Michael Young to Philadelphia Phillies Trade: Biggest Winners and Losers BY ANDREW MARTIN (CORRESPONDENT) ON DECEMBER 8, 2012 http://tinyurl.com/byrr45z 赢家:Texas Rangers 即使需要付出过半的薪资把 Young 送到费城 对条子来说这仍然是一笔好交易 36岁的 Young 来到合约的最後一年 薪资高达16M 他刚打出一个极差的球季 打击率 .277 全垒打8支 67分打点 这数据帐面上看起来并不可怕 但如果我们更仔细下去检视 就会知道 Young 如何伤害球队 他的OPS仅有 .682 OPS+只有78 我们了解到OPS+到达100是平均水准 换句话说 Young 在进攻上的状况是 below replacement level 即使找个小联盟球员来取代 Young 对球队都会有正面帮助 The Rangers would have likely won this trade even if they had simply given Young to the Phillies. ESPN.com's Richard Durrett reports that the Rangers will pay at least half of Young's 2013 salary, which still makes it a good deal for Texas. Young is 36 and due to make $16 million in 2013, which is the final year of his contract. He is coming off one of the worst seasons of his career, hitting .277 with eight home runs and 67 RBI in 156 games in 2012. Those numbers don’t look terrible at face value, but closer examination shows how Young hurt the Rangers by just being on the field. Young had a .682 OPS and a OPS+ of 78 in 2012. According to FanGraphs.com, an OPS+ of 100 is considered average, so Young was well below replacement level with his offensive play. In theory, Texas would have had better production just by playing somebody from the minors in Young's place. 输家:费城人的牛棚深度 费城为了取得 Young 放弃了两个有点天分的年轻投手 Lindblom 的速球平均能投到 92.1 英里 每局平均能送出一次三振 牛棚投手的取代性很高 不过要找个便宜又有天分的投手并不容易 Bonilla 已经22岁了 只在1A投过21场 还没准备好上大联盟 但他生涯的ERA只有2.50 平均每局能送出超过一次三振 作为这笔交易的次要部分 他可能是未经雕琢的璞玉 The Phillies gave up some intriguing young pitching talent for Young, and are assuming an aging player who has one year left on his contract. The right-handed Lindblom was originally acquired from the Dodgers in the Shane Victorino trade in 2012. He has averaged nearly a strikeout per inning during his career, a testament to his big fastball, which averaged 92.1 mph last season according to FanGraphs.com. Bullpens often have interchangeable pieces, but replacing a cheap and talented pitcher like Lindblom is always tough. Bonilla is a slim right-handed minor league reliever from the Dominican Republic. He has only pitched 21 games above Single-A in his career, and at the age of 22, is not close to being ready for the major leagues. However, he does have a career 2.50 ERA, and has averaged better than a strikeout per inning. He could be the diamond in the rough teams traditionally seek as a secondary piece in a trade like this. 输家:费城人的防守 今年球季 费城人的三垒像是个黑洞 Polanco 的防守非常好 但只交出 .257 的打击率和2支全垒打 Young 也许能够在打击上有更多贡献 但防守上与 Polanco 相差甚远 Young 今年有一半的比赛负责防守条子的内野 结果得到的是 -2.2 dWAR 他自从08年以後 dWAR 就没有出现过正值 Third base was a black hole for the Phillies in 2012. Veteran Placido Polanco saw the lion’s share of playing time last season. While he played decent defense, he hit only .257 with two home runs in 90 games. The Phillies felt finding an upgrade was a priority for 2013. While Young might be able to produce more than Polanco at the plate, he will fall far short of matching him in the field. Young played about half of his games around the infield for Texas last season, resulting in a -2.2 dWAR. He has not had a positive dWAR since 2008 and should only continue to decline with age and regular play in the field. 输家:Michael Young 从条子到费城人 Young并没有得到更好的位置 他的防守能力已经消失很久了 条子可以把他放在DH来弥补这件事 但在国联的费城人不行 Young 的打击也许会反弹 但他糟糕的防守绝对不会 当恶名昭彰的费城迷发现他们的内野左边破洞 他们不会宽容太久 如果 Young 持续在费城挣扎 那他想在退休前再拿到一份合约的机率会减少 Although ESPNDallas’ Richard Durrett recently reported Young was set to enter 2013 with an undefined role with the Rangers, his trade to the Phillies isn't putting him in a much better position. As Young’s defensive ability abandoned him in recent years, Texas was able to hide those deficiencies by increasingly playing him at DH. During the past two seasons, he has played a little less than half of his games in the field. Moving to the National League will take away that security blanket. Perhaps Young can regain a little of his former hitting ability, but it’s unlikely that he will be able to improve his putrid defense. The notoriously tough Phillies fans may not give him a long leash when they see the porous left side of the infield he will form with shortstop Jimmy Rollins. If Young struggles with Philadelphia, it may impact his ability to get a decent final contract before he retires. Granted, any value he would give a team would be through his bat, but a trying season with the Phillies could impact his all-around game and lessen any offers he might receive next offseason. 输家:Arizona Diamondbacks 响尾蛇想藉由交易 Justin Upton 得到一个游击手 条子会是潜在的交易对象 Young离开後 Andrus 和 Profar 可以分享他原本的上场时间 条子可以把内野工具人的角色给 Kinsler 或 Profar 减少了他们必须要被交易的需要 压力现在到了响尾蛇这边 毕竟要找像条子这麽适合的对象很不容易 响尾蛇或许必须降低要价 否则只好继续留住 Upton 条子现在在这笔交易中的发言能力比之前高多了 Arizona entered the offseason thinking about trading star outfielder Justin Upton and obtaining a quality shortstop. Many, including ESPN’s Buster Olney, felt that the Rangers were a good potential trading partner because of the logjam they had at shortstop with Andrus and Profar. Now that Young has been dispatched, the Rangers may chose to move second baseman Ian Kinsler or Profar into the vacated utility role, lessening their need to trade one of their young shortstops. With young quality shortstops so hard to find, the Diamondbacks will be hard-pressed to find another team to trade with who fit so well with their own needs. The Rangers still may elect to trade Andrus or Profar, but with Young’s departure opening up potential playing time for both, Texas has more leverage than they had in the past. The Diamondbacks may have to settle for a lesser option or hang on to Upton, who can't be pleased to see his name in trade rumors so often. --

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