作者aa1276941 (德州特快车)
看板Rangers
标题[外电] 休赛季Rangers概况-投手篇
时间Sun Nov 5 20:08:47 2017
再过几天就自由市场开市罗~~
简单翻译traderumor网站针对游骑兵分析的文章
还有整理目前球员的合约状况
虽然2017是有点失望的球季
但相信2018还是能挑战季後赛的
因为文章有点长,先简单翻译个投手的部分
More than half of the Rangers’ Opening Day roster struggled through some form
of injury or unforeseen downturn in performance in 2017. Yu Darvish posted so
lid but unspectacular numbers for much of the first half, while Cole Hamels wa
s sidelined more than two months with an oblique issue (to say nothing of his
curiously evaporating strikeout rate).Jonathan Lucroy‘s power was nowhere to
be found, and Rougned Odor batted .204 with a ghastly .252 OBP in the first se
ason of a six-year contract extension that now looks questionable. The Rangers
also lost Adrian Beltre and Carlos Gomez for prolonged stretches due to injur
y. The bullpen was an unmitigated disaster.
超过一半的游骑兵开季名单的球员受到不可预期的低潮和伤兵影响。先发投手上像是达比
修有稳定但是不到顶尖的上半季,及Hamels超过两个月的伤势QQ。捕手Lucroy消失的炮瓦
,刚签新约的Odor极低的上垒率和打击率。甚至还有Beltre以及Gomez困扰长久的伤势还
有灾难般的牛棚问题(WBC回不来的Dyson...)
And yet, the Rangers clung to hope in the Wild Card race for much of the seaso
n, riding a breakout season from Elvis Andrus, a 41-homer campaign for Joey Ga
llo and quality results from Andrew Cashner for much of the season.
然而我们一直保有外卡希望,有着突破性表现的Andrus,还有Gallo 41轰的展现,以及Ca
shner不错的表现,维持整年的竞争力。
The Rangers’ foundation began showing some cracks — a particularly troubling
development in Arlington considering the fact that the cross-state-rival Astr
os’ own young core elevated its game to a new level. The simultaneous nature
of the Rangers’ decline and the Astros’ ascension has put Texas behind the e
ight ball as it looks to get back into contention in 2018 and beyond. While th
ere have been many Rangers fans suggesting that the team needs to retool, if n
ot all-out rebuild, GM Jon Daniels has been blunt in stating that his team isn
ot rebuilding. So then, where do the Rangers turn to right the ship?
今年对游骑兵的发展是让人失望的,尤其同州的对手太空人年轻选手展露实力。而2018年
游骑兵的竞争力却是较让人担心的,不少球迷建议Daniels是否需要retool了,但Daniels
相信我们还不是要重建,那接下来Rangers该怎麽做呢?
The most pressing need is on the pitching staff — specifically in the rotatio
n. Hamels will return to lead the 2018 rotation but has just one guaranteed ye
ar remaining on his deal and looked more like a back-of-the-rotation arm than
his usual self in 2017. His 6.4 K/9 rate was easily a career low, and his 9.7
percent swinging-strike rate was two points lower than his previous career-wor
st mark. He’ll be joined by Martin Perez, whose $6MM club option is a no-brai
ner even if his production looked like that of a fifth starter (4.82 ERA, 5.6
K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 47.3 percent ground-ball rate in 185 innings).
首要之务,当然是轮值方面了。最後一年保证合约的Hamels(有2019选择权)失去了他王牌
的身手(原文写像後段轮值QAQ),K/9值跟让打者的挥空率都是生涯新低。而目前的第二号
先发,是Perez,球队无疑的会执行他的合约,但他也只缴出後段先发的成绩。
Beyond that pair, the Rangers’ options are … uninspiring, to say the least.
Cashner and trade acquisition Miguel Gonzalez are free agents, leaving the Ran
gers with Nick Martinez, A.J. Griffin,Clayton Blackburn and prospect Mendez's
2018 options. (Former first-round pick Chi Chi Gonzalez's recovering from Tomm
y John surgery and may not be ready early in the season.) If the Rangers have
any hope of contending, they’ll need to add at least one more established arm
to the mix, and quite possibly two.
由於Cashner跟Miguel Gonzalez成为自由球员,目前2018年的选择是Martinez, Griffin,
Blackburn及潜力新秀Mendez(希望他能站稳)(Chi Chi他因为TJ手术,应该赶不上开季)。
如果我要维持竞争力,补上一到两个有实力的投手是必要的。
A pursuit of a Darvish reunion, to some extent, could conceivably be explored.
The decision to trade him was a reluctant one from Daniels and his staff, and
Hamels’ potential departure after the 2018 season leaves the team with virtua
lly no certainty in the rotation after next year. However, the Rangers didn’t
extend him when they had the chance, and the team’s financial outlook is ung
ainly enough that it seems like a genuine long shot that Darvish will be re-si
gned.
找回Darvish是可想像的选择,当初制服组对於交易他也不是容易的决定。而2018後Hamel
s也不一定会继续待在队上,2019的轮值有着不确定性。球队没有试着提早续约达比修有
,而球队的财政状况似乎不一定能让达比修有回来(?,这里不确定最後一句的意思)。
Texas has a significant amount of money on the books through 2020 thanks large
ly to Shin-Soo Choo’s albatross deal, and Daniels has suggested that the payr
oll will step back a bit from this past year’s Opening Day mark of $165MM —p
erhaps in the $155MM range, Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram.They
’ll be off the hook for some of Prince Fielder‘s salary after reaching an ag
reement with the insurers of his contract, and the club currently projects to
about a $118MM payroll including Fielder and some non-tender/trade candidates.
A backloaded Darvish deal shouldn’t be entirely written off as a possibility
, but it’s tough to align Daniels’ stated desire to scale back payroll with
a five- or six-year free-agent deal for Darvish that could check in with an an
nual value in the $23-26MM range.
Choo在2020後到期的合约,加上小王子保险公司负担部分金额,让球队其实还有机会给达
尔一个5~6年的长约,估计合约平均每年会是2300~2600万元(Daniels说明年薪资会比今年
165million少个10million)
The Rangers will also be prominently linked to Japanese star Otani, though the
y’ll face competition from 29 other teams if and when he’s posted. Daniels a
cknowledged that the Rangers would be one of many in the mix if Otani becomes
available this winter — a reality that looks less likely with the new
revelation that the posting system agreement between MLB and NPB has expired—
but reports have connected Texas to the young right-hander/slugger much more
prominently over the summer. Speculating on any sort of “favorite”to land Ot
ani seems futile right now, especially since his earning power is capped by ML
B’s international signing guidelines, but Texas will be involved.
游骑兵也有可能签下Otani,但需要面临其他29队的竞争,但球队一直都是积极争取Otani
的球队(不过现在MLB跟NPB之间的协议会是个变数,到底Otani会不会挑战大联盟呢~~?)
If not Darvish or Otani, the Rangers will have the money to invest elsewhere.
Signing a big-ticket arm such as Jake Arrieta will present the same long-term
payroll complications as Darvish. Second-tier names like Lance Lynn and Alex C
obb will be available but will very likely come with draft compensation attach
ed, as each is a strong qualifying offer candidate. Texas could also look at m
ore affordable overseas options, with Mikolas and Wakui each eyeing MLB jobs a
fter strong showings in Japan. Mikolas, in particular, has been
loosely linked to Texas (where he last pitched before going to the NPB).
如果没有签下达比修有或大谷,市场最大尾的当然是A塔罗,不过他要负担的合约跟达尔
差不多。接着的选择,包刮Lynn跟Cobb,但他们很可能会被提合格报价,有可能会有选秀
权的损失。游骑兵也能考虑其他日本的选择,像是Mikolas(旅日前就是在游骑兵),以及
涌井秀章。
It’s a similar, albeit not quite as grave situation in the bullpen. Lefties A
lex Claudio and Jake Diekman will be back in 2018, as will righties Keone Kela
and Matt Bush(though Bush will be coming off shoulder surgery and has been su
ggested as a potential rotation candidate). Hard-throwing Jose Leclerc as an o
ption after averaging nearly 12 strikeouts per nine innings in 45 2/3 frames t
his year, but he also averaged a jaw-dropping 7.9 walks per nine.Austin Bibens
-Dirkx,Ricardo Rodriguez and Nick Gardewine are all on the 40-man as well, but
none impressed much as a big league reliever.
牛棚方面,Claudio跟Diekman两大左手牛2018都会在队上,还有出右投Kela跟Bush(而Bus
h刚动完刀,而且有可能会去先发,希望不要~)Leclerc每9局平均12K的表现也是牛棚的选
择。其他40人名单还有ABD, R-Rod以及Gardewire但都没在大联盟有一定实绩。
With no clear ninth-inning solution, Texas could conceivably take a run at a t
op-tier closer like Wade Davis or Greg Holland. But, again, with numerous need
s up and down the roster — we’re not even to the position players yet — it
seems likelier that Daniels & Co. will pursue quality assets in the second and
third tier of the market.Brandon Morrow,Addison Reed and Mike Minor will prob
ably have the most buzz on the second tier, while other options coming off str
ong seasons include Pat Neshek,Anthony Swarzak and old friend Tommy Hunter.
没有显着的终结者候选人,游骑兵当然有可能选择第一层级的终结者像是Davis或Holland
。但Daniels应该只会选择更次层级的牛棚像是Morrow, Reed, Mibor或是Neshek, Swarza
k或老朋友Tommy Hunter。
以下是目前球员的合约资讯
Guaranteed Contracts-
1. Elvis Andrus, SS: $73MM through 2022 (can opt out of remaining four years,
$58MM after 2018 season)
2. Shin-Soo Choo, OF/DH: $62MM through 2020
3. Rougned Odor, 2B: $48.5MM through 2022
4. Cole Hamels, LHP: $28.5MM through 2018 (includes $6MM buyout of $20MM optio
n for 2019)
5. Adrian Beltre, 3B: $18MM through 2018
Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projections via MLB
TR contributor Matt Swartz)-
1.Jake Diekman?(5.050) – $2.8MM
2.A.J. Griffin?(5.034) – $3.0MM
3.Jurickson Profar?(3.161) – $1.1MM
4.Keone Kela?(2.168) – $1.2MM
5.Nick Martinez?(2.149) – $2.0MM
6.Ryan Rua?(2.126) – $900K
Non-tender candidates:
Griffin, Martinez
Option Decisions
1.Mike Napoli, 1B: $11MM club option with $2.5MM buyout; team has reportedly i
nformed Napoli the option will be declined.
2.Martin Perez, LHP: $6MM club option with a $2.45MM buyout
3.Tony Barnette, RHP: $4MM club option with a $250K buyout
Free Agents
1.Carlos Gomez
2.Andrew Cashner
3.Mike Napoli
4.Miguel Gonzalez
5.Jason Grilli
打者篇预计明後天贴上~
希望投手方面,球队能补个2个先发(至少一个前段的),有达尔回来当然更好,牛棚的话
也能补个两只(包刮一位有当过CP的选手)。
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 117.19.103.16
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Rangers/M.1509883730.A.A23.html
※ 编辑: aa1276941 (117.19.103.16), 11/05/2017 20:19:28
1F:推 ChrisDavis : 就是A塔,达尔要抓一只回来 11/05 20:38
2F:推 acd51874 : 其实自由市场已经开市罗~ 世界大赛打完隔天早上六 11/05 20:38
3F:→ ChrisDavis : Minor里面的sp真是不期不待不易外QQ 11/05 20:38
4F:→ acd51874 : 点(美国时间) 11/05 20:38
5F:→ ChrisDavis : 大部分都等Winter meeting开始才会有所动作ㄅ 11/05 20:38
6F:→ ChrisDavis : 说真的我们後段轮值也跟福袋没两样 11/05 20:40
7F:→ aa1276941 : minor应该还要再等一会... 11/06 00:09
8F:→ aa1276941 : 真的希望达尔.A塔至少有一个~~ 11/06 00:09
9F:推 JustinIdiot : 我对明年Hamels的期待 就是能吃局数的四号… 11/06 07:05
10F:→ JustinIdiot : 先发至少要补三个(如果要加上所有可能的竞争人选 11/06 07:16
11F:→ JustinIdiot : 或许要超过5个) 然而缺乏前段 明年也会很难过 现有 11/06 07:16
12F:→ JustinIdiot : 的可能有达尔 神A和大谷 最好的情况是三个抢下两个( 11/06 07:16
13F:→ JustinIdiot : 任一加大谷)至少也得有一个(虽然我不太相信Arrieta 11/06 07:17
14F:→ JustinIdiot : 的身手)因为今年战绩不如预期 所以老板要砍预算 但 11/06 07:17
15F:→ JustinIdiot : 条子依然有足够的金额可以抢下至少两个不错的先发 11/06 07:17
16F:→ JustinIdiot : 牛棚大概只能靠开福袋洗看看了 Cashner目前比较棘 11/06 07:17
17F:→ JustinIdiot : 手 我认为他有机会拿到2或3年27-45M左右的合约 但QO 11/06 07:17
18F:→ JustinIdiot : 给他 他有可能接受… 11/06 07:17
19F:→ JustinIdiot : 然後今年先发是供<需求的情况 市场会如何溢价 很值 11/06 07:18
20F:→ JustinIdiot : 得观察 11/06 07:18
21F:推 jet113102 : 推推,我是觉得Cashner应该要给QO,目前SP就是一个 11/06 10:56
22F:→ jet113102 : 捉襟见肘的状态,最惨的情况顶多接受QO然後明年爆炸 11/06 10:58
23F:→ jet113102 : 反正...我不觉得我们能从FA市场拿下两个前段轮值lol 11/06 11:00
24F:→ jet113102 : 又或者Cashner接受QO明年能复制今年的成绩也很OK的 11/06 11:00
25F:推 ChrisDavis : 我刚刚才想到还有Oh可以签,虽然今年爆炸,但是我觉 11/06 13:16
26F:→ ChrisDavis : 得是红雀过度使用加上WBC的关系 11/06 13:16
27F:→ JustinIdiot : 似乎不打算给Cashner QO 11/06 19:29
28F:推 jet113102 : 我觉得签Oh很OK 11/07 12:48
29F:→ JustinIdiot : 我准备好了 大谷来吧 11/10 18:02
30F:→ JustinIdiot : 早上有几个动作 晚一点来整理一下 11/21 07:22