作者rayensighner (瓶子不是这样看低)
看板RayAllen
标题[外絮] A Brief Statistical Appreciation of Walter Ray
时间Sat Aug 1 13:25:44 2009
来源:
http://tinyurl.com/l4l6t4
Ray Allen’s $19 million expiring deal generated a lot of chatter over
whether the C’s should trade him, and it certainly appears they tried. I’m
not here to tell you that’s a bad thing. It’s good to have a proactive
general manager, and it’s true that Ray Allen is 34 with past ankle problems.
But here’s the thing about trading Ray Allen: It would mean a huge
adjustment to the C’s offense, because there are very few players in the
league who can shoot three-pointers as often and as accurately as Ray.
Defenders have to be constantly vigilant, and that vigilance creates space
for the other four players to operate. The current roster has no player like
him. Paul Pierce can shoot threes, but his come in transition or in those
random moments where he finds himself with a few feet of space in the flow of
the offense. Pierce rarely shoots threes by design. Eddie House can shoot ‘
em with anybody, but he’s rarely going to play even 20 minutes in a big game.
雷枪的19M到期合约让大家产生了一堆想法,要交易他。我在这不是要跟你讲这是一件坏
事情。这是一件好事对於球队拥有一个前瞻性的经理,而且确实雷枪也已经34岁加上
有着伤病。
但是关於交易雷枪有些事情要考虑到:这对於超塞的进攻方面要大大地改变,因为联盟
中很少有像雷枪一样,常常投三分而且很准很准的球员。防守者必须要随时严防雷枪,
而这也让其他四名球员有更多的空档机会。而超塞的球员名单中并没有像他这样的球员。
PP可以丢三分,但是他也常常是会以较靠近篮框的距离攻击。PP很少对他设计三分战术。
房子可以丢三分,但是他在大比赛中很少能打上20分钟。
Ray will play 40. And he’s a very, very unique weapon. How unique?
Only 15 players in the history of the NBA have hit at least 40 percent of
their three-pointers in a season in which they attempted at least six threes
per game and played enough to qualify for the scoring title–and they’ve
combined to do that in just 19 individual seasons, according to Basketball
Reference.
雷枪会打到40岁。而且他是个非常特别的武器,有多特别呢?
在历史上只有15个球员在一季内一场投至少6颗三分球而且保有至少4成以上的命中率,
而且打得时间也不算少。这种表现出现在赛季也总共只有19次。
Here are the top 11 seasons, ranked in order of best three-point shooting
percentage. (Why 11? Because Ray’s 2008-09 season was the 11th-best).
这里有前11名的三分命中率排名(为何排到11名?因为雷枪的08-09年就是第11名)
┌─┬────────┬──────┬──┬─┬──┬──┬──┬──┬──┐
│RK│Player │Season │Ag│Team│G │MP │FG │FGA │3P │3PA │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│1 │Peja Stojakovic │2007-08 │30│NOH │77│2711│451 │1026│231 │524 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│2 │Mitch Richmond │1995-96 │30│SAC │81│2946│611 │1369│225 │515 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│
3 │Ray Allen │2001-02 │26│MIL │69│2525│530 │1148│229 │528 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│4 │Peja Stojakovic │2003-04 │26│SAC │81│3264│665 │1386│240 │554 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│5 │Damon Jones │2004-05 │28│MIA │82│2576│331 │ 726│225 │521 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│6 │Reggie Miller │1996-97 │31│IND │81│2966│552 │1244│229 │536 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│7 │Dennis Scott │1995-96 │27│ORL │82│3041│491 │1117│267 │628 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│8 │Voshon Lenard │1996-97 │23│MIA │73│2111│314 │ 684│183 │442 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│9 │Raja Bell │2006-07 │30│PHO │78│2917│410 │ 950│205 │496 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│
10│Ray Allen │2005-06 │30│SEA │78│3022│681 │1500│269 │653 │
├─┼────────┼────┼─┼──┼─┼──┼──┼──┼──┼──┤
│
11│Ray Allen │2008-09 │33│BOS │79│2876│499 │1040│199 │486 │
└─┴────────┴────┴─┴──┴─┴──┴──┴──┴──┴──┘
Ray did that last year, and he’s done it three times in his career–more
than anyone else in the history of the NBA. Peja Stojakovic and Rashard Lewis
have done it twice. No one else has made the cut more the once. Reggie Miller
–once. Paul Pierce–once. Dennis Scott–once.
雷枪去年就做到了,而且他在他的生涯有三次,在NBA历史上排第一。Peja以及Lewis
都曾经达成过两次。神米一次,PP一次、Dennis Scott一次。
The list of players grows if you loosen the criteria a bit, but that only
reinforces Allen’s rarity as a shooter. If you lower the minutes-played
requirement to include all players who qualified for the three-point shooting
title, you get 46 individual seasons. If you lower the minutes requirement
even further by including players who launched six threes per 36 minutes
(instead of per game), you get 61 individual seasons–the equivalent of about
two guys per season.
这份名单要是忽略某些项目,可能名单上的人会更多,但那只会加深雷枪是个极罕见的
射手的印象。
(Side note: If Simmons can be the Picasso of the Trade Machine, can I be the
Rembrandt of the Basketball Reference Full Court function? Give me something).
Having a high-volume three-point shooter who can actually shoot has a
dramatic effect on a team’s offense. Jon Nichols studied this for point
guards recently, and found that a high-percentage, high-volume shooter at the
PG spot sends an offense into the historically-elite stratosphere. An offense
with that sort of PG significantly out-performs even an offense with an
accurate shooter who doesn’t shoot as much, according to Nichols’
preliminary numbers.
雷枪是个有着大量三分的射手,而且可以靠三分对球队的进攻有明显的效益。Jon
Nichols最近对於控卫有着这样的研究,以及发现当控卫是个高命中率、大量的射手
会在历史上留下名字。而当一个控卫虽然很准但却没有出手很多,则就显得比较黯淡。
The effect for shooting guards probably isn’t as statistically significant,
since there are more good three-point shooters among two guards than PGs.
得分後卫可能在shooting方面的影响没法在数据上有显着的差别,因为有比较多的三分
射手都是双能卫。
Still, when I thought about trading Ray Allen for Tyreke Evans or trading a
Ray-Rondo package for Prince-Hamilton-Stuckey, my first thought was always:
How are we going to replace the three-point shooting?
Because the offense would look an awful lot different without it.
最後,每次当我想到要交易雷枪或是雷枪+软豆,我的第一个想法总是:我们的三分怎
办? 因为我们的进攻要是少了雷枪,怎麽看都会弱化很多。
PS.)这篇翻译不太好得地方就请见谅了。
--
███
███
█ █
███
██
▎ ███
██
█▂▂ █▎█
██
▎ ███
█▆
▂ █▆█
▍█▋ ██▆ ▊█
▎ █▆▆ ██ █
▂█ ███ ▊█
▎ ██▆
█▊█ █
▂█
▍█▋ ██▆ ▊██ ▆▆█ ██ ███ █
▎█ ▊██ ██▆ R
by ωaterζantasy
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 220.141.32.122
1F:推 pfw :推!! 08/01 13:29
2F:推 LeslieCJC :推! 但表格内要将Ruchmond修正为Richmond喔 08/01 14:36
感谢纠正
3F:推 feelike :推!!! 08/01 17:26
4F:推 ckshera :推 08/01 17:41
※ 编辑: rayensighner 来自: 220.141.32.122 (08/01 18:37)
5F:推 wadekao :ray就要推 08/02 11:24
6F:推 gaga19900329:推!! 08/02 20:26
7F:推 s790412 :雷枪魂! 08/03 16:56