of the players recapped below had among the best seasons among positional players in the system, and both should fit somewhere into the top 20 prospects (with Toles a good bet to reach the top 10). Unsurprisingly, this group of players contains several superb athletes. With that being said, the results have not always matched the tools, and none of these players boasts a big stick at the moment. 虽然光芒在中外野手这个守位缺乏顶级新秀，但有两位球员交出整个农场最棒的 赛季，而这两位都很有可能在某些球探眼中进入今年的top 20 prospects（Toles 可 能可以进到top 10）。毫无意外的，这群球员有许多人具备出色的运动能力。只是交 出来的成绩并不总是与天分相符，目前也还没有任何球员展现惊人的爆发。 Typically, center fielders have above average of better speed, modest power, and a solid or better hit tool, though Mike Trout shows that it is not impossible for a center fielder to be an excellent all-around hitter. The list will start with players on the writers' poll, and the rest will be listed alphabetically. 虽然Mike Trout证明了中外野手不是不可能成为出色的全方位球员，但典型的中 外野手的基本要求是水准之上的速度，合格的长打能力，紮实或是更好的打击能力。 19. Andrew Toles (21 Y.O., at Class-A) 552 PA, .326/.359/.466, 4.0 BB%, 19.0 K%, 2 HR, 53 XBH Just as he did last year, Toles jumped off to a quick start, hitting for a .461 wOBA in April. For a while, it looked like Toles would fade as the season went along, as he did in 2012. However, he rebounded in July just as his batting average was slipping below the .300 mark. In July and August, he hit for a .414 and .386 wOBA, respectively. 就如同他去年展现的，Toles 的起步相当快速，四月wOBA就来到.461，过了一段 时间，看起来Toles 会像去年一样後继无力，但到了七月就在打击率稍微低於三成後 ，他开始反弹，整个七八月他交出.414的打击率和.386的wOBA。 After hitting .281 in 2012 with Princeton, Toles saw his average jump to .323 despite his strikeout rate also rising by a few percent. While Toles showed some pop in 2012 (7 HR in 52 games), his power was more of the doubles and triples variety this past season. The most concerning area of Toles' season was his walk rate; a 4.0 BB% is poor, and hopefully it is only a sign of his rawness as a player. He once again showed his aptitude on the base paths, stealing 62 bases (77.6 SB%). 2012年在Rk打出.281的打击率之後，Toles 把打击率拉升到.323，虽然三振率有 小幅的上升。虽然去年展现了一些长打火力（52场比赛 7轰），但过去这个球季，他 的长打还是以二垒打和三垒打居多。最令人担心的是保送率，4.0%真的很糟。希望这 只是他还不够成熟的结果。他再次展现他在跑垒的侵略性，以 77.6%的成功率跑出62 次盗垒成功。 个人补充： Toles一直是我很喜欢的新秀，他交出的成绩也不差，但他今年逐月的BABIP都没 有低过.375（全年.402），此外A+并不是打者偏向的联盟，加上他选保送的能力并不 太好，明年成绩可能会有一定程度的下滑。不过他还是目前光芒中外野手最棒的新秀 ，不论是防守范围（随着判断能力增强，还会再提高）和臂力都很出色，只要唯持目 前的打击手感和一定程度的中长程火力，有机会在 DDJ合约到期後接掌中外野，同时 也能让Jennings回到最适合他的左外野。 ------ Kevin Kiermaier (23 Y.O. in Double-A, Triple-A, and MLB) 571 PAs, .295/.362/.431, 7.9 BB%, 15.2 K%, 6 HR, 42 XBH It was quite the season for Kiermaier, who went from an unheralded fringe prospect to playing center field for the Rays in the playoffs. Along the way, he ascended three levels and thrust himself into the prospect picture. 这个赛季是属於Kiermaier 的，从名不经传的小夥子到成为光芒打进季後赛关键 战役的中外野手。一路上他连过三个层级，然後让自己晋升潜力新秀之林。 A tremendous defender in center field, Kiermaier doesn't need to hit very much to provide value. Though he does not walk a whole lot, his strike out rate is in control and he uses his speed and line drive approach to hit for a solid average. This season didn't come out of nowhere; he has a .743 OPS in his professional career. Still, it will be interesting to see if Kiermaier will carry his strong offensive performance into next year. 出色的防守者，Kiermaier 真正的价值不在於他的打击，虽然保送率不高，但三 振率控制得很好。他将速度和平飞球的打击形态结合，让他有很漂亮的打击率。这季 的表现不是没来由的爆发，他生涯 OPS来到.743，明年能不能重复这样的表现会是最 令人感兴趣的事情。 个人补充： Kiermaier 这两年的成长有目共睹，虽然目前大多数的球探还是把他当作四号外 野手，但是我不认为再过几年他的表现会比刚续约的 DDJ逊色。除了防守范围让他在 外野任何一个角落都是顶尖的防守者，Kiermaier 的另一个价值在於这两年没有明显 的左右病，唯一要挑剔的是盗垒能力，不然会是一位很合适的第一棒人选。 Kiermaier最後四分之一个赛季才加入AAA，在大联盟外野手大塞车的情况下，应 该是参加完春训就回到 AAA磨练，要是有人受伤再视情况上去当个替补，明年九月看 到他应该是确定的。 ------ Kes Carter (23 Y.O. at Advanced Class-A) 454 PA, .235/.297/.374, 6.8 BB%, 22.0 K%, 7 HR, 34 XBH A supplemental first round draft pick in the 2011 draft, Kes Carter featured five tools that rated at least average, though none stood out as plus. The biggest drawback was his health, a vice that has hindered his development in pro ball. 2013 was his healthiest year since joining the Rays, yet he still only played in 118 games. 2011年第一轮补偿选秀，Kes Carter被视为五工具都至少有平均水准的外野手。 最大的疑虑在於健康问题，对於他在职业赛场上的发展会是很严重的问题。2013年是 他进入光芒最健康的一年，不过也只出赛了118场比赛。 While Carter showed above average power in the FSL, nothing else stood out. He stuck out more than average, walked less than average, and wasn't particularly effective on the base paths (10 SB, 7 CS). He has missed significant development time and was old for the league, so Carter needs to both stay healthy and bolster his performance to become a top prospect. 他在A+展现了水准之上的长打能力，但其他部分乏善可陈。三振率和保送率都比 平均水准来得差，盗垒成功率也不高。伤病让他错过了成长的时间，在所属联盟属於 大龄新秀，接下来Carter必须保持健康并进一步提高表现才能成为顶尖新秀。 个人补充： Carter是当年选秀会上Kentucky state最棒的打者，当时的模板就是Matt Joyce （左杀，有长打，有选球！），只是伤病（小腿、胫骨、腿筋…）让他的养成一直不 顺利。Carter过去在选保送这一块做得很好，事实上也是我认为做得最好的部分，今 年的退步来得有些意外，希望明年能反弹。从学生时期就有的左杀问题进入职业依然 没有获得改善，如果不能提升对右投手的威胁性，以年纪来说很难有进一步的突破。 Carter的防守已经很成熟，不论是防守范围还是臂力都在水准之上，不过球团可能会 为了减轻腿部的负担将他移往边角外野。 ------ James Harris (19 Y.O. at Short Season Class-A) 237 PA, .258/.309/.346, 7.2 BB%, 28.7 K%, 1 HR, 14 XBH When Harris was selected by the Rays with their final first round supplemental pick in the 2011 draft, there was a sharp divide about the pick. Some loved the athleticism and felt he was underrated; others warned that he was more of an athlete than a baseball player. So far in his professional career, Harris has proven to be an excellent athlete with a limited present baseball ability (this is relative, of course). Harris当年在第一轮补偿选秀被光芒选中时就引起很大的争议，有些球探爱他的 运动能力，也认为他被低估了；有些认为比起棒球员，称呼他为运动员更适当。截至 目前为止，Harris证明他自己是个棒球能力有限的出色运动员。 In his third season in short season ball, Harris made strides in some respects. His 99 wRC+ was by far the highest of his career, and he walked at a decent rate. However, his strike out rate was very high, he hit for below average power, and much of his offense was dependent on a high BABIP. His athleticism will keep him on the radar, but his performance thus far is pro ball is not noteworthy. 在第三个职业赛季，Harris在某些方面得到球探的肯定，99的WRC+是生涯最高， 保送率也维持的不错。但三振率非常高，长打能力在水准之下，打击成绩很大一部分 和高 BABIP（.367）有关。他的运动能力会让他保持在球探雷达中，但到目前的表现 并不值得一提。 ------ Julian Ridings (21 Y.O. in Short Season Class-A) 232 PA, .255/.288/.338, 3.9 BB%, 18.5 K%, 0 HR, 16 XBH An 18th round draft pick in the 2013 draft, Ridings was tasked with manning center field for the Hudson Valley Renegades. In his pro debut, he struggled. His walk rate and power were both sub-par, and his average was not nearly enough to make up for these shortcomings. He performed much better in college, so hopefully he can rebound next year. 2013年第18轮被选入光芒系统後， Ridings接到的第一个任务就是担任A-的中外 野手。他的职业处女秀在保送率和长打能力上挣扎，打击率也不足以掩饰这些缺点。 他的表现比大学好，希望明年可以反弹。 ------ Thomas Milone (18 Y.O. in Rookie Ball and Short Season Class-A) 160 PA, .209/.264/.297, 4.4 BB%, 24.4 K%, 1 HR, 7 XBH Milone was this year's high draft pick (3rd round) with premium athleticism and questionable current baseball skill. Scouts commented before the draft that he often, with the bat, looked like just another high school player, and it showed in his short season debut. Milone是今年的高位选秀（第三轮），具备顶级的运动能力和目前备受质疑的棒 球技巧，球探在选秀前对他的打击做出许多评论，目前看起来他就是另一位青涩高中 球员，而这个看法也在他的短期季赛处女秀印证了。 It was a miserable performance for Milone this year, though the sample size is not huge. From the statistics, it looks like he struggles to control the strike zone while also not driving the ball, two traits unsurprising from a player who focused quite a bit on football during high school. 今年对Milone来说是悲剧的一年，虽然样本数不多，但从数据上来说，他看起来 对好球带的掌握和击球都还不够好，这两件事对一位过去都在打美式足球的高中生来 说并不令人意外。 ------ Bralin Jackson (19 Y.O. in Rookie League) 257 PAs, .216/.281/.299, 7.4 BB%, 21.8 K%, 3 HR, 10 XBH Reports from instructs raved about Bralin Jackson, pegging him as a player to keep an eye on. Possibly the best athlete in the Rays' farm system, Jackson needed to show that he could handle the bat. Unfortunately, he did nothing to prove that in 2013. 去年指导联盟的报告说Bralin Jackson是位值得注意的新秀。也许他是光芒农场 运动能力最好的球员，他需要的只是控制好他的球棒。不幸的，今年并没有爆发。 There are not many positives to take away from his season statistically. He hit for a low average, hit for little power, walked at a below league average rate, struck out at an above league average rate, and was not especially effective stealing bases. Like Harris, Jackson will stay on the map due to his athleticism. But for right now, he doesn't seem to have much else going for him. 就数据上来说，我们找不出任何乐观的迹象。打击在水准之下，没有长打能力， 保送率低於联盟水平，三振率高於联盟水平。连盗垒成功率都不高。和Harris相同， Jackson 会因为他的运动能力留在球探目光中，但现在看不出来他还能带给球队什麽 帮助。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.6.244 ※ 编辑: csy1911 来自: 140.118.235.118 (11/23 13:30)