作者mayfirst (2010AL冠军游骑兵)
看板Rangers
标题[讨论] Should the Rangers go after Adrian Beltre?
时间Sat Dec 18 23:18:20 2010
Should the Rangers go after Adrian Beltre?
我们该去抢吹哥吗?
As the offseason continues and you glance at the big names still available,
Adrian Beltre is certainly high on the list. But is that the type of player
the Rangers should spend top dollar on?
现在自由球员中,Beltre排名第一(其他大咖都找到落脚处了)。但是他会是适合游骑兵队
洒下大钱的对象吗?
ESPN.com's Dave Cameron thinks so. His proposal, one we've discussed on this
blog before, is for
the Rangers to throw money at Beltre and move Michael
Young to designated hitter. Here is part of Cameron's thinking:
Espn作家Dave Cameron讨论关於签下Beltre并且将Young放在指定打击位置~~
(VG:那我咧??)
Young is certainly not a prototypical DH. As a hitter, he's just slightly
above average, and his .335 weighted on base average (wOBA) would have ranked
12th among American League designated hitters in 2010, just behind Johnny
Damon and ahead of Jason Kubel. Just over two years ago, he was the reigning
gold glove winner at shortstop in the AL, and while that was one of the worst
decisions the voters have made in recent history, it is still unusual to see
a player regress from shortstop to DH in such a short period of time.
Young不是理想的指定打击人选。0.335的wOBA排名美联指定打击第12名。只比大门和Kubel
好。两年前他才在游击手位置拿下金手套(美联),呃,那是这几年来最烂的投票结果之一
。一个球员在那麽短的时间内从游击手移往指定打击位置是不寻常的。
However, the upgrade for the Rangers by replacing Young at third base with
Beltre is substantial enough to justify the unusual maneuver of forgoing a
classic slugger at DH. For all the talk of Vladimir Guerrero's impact on the
Rangers' offense a year ago, Beltre actually outhit him in every area. His
batting average was 21 points higher, he drew five more walks and while
Guerrero launched one additional home run, Beltre's 22 additional doubles
more than offset that difference.
Beltre2010年的数据比Vladimir Guerrero还好。打击率高出0.021,多5次四坏,和22支二
垒打,VG只比吹哥多了一发全垒打。
That isn't to say that Beltre's 2010 represents what he'll do going forward,
but looking at data from the last three years suggests that
Beltre and
Guerrero are similar offensive talents.
Guerrero's bat has been worth just
over 15 runs above an average hitter per year since 2008,
while Beltre's has
been worth 11 runs per year over the same time frame. Given that
Beltre is
four years younger -- and his body is in significantly better shape -- we
should actually expect him to outhit Guerrero in 2011.
Beltre和VG这三年的成绩很像。VG的棒子这三年只比联盟平均多得了15分。Beltre则只有
11分。不过Beltre比VG年轻4岁~~
Cameron goes on to analyze what Beltre can do on the field, noting his UZR is
125 runs better than the average since 2002, about 15 runs per season. That's
a better mark than Young, so Cameron feels Beltre's upgrade in the field
means the club should make the switch.
Beltre自2002年以来的UZR比平均值多了125,大约每年多帮球队守下15分。
I certainly think it's something that should be considered, though I still
think starting pitching is the top priority for this team.
Do you ask Young
to make yet another position change? He moved from second shortstop and then
shortstop to third base. And that move was only two years ago. Young remains
the face of the franchise and the clear clubhouse leader. Would playing
Beltre at third and moving Young to DH make the club better? The numbers say
yes.
但是你们问Young答应换守备位置了吗?他可是球队的脸!!但是让Beltre守三垒,M Young
打指定,数据上显示会让球队更好。
M Young:我又要换守备位置了,这样我每场比赛要多带一种手套耶~~抗议!!我要加薪!!!
But there are other, cheaper options. That would include signing Guerrero to
a one-year deal and using the money elsewhere (Guerrero has been trying to
get a two-year deal on the market, but hasn't found one. It's likely the club
and Guerrero can come together on a deal). Of course, the club could address
its pitching needs via trade and have some money left over to make the deal.
One thing about not getting Lee: The Rangers have some money to play with.
另外一种更便宜的选择:VG签一年。没有签下Lee代表一件事:游骑兵队的钱多到没处花~~
Should they spend it on Beltre?
他们应该签下吹哥吗??
资料来源:ESPN-Dallas(Rangers)
http://espn.go.com/blog/dallas/texas-rangers/
--
2010 Texas Rangers Postseason Franchise Roster
(SP)Cliff Lee (C)Benjie Molina (1B)Mitch Moreland (2B)Ian Kinsler
(SS)Elvis Andrus (3B)Michael Young (LF)David Murphy (CF)Josh Hamilton
(RF)Nelson Cruz (DH)Vladimir Guerrero (SP)C.J. Wilson (SP)Colby Lewis
(CL)Neftali Feliz (RP)Darren O'Day (RP)Darren Oliver (SP)Derek Holland
(RP)Alexi Ogando (RP)Michael Kirkman (C)Matt Treanor (OF)Julio Borbon
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 59.121.8.187
1F:推 cloudfour:说不定等到真的说要又马上被拦走= = 12/18 23:27
2F:→ mayfirst:不过三垒要补不补真的很头痛~~如果Beltre是守一垒就没这 12/18 23:30
3F:→ mayfirst:烦恼~~要先问老大Young愿不愿意~~ 12/18 23:30
4F:推 lucky0623:可以签了吹个其中一个守一垒阿 12/18 23:50
5F:推 Atropos0723:吹哥的手套放一垒其实有点浪费 12/19 00:26