今天Prospect A to Z 要介绍的是去年选进的高中强打捕手-Justin O'Conner。仅管这 两年O'Conner在小联盟成绩并不出色，甚至有点令人失望，但他的天分还是值得期待的。 Justin O'Conner struck out a lot. That's probably not news to you, but it's obviously the first thing that needs to be discussed with him. After signing quickly as the 31st overall pick in 2010, O'Conner played 48 games in the Gulf Coast League to a .211/.301/.348 line - disappointing but not a disaster. Promoted to Princeton in 2011, he played in the same number of games (he had 10 more plate appearances in 2011), so let's see which way his numbers went: Justin O'Conner被三振次数过多也许不是什麽新闻，但明显这是要先讨论的议题。这个 31号签在'10年很快与球团签约，并在GCL Rays出赛了48场，打击三围是.211/.301/.348─ 令人失望，但还不算是场灾难。'11年也在Princeton出赛48场，让我们来看看他呈现出来 的数据： STATS BA OBP SLG 2B HR BB K 2010 .211 .301 .348 13 8 18 46 2011 .157 .234 .354 8 9 17 78 He actually hit for good power when he happened to make contact as his 8 doubles and 9 home runs account for 17 of his 28 hits. But he went from striking out roughly once per game, a 24.6% K%. In 2011 that jumped 15% up to 39.%. That was third-worst in all of the minors, trailing only Juan Romero of the Indians in the AZL (43.5%) and the Red Sox' Seth Schwindenhammer in the NY-PL at 47.1%. Romero hit .225 and Schwindenhammer .213, and it's not hard to guess that a metric ton of strikeouts are going to lead to a low batting average. O'Conner wasn't helped by a .207 BABIP, but even if you bump that up, it maybe brings him over the Mendoza line. 事实上，只要他能碰到球，就能展现很好的长打能力(28支安打中，有8支二垒安打，9支 全垒打)。但'10年每场却大约被三振一次，K% 24.6%，'11年更骤升到39.0%，这个数据在 整个小联盟排名倒数第三，只赢印地安人队在AZL出赛的Juan Romero(43.5%)和红袜队在 NY-PL出赛的Seth Schwindenhammer(47.1%)。Romero的打击率是.225，Schwindenhammer则 是.213，不难猜出低打击率是高被三振率所致。O'Conner没从.207的BABIP获得什麽帮助， 如果能提升，也许可以让他跨过Mendoza line(打击率.200)。 So is there any hope for him? I think there is. O'Conner still made BA's Appalachian League top 20, because the tools that made him a first rounder -- big power, big arm -- are still there. He threw out 36% of baserunners and should be able to stick behind the dish, meaning he won't have to hit as much as if he were a third or first baseman. 所以应该对他抱以期待吗？我想是的。BA依然认为O'Conner是所属联盟的TOP 20新秀， 因为他还是具备强大的力量，出色的臂力。阻杀了36%的跑者，并能够坚守本垒板，意味 着对他的打击要求不需要仿照一、三垒手。 While Drew Vettleson, Ryan Brett, and maybe even Josh Sale (who also struggled in Princeton, but didn't have anywhere near the swing-and-miss that O'Conner did) should be in Bowling Green next season, there's little doubt that O'Conner belongs in extended spring training to start the year and work on his swing. Then he'll likely head to Hudson Valley, where the hope is he can get his strikeouts back down to once per game and be happy with that, as he's probably never going to excel at making contact. 虽然Drew Vettleson、Ryan Brett也许还有Josh Sale(也在Princeton陷入挣扎，但还不 至於像O'Conner挥不到球…。)，会在下个赛季升上A，但O'Conner毫无疑问必须从延长春 训出发，在挥棒上下点工夫。接下来很可能会升上A-，只要可以重新把三振率拉回每场一 次就是令人高兴的消息了，因为他永远不会具备出色的击球能力。 注：Justin O'Conner和Lucas Bailey应该是目前低阶联盟最有潜力的两位捕手，但这两 位球员的打击表现都不理想。另外，O'Conner在高中时期也是位很好的投手，如果 真的养不起来，可以考虑弃打从投……。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.6.244 ※ 编辑: csy1911 来自: 140.118.6.244 (11/11 13:53)