原文网址 http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/2015-texas-rangers-top-10-prospects/ 前言大致略 只节录一些 Thanks in part to one of the game’s premier international programs, the Rangers have a farm system with both high-end talent at the top and a strong wave of depth behind the first wave. Most teams—such as the Cubs, Twins and Astros—need to lose at the big league level for multiple seasons in order to generate high draft picks and trade away big leaguers for prospects to build a strong farm system. But the Rangers have done it while fielding a perennial contender. After a one-year dip, the Rangers have the pieces lined up to contend in 2015, with the young talent on the way to help keep them there. 大意是说 条子因为早先注重国际自由市场的一些计画 让球队不同於小熊、双城、太空人等球队 在缺失联盟竞争力数年的情况下 透过高顺位选秀签和交易队中明星球员来增强本身农场 所以拥有许多高天份的新秀并且兼顾厚实的农场深度 在经过一年低潮之後 条子有本钱在2015回到竞争之列 还有一群正在升往大联盟路上的新秀帮助他们维持住竞争力 老实说 一支球队的农场可以常年维持深厚的状态 并不是件容易的事 而球队同时保有年年冲击季後赛的实力就更是非常非常难得 在过去的七、八年来大概只有游骑兵一支球队能办到 农场是一支球队的根本 球队能否走得长远 跟农场厚不厚实 有着难以切割的关联 几乎每年都有值得期待的新秀等着证明自己的身手 身为一个游骑兵迷 我认真为此感到开心... 有点远... 以下开始是本文 将主要着重在球探报告上翻个大意 SCOUTING GRADES Batting: 50. Power: 80. Speed: 40. Defense: 40. Arm: 70. Based on 20-80 scouting scale—where 50 represents major league average—and future projection rather than present tools. 1. Joey Gallo, 3b Born: Nov. 19, 1993. B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-5. Wt.: 205. Drafted: HS—Las Vegas, 2012 (1st round supplemental). Signed by: Todd Guggiana. Background: Tales of Gallo’s prodigious power date back to his days as a youth, when he and teammate Bryce Harper were 8 and 9 years old. Gallo went on to hit 65 career home runs in high school, a Nevada state record, before signing with the Rangers for $2.25 million as the No. 39 overall pick in 2012. Gallo quickly set another home run record with 18 blasts in the Rookie-level Arizona League en route to winning the league MVP. He followed that up with a minor league-leading 40-homer season in 2013—despite missing most of July with a groin injury—then hit 42 home runs in 2014, topped in the minors only by fellow Las Vegan Kris Bryant of the Cubs, who hit 43. 原来Gallo小时候跟Bryce Harper是队友阿~~ 高中生涯就击出65支全垒打打破内华达州纪录 Scouting Report: Tales of Gallo’s power sound like hyperbole, but scouts and coaches with 30-plus years of experience say Gallo hits balls as far as nearly anyone they have ever seen. He put on a stunning batting practice display during the Futures Game, hitting balls out of Target Field and smashing the windshield of a promotional truck set up by a sponsor on the right-field concourse. Gallo has easy, top-of-the-scale 80 raw power on the 20-80 scouting scale, which he generates with quick hands, premium bat speed and plenty of strength, leveraging the ball with majestic loft and backspin. What changed Gallo from a good young talent to one of the game’s elite prospects was the improvement in his strikeout rate, which dropped from 37 percent at low Class A Hickory in 2013 to 26 percent at high Class A Myrtle Beach in 2104, though it spiked again once he reached Double-A Frisco in the second half. Gallo simplified his swing, eliminating some of the excess movement and shortening his load to be more direct to the ball. With his muscular 6-foot-5 frame, his swing always will be long and his power will come with strikeouts. But he also improved his ability to control the strike zone, which helps his hitting and boosts his on-base percentage with a high walk rate. Overall discipline still is an area he needs to hone, however, especially against high fastballs. Gallo is a below-average runner, and few players with his size play third base in the major leagues. Yet he’s remarkably athletic for his size, has sound hands and a plus arm, so there’s a chance he can play the hot corner. Sticking at third would boost Gallo’s value, but the offensive potential is plenty for a corner outfield spot or first base, two positions he’s also experimented with during instructional league. Gallo的power也许是近几十年来小联盟球员中最好的 今年他修正了他的打击 将多余的动作清除 让他可以更快速确实地击到球 他的好球带设定也获得了改善 虽然还是会受到偏高速球的诱惑 今年在教育联盟 条子也尝试让他守外野或一垒看看 效果并不差 The Future: Gallo’s swing-and-miss tendencies still make him a high-risk player, but the remarkable improvement and tantalizing upside makes him a potential MVP candidate if everything clicks into place. Gallo spent the second half of 2014 at Double-A, and he probably will return to Frisco to open 2015, though he should reach Triple-A Round Rock by midseason, and possibly Texas by the end of the year. Gallo目前的打击形态依然含有非常高的风险 但今年上半年的成功展现了他成为MVP候选人的潜力 明年他应该还是会从2A出发 季中上3A 或许季末他还有机会上来MLB 2. Jake Thompson, rhp Born: Jan. 31, 1994. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 235. Drafted: HS—Heath, Texas, 2012 (2nd round). Signed by: Tim Grieve (Tigers). Background: The Tigers sacrificed their first-round pick in 2012 to sign Prince Fielder, so Thompson at No. 91 overall was their top selection. Detroit held him back in extended spring training the first two months of 2013, but he flew threw the system after that slow start, reaching Double-A Erie as a 20-year-old in July 2014. Two starts later, the Tigers packaged him with relief prospect Corey Knebel to add reliever Joakim Soria to a thin Tigers bullpen. Scouting Report: Thompson throws two-seam and four-seam fastballs downhill at 89-95 mph, with good sink and tail on his two-seamer. His best secondary weapon is his plus slider, a swing-and-miss pitch with two-plane break that flashes 70 on the 20-80 scale. Thompson didn’t use his changeup much early in his career, but it’s become an average pitch with projection to tick up. He mixes in an occasional curveball as well, and it too can be average. He’s a solid strike-thrower, though he could tighten up his fastball command. Thompson丢二缝和四缝线直球 球速落在89-95mph 最大的武器是高达70分的滑球 角度横跨整个本垒板 还有一颗有可能变更好一点的平均水准变速球 The Future: The Tigers’ desperation for bullpen help is the Rangers’ gain. As a potential No. 2 or 3 starter, Thompson could be a steal. He’s slated to return to Double-A Frisco to open 2015. 身为潜在的2、3号先发 对条子来说可谓为一偷 明年预计从2A先发 3. Jorge Alfaro, c Born: June 11, 1993. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 185. Signed: Colombia, 2010. Signed by: Rodolfo Rosario/Don Welke. Background: Alfaro went from Colombia to the Dominican Republic to train, then in January 2010 signed with the Rangers for $1.3 million, a Colombian record. A broken left hand in 2013 and hamstring issues in the past have cut into his development time, but he stayed healthy and logged a career high 121 games in 2014. Scouting Report: Alfaro has two standout tools in his power and arm strength. His bat speed, explosive hips and strength generate plus raw power, though he remains a power-over-hit prospect who’s still trying to tone down his aggressive approach, improve his pitch recognition and make more contact. He could grow to be an average hitter, which is plenty good for a catcher with his power. Alfaro is athletic and is one of the fastest catchers in baseball, a legitimate average runner. His double-plus arm generates pop times of sub-1.9 seconds on throws to second base. He’s never been a shutdown defender of the running game, but he threw out basestealers at a solid 28 percent clip in 2014. Alfaro has the attributes to catch, but he’s still a well below-average receiver who committed 23 passed balls in 90 games in 2014. 拥有几乎全小联盟最强大的臂力 还有几乎是捕手中最快的跑垒速度 太过躁进的打击习惯还需要调整 此外 90场比赛中捕逸了23次 他的防守必须要再加强 The Future: Alfaro’s defensive issues are troubling, but his ceiling is an above-average player whose power can carry him. He likely returns to Double-A Frisco to start 2015. 目前来说他的防守是个问题 但他的power可以带领他成为一个平均之上的捕手 明年将可能从2A出发 4. Nomar Mazara, of Born: April 26, 1995. B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 215. Signed: Dominican Republic, 2011. Signed by: Rodolfo Rosario/Mike Daly. Background: Mazara set an international amateur record when he signed with the Rangers for $4.95 million on July 2, 2011. Other clubs thought the bonus was well beyond Mazara’s value, and even Rangers officials worried after he struggled early. But 2014 was a breakthrough season for Mazara, who reached Double-A Frisco as a 19-year-old in August. 以4.95M签约金在当年创下年轻国际球员最高的纪录 Scouting Report: Mazara entered pro ball with an exaggerated leg kick, which gave him timing problems once he faced better pitchers. The Rangers never told him specifically to eliminate the leg kick, but gradually he figured out that he needed to get his front foot down earlier. He now has a small toe-tap, which puts him in better position to hit. Mazara still takes a high dose of strikeouts, but he improved his contact rate, walk rate and game power in 2014. He has above-average raw power, which has always been his main draw. Defense was an adventure for Mazara early in his career, and while he’s not rangy, he’ s become a reliable right fielder. He’s also improved his throwing and now has a plus arm with good accuracy. Mazara在刚进职业棒球时 遇到了严重的抬腿问题 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXIfnRGnZTQ 上面这支影片可以看到 两年前的Mazara 打击前的抬腿动作过大 整个挥棒动作感觉卡卡的 影响到他掌握挥棒的timing 下面的影片则是Mazara改善後的打击动作 将整个晃荡前脚的动作去掉 提早将前脚放下 使得整个挥棒动作变得顺畅许多 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EY23qd6DpxQ 然後是最近Mazara在家乡冬联击出满贯炮的画面 挥棒一整个轻松的感觉... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tSJOlZ3qjUw 虽然在三振的数量上出现的还有点多 但他在打击、上垒、传球准确度和将长打转换在比赛中的能力上都有杰出的进步 The Future: Level-headed and mature beyond his years, Mazara has justified the Rangers’ early belief in his ability. He has a chance to be an above-average everyday right fielder, and he likely returns to Double-A to open 2015. 5. Nick Williams, of Born: Sept. 8, 1993. B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 195. Drafted: HS—Galveston, Texas, 2012 (2nd round). Signed by: Jay Heafner. Background: Williams had an up-and-down season as a high school senior, which is why he was available in the second round despite an explosive tool set. He crushed both Class A levels but struggled in an August 2014 bump to Double-A Frisco and during a stint in an Arizona Fall League, showcasing a tantalizing ceiling but a high-risk offensive approach. Scouting Report: Williams has some of the fastest hands in the minors. He has a loose, free-and-easy swing that’s quick and explosive. He has plus raw power and can go deep to any part of the park, though his stroke is more geared for line drives than loft. Scouts consistently praise Williams for his hitting actions, even though he strikes out frequently. That’s because he has trouble recognizing pitches and chases too many balls out of the strike zone, which leads to excessive strikeouts and minimal walks. Williams is an above-average runner with an average arm, so he’s rotated between all three outfield positions. He’s still learning to become a more efficient basestealer, which will improve once he’s able to time his jumps better. Williams是一个很特别的球员 身材很好 拥有闪电般的挥棒速度 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DyOf09QfkGI (AFL时的打击练习) 有着高打击率 但三振率亦颇高 而且保送极少 造成这样罕见的例子 是因为他对好球带的设定有问题 常常追打坏球 可是又有很好的打击技巧 Williams是一个有非常高天花板的球员 极佳的挥棒速度可以提供强大的火力 而且有能力将球打向球场任何一角 此外 他也是个有平均以上速度的跑者 但盗垒的企图却不足 他需要更积极且专注地面队投手和跑垒 否则他的天分将无法完全展现在球场中 因此风险仍然很高 The Future: Scouts inclined to dream on Williams think he can become the Rangers ’ version of Carlos Gonzalez. If he can’t shrink his strike zone, then his approach carries enough risk that the downside could be Felix Pie. He will return to a loaded Frisco team in 2015. 球探们渐渐开始不认为Williams能成为条子版的Carlos Gonzalez 如果不将上述的缺陷改善 他有可能变成另一个Felix Pie 6. Alex Gonzalez, rhp Born: Jan. 15, 1992. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 192. Drafted: Oral Roberts, 2013 (1st round). Signed by: Jay Eddings. Background: Nicknamed “Chi-Chi,” Gonzalez signed for $2.215 million as the No. 23 pick in the 2013 draft. He has looked the park of a polished college pitcher, moving quickly through the system to Double-A Frisco in 2014. Scouting Report: Gonzalez commands his plus fastball to both sides of the plate, operating at 92-95 mph and touching 97. Gonzalez can cut and sink his fastball, giving it above-average movement and helping him get an abundance of grounders. He has another weapon in his plus slider, a sharp mid-80s offering that he adds and subtracts from depending on the situation. One of the focal points for Gonzalez this year was to improve his changeup, a pitch that flashes good action and sink. It has the makings of an average to a tick better offering, though he’s not as consistent with the changeup yet as he is with his slider. He also started to use a solid curveball to get early-count called strikes, giving him a four-pitch mix to attack hitters. 有将速球丢在本垒板两侧的控球 通常落在92-95mph 最快可以到97mph 一颗mid-80s plus的滑球 一颗有机会在水准之上 目前是加强重点的变速球 一颗用来骗打者的曲球 总共有四种球路来跟打者周旋 The Future: Gonzalez has all the attributes to be a mid-rotation starter. He could open 2015 at Frisco or Triple-A Round Rock, but by midseason he should be in Texas, with crisp command that should allow for a smooth transition. Gonzalez有所有成为中段轮值的特徵 明年有可以从2A或3A先发 但季中後 他应该就会出现在游骑兵的阵容中 7. Luis Sardinas, ss/2B Born: May 16, 1993. B-T: B-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 170. Signed: Venezuela, 2009. Signed by: Mike Daly/Rafic Saab/Pedro Avila. Background: The Rangers’ July 2 haul in 2009 included $1.55 million to Jurickson Profar from Curacao and $1.2 million to Sardinas out of Venezuela. Injuries slowed Sardinas his first three years, but injuries to other players in the organization helped push him up the ladder in 2014 for three separate big league stints. Scouting Report: Sardinas isn’t short, but he plays the little man’s game. He has good hand-eye coordination, goes with where the ball is pitched and generally stays within the strike zone. His bat-to-ball skills are advanced, but he hits the ball on the ground frequently and has bottom-of-the-scale power, so his bat lacks impact. A double-plus runner earlier in his career, Sardinas now is a plus runner, though his stolen base total has dipped each season. He’s a talented defensive shortstop with nimble feet, smooth actions, good instincts and an above-average arm. Fatigue hampered Sardinas’ speed, range and even arm in 2014, so getting stronger continues to be a focal point. 很好的手眼协调力 但总是将球往地上打 因此没有什麽power可以期待 原本是70分的跑者 不过现在只有60 有杰出的守备天分 配有轻捷的脚步、流畅的动作及不错的臂力 他还需要再变得强壮一点以耐住漫长的球季 The Future: Sardinas is in the wrong organization, blocked by Elvis Andrus at shortstop, Rougned Odor at second and oft-injured Profar ahead of him. He should be at least a utility player, with a chance to be a defensive-oriented regular who hits at the bottom of the order. Sardinas待在一支错误的球队 他的上头有猫王挡着 二垒有Odor 另外还有一个受伤的Profar被看好在他之前 他至少是个工具人 有机会成为守备型的末段棒次先发 8. Ryan Rua, of/3b Born: March 11, 1990. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 205. Drafted: Lake Erie (Ohio), 2011 (17th round). Signed by: Roger Coryell. Background: An afterthought as a 17th-round pick out of Lake Erie College, an NCAA Division II school in Ohio, Rua got attention when he hit 32 home runs, mostly in low Class A, as a 23-year-old in 2013. He continued to rake at the upper levels in 2014, spending the last month of the season in Texas. Scouting Report: Rua is an offensive-oriented prospect who has plus power and can take the ball out of the park to all fields. He starts his swing with a leg kick, keeps his weight back and his head still. Rua can get long to the ball, with some concerns about his ability to hit good offspeed pitches, but his swing is fluid, and he squares up the ball frequently. Rua has mostly played third base, but with Adrian Beltre stationed there in Texas, the Rangers played Rua in left field and at first base. He’s surprisingly athletic for his body type, though he’s a below-average runner and adequate-at-best defender wherever he goes, making the routine plays at third base with an average arm. 攻击形态的角落球员(原本是三垒) 有高於平均的长打能力 勇於面对投手 不过对於优秀的慢速投手有些疑虑 其他关於这个球员 可以参考这篇 #1K1A7Hu1 The Future: Rua is major league ready. His easiest path to regular playing time is in left field, where he should get an opportunity to play at least semi-regularly in 2015, though the Rangers could also use him as a bat-first fill in on the four corners. 9. Luis Ortiz, rhp Born: Sept. 22, 1995. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 230. Drafted: HS—Sanger, Calif., 2014 (1st round). Signed by: Butch Metzger. Background: Ortiz drew attention as a high school junior for his arm strength, but his stock soared that summer when he shed excess weight and earned MVP honors at the 18U World Championship as the closer on Team USA’s gold-medal winner. Despite an inconsistent senior season, including some missed time with forearm tightness, Ortiz went 30th overall to the Rangers, then signed for $1.75 million and pitched well in his brief pro debut. Scouting Report: Ortiz is a big-bodied pitcher and the ball comes out of his arm cleanly with sound mechanics that he repeats, which helps him command his plus fastball, a pitch that sits in the low 90s and touches 96 mph. His slider is a swing-and-miss pitch, a plus offering that he relies on to finish batters. He hasn’t needed his changeup much, but it shows average potential, giving him the potential three-pitch mix to start, along with an occasional curveball. He’ s a consistent strike-thrower, which could help him move quickly if he remains healthy. Ortiz有厚实的身材 很高的成熟度 重复相同的出手动作使得他的控球很好 plus的速球最高可以到96mph 滑球也是plus 容易使打者挥空 变速球展现出平均水准 偶尔会投出曲球 只要保持健康 Ortiz的升往高阶的速度会很快 The Future: After getting a brief trial at low Class A Hickory in 2014, Ortiz should return there to start 2015. He’s still a few years away, but he has the makings of a potential mid-rotation starter. 明年应该还是会从A开始 虽然他还要几年的时间成长 但目前已经有能成为中段轮值的感觉 10. Josh Morgan, ss/2b Born: Nov. 16, 1995. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 5-11. Wt.: 185. Drafted: HS—Orange, Calif., 2014 (3rd round). Signed by: Steve Flores. Background: Scouts in Southern California had Morgan on their radar for years. He signed for $800,000 as a third-round pick, led the Rookie-level Arizona League with a .468 on-base percentage, then continued to hit well upon his promotion to short-season Spokane. Scouting Report: In a system filled with toolsy, free swingers, Morgan stands out for his plate discipline and barrel awareness. He’s a patient hitter with excellent strike-zone awareness. He lays off breaking balls outside the zone, waits for a good pitch to hit, then uses his quick hands to unleash a fast, compact stroke to rope line drives to all fields. Morgan can put a ball in the gap, but his lack of power is his biggest offensive question mark. A slightly above-average runner when he signed, Morgan lost around 10 pounds in pro ball and improved his speed to plus, turning in home-to-first times of 4.2 seconds. He’s a reliable defensive shortstop, with good hands, footwork and instincts that help his range play up with a solid-average arm. Some scouts in the draft questioned whether Morgan would be better suited for second base, but he played well at shortstop in his pro debut. Morgan有很好的本垒板纪律(架设好球带)和 barrel awareness(这我不清楚是什麽 翻文章似乎来自於射击 猜测跟好球带控管、 击球策略相关) 会慎选自己想攻击的球 是一个很全面的打者 但是没什麽火力是他最大的疑虑 (我看他挥棒速度满快的 应该有机会长出一点吧?) 在瘦了十磅以後 从本垒到一垒的速度来到4.2秒 是个plus的跑垒者 原本不被看好能继续待下去的游击守备 也表现得可圈可点 以下是今年表现的影片 他有些婴儿肥XXD https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EJkG8sOnJtQ The Future: Morgan should move on to low Class A Hickory in 2015. His potential as a high-OBP hitter in the middle of the diamond is exciting if he can develop power. 明年应该会升到A出赛 如此高OBP的中线打者 若能发展出他的power 那会是令人非常兴奋的一件事情 BEST TOOLS Best Hitter for Average Ryan Rua Best Power Hitter Joey Gallo Best Strike-Zone Discipline Josh Morgan Fastest Baserunner Christopher Garia Best Athlete Lewis Brinson Best Fastball Keone Kela Best Curveball Corey Knebel Best Slider Jake Thompson Best Changeup Alex Claudio Best Control Alec Asher Best Defensive Catcher Pat Cantwell Best Defensive Infielder Hanser Alberto Best Infield Arm Joey Gallo Best Defensive Outfielder Lewis Brinson Best Outfield Arm Jairo Beras 2018 LINEUP Catcher Jorge Alfaro First Base Prince Fielder Second Base Rougned Odor Third Base Joey Gallo Shortstop Elvis Andrus Left Field Nick Williams Center Field Leonys Martin Right Field Nomar Mazara Designated Hitter Shin-Soo Choo No. 1 Starter Yu Darvish No. 2 Starter Derek Holland No. 3 Starter Jake Thompson No. 4 Starter Martin Perez No. 5 Starter Alex Gonzalez Closer Keone Kela ============================================================================== 这名单出来时我有点讶异 Mazara名次大跃进是可以理解以及期待的 但我没想到Jake Thompson的评价会飙这麽高 甚至高过Gonzalez... 而且在我看完他的球探报告後我依然不太能理解为什麽... 可能因为Thompson更加年轻吧 另外一个让我意外的是Josh Morgan 我知道他比大多数球探预估得还要好 但我没想到评价会这麽高 甚至把季末涝赛的Jackson和受点伤的Knebel直接挤下去... 不过不管如何 我相信当BA top 100排名出来时 这个名次还有可能被调整 而目前我还在期待John Sickels的top 20 另外 今天过後 球团会决定要不要与有仲裁资格的球员换约 到时我们就能确定到底明年还能不能看到Moreland、Ogando等人了... -- My Projected 2018 Lineup 秋信守 █◤Lewis Brinson █▊Nomar Mazara ◥◤ ◢◣ ◥◤ UT Luis Sardinas Elvis╲Andrus█▊Rougned Odor 4th OF Nick Williams Jurickson Profar╲◢达比修有◣／Prince Fielder Coner Backup Ryan Rua ◥████◤ SU：Keone Kela CL：Corey Knebel Jorge Alfaro DH：Joey Gallo --

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