Top 100 Draft Flashback: Impact Players, Notable Flops http://t.co/AxBsWL7KGm 以下将取样自1989年~2008年选秀的前100人，依选秀时的位置来分组後检视各位置的养成 状况。(下一段中的连结是探讨选进去之後被移到其他守备位置的比率) While we’re headlong into draft preview mode, we’re also taking a retrospective look at the top draft 100 picks—the cream of the amateur crop— from the 20 drafts from 1989 through 2008. Check out the previous installment, ( http://0rz.tw/7cs6q ) At What Positions Do Top Picks End Up?, for more on why we chose those cutoff dates, why we stopped at 100 picks and where one might expect a high school shortstop to settle in the big leagues. If a team ends up with a major league player from one of its draft picks, it can be reasonably satisfied. But what teams are really looking for are impact players. In this Top 100 Draft Flashback, we’ll examine success rates for various draft demographics—spoiler alert: high school draft picks carry more risk of reaching the majors—by looking at both the number of players who reach the big leagues, and the number who become significant contributors to major league success. We’ll touch on a number of draft flops and list all the players, sorted by Baseball-Reference’s wins above replacement (WAR) metric, who qualified for the big league position study by reaching the majors for at least 100 games. For this exercise we’re not counting cup-of-coffee callups as major league graduates. Players are grouped by the position where they were drafted. Graduation Rates：至少在大联盟打过100场比赛 Impact Rates：生涯WAR > 10 Graduation Rates Impact Rates High School College High School College Catchers 32% (26/81) 52% (34/65) 11% (9/81) 12% (8/65) Shortstops 33% (44/132) 48% (35/73) 8% (11/132) 9% (9/73) First Base 34% (13/38) 43% (19/44) 13% (5/38) 18% (8/44) Second Base 0% (0/7) 41% (9/22) 0% (0/7) 14% (3/22) Third Base 28% (17/61) 57% (27/47) 10% (6/61) 21% (10/47) Outfielders 28% (55/194) 47% (72/153) 12% (23/194) 13% (20/153) (详细名单、各个算进Impact Rates的球员、各位置最大Bust以及最高顺位请见原文连结) -- http://ppt.cc/D3RL --

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