刚好John Sickels对Brignac也写了一篇分析 就略翻分享给版友 The Tampa Bay Rays traded shortstop Reid Brignac to the Colorado Rockies today for a player to be named and cash. Brignac has been a significant disappointment as a hitter, batting just .227/.268/.317 in 716 plate appearances over five years with the Rays. He was one of the best position player prospects in baseball a few years ago. Here's what happened. 光芒将Brignac交易到落矶 他在TB五年的大联盟成绩留下令人失望的打击三围 但他曾经是最被期待的野手大物 让我们来看看他发生了什麽事 Brignac was drafted in the second round in 2004, from high school in St. Amant, Louisiana. He was considered a very strong hitter with more power potential than most middle infielders. Many scouts projected that he would outgrow shortstop, but most felt he would hit well enough to handle third base. Brignac hit .378/.427/.486 in his 28-game pro debut split between rookie ball and Low-A, showing the expected power potential and good plate discipline. I rated him as a Grade B prospect entering '05. 2004年第二轮高中选秀 认为是一个很有炮瓦的中线野手 许多球探认为他未来可能会转防到三垒去 在他第一年的球季在RK-A 28场打出让人印象的成绩 将他评为 B 的新秀在要进入05年的球季 Moved up to the Low-A Midwest League for '05, Brignac hit .264/.319/.416 with 15 homers, 40 walks, and 131 strikeouts in 512 at-bats. The power was there, but his plate discipline was worse than expected, and his OPS came out just a hair better than league average. Reviews of his defense were mixed, although after seeing him in person I felt he had at least some chance of staying at shortstop. I cut his rating to a Grade C+ entering '06, worrying about his ability to handle breaking pitches. 05年在Low A(也就是A)的成绩仍然维持他的炮瓦期待 但是他的选球却成长得比预期糟糕 造成他的OPS只有略高於平均 防守普普但还有机会可以站稳SS 但JS担心他能否面对变化球 所以他被降评为C+的新秀 2006 began in the High-A California League, where Brignac hit .326/.382/.557 with 21 homers in 100 games for Visalia, with a 35/82 BB/K ratio. Promoted to Double-A, he continued to hit outside the California League with a .300/.355/.473 mark in 28 games for Montgomery, though his plate discipline took a hit with a 7/31 BB/K in 110 at-bats. Reports on his glove remained mixed, but despite the problems with strike zone judgment, I was convinced that the step forward with the bat was genuine and rated him accordingly, giving him a Grade A- entering '07 and ranking him 13th overall among hitting prospects. 06年在High A(A+)打出惊人的成绩 升上2A也还是惊人的成绩 守备仍是普通 但打击的问题在於好球带的掌控 所以他被评为A-等级的新秀 在所有的打击新秀中排到13名 Brignac returned to Montgomery in 2007, hitting .260/.328/.433 with 17 homers, 55 walks, and 94 strikeouts in 527 at-bats. At this stage, scouting reports indicated good power, but also a tendency to pull the ball too much; scouts worried that pitchers at higher levels would find the flaws in his swing. His glovework still drew mixed reviews, as he showed a good throwing arm but not-terrific range. I still believed in him and gave him a Grade B+ entering '08, ranking him at #16 overall. 07年在2A打出较普通的成绩 仍有炮瓦 但是会过度的拉打 球探担心在更高层级的投手会针对他的弱点攻击 守备有良好的臂力与还不算遭高的防守范围 JS仍然期待他所以给予他B+等级 在所有打击新秀排到16名 He continued his steady rise up the ladder in '08, playing 97 games for Triple-A Durham. The good news was that his defense took a huge step forward: he worked very hard to improve his reliability, range, and positioning, and scouts no longer had doubts about his defense, rating it as above-average to excellent. On the other hand, his bat took a step backward: he hit .250/.299/.412 with nine homers, 25 walks, and 93 strikeouts in 352 at-bats. Reports indicated that he simply lost the strike zone, plus he would lengthen his swing in an attempt to hit for more power. Concerned about his stalling development, I rated him as a Grade C+ for '09. 08年在3A的出赛 防守有了巨大的进步 球探不再批评他的守备能力 被认为可能是平均以上到杰出 但打击的表现不如预期 JS认为他还有机会发展 将他给予C+等级 For Durham in '09, he improved his approach somewhat and hit .282/.327/.417 in 96 games, with a 27/69 BB/K in 415 at-bats. He played 31 games for the Rays, hitting .278/.301/.444; he had plate discipline issues with a 3/20 BB/K in 90 at-bats, but the pop was there and his defense was sharp. I moved him back up to a Grade B- for '10, writing that I saw him as a "baselinie .260/.310/.400 hitter, which isn't bad for a shortstop who can field well." 09年在3A打出较前一年略佳的成绩 但仍然有选球的问题 JS将评价调整为B-并预期他可能成为 .260/.310/.400的打者 以SS来说不算太糟糕 Brignac played 113 games for the Rays in '10, hitting .256/.307/.385, 92 OPS+, 1.5 WAR. However his hitting tailed off in '11 with a .193/.227/.221 mark, then he spent most of 2012 back in Triple-A, having a terrible season for Durham (.231/.323/.353). 10年在光芒打出令人期待的成绩 与JS期待相去不远 11年在光芒打出非常糟糕的成绩 12年即使在3A也打得令人失望的球季 So what we have here is a guy who came into pro ball from high school with a "strong bat, doubtful glove" reputation but who is now exactly the opposite: strong glove, doubtful bat. By all accounts, he's worked very hard to improve his defense, with good results. But for all that effort, Brignac's inability to control the strike zone and unlock the secrets of advanced pitching cost him his job in Tampa. Plate discipline was always his biggest weakness even when he was putting up solid overall numbers, and he just hasn't been able to fix that weakness. Brignac最後长成得期待与最初的评价出现两极的落差 主要的问题还是在於他的选球问题 Can he recover? He just turned 27 last month, the classic age for sudden improvement, and Coors Field is obviously a much friendlier hitting environment than Tropicana. I totally understand why the Rays let Brignac go; it just wasn't happening for him, but this is a low- risk, potentially high-reward move for the Rockies. Perhaps a new set of coaching eyes and a fresh start will revive the hitting skills that Brignac showed when he was younger. 他能克服吗 他还仍然很年轻只有27岁 或许突然长出选球眼也说不定 If anyone needs a change of scenery, it's Brignac. 光芒没养成Brignac是有点失望 但是将他交易到落矶至少他万一爆发也不太会遇到TB 祝福他了Brignac -- --

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