作者kaijun (都瑞米)
看板Rangers
标题[情报] Prospect of the Day: Engel Beltre
时间Mon Sep 16 06:34:28 2013
http://ppt.cc/BAMG
Prospect of the Day: Engel Beltre, OF, Texas Rangers
By John Sickels on Aug 6 2013
Engel Beltre 在2007年透过交易来到条子小联盟系统
在隔年他有了生涯第一个完整球季
130场比赛打出 .283/.308/.403 的成绩,并成功盗垒31次
他的运动能力及tools让球探们印象深刻
他当时的缺点是他完全没有辨识球种的能力
很会打直球但对变化球没辙
这问题在2009球季被放大,他这年只打出 .227/.281/.317的成绩
357个打数只有17个保送,他的挥棒机制很糟,挥棒轨迹显然有问题
2010年他升上2A,然後又再度陷入困境
他失去本垒板纪律并出现情绪控管的问题
他在2A持续挣扎到2013年,他似乎没办法再进步了......
他被移出BA前30球队新秀并被视为bust
直到今年他升到3A後意外地有了改变,他打出 .302/.360/.405的成绩
他的被保送率是菜鸟球季以来的新高
球探报告指出他的选球与挥棒的稳定性都有进步,但对左投还是没辄
Engel Beltre 今年已经23岁了,tools从来不是他的问题
他跑得很快且臂力强,外野三个位置都能守
他在垒包间非常积极
即使因为缺乏跑垒技巧导致盗垒成功率不佳 (14-for-24)
但在垒上还是个威胁
今年的进步给了他上大联盟试试身手的机会
但他仍然存在辨识球种与本垒板纪律的问题
这些问题在面对左投手时特别明显
他的速度与防守能帮助他至少留在大联盟边缘
而打击能力是 Engel Beltre 能否站稳大联盟的关键
The Texas Rangers promoted Engel Beltre to the major league roster yesterday
to help cover for the suspended Nelson Cruz. Beltre was up in the majors
earlier this season and has been a factor in the prospect world for several
years. Let's take a look at him as today's Prospect of the Day.
Beltre was originally signed by the Boston Red Sox out of the Dominican
Republic in 2006, giving him a $600,000 bonus. He debuted in the Red Sox
system with a .208/.310/.400 line in 34 games in the Gulf Coast League in
'07, earning enough attention to become a key prospect in that summer's Eric
Gagne trade (remember that?). He moved over to the Rangers rookie ball
affiliate in Arizona to finish the summer, hitting .310/.388/.583 in 22
games, but was overmatched after a late promotion to Spokane in the Northwest
League, fanning 10 times in 38 at-bats and hitting .211.
The Rangers moved him up to Clinton in the Midwest League for 2008. He
impressed scouts with his athleticism and tools, while hitting .283/.308/.403
in 130 games, a respectable slash line for an 18-year-old in full-season
ball. He also stole 31 bases, however his strike zone judgment was awful,
with a 15/105 BB/K ratio in 566 at-bats. He handled fastballs well and saw
enough of them to keep his batting average up, but he was helpless against
breaking stuff. At that point, scouts were more concerned with his tools than
anything else and were willing to accept his weaknesses, figuring they would
improve in time.
The weakness was exposed in 2009: he hit just .227/.281/.317 with 17 walks
and 77 strikeouts in 357 at-bats for Bakersfield in the hitter-friendly
California League. His swing mechanics were a mess and his approach an
obvious problem, but the tools were still there, particularly on defense, and
he was still very young.
He returned to Bakersfield in 2010 and was much more effective, hitting
.331/.376/.460 in 263 at-bats. This earned him a promotion to Double-A
Frisco, where his bat went silent again against better pitching
(.254/.301/.337 in 181 at-bats). He combined for 18 steals at the two levels.
Beltre went back to Frisco for 2011 but it was a rough year: he hit just
.231/.285/.300 with only one homer, 28 walks, and 103 strikeouts in 437
at-bats. He also drew a demerit with scouts and a suspension in April after
throwing a tantrum and tossing a trashcan into the stands. He returned to
Frisco for a third time in 2012, improving to .261/.307/.420 in 564 at-bats,
showing more pop but still struggling with plate discipline (26 walks, 118
strikeouts).
With an apparent inability to thrive in Double-A, Beltre's stock was down
entering 2013: he was being written off as a toolsy bust by Texas League
observers and didn't rank in Baseball America's top 30 Rangers prospects. I
had him as a Grade C myself, noting his glovework and his overall
athleticism, but harboring significant doubts that he would hit enough for
those things to matter much.
However, a few things have clicked this year. Moved up to Triple-A Round
Rock, he's hitting .302/.360/.405, with 26 walks and 59 strikeouts in 301
at-bats. That's his best walk rate since rookie ball, and observers report
he's made real progress with both his pitch selectivity and the consistency
of his swing. He has been raking PCL right-handers over the coals
(.352/.413/.486), but is still overmatched by lefties (just .187/.235/.220).
Beltre is listed at 6-2, 180, a left-handed hitter and thrower, born November
1, 1989. As noted above, tools aren't the problem: he's fast, has a strong
throwing arm, and has developed into an excellent defensive outfielder,
capable of handling all three positions. He is aggressive about using his
speed on the basepaths, but isn't a great percentage stealer, just 14-for-24
this year. Still, fast is better than slow even if he still needs to improve
his technique.
At age 23, Beltre remains reasonably young. His defense and speed should keep
him in the majors (or at least on the edges of it) for a long time, but
whether he gets beyond that to regular status or not depends on his hitting.
While his bat is better than it used to be, he still has problems with pitch
recognition and plate discipline, particularly against lefties.
Beltre has made enough progress to deserve an opportunity, but not enough to
guarantee success just yet.
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◆ From: 111.255.252.44
※ 编辑: kaijun 来自: 111.255.252.44 (09/16 06:38)
1F:推 yao860718:希望能帮忙啊 09/16 22:45