作者soilstone (imk)
看板Prospect
标题[情报] A's Top 11 Prospects (BP)
时间Tue Dec 29 23:07:00 2009
Future Shock A's Top 11 Prospects
by Kevin Goldstein
(出自：
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=9891 )
Five-Star Prospects
1. Chris Carter, 1B
2. Michael Taylor, LF
Four-Star Prospects
3. Michael Ynoa, RHP
4. Grant Desme, CF
5. Grant Green, SS
Three-Star Prospects
6. Max Stassi, C
7. Jemile Weeks, 2B
8. Tyson Ross, RHP
9. Adrian Cardenas, 2B
10. Corey Brown, OF
11. Pedro Figueroa, LHP
Four More:
12. Fautino De Los Santos, RHP: A former top prospect, De Los Santos looked
good in his brief return from Tommy John surgery; he has ability to move back
up this list.
13. Anthony Capra, LHP: Capra has plus command and a changeup that together
could equal back-of-the-rotation possibilities.
14. Shane Peterson, OF: He has a line-drive bat and plus speed that both
impress, but it’s slightly incongruous with a corner outfield profile.
15. Ian Krol, LHP: Krol’s a raw left-hander with an outstanding breaking
ball who got a $925,000 bonus in the seventh round.
1. Chris Carter, 1B
DOB: 12/18/86
Height/Weight: 6-4/225
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: 15th round, 2005, Sierra Vista HS (NV) (White Sox)
2009 Stats: .337/.435/.576 at Double-A (125 G); .259/.293/.519 at Triple-A
(13 G)
Last Year’s Ranking: 4
Year in Review: After leading the minors in total bases in 2008, Carter used
a monstrous second half to tie for the minor-league lead in 2009.
The Good: Carter has top-of-the-charts power, with natural loft and backspin
as well as the kind of strength where he doesn't have to pull a ball or even
make full contact for it to fly over the wall. He made impressive adjustments
against more advanced pitching to close up some holes in his swing, reducing
his strikeout rate as the season wore on, leaving most to believe he'll hit
for average as well. Combined with a good feel for the strike zone, he could
put up big numbers in all three triple-slash categories.
The Bad: Carter will always have a high strikeout rate, as it's just a
product of his offensive game, but he still has a tendency to chase at times.
Despite putting in a lot of work defensively, he remains a below-average
first baseman.
Ephemera: In his last 52 games for Double-A Midland, Carter had one of the
longest extended hot streaks of the year, batting a remarkable .412
(82-for-199) with 18 doubles and 12 home runs.
Perfect World Projection: He’s likely to be a .280- to .300-hitting first
baseman with 30-40 home runs annually.
Path to the Big Leagues: Daric Barton has a better glove, and showed some
signs of life with the bat down the stretch, giving him first shot at the job.
Timetable: Carter will need a monster spring training to break camp with the
big leagues. He'll likely begin the year back at Triple-A, but it's unlikely
he'll finish there.
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 122.126.48.231
1F：→ soilstone:小弟我觉得这份名单好像比Sickels的客观，虽然不知道为 12/29 23:14
2F：→ soilstone:什麽Pedro Figueroa会在这麽前面(Sickels的也一样。)， 12/29 23:16
3F：→ soilstone:感觉Sickels好像有点偏好A's 12/29 23:18
※ 编辑: soilstone 来自: 122.126.48.231 (12/30 09:43)
4F：→ soilstone:Donaldson好像变遗珠了 12/30 09:44
5F：→ soilstone:Goldstein：“Leon is actually 16 for me, so he just 01/01 08:11
6F：→ soilstone:missed. Rodriguez would be in the 17-20 range, and 01/01 08:12
7F：→ soilstone:2010 is a make-or-break season. Hornbeck's numbers 01/01 08:12
8F：→ soilstone:are way better than his stuff and Josh Donaldson 01/01 08:13
9F：→ soilstone:doesn't do much for scouts at all, as his receiving 01/01 08:13
10F：→ soilstone:skills behind the plate remain poor. 01/01 08:14
11F：→ soilstone:I don't think Cardenas is a crazy upside guy as much 01/01 08:16
12F：→ soilstone:as he's a .300 hitter who doesn't offer much else. 01/01 08:17
13F：→ soilstone:He's not going to hit home runs, he's not going to 01/01 08:17
14F：→ soilstone:run, and he's not going to be a walk machine, so he 01/01 08:18
15F：→ soilstone:kind of HAS TO hit .300. Brown is the opposite, 01/01 08:18
16F：→ soilstone:where he's never going to hit for average, but you 01/01 08:19
17F：→ soilstone:hope he does enough other things to make up for it. 01/01 08:19
18F：→ ThomasHSNU:各家有自己的偏好当然的 01/02 06:44
19F：推 ThomasHSNU:Figueroa has good stuff 丢mid-90s and a good slider 01/02 06:57
20F：→ ThomasHSNU:这种左投不多见 01/02 06:58
21F：→ ThomasHSNU:Goldstein不太喜欢Donaldson不过Sickels评他B-,#9 01/02 07:04
22F：→ soilstone:感谢T大 ^^ 01/02 08:16
23F：推 BryceHarper:John Sickels常常会出现personal favor 01/06 08:32
24F：→ BryceHarper:所以有些人会被overrate or underrate 01/06 08:32
25F：→ soilstone:I see. 谢谢Harper大 ^^ 01/11 10:18