The Tampa Bay Rays' 2012 Bullpen: New Faces, New Roles, And Upside Galore 2012‧坦帕湾光芒‧牛棚：新面孔、新角色、数不尽的天分 原文：http://ppt.cc/2g3g The Rays will not only be changing some of the personnel in their 2012 bullpen, but they may be changing their roles too. 光芒明年的牛棚成员不会有太多更动，但负责的任务不同了。 Following a couple of off-season moves from the Tampa Bay Rays VP of Baseball Operations, Andrew Friedman, the Rays bullpen has taken a quite a different appearance -- in a good way. 随着坦帕湾光芒队运作副总Andrew Friedman休赛期的几个操作，牛棚有了些许变化－往 好的方向。 Much was said about the 2011 bullpen -- assembled by Andrew Friedman almost entirely from scratch after 90% of the Rays' relievers left via free agency. Let us take a gander at how that 2011 bullpen looked near the end of the season 关於今年的牛棚有许多讨论－在大批後援投手进入自由市场後，Andrew Friedman重组了 90%的牛棚。来看看到了季末时牛棚的组成吧！ Pos. Name FIP Closer Kyle Farnsworth 3.16 Fireman Joel Peralta 3.37 ROOGY Brandon Gomes 3.73 ROOGY Juan Cruz 4.20 LOOGY J.P. Howell 5.41 Middle Cesar Ramos 4.72 Long Andy Sonnanstine 4.18 名词解释：Closer - 终结者，在球队些微领先时，主投最後一局，守住比赛胜利。 Fireman - 救火员，在关键时刻时化解危机。 ROOGY - 右手牛，专门面对右打者。 LOOGY - 左手牛，专门面对左打者。 Middle - 短中继，吃少量局数。 Long - 长中继，在先发投手提前退场时，吃大量局数。 A couple of notes: First of all, we can notice the Rays do not employ the traditional middle-to-setup-to-closer bullpen pattern. No, not at all. In fact, it is a disservice to Kyle Farnsworth to call him just a closer -- he is in fact much more. He is the Rays' high leverage man -- their highest leverage man. 笔记：首先，光芒牛棚不是传统的"中继-布局-终结"(middle-to-setup-to-closer)，完 全不是，事实上，称Kyle Farnsworth为终结者并不公平，他实际做得更多，是比数接近时 最可靠的後援投手。 Farnsworth gets a lot of the saves, but Joe Maddon does not hesitate to use him whenever the game may be on the line -- 9th inning or nay. Next in the arsenal is Joel Peralta, who played fireman. A fireman is like a setup guy, except he comes in whenever Farnsworth needs to be saved for a later inning. Farnsworth获得许多救援点，但Joe Maddon对他的使用并不只局限在第九局。另一个可 靠的球员是担任救火员的Joel Peralta。救火员的功能类似布局投手，除了Farnsworth不 一定会接在後面守住比赛以外(意思就是，不一定在第八局登板)。 So, if the bases are loaded with nobody out in the 6th, Peralta gets the call. Together, Peralta and Farnsworth sucked up all the spilled juice from the season, and by using his absolute best two relievers far and away the most, Rays manager Joe Maddon was able make a mediocre bullpen do amazing things. 所以如果是在第六局无人出局满垒，Peralta就会登板。Farnsworth和Peralta吃掉了本 季大部分的局数，因为这两位名单上最出色的投手，光芒总教练Maddon用平凡的牛棚，达 到另人惊艳的成就。 Consider: The Rays had a middle of the pack bullpen ERA of 3.73, but their bullpen FIP (which more accurately tells us how well they pitched) was one of the league's worst at 4.14. On top of that, the Rays 'pen had only 15 losses all season -- second least in the MLB to the Arizona Diamondback (14) and five better than the next closest AL bullpen, the New York Yankees (20). 想一想：光芒牛棚ERA 3.73排在中段，但FIP 4.14却是联盟最糟的球队之一。最重要的 是牛棚只吞下15败，整个大联盟只有响尾蛇少於这个数字(14)，在美联还领先第二名的洋 基5场。 Granted, that's not a complete assessment of bullpen usage, but it is a hint at one of Joe Maddon's best skills. That is: He puts pitchers in positions to excel and uses his best relievers in the toughest moments. 当然，这不是对牛棚使用的完整评估，但也展现了Joe Maddon最棒的能力：把投手定位 在可以发挥最大价值的位置；在最关键的时刻，赌上最棒的投手。 Behind those top two relievers, the Rays did not have the best of bullpens. Adam Russell struggled mightily in every role given him; Andy Sonnanstine could not strike anyone out, and J.P. Howell looked like the shell of the relief ace he was before his year-long injury. 除了上述两位投手，牛棚里几乎没有亮点，Adam Russell不论在放那个位置都表现得很 挣扎；Andy Sonnanstine无法投出任何三振；J.P. Howell跟受伤前相比，只剩下外壳。 So the Rays astutely traded for some relief help in the forms of acquiring RHP Josh Lueke for John Jaso and stealing RHP Burke Badenhop for minor league catcher Jake Jefferies. No disrespect intended towards Mr. Jefferies, but a pitcher of Badenhop's talent is no where near worth a low minor league catcher who has hit worse than a ham sandwich. 因此光芒精明的透过交易获得许多帮助，包括：捕手John Jaso交易右投手Josh Lueke， 再用小联盟捕手Jake Jefferies偷到右投手Burke Badenhop。这个说法对Jefferies没有任 何不敬，但Badenhop的天分不是一个打击糟糕的低阶小联盟捕手可以换来的。 Anyway, the addition of these two highly intriguing pieces -- plus the development of Jake McGee and Brandon Gomes -- can dramatically reshape this bullpen. 上述两个有趣的家伙，加上Jake McGee和Brandon Gomes的成长，可以让这个牛棚瞬间升 级很多。 Let's look at my prediction for how the Rays bullpen will shake out in 2012: 来看看我对明年光芒牛棚的预测： Pos. Name FIP Closer Kyle Farnsworth 3.25 Fireman Joel Peralta 3.28 ROOGY Brandon Gomes 3.80 Groundball Burke Badenhap 3.25 LOOGY J.P. Howell 3.60 Middle Josh Luekes 3.50 Long Jake McGee 3.80 "Why! Why, there's no long man! And what's this 'Goundball' nonsense!?" asks Mr. Manager, circa 1980. 「为什麽！为什麽没有长中继！"滚地球投手"是哪门子的谬论?!」这是1980年代经理会 提出的质疑。 Well, this is the bullpen I imagine Maddon longs for. Farns and Peralta split the high leverage, Gomes focuses on right-handed batters, Badenhop -- side-arm groundball machine -- comes in for double plays (but avoids powerful lefties), Howell dominates lefties (and then hopefully returns to form and becomes a second fireman), and then Luke and McGee -- the two closers in training -- share the lower-leverage outings. 这是我想像Maddon渴望的牛棚组成。Farnsworth和Joel Peralta可以掌控比分接近的场 面，Gomes专门面对右打者，滚地球机器Badenhop可以制造双杀(但不能面对强力左打)， Howell可以宰制左打者(希望他能成为第二位救火员)，Luekes和McGee这两位未来的终结者 还需要磨练，会在分差大的时候登板。 The FIPs listed above are my gustory guesses. Gustory? Oh, it's 25% gut, 75% history. I look at the player's history and then tweak it just a little based on my knowledge of the player's situation and whatever other rumblies in my tumbly that might influence me. 附注的FIP是我粗略的猜测。喔！这是跟据25%大胆推测，75%历史成绩。简单说，就是球 员过去的表现然後以我对球员近期状况为基础作出的结论。 So: Why no long man? I tell you why: Jake McGee, Josh Lueke, Burke Badenhop, and Brandon Gomes can all pitch up to three innings -- and have done so recently. Even J.P. Howell is a former starter, though his effectiveness decreases rapidly each additional time through the lineup. 所以，为何没有长中继？我的解释是Jake McGee、Josh Lueke、Burke Badenhop和 Brandon Gomes都可以投到三局，最近也都有这样的经验。甚至J.P. Howell之前还是先发 ，虽然多一次面对打者效率就会迅速下滑。 Put this bullpen together -- plus the likes of Cesar Ramos, Dane De La Rosa, and Matt Bush, relievers all on the cusp of the 'pen -- and the 2012 Rays bullpen is starting to look the single greatest Rays bullpen in history. And, if they stay healthy and progress like they should, this young 'pen could be the best in the majors in 2012. 把这些牛棚成员放在一起，加上Cesar Ramos、Dane De La Rosa和Matt Bush，这些球员 会是牛棚的中心。明年光芒牛棚可能是史上单一赛季最强的，如果能保持健康并持续进步 ，这个年轻的牛棚会是明年最棒的团队。 And if so: Then how good is Andrew Friedman? He had no bullpen this time in 2010, but may have the league's best by October of 2012. 顺便一提：知道Andrew Friedman有多出色了吗？2010年解散了牛棚，但在明年10月，也 许这支球队在比赛後段会有联盟最可靠的後援战力。 --

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